메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 26, Issue 12, 2013, Pages 4096-4111

Attribution of projected future changes in tropical cyclone passage frequency over the western North Pacific

Author keywords

Climate change; Tropical cyclones

Indexed keywords

EAST ASIAN COUNTRIES; FREQUENCY CHANGES; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; OCEANIC REGIONS; SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGE; TRANSLATION VECTOR; TROPICAL CYCLONE; WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC;

EID: 84880304883     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00218.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (31)

References (38)
  • 1
    • 38549126116 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • El Niño Modoki and its possible teleconnection
    • doi:10.1029/2006JC003798
    • Ashok, K., S. K. Behera, S. A. Rao, H. Weng, and T. Yamagata, 2007: El Niño Modoki and its possible teleconnection. J. Geophys. Res., 112, C11007, doi:10.1029/2006JC003798.
    • (2007) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.112
    • Ashok, K.1    Behera, S.K.2    Rao, S.A.3    Weng, H.4    Yamagata, T.5
  • 2
    • 0034253145 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific associated with El Niño and La Niña events
    • Chan, J. C. L., 2000: Tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific associated with El Niño and La Niña events. J. Climate, 13, 2960-2972.
    • (2000) J. Climate , vol.13 , pp. 2960-2972
    • Chan, J.C.L.1
  • 3
    • 77954851195 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of global warming on the tropical PacificOcean and El Niño
    • Collins, M., and Coauthors, 2010: The impact of global warming on the tropical PacificOcean and El Niño. Nat.Geosci., 3, 391-397.
    • (2010) Nat.Geosci. , vol.3 , pp. 391-397
    • Collins, M.1
  • 5
    • 0017108527 scopus 로고
    • Tropical cyclone motion and surrounding parameter relationship
    • George, J. E., and W. M. Gray, 1976: Tropical cyclone motion and surrounding parameter relationship. J. Appl. Meteor., 15, 1252-1264.
    • (1976) J. Appl. Meteor. , vol.15 , pp. 1252-1264
    • George, J.E.1    Gray, W.M.2
  • 6
    • 30744436094 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The CSIRO Mk3 Climate System Model
    • Gordon, H. B., and Coauthors, 2002: The CSIRO Mk3 Climate System Model. CSIRO Atmospheric Research Tech. Paper 60, 130 pp.
    • (2002) CSIRO Atmospheric Research Tech. , pp. 130
    • Gordon, H.B.1
  • 7
    • 53649086183 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in tropical cyclone activity due to global warming: Results from a high-resolution coupled general circulation model
    • Gualdi, S., E. Scoccimarro, and A. Navarra, 2008: Changes in tropical cyclone activity due to global warming: Results from a high-resolution coupled general circulation model. J. Climate, 21, 5204-5228.
    • (2008) J. Climate , vol.21 , pp. 5204-5228
    • Gualdi, S.1    Scoccimarro, E.2    Navarra, A.3
  • 8
    • 2442540962 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interdecadal changes in summertime typhoon tracks
    • Ho, C.-H., J.-J. Baik, J.-H. Kim, D.-Y. Gong, and C.-H. Sui, 2004: Interdecadal changes in summertime typhoon tracks. J. Climate, 17, 1767-1776. Holland, G. J., 1983: Tropical cyclone motion: Environmental interaction plus a beta effect. J. Atmos. Sci., 40, 328-342.
    • (2004) J. Climate , vol.17 , pp. 1767-1776
    • Ho, C.H.1    Baik, J.J.2    Kim, J.H.3    Gong, D.Y.4    Sui, C.H.5
  • 9
    • 0020969397 scopus 로고
    • Tropical cyclone motion: Environmental interaction plus a beta effect
    • Holland, G. J., 1983: Tropical cyclone motion: Environmental interaction plus a beta effect. J. Atmos. Sci., 40, 328-342.
    • (1983) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.40 , pp. 328-342
    • Holland, G.J.1
  • 10
    • 79955138645 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modulation of North Pacific tropical cyclone activity by three phases of ENSO
    • Kim, H.-M., P. J. Webster, and J. A. Curry, 2011: Modulation of North Pacific tropical cyclone activity by three phases of ENSO. J. Climate, 24, 1839-1849.
    • (2011) J. Climate , vol.24 , pp. 1839-1849
    • Kim, H.M.1    Webster, P.J.2    Curry, J.A.3
  • 11
    • 31544452100 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dipole structure of interannual variations in summertime tropical cyclone activity over East Asia
    • Kim, J.-H., C.-H. Ho, C.-H. Sui, and S. K. Park, 2005: Dipole structure of interannual variations in summertime tropical cyclone activity over East Asia. J. Climate, 18, 5344-5356.
    • (2005) J. Climate , vol.18 , pp. 5344-5356
    • Kim, J.H.1    Ho, C.H.2    Sui, C.H.3    Park, S.K.4
  • 12
    • 77950522627 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tropical cyclones and climate change
    • doi:10.1038/ngeo779
    • Knutson, T. R., and Coauthors, 2010: Tropical cyclones and climate change. Nat. Geosci., 3, 157-162, doi:10.1038/ngeo779.
    • (2010) Nat. Geosci. , vol.3 , pp. 157-162
    • Knutson, T.R.1
  • 13
    • 80052606639 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dominant mode of climate variability, intermodel diversity, and projected future changes over the summertime western North Pacific simulated in the CMIP3 models
    • Kosaka, Y., and H. Nakamura, 2011: Dominant mode of climate variability, intermodel diversity, and projected future changes over the summertime western North Pacific simulated in the CMIP3 models. J. Climate, 24, 3935-3955.
    • (2011) J. Climate , vol.24 , pp. 3935-3955
    • Kosaka, Y.1    Nakamura, H.2
  • 14
    • 84866996971 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in western Pacific tropical cyclone associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation cycle
    • Li, R. C. Y., and W. Zhou, 2012: Changes in western Pacific tropical cyclone associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation cycle. J. Climate, 25, 5864-5878.
    • (2012) J. Climate , vol.25 , pp. 5864-5878
    • Li, R.C.Y.1    Zhou, W.2
  • 15
    • 78249272349 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location
    • doi:10.1029/2010GL045124
    • Li, T., M. Kwon, M. Zhao, J.-S. Kug, J.-J. Luo, and W. Yu, 2010: Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L21804, doi:10.1029/2010GL045124.
    • (2010) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.37
    • Li, T.1    Kwon, M.2    Zhao, M.3    Kug, J.S.4    Luo, J.J.5    Yu, W.6
  • 16
    • 0036694281 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The time-space structure of the Asian- Pacific summer monsoon: A fast annual cycle view
    • Lin Ho, and B. Wang, 2002: The time-space structure of the Asian- Pacific summer monsoon: A fast annual cycle view. J. Climate, 15, 2001-2019.
    • (2002) J. Climate , vol.15 , pp. 2001-2019
    • Lin, H.1    Wang, B.2
  • 18
    • 34547489061 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global climate predictions
    • Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, S. Solomon et al. Eds., Cambridge University Press
    • Meehl, G. A., and Coauthors, 2007b: Global climate predictions. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, S. Solomon et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press, 747-845.
    • (2007) , pp. 747-845
    • Meehl, G.A.1
  • 19
    • 33646431158 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 20-km-mesh global climate simulations using JMA-GSM model: Mean climate states
    • Mizuta, R., and Coauthors, 2006: 20-km-mesh global climate simulations using JMA-GSM model: Mean climate states. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 84, 165-185.
    • (2006) J. Meteor. Soc. Japan , vol.84 , pp. 165-185
    • Mizuta, R.1
  • 20
    • 84864207717 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate simulations using the improved MRI-AGCM with 20-km grid
    • Mizuta, R.,and Coauthors, 2012: Climate simulations using the improved MRI-AGCM with 20-km grid. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 90A, 233-258.
    • (2012) J. Meteor. Soc. Japan , vol.90 A , pp. 233-258
    • Mizuta, R.1
  • 21
    • 79955007797 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future change of western North Pacific typhoons: Projection by a 20-km-mesh global atmospheric model
    • Murakami, H., B. Wang, and A. Kitoh, 2011: Future change of western North Pacific typhoons: Projection by a 20-km-mesh global atmospheric model. J. Climate, 24, 1154-1169.
    • (2011) J. Climate , vol.24 , pp. 1154-1169
    • Murakami, H.1    Wang, B.2    Kitoh, A.3
  • 22
    • 84868097828 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future changes in tropical cyclone activity projected by multi-physics and multi-SST ensemble experiments using the 60-km-mesh MRI-AGCM
    • Murakami, H., R. Mizuta, and E. Shindo, 2012a: Future changes in tropical cyclone activity projected by multi-physics and multi-SST ensemble experiments using the 60-km-mesh MRI-AGCM. Climate Dyn., 39, 2569-2584.
    • (2012) Climate Dyn. , vol.39 , pp. 2569-2584
    • Murakami, H.1    Mizuta, R.2    Shindo, E.3
  • 23
    • 84862102873 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future changes in tropical cyclone activity projected by the new high-resolution MRI-AGCM
    • Murakami, H., and Coauthors, 2012b: Future changes in tropical cyclone activity projected by the new high-resolution MRI-AGCM. J. Climate, 25, 3237-3260.
    • (2012) J. Climate , vol.25 , pp. 3237-3260
    • Murakami, H.1
  • 24
    • 33745195236 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tropical cyclone climatology in a globalwarming climate as simulated in a 20-km-mesh global atmospheric model: Frequency and wind intensity analyses
    • Oouchi, K., J. Yoshimura, H. Yoshimura, R. Mizuta, S. Kusunoki, and A. Noda, 2006: Tropical cyclone climatology in a globalwarming climate as simulated in a 20-km-mesh global atmospheric model: Frequency and wind intensity analyses. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 84, 259-276.
    • (2006) J. Meteor. Soc. Japan , vol.84 , pp. 259-276
    • Oouchi, K.1    Yoshimura, J.2    Yoshimura, H.3    Mizuta, R.4    Kusunoki, S.5    Noda, A.6
  • 25
    • 27744554324 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM5.Part I: Model description. Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Rep.
    • Roeckner, E., and Coauthors, 2003: The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM5. Part I: Model description. Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Rep. 349, 127 pp.
    • (2003) , vol.349 , pp. 127
    • Roeckner, E.1
  • 26
    • 0036553038 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Influence of the global warming on tropical cyclone climatology: An experiment with the JMA global model
    • Sugi, M., A. Noda, and N. Sato, 2002: Influence of the global warming on tropical cyclone climatology: An experiment with the JMA global model. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 80, 249-272.
    • (2002) J. Meteor. Soc. Japan , vol.80 , pp. 249-272
    • Sugi, M.1    Noda, A.2    Sato, N.3
  • 27
    • 84921464342 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A reduction in global tropical cyclone frequency due to global warming
    • Sugi, M., H. Murakami, and J. Yoshimura, 2009: A reduction in global tropical cyclone frequency due to global warming. SOLA, 5, 164-167.
    • (2009) SOLA , vol.5 , pp. 164-167
    • Sugi, M.1    Murakami, H.2    Yoshimura, J.3
  • 28
    • 0034962651 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Summarizing multiple aspects of model performance in a single diagram
    • Taylor, K. E., 2001: Summarizing multiple aspects of model performance in a single diagram. J. Geophys. Res., 106 (D7), 7183-7192.
    • (2001) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.106 , Issue.D7 , pp. 7183-7192
    • Taylor, K.E.1
  • 30
    • 0029412337 scopus 로고
    • Propagation of a tropical cyclone in meridionally varying zonal flows: An energetics analysis
    • Wang, B., and X. Li, 1995: Propagation of a tropical cyclone in meridionally varying zonal flows: An energetics analysis. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 1421-1433.
    • (1995) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.52 , pp. 1421-1433
    • Wang, B.1    Li, X.2
  • 31
    • 68949117514 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decadal variability of twentieth-century El Niño and La Niña occurrence from observations and IPCC AR4 coupled models
    • doi:10.1029/2009GL037929
    • Wang, X., D. Wang, and W. Zhou, 2009: Decadal variability of twentieth-century El Niño and La Niña occurrence from observations and IPCC AR4 coupled models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L11701, doi:10.1029/2009GL037929.
    • (2009) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.36
    • Wang, X.1    Wang, D.2    Zhou, W.3
  • 32
    • 0027498692 scopus 로고
    • Interaction of a baroclinic vortex with background shear: Application to hurricane movement
    • Wu, C.-C., and K. A. Emanuel, 1993: Interaction of a baroclinic vortex with background shear: Application to hurricane movement. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 62-76.
    • (1993) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.50 , pp. 62-76
    • Wu, C.C.1    Emanuel, K.A.2
  • 33
    • 33646413675 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global warming patterns over the North Pacific: ENSO versus AO
    • Yamaguchi, K., and A. Noda, 2006: Global warming patterns over the North Pacific: ENSO versus AO. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 84, 221-241.
    • (2006) J. Meteor. Soc. Japan , vol.84 , pp. 221-241
    • Yamaguchi, K.1    Noda, A.2
  • 35
    • 68049102042 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multimodel projection of global warming impact on tropical cyclone genesis frequency over the western North Pacific
    • Yokoi, S., andY.N. Takayabu, 2009: Multimodel projection of global warming impact on tropical cyclone genesis frequency over the western North Pacific. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 87, 525-538.
    • (2009) J. Meteor. Soc. Japan , vol.87 , pp. 525-538
    • Yokoi, S.1    Takayabu, Y.N.2
  • 36
    • 84874797216 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Attribution of decadal variability in tropical cyclone passage frequency over the western North Pacific: A new approach emphasizing the genesis location of cyclones
    • Yokoi, S., and Y.N. Takayabu, 2013: Attribution of decadal variability in tropical cyclone passage frequency over the western North Pacific: A new approach emphasizing the genesis location of cyclones. J. Climate, 26, 973-987.
    • (2013) J. Climate , vol.26 , pp. 973-987
    • Yokoi, S.1    Takayabu, Y.N.2
  • 37
    • 69249202572 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tropical cyclone genesis frequency over the western North Pacific simulated in mediumresolution coupled general circulation models
    • Yokoi S., Y.N. Takayabu, and J. C. L. Chan, 2009: Tropical cyclone genesis frequency over the western North Pacific simulated in mediumresolution coupled general circulation models. Climate Dyn., 33, 665-683.
    • (2009) Climate Dyn. , vol.33 , pp. 665-683
    • Yokoi, S.1    Takayabu, Y.N.2    Chan, J.C.L.3
  • 38
    • 75749091697 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulations of global hurricane climatology, interannual variability, and response to global warming using a 50-km resolution GCM
    • Zhao, M., I. M. Held, S.-J. Lin, and G. A. Vecchi, 2009: Simulations of global hurricane climatology, interannual variability, and response to global warming using a 50-km resolution GCM. J. Climate, 22, 6653-6678.
    • (2009) J. Climate , vol.22 , pp. 6653-6678
    • Zhao, M.1    Held, I.M.2    Lin, S.J.3    Vecchi, G.A.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.