Mixed responses of tropical Pacific fisheries and aquaculture to climate change

Nature Climate Change

Volumn 3, Issue 6, 2013, Pages 591-599

  Bell, Johann D ^a   Ganachaud, Alexandre ^b,c   Gehrke, Peter C ^d   Griffiths, Shane P ^e   Hobday, Alistair J ^e   Hoegh Guldberg, Ove ^f   Johnson, Johanna E ^g   Le Borgne, Robert ^b   Lehodey, Patrick ^h   Lough, Janice M ⁱ   Matear, Richard J ^e   Pickering, Timothy D ^j   Pratchett, Morgan S ^k   Gupta, Alex Sen ^l   Senina, Inna ^h   Waycott, Michelle ^m,n  

^a SECRETARIAT OF THE PACIFIC COMMUNITY   (New Caledonia)

^b INSTITUT DE RECHERCHE POUR LE DÉVELOPPEMENT   (New Caledonia)

^c LEGOS   (France)

^d Level 6   (Australia)

^e CSIRO   (Australia)

^f UNIVERSITY OF QUEENSLAND   (Australia)

^g SOUTHERN CROSS UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

^h CLS   (France)

ⁱ AUSTRALIAN INSTITUTE OF MARINE SCIENCE   (Australia)

^j Fisheries Aquaculture and Marine Ecosystems Division   (Fiji)

^k JAMES COOK UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

^l UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES   (Australia)

^m UNIVERSITY OF ADELAIDE   (Australia)

ⁿ State Herbarium of South Australia   (Australia)

more..

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AIR-SEA INTERACTION; AQUACULTURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CORAL REEF; FISHERY MODELING; FISHERY PRODUCTION; NATURE-SOCIETY RELATIONS; SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT;

PACIFIC ISLANDS; PACIFIC OCEAN; PACIFIC OCEAN (TROPICAL);

ANTHOZOA; SCOMBRIDAE;

EID: 84878524465     PISSN: 1758678X     EISSN: 17586798     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1838     Document Type: Article

References (50)

1. Gillett, R. Fisheries in the Economies of Pacific Island Countries and Territories (Pacific Studies Series, Asian Development Bank, 2009).
2. Bell, J. D. et al. Planning the use of fish for food security in the Pacific. Mar. Pol. 33, 64-76 (2009).
3. Pinca, S. et al. Regional Assessment Report: Profiles and Results from Survey Work at 63 Sites Across 17 Pacific Island Countries and Territories (Secretariat of the Pacific Community, 2010).
4. Ponia, B. A Review of Aquaculture in the Pacific Islands 1998-2007: Tracking a Decade of Progress Through Official and Provisional Statistics (Secretariat of the Pacific Community, 2010).
5. Smith, P. T. Aquaculture in Papua New Guinea: Status of Freshwater Fish Farming ACIAR Monograph 125 (Australian Centre for International Agricultural Research, 2007).
6. Gillett, R. & Cartwright, I. The Future of Pacific Island Fisheries (Secretariat of the Pacific Community, 2010).
7. Murawski, S. A. Summing up Sendai: Progress integrating climate change science and fisheries. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 68, 1368-1372 (2011).
8. IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (eds Nakicenovic, N. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2000).
9. Bell, J. D., Johnson, J. E. & Hobday, A. J. (eds) Vulnerability of Tropical Pacific Fisheries and Aquaculture to Climate Change (Secretariat of the Pacific Community, 2011).
10. Durack, P. J., Wijffels, S. E. & Matear, R. J. Ocean salinities reveal strong global water cycle intensification during 1950 to 2000. Science 336, 455-458 (2012).
11. Cravatte, S., Delcroix, T., Zhang, D., McPhaden, M. & Leloup, J. Observed freshening and warming of the western Pacific warm pool. Clim. Dynam. 33, 565-589 (2009).
12. Brown, J. R. et al. Evaluation of the South Pacific convergence zone in IPCC AR4 climate model simulations of the twentieth century. J. Clim. 24, 1565-1582 (2010).
13. Brown, J. N. et al. Implications of CMIP3 model biases and uncertainties for climate projections in the western Tropical Pacific. Climatic Change http://dx. doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0603-5 (2012).
14. Xie, S. P. et al. Global warming pattern formation: Sea surface temperature and rainfall. J. Clim. 23, 966-986 (2010).
15. Climate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research Vol. 1 (Australian Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO, 2011).
16. Collins, M. et al. The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Nino. Nature Geosci. 3, 391-397 (2010).
17. Cia, W. et al. More extreme swings of the South Pacific convergence zone due to greenhouse warming. Nature 488, 365-369 (2012).
18. Ganachaud, A. et al. Projected changes in the tropical Pacific Ocean of importance to tuna fisheries. Climatic Change http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/ s10584-012-0631-1 (2012).
19. Sen Gupta, A., Ganachaud, A., McGregor, S., Brown, J. N. & Muir, L. Drivers of the projected changes to the Pacific Ocean equatorial circulation. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39, L09605 (2012).
20. Karnauskas, K. B. & Cohen, A. L. Equatorial refuge amid tropical warming. Nature Clim. Change 2, 530-534 (2012).
21. Orr, J. C. et al. Anthropogenic ocean acidification over the twenty-first century and its impact on calcifying organisms. Nature 437, 681-686 (2005). (Pubitemid 41486531)
22. IPCC Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis (eds Solomon, S. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2007).
23. Vermeer, M. & Rahmstorf, S. Global sea level linked to global temperature. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 106, 21527-21532 (2009).
24. Longhurst, A. R. Ecological Geography of the Sea (Academic, 2006).
25. Lehodey, P., Bertignac, M., Hampton, J., Lewis, A.&Picaut, J. El Nino-Southern Oscillation and tuna in the western Pacific. Nature 389, 715-718 (1997). (Pubitemid 27458955)
26. Lehodey, P., Senina, I & Murtugudde, R. A spatial ecosystem and population dynamics model (SEAPODYM)-modelling of tuna and tuna-like populations. Prog. Oceanogr. 78, 304-318 (2008).
27. Lehodey, P., Senina, I., Calmettes, B., Hampton, J. & Nicol, S. Modelling the impact of climate change on Pacific skipjack tuna population and fisheries. Climatic Change http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0595-1 (2012).
28. Hoegh-Guldberg, O. et al. Coral reefs under rapid climate change and ocean acidification. Science 318, 1737-1742 (2007).
29. Bruno, J. F. & Selig, E. R. Regional decline of coral cover in the Indo-Pacific: Timing, extent, and subregional comparisons. PLoS ONE 2, 1-8 (2007).
30. Ellison, J. C. Wetlands of the Pacific Island region. Wetl. Ecol. Manag. 17, 169-206 (2009).
31. Cochrane, K. L., Andrew, N. L. & Parma, A. M. Primary fisheries management: A minimum requirement for provision of sustainable human benefits in small-scale fisheries. Fish Fish. 12, 275-288 (2011).
32. Pomeroy, R. S. & Andrew, N. L. (eds) Small-scale Fisheries Management: Frameworks and Approaches for the Developing World (CABI, 2011).
33. Nilsson, G. E. et al. Near-future CO2 levels alter fish behaviour by interference with neurotransmitter function. Nature Clim. Change 2, 201-204 (2012).
34. Cheung, W. W. L. et al. Shrinking of fishes exacerbates impacts of global ocean changes on marine ecosystems. Nature Clim. Change 3, 254-258 (2013).
35. Palmer, M. A. et al. Climate change and the world's river basins: Anticipating management options. Front. Ecol. Environ. 6, 81-89 (2008). (Pubitemid 351342591)
36. Clapcott, J. E. et al. Quantifying relationships between land-use gradients and structural and functional indicators of stream ecological integrity. Freshwat. Biol. 57, 74-90 (2012).
37. Patra, R. W., Chapman, J. C., Lim, R. P. & Gehrke, P. C. The effects of three organic chemicals on the upper thermal tolerances of four freshwater fishes. Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 26, 1454-1459 (2007). (Pubitemid 47067327)
38. Southgate, P. C. & Lucas, J. S. The Pearl Oyster (Elsevier, 2008).
39. Welladsen, H. M., Southgate, P. C. & Heimann, K. The effects of exposure to near-future levels of ocean acidification on shell characteristics of Pinctada fucata (Bivalvia: Pteriidae). Molluscan Res. 30, 125-130 (2010).
40. Della Patrona, L., Beliaeff, B. & Pickering, T. Mitigation of sea-level rise effects by addition of sediment to shrimp ponds. Aquacult. Environ. Interact. 2, 27-38 (2011).
41. Newton, K., Cote, I. M., Pilling, G. M., Jennings, S. & Dulvy, N.K. Current and future sustainability of island coral reef fisheries. Curr. Biol. 17, 1-4 (2007).
42. Aqorau, T. Recent developments in Pacific tuna fisheries: The Palau Arrangement and the vessel day scheme. Int. J. Mar. Coast. Law 24, 557-581 (2009).
43. Fish Aggregating Devices SPC Policy Brief 19/2012 (Secretariat of the Pacific Community, 2012).
44. Parker, L. M., Ross, P. M. & O'Connor, W. A. Populations of the Sydney rock oyster, Saccostrea glomerata, vary in response to ocean acidification. Mar. Biol. 158, 689-697 (2011).
45. Sunda, W. G. & Huntsman, S. A. Interrelated influence of iron, light and cell size on marine phytoplankton growth. Nature 390, 389-392 (1997). (Pubitemid 28027316)
46. Rice, J. C. & Garcia, S. M. Fisheries, food security, climate change and biodiversity: Characteristics of the sector and perspectives on emerging issues. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 68, 1343-1353 (2011).
47. Cicin-Sain, B. & Knecht, R. Integrated Coastal and Ocean Management: Concepts and Practices (Island Press, 1998).
48. Meehl, G. et al. The WCRP CMIP3 multimodel dataset: A new era in climate change research. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 88, 1383-1394 (2007). (Pubitemid 47616759)
49. El-Sayed, A-F. M. Tilapia Culture (Centre for Agricultural Bioscience International Publishing, 2006).
50. Grafton, R. Q. Adaptation to climate change in marine capture fisheries. Mar. Pol. 34, 606-615 (2010).