Analysis of projected drought hazards for Hungary

Advances in Geosciences

Volumn 35, Issue , 2013, Pages 61-66

  Bartholy, J ^a   Pongracz R ^a   Hollosi B ^a  

^a EÖTVÖS LORÁND UNIVERSITY   (Hungary)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; CLIMATE MODELING; DROUGHT; GLOBAL CHANGE; HAZARD ASSESSMENT; REGIONAL CLIMATE;

HUNGARY;

EID: 84880865225     PISSN: 16807340     EISSN: 16807359     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/adgeo-35-61-2013     Document Type: Article

References (29)

1. Arakawa, A. and Lamb, V. R.: Computational design of the basic dynamical processes of the UCLA general circulation model, Methods in Computational Physics, 17, 173-265, 1977.
2. Bartholy, J., Pongrácz, R., Pieczka, I., Kardos, P., and Hunyady, A.: Analysis of expected climate change in the Carpathian Basin using a dynamical climate model, Lect. Notes Comput. Sc., 5434, 176-183, 2009.
3. Betts, R. A., Boucher, O., Collins, M., Cox, P. M., Falloon, P. D., Gedney, N., Hemming, D. L., Huntingford, C., Jones, C. D., Sexton, D. M. W., and Web, M. J.: Projected increase in continental runoff due to plant responses to increasing carbon dioxide, Nature, 448, 1037-1041, 2007. (Pubitemid 47345580)
4. Burke, E. J. and Brown, S. J.: Evaluating uncertainties in the projection of future drought, J. Hydrometeorol., 9, 292-299, 2008.
5. Dai, A.: Drought under global warming: a review, Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 2(1), 45-65, 2011.
6. de Martonne, E.: Une nouvelle fonction climatologique: L'Indice d'Aridité, La Météorologie, 2, 449-458, 1926.
7. Dunkel, Z.: Brief surveying and discussing of drought indices used in agricultural meteorology, Idojárás, 113, 23-37, 2009.
8. Foley, J. C.: Droughts in Australia: Review of Records from Earliest Years of Settlement to 1955, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Bull. 43, 1957.
9. Gordon, C., Cooper, C., Senior, C. A., Banks, H., Gregory, J. M., Johns, T. C., Mitchell, J. F. B., and Wood, R. A.: The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments, Clim. Dynam., 16, 147-168, 2000. (Pubitemid 30192427)
10. Hudson, D. A. and Jones, R. G.: Regional climate model simulations of present-day and future climates of Southern Africa. Technical Notes No. 39. UK Met Office Hadley Centre, Bracknell, 2002.
11. IPCC: Climate Change 2007 - The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., and Miller, H. L., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, http://www.ipcc.ch, 2007.
12. IPCC: Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation, A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Field, C. B., Barros, V., Stocker, T. F., Qin, D., Dokken, D. J., Ebi, K. L., Mastrandrea, M. D., Mach, K. J., Plattner, G.-K., Allen, S. K., Tignor, M., and Midgley, P. M., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, 582 pp. 2012.
13. Jacob, D., Bärring, L., Christensen, O. B., Christensen, J. H., de Castro, M., Déqué, M., Giorgi, F., Hagemann, S., Hirschi, M., Jones, R., Kjellström, E., Lenderink, G., Rockel, B., Sánchez, E., Schär, Ch., Seneviratne, S. I., Somot, S., van Ulden, A., and van den Hurk, B.: An inter-comparison of regional climate models for Europe: Model performance in Present-Day Climate, Climatic Change, 81, 21-53, 2007.
14. Jones, R. G., Noguer, M., Hassell, D. C., Hudson, D.,Wilson, S. S., Jenkins, G. J., and Mitchell, J. F. B.: Generating high resolution climate change scenarios using PRECIS, UK Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, 2004.
15. Kane, R. P. and Trivedi, N. B.: Are droughts predictable?, Climate Change, 8, 209-223, 1986.
16. Katz, R. W. and Glantz, M. H.: Anatomy of a rainfall index, Mon. Weather Rev., 114, 764-777, 1986.
17. Lang, M., Ouardab, T. B. M. J., and Bobee, B.: Review: Towards operational guidelines for over-threshold modeling, J. Hydrol., 225, 103-117, 1999.
18. Nakicenovic, N. and Swart, R. (Eds.): Emissions Scenarios, A Special Reports of IPCC Working Group III, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, http://www.ipcc.ch, 2000.
19. Palmer, W. C.: Meteorological Drought, Research Paper, No. 45, US Weather Bureau, Washington, DC, 1965.
20. Ped, D. A.: Temporal fluctuations of atmospheric aridity and excess moisture in May-August in the European USSR, Gidrometizdat, 213, 82-103, 1979.
21. Peters, E., Torfs, P. J. J. F., van Lanen, H. A. J., and Bier, G.: Propagation of drought through groundwater - a new approach using linear reservoir theory, Hydrol. Process., 17, 3023-3040, 2003. (Pubitemid 37365739)
22. Pieczka, I., Pongrácz, R., and Bartholy, J.: Comparison of simulated trends of regional climate change in the Carpathian Basin for the 21st century using three different emission scenarios, Acta Silvatica et Lignaria Hungarica, 7, 9-22, 2011.
23. Pongrácz, R., Bartholy, J., and Miklós, E.: Analysis of projected climate change for Hungary using ENSEMBLES simulations, Appl. Ecol. Env. Res., 9, 387-398, 2011.
24. Rupa Kumar, K., Sahai, A. K., Krishna Kumar, K., Patwardhan, S. K., Mishra, P. K., Revadekar, J. V., Kamala, K., and Pant, G. B.: High-resolution climate change scenarios for India for the 21st century, Curr. Sci. India, 90, 334-345, 2006.
25. Seneviratne, S. I., Corti, T., Davin, E. L., Hirschi, M., Jaeger, E., Lehner, I., Orlowsky, B., and Teuling, A. J.: Investigating soil moisture-climate interactions in a changing climate: A review, Earth Sci. Rev., 99, 125-161, 2010.
26. Sheffield, J. and Wood, E. F.: Global trends and variability in soil moisture and drought characteristics, 1950-2000, from observation-driven simulations of the terrestrial hydrologic cycle, J. Climate, 21, 432-458, 2008a. (Pubitemid 351395630)
27. Sheffield, J. and Wood, E. F.: Projected changes in drought occurrence under future global warming from multi-model, multiscenario, IPCC AR4 simulations, Clim. Dynam., 31, 79-105, 2008b.
28. Thornthwaite, C. W.: An approach toward a rational classification of climate, Geogr. Rev., 38, 55-94, 1948.
29. Wilson, S., Hassell, D., Hein, D., Jones, R., and Taylor, R.: Installing and using the Hadley Centre regional climate modelling system, PRECIS, Version 1.8., UK Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, 2009.