Identifying sources of temporal variability in hydrological extremes of the upper Blue Nile basin

Journal of Hydrology

Volumn 499, Issue , 2013, Pages 61-70

  Taye, Meron Teferi ^a   Willems, Patrick ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF LEUVEN   (Belgium)

Author keywords

Hydrological extremes; QPM; Rainfall runoff modeling; Temporal variability; Upper Blue Nile basin

Indexed keywords

BLUE NILE; HYDROLOGICAL EXTREMES; QPM; RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELING; TEMPORAL VARIABILITY;

CATCHMENTS; CLIMATOLOGY; RAIN; WATER RESOURCES;

RUNOFF;

CALIBRATION; CATCHMENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; EXTREME EVENT; HYDROLOGICAL CHANGE; HYDROMETEOROLOGY; PERTURBATION; RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELING; RUNOFF; TEMPORAL VARIATION; WATER RESOURCE; WATERSHED;

BLUE NILE BASIN; ETHIOPIA; NILE BASIN;

EID: 84880790119     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.06.053     Document Type: Article

References (31)

1. Asmamaw L.B., Mohammed A.A., Lulseged T.D. Land use/cover dynamics and their effects in the Gerado catchment, northeastern Ethiopia. Int. J. Environ. Stud. 2011, 68(6):883-900.
2. Betrie G.D., Mohamed Y.a., van Griensven a., Srinivasan R. Sediment management modelling in the Blue Nile Basin using SWAT model. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2011, 15(3):807-818.
3. Beven K., Freer J. Equifinality, data assimilation, and uncertainty estimation in mechanistic modelling of complex environmental systems using the GLUE methodology. J. Hydrol. 2001, 249:11-29.
4. Bewket W., Sterk G. Dynamics in land cover and its effect on stream flow in the Chemoga watershed, Blue Nile basin, Ethiopia. Hydrol. Process. 2005, 19(2):445-458.
5. Bloschl G., Ardoin-Bardin S., Bonell M., Dorninger M., Goodrich D., Gutknecht D., Matamoros D., Merz B., Shand P., Szolgay J. At what scales do climate variability and land cover change impact on flooding and low flows?. Hydrol. Process. 2007, 1247:1241-1247.
6. Box G.E.P., Cox D.R. An analysis of transformations. J. Roy. Statist. Soc. 1964, 26:211-243. (Discussion 244-252).
7. Breuer L., Huisman J.a., Willems P., Bormann H., Bronstert a., Croke B.F.W., Frede H.-G., Gräff T., Hubrechts L., Jakeman a.J., Kite G., Lanini J., Leavesley G., Lettenmaier D.P., Lindström G., Seibert J., Sivapalan M., Viney N.R. Assessing the impact of land use change on hydrology by ensemble modeling (LUCHEM). I: Model intercomparison with current land use. Adv. Water Resour. 2009, 32(2):129-146.
8. Chapman T. Comment on "evaluation of automated techniques for base flow and recession analyses" by R.J. Nathan and T.A. McMahon. Water Resour. Res. 1991, 27(7):1783-1784.
9. Conway D. A water balance model of the Upper Blue Nile in Ethiopia. Hydrol. Sci. J. 1997, 42(2):265-286.
10. Conway Declan The climate and hydrology of the upper Blue Nile River. Geographic. J. 2000, 166(1):49-62.
11. DHI, 2008. MIKE 11, A Modelling System for Rivers and Channels, Reference Manual. DHI Water & Environment, Horsholm, Denmark.
12. Elshamy M.E., Seierstad I.A., Sorteberg A. Impacts of climate change on Blue Nile flows using bias-corrected GCM scenarios. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2009, 13(5):551-565.
13. Gebrehiwot, S.G., 2012. Hydrology and Forests in the Blue Nile Basin. What can be Learned from Half a Century of Observations and Community Perception for Water Management? Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences. Ph.D. Thesis, Dept. of Aquatic Sciences and Assessment, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, p. 46.
14. Gebrehiwot S.G., Taye A., Bishop Kevin Forest cover and stream flow in a headwater of the Blue Nile: complementing observational data analysis with community perception. J. Human Environ. 2010, 39(4):284-294.
15. Gebrehiwot S.G., Ilstedt U., Gärdenas a.I., Bishop K. Hydrological characterization of watersheds in the Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2011, 15(1):11-20.
16. Gete Z., Hurni H. Implications of land use and land cover dynamics for mountain resource degradation in the Northwestern Ethiopian highlands. Mount. Res. Develop. 2001, 21(2):184-191.
17. Hurni H., Tato K., Zeleke G. The implications of changes in population, land use, and land management for surface runoff in the upper Nile basin area of Ethiopia. Mount. Res. Develop. 2005, 25(2):147-154.
18. Melesse A., Abtew W., Dessalegne T., Wang X. Low and high flow analyses and wavelet application for characterization of the Blue Nile River system. Hydrol. Process. John Wiley & Sons 2010, 24(3):241-252.
19. Mora D.E., Willems P. Decadal oscillations in rainfall and air temperature in the Paute River Basin-Southern Andes of Ecuador. Theoret. Appl. Climatol. 2011, 108(1-2):267-282.
20. Ntegeka V., Willems P. Trends and multidecadal oscillations in rainfall extremes, based on a more than 100-year time series of 10min rainfall intensities at Uccle, Belgium. Water Resour. Res. 2008, 44(7):1-15.
21. Refsgaard J.C., Alley W.M., Vuglinsky V.S. Methodology for Distinguishing between Man's Influence and Climatic Effects on the Hydrological Cycle 1989, IHP-III Project 6.3, UNESCO, Paris, p. 73.
22. Rientjes T.H.M., Haile A.T., Kebede E., Mannaerts C.M.M., Habib E., Steenhuis T.S. Changes in land cover and stream flow in Gilgel Abbay catchment, Upper Blue Nile basin - Ethiopia. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2011, 15:1979-1989.
23. Setegn S.G., Srinivasan Ragahavan, Dargahi B. Hydrological modelling in the Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia using SWAT model. Open Hydrol. J. 2008, 2(1):49-62.
24. Taye M.T., Willems P. Influence of climate variability on representative QDF predictions of the upper Blue Nile basin. J. Hydrol. 2011, 411(3-4):355-365.
25. Taye M.T., Willems P. Temporal variability of hydroclimatic extremes in the Blue Nile basin. Water Resour. Res. 2012, 48:W03513. 10.1029/2011WR011466.
26. Tekleab S., Uhlenbrook S., Mohamed Y., Savenije H.H.G., Temesgen M., Wenninger J. Water balance modeling of Upper Blue Nile catchments using a top-down approach. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2011, 15(7):2179-2193.
27. Tesemma Z.K., Mohamed Y.A., Steenhuis Tammo.S. Trends in rainfall and runoff in the Blue Nile Basin: 1964-2003. Hydrol. Process. 2010, 24(25):3747-3758.
28. Van Steenbergen N., Willems P. Method for testing the accuracy of rainfall-runoff models in predicting peak flow changes due to rainfall changes, in a climate changing context. J. Hydrol. 2011, 414-415:425-434.
29. Willems P. A time series tool to support the multi-criteria performance evaluation of rainfall-runoff models. Environ. Modell. Softw. 2009, 24(3):311-321.
30. Willems, P., 2013. Parsimonious rainfall-runoff model construction supported by time series processing and validation of hydrological extremes. J. Hydrol. (submitted for publication).
31. Zegeye A.D., Steenhuis Tammo S., Blake R.W., Kidnau S., Collick A.S., Dadgari F. Assessment of soil erosion processes and farmer perception of land conservation in Debre Mewi watershed near Lake Tana, Ethiopia. Ecohydrol. Hydrobiol. 2010, 10(2):297-306.