Simulating the spread of an invasive termite in an urban environment using a stochastic individual-based model

Environmental Entomology

Volumn 42, Issue 3, 2013, Pages 412-423

  Tonini, Francesco ^a   Hochmair, Hartwig H ^a   Scheffrahn, Rudolf H ^a   Deangelis, Donald L ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA   (United States)

^b University of Miami   (United States)

Author keywords

Habitat suitability; Individual based approach; Invasive species; Monte Carlo simulation; Spatial stochastic simulation

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CONDITIONS; INVASIVE SPECIES; MONTE CARLO ANALYSIS; NUMERICAL MODEL; PEST SPECIES; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; STOCHASTICITY; TERMITE; URBAN AREA;

ANIMAL; ANIMAL DISPERSAL; ARTICLE; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; COMPUTER SIMULATION; EVALUATION STUDY; INSECT CONTROL; INTRODUCED SPECIES; ISOPTERA; METHODOLOGY; PHYSIOLOGY; POPULATION DYNAMICS; SENSITIVITY AND SPECIFICITY; STATISTICS; UNITED STATES;

ANIMAL DISTRIBUTION; ANIMALS; COMPUTER SIMULATION; FLORIDA; INSECT CONTROL; INTRODUCED SPECIES; ISOPTERA; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; POPULATION DYNAMICS; SENSITIVITY AND SPECIFICITY; STOCHASTIC PROCESSES;

HEXAPODA; ISOPTERA; NASUTITERMES CORNIGER;

EID: 84878722155     PISSN: 0046225X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1603/EN12325     Document Type: Article

References (47)

1. Adams, E. S., and S. C. Levings. 1987. Territory size and population limits in mangrove termites. J. Anim. Ecol. 56: 1069-1081.
2. Carrasco, L. R., J. D. Mumford, A. MacLeod, T. Harwood, G. Grabenweger, A. W. Leach, J. D. Knight, and R.H.A. Baker. 2010. Unveiling human-assisted dispersal mechanisms in invasive alien insects: Integration of spatial stochastic simulation and phenology models. Ecol. Modell. 221: 2068-2075.
3. Collins, N. M. 1981. Populations, age, structure and survivorship of colonies of Macrotermes bellicosus (Isoptera: Macrotermitinae). J. Anim. Ecol. 50: 293-311.
4. Connétable, S., A. Robert, and C. Bordereau. 2012. Dispersal ßight and colony development in the fungus-growing termites Pseudacanthotermes spiniger and P. militaris. Insectes Soc. 59: 269-277.
5. Darlington, J.P.E.C. 1986. Seasonality in mature nests of the termite Macrotermes michaelseni in Kenya. Insectes Soc. 33: 168-189.
6. Edwards, R., and A. E. Mill. 1986. Termites in buildings: Their biology and control. The Rentokil Library, East Grinstead, UK; 261 pp.
7. Evans, T. A. 2011. Invasive termites, pp. 519-562. In D. E. Bignell et al. (eds), Biology of termites: A modern synthesis. Springer, Dordrecht, the Netherlands.
8. Fisher, R. A. 1937. The wave of advance of advantageous genes. Ann. Eugen. 7: 353-369.
9. Grimm,V., and S. F. Railsback. 2005. Individual-based modeling and ecology. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
10. Grimm, V., U. Berger, F. Bastiansen, S. Eliassen, V. Ginot, J. Giske, J. Goss-Custard, T. Grand, S. K. Heinz, G. Huse, et al. 2006. A standard protocol for describing individual-based and agent-based models. Ecol. Modell. 198: 115-126.
11. Grimm, V., U. Berger, D. L. DeAngelis, J. G. Polhill, J. Giske, and S. F. Railsback. 2010. Theodd protocol: A review and first update. Ecol. Modell. 221: 2760-2768.
12. Hochmair, H. H., and R. H. Scheffrahn. 2010. Spatial association of marine dockage with land-borne infestations of invasive termites (Isoptera: Rhinotermitidae: Coptotermes) in urban South Florida. J. Econ. Entomol. 103: 1338-1346.
13. Hu, J., J.-H. Zhong, and M.-F. Guo. 2007. Alate dispersal distances of the black-winged subterranean termite Odontotermes formosanus (Isopera: Termitidae) in southern China. Sociobiology 50.
14. Husseneder, C., D. M. Simms, and D. R. Ring. 2006. Genetic diversity and genotypic differentiation between the sexes in swarm aggregations decrease inbreeding in the formosan subterranean termite. Insectes Soc. 53: 212-219.
15. Huston, M., D. L. DeAngelis, and W. M. Post. 1988. New computer models unify ecological theory. Bioscience 38: 682-691.
16. Ikehara, S. 1966. Research report. Bull. Arts Sci. Div. 49- 178.
17. Jones, S. C., J. P. La Fage, and R.W.Howard. 1988. Isopteran sex ratios: Phylogenetic trends. Sociobiology 14: 89-156.
18. Keller, L. 1998. Queenlifespan and colony characteristics in ants and termites. Insectes Soc. 45: 235-246.
19. Law, A. M., and W. D. Kelton. 1982. Simulation modelling and analysis. McGraw-Hill, New York.
20. Lee, S. H., P. Bardunias, and N. Y. Su. 2008. Two strategies for optimizing the food encounter rate of termite tunnels simulated by a lattice model. Ecol. Modell. 213: 381-388.
21. Lelis, K. 2006. Broward county surface water. (http://gis. broward.org/GISData.htm).
22. Leong, K.L.H., Y. J. Tamashiro, and N.-Y. Su. 1983. Microenvironmental factors regulating the ßight of Coptotermes formosanus Shiraki in Hawaii (Isoptera: Rhinotermitidae). Proc. Hawaii. Entomol. Soc. 24.
23. Leuthold, R. H., and O. Bruinsma. 1977. Pairing behavior in Hodotermes mossambicus (Isoptera). Psyche 84.
24. Martius, C. 2003. Rainfall and air humidity: Non-linear relationships with termite swarming in amazonia. Amazon 17: 387-397.
25. Messenger, M. T., and A. J. Mullins. 2005. New ßight distance recorded for Coptotermes formosanus (Isoptera: Rhinotermitidae). Fla. Entomol. 88: 99-100.
26. Mill, A. E. 1983. Observations on Brazilian termite alate swarms and some structures used in the dispersal of reproductives (Isoptera: Termitidae). J. Nat. Hist. 17: 309- 320.
27. Morales Ramos, J. A., and M. G. Rojas. 2005. Wood consumption rates of Coptotermes formosanus (Isoptera: Rhinotermitidae): A three-year study using groups of workers and soldiers. Sociobiology 45: 707-719.
28. Neubert, M. G., M. Kot, and M. A. Lewis. 1995. Dispersal and pattern formation in a discrete-time predator-prey model. Theor. Popul. Biol. 48: 7-43.
29. Noirot, C. 1990. Sexual castes and reproductive strategies in termites. In W. Engels (ed), Social insects: An evolutionary approach to castes and reproduction. Springer-Verlag, New York; pp. 5-35.
30. Nutting, W. L. 1969. Flight and colony foundation, pp. 233- 282. In K. Krishna and F. M. Weesner (eds), Biology of termites. Academic, New York.
31. Okubo, A. 1980. Diffusion and ecological problems: Mathematical models. Biomathematics 10: 254.
32. Peterson, A. T., M. A. Ortega-Huerta, J. Bartley, V. Sanchez-Cordero, J. Soberon, R. H. Buddemeier, and D.R.B. Stockwell. 2002. Future projections for Mexican faunas under global climate change scenarios. Nature 416: 626- 629.
33. Pitt, J.P.W. 2008. Modelling the spread of invasive species across heterogeneous landscapes. Lincoln University 1-232.
34. Pitt, J.P.W. 2009. Predicting Argentine ant spread over the heterogeneous landscape using a spatially explicit stochastic model. Ecol. Appl. 19: 1176-1186.
35. Pitt, J.P.W., D. J. Kriticos, and M. B. Dodd. 2011. Temporal limits to simulating the future spread pattern of invasive species: Buddleja davidii in Europe and New Zealand. Ecol. Modell. 222: 1880-1887.
36. R Development Core Team. 2011. A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.
37. Scheffrahn, R. H., P. Busey, J. K. Edwards, J. Krecek, B. Maharajh, and N.-Y. Su. 2001. Chemical prevention of colony foundation by Cryptotermes brevis (Isoptera: Kalotermitidae) in attic modules. J. Econ. Entomol. 94: 915- 919.
38. Scheffrahn, R. H., B. J. Cabrera, W. H. Kern, Jr., and N.-Y. Su. 2002. Nasutitermes costalis (Isoptera: Termitidae) in Florida: First record of a non-endemic establishment by a higher termite. Fla. Entomol. 85: 273-275.
39. Scheffrahn, R. H., and W. Crowe. 2011. Ship-borne termite (Isoptera) border interceptions in Australia and onboard infestations in Florida, 1986-2009. Fla. Entomol. 94: 57- 63.
40. Skellam, J. G. 1951. Random dispersal in theoretical populations. Biometrika 38: 196-218.
41. Steyaert, L. T. 1993. A perspective for studying of environmental simulation, pp. 16-30. In M. F. Goodchild, B. O. Parks, and L. T. Steyaert (eds), Environmental modelling with gis. Oxford University Press, New York.
42. Su, N.-Y., and R. H. Scheffrahn. 1987. Alate production of a field colony of the Formosan subterranean termite (Isoptera: Rhinotermitidae). Sociobiology 13: 209-215.
43. Thorne, B. L. 1982. Termite-termite interactions: Workers as an agonistic caste. Psyche 89: 133-150.
44. Thorne, B. L. 1983. Alate production and sex ratio in colonies of the neotropical termite Nasutiternes corniger (Isoptera: Termitidae). Oecologia 58: 103-109.
45. University of Florida GeoPlan Center. 2010. Generalized land use derived from 2010 parcels - Florida dot district 4. (http://www.fgdl.org).
46. van den Bosch, E., J.A.J. Metz, and O. Diekmann. 1990. J. Math. Biol. 28: 529-565.
47. Wiegand, T., E. Revilla, and F. Knauer. 2004. Dealing with uncertainty in spatially explicit population models. Biodivers. Conserv. 13: 53-78.