Trends in hourly rainfall statistics in the United States under a warming climate

Nature Climate Change

Volumn 3, Issue 6, 2013, Pages 577-580

  Muschinski, T ^a   Katz, J I ^a,b  

^a WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATOLOGY; DATA SET; EXTREME EVENT; GREENHOUSE GAS; HUMAN ACTIVITY; RAINFALL; REGIONAL CLIMATE; TEMPORAL ANALYSIS; TREND ANALYSIS; WARMING; WEATHER STATION;

OLYMPIC PENINSULA; UNITED STATES; WASHINGTON [UNITED STATES];

EID: 84878612623     PISSN: 1758678X     EISSN: 17586798     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1828     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. Jones, P. D. & Moberg, A. Hemispheric and large-scale surface air temperature variations: An extensive revision and an update to 2001. J. Clim. 16, 206-223 (2003). (Pubitemid 37164442)
2. Menne, M. J. & Williams, C. N. Detection of undocumented change points using multiple test statistics and reference series. J. Clim. 18, 4271-4286 (2005). (Pubitemid 41701408)
3. Trenberth, K. E. et al. in IPCC Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis (eds Solomon, S et al.) 235-336 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2007).
4. Hansen, J., Ruedy, R., Sato, S. & Lo, K. Global surface temperature change. Rev. Geophys. 48, RG4004 (2010).
5. Rohde, R. et al. A new estimate of the average Earth surface land temperature spanning 1753 to 2011. Geoinfor. Geostat.: An Overview 1, http://dx.doi.org/10. 4172/gigs.1000101 (2012).
6. IPCC Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability (eds Parry, M. L., Canziani, O. F., Palutikof, J. P., van der Linden, P. J., Hanson, C. E.) (Cambridge Univ. Press 2007).
7. IPCC Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (eds Field, C. B. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2007).
8. Coumou, D. & Rahmstorf, S. A decade of weather extremes. Nature Clim. Change 2, 491-496 (2012).
9. Groisman, P. Ya. et al. Trends in intense precipitation in the climate record. J. Clim. 18, 1326-1350 (2005).
10. Alexander, L. V. et al. Global observed changes in daily climatic extremes of temperature and precipitation. J. Geophys. Res. 111, D05109 (2006).
11. Min, S. K., Zhang, X., Zwiers, F. W. & Hegerl, G. C. Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes. Nature 470, 378-381 (2011).
12. Utsumi, N., Seto, S., Kanae, S., Maeda, E. E. & Oki, T. Does higher surface temperature intensify extreme precipitation? Geophys. Res. Lett. 38, L16708 (2011).
13. Groisman, P. Ya., Knight, R. W. & Karl, T. R. Changes in intense precipitation over the Central US. J. Hydrometeorol. 13, 47-66 (2012).
14. Epstein, B. Statistical aspects of fracture problems. J. Appl. Phys. 19, 140-147 (1948).
15. Johnson, L. G. The Statistical Treatment of Fatigue Experiments (Elsevier, 1964).
16. Doremus, R. H. Fracture statistics: A comparison of the normal, Weibull and Type I extreme value distributions. J. Appl. Phys. 54, 193-198 (1983). (Pubitemid 13486906)
17. Katz, J. I. Statistics and microphysics of the fracture of glass. J. Appl. Phys. 84, 1928-1931 (1998). (Pubitemid 128586132)
18. Katz, J. I. Atomistics of tensile failure in fused silica: Weakest link models revisited. SPIE 3848, 2-10 (1999). (Pubitemid 30547838)
19. Lenderink, G. & van Meijgaard, E. Increase in hourly precipitation extremes beyond expectations from temperature changes. Nature Geosci. 1, 511-515 (2008).
20. Wong, M. C., Mok, H. Y. & Lee, T. C. Observed changes in extreme weather indices in Hong Kong. Int. J. Climatol. 31, 2300-2311 (2010).
21. Lenderink, G., Mok, H. Y., Lee, T. C. & van Oldenborgh, G. J. Scaling and trends of hourly precipitation extremes in two different climate zones-Hong Kong and the Netherlands. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 15, 3033-3041 (2011).
22. Von Storch, H. & Zwiers, F. W. Statistical Analysis in Climate Research (Cambridge Univ. Press, 1999).
23. Pali, P. et al. Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to flood risk in England and Wales in autumn 2000. Nature 470, 382-385 (2011).
24. NOAA US Hourly Precipitation Data http://ols.nndc.noaa.gov/plolstore/ plsql/ olstore.prodspecific?prodnum=5008 (2011).
25. Mandelbrot, B. B. & Wallis, J. R. Some long-run properties of geophysical records. Water Resour. Res. 5, 321-340 (1969).
26. Hasselmann, K. Stochastic climate models Part I. Theory. Tellus 28, 473-485 (1976).
27. Mantua, N. J., Hare, S. R., Zhang, Y., Wallace, J. M. & Francis, R. C. A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 78, 1069-1079 (1997).
28. Pelletier, J. D. The power spectral density of atmospheric temperature from time scales of 102 to 106 yr. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 158, 157-164 (1998). (Pubitemid 28431413)
29. Manuta, N. J. & Hare, S. R. The Pacific decadal oscillation. J. Oceanogr. 58, 35-44 (2002). (Pubitemid 34609349)
30. Allen, M. R. & Ingram, W. J. Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrological cycle. Nature 419, 224-232 (2002); erratum Nature 489, 590 (2012) .