메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 55, Issue 2, 2013, Pages 564-575

Simulation modeling for pandemic decision making: A case study with bi-criteria analysis on school closures

Author keywords

Decision analysis; Pandemic influenza preparedness; School closure; Simulation modeling

Indexed keywords

DECISION ANALYSIS TOOL; DESIGN AND EVALUATIONS; EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATIONS; PANDEMIC INFLUENZA; PREPAREDNESS AND RESPONSE; SCHOOL CLOSURE; SIMULATION-MODELING; WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION;

EID: 84878246650     PISSN: 01679236     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.dss.2012.10.013     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (34)

References (44)
  • 2
    • 79955115194 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simulation model for policy decision analysis: A case of pandemic influenza on a university campus
    • O.M. Araz, T. Lant, J.W. Fowler, and M. Jehn A simulation model for policy decision analysis: a case of pandemic influenza on a university campus Journal of Simulation 5 2011 89 100
    • (2011) Journal of Simulation , vol.5 , pp. 89-100
    • Araz, O.M.1    Lant, T.2    Fowler, J.W.3    Jehn, M.4
  • 6
    • 33745626761 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transmission dynamics of the great influenza pandemic of 1918 in Geneva, Switzerland: Assessing the effects of the hypothetical interventions
    • G. Chowell, C.E. Ammon, N.W. Hengartner, and J.M. Hyman Transmission dynamics of the great influenza pandemic of 1918 in Geneva, Switzerland: assessing the effects of the hypothetical interventions Journal of Theoretical Biology 241 2006 193 204
    • (2006) Journal of Theoretical Biology , vol.241 , pp. 193-204
    • Chowell, G.1    Ammon, C.E.2    Hengartner, N.W.3    Hyman, J.M.4
  • 7
    • 34250736283 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Designing and conducting tabletop exercises to assess public health preparedness for manmade and naturally occurring biological threats
    • D.J. Dausey, J.W. Buehler, and N. Lurie Designing and conducting tabletop exercises to assess public health preparedness for manmade and naturally occurring biological threats BMC Public Health 7 2007 92
    • (2007) BMC Public Health , vol.7 , pp. 92
    • Dausey, D.J.1    Buehler, J.W.2    Lurie, N.3
  • 15
    • 71049139389 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling mitigation strategies for pandemic (H1N1) 2009
    • M.Z. Gojovic, B. Sander, D. Fisman, M.D. Krahn, and C.T. Bauch Modeling mitigation strategies for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 CMAJ 181 10 2009 673 677
    • (2009) CMAJ , vol.181 , Issue.10 , pp. 673-677
    • Gojovic, M.Z.1    Sander, B.2    Fisman, D.3    Krahn, M.D.4    Bauch, C.T.5
  • 16
    • 0242301057 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the impact of airline travel on the geographic spread of pandemic influenza
    • R.F. Grais, J.H. Ellis, and G.E. Glass Assessing the impact of airline travel on the geographic spread of pandemic influenza European Journal of Epidemiology 18 11 2003 1065 1072
    • (2003) European Journal of Epidemiology , vol.18 , Issue.11 , pp. 1065-1072
    • Grais, R.F.1    Ellis, J.H.2    Glass, G.E.3
  • 17
    • 2642580090 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the spread of annual influenza epidemics in the US: The potential role of the air travel
    • R.F. Grais, J.H. Ellis, A. Kress, and G.E. Glass Modeling the spread of annual influenza epidemics in the US: the potential role of the air travel Healthcare Management Science 7 2004 127 134
    • (2004) Healthcare Management Science , vol.7 , pp. 127-134
    • Grais, R.F.1    Ellis, J.H.2    Kress, A.3    Glass, G.E.4
  • 18
    • 77954873490 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Developing guidelines for school closure interventions to be used during a future influenza pandemic
    • N. Halder, J.K. Kelso, and G.J. Milne Developing guidelines for school closure interventions to be used during a future influenza pandemic BMC Infectious Diseases 10 2010 221
    • (2010) BMC Infectious Diseases , vol.10 , pp. 221
    • Halder, N.1    Kelso, J.K.2    Milne, G.J.3
  • 19
    • 73449139433 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating the impact of school closure on social mixing behavior and the transmission of close contact infections in eight European countries
    • N. Hens, G.M. Ayele, N. Goeyvaerts, M. Aerts, J. Mossong, J.W. Edmunds, and P. Beutels Estimating the impact of school closure on social mixing behavior and the transmission of close contact infections in eight European countries BMC Infectious Diseases 9 2009 187
    • (2009) BMC Infectious Diseases , vol.9 , pp. 187
    • Hens, N.1    Ayele, G.M.2    Goeyvaerts, N.3    Aerts, M.4    Mossong, J.5    Edmunds, J.W.6    Beutels, P.7
  • 20
    • 65649098396 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation suggests that rapid activation of social distancing can arrest epidemic development due to a novel strain of influenza
    • J.K. Kelso, G.J. Milne, and H. Kelly Simulation suggests that rapid activation of social distancing can arrest epidemic development due to a novel strain of influenza BMC Public Health 9 2009 117
    • (2009) BMC Public Health , vol.9 , pp. 117
    • Kelso, J.K.1    Milne, G.J.2    Kelly, H.3
  • 23
    • 79959375280 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic cost and health care workforce effects of school closures in the US
    • H. Lempel, R.A. Hammond, and J.M. Epstein Economic cost and health care workforce effects of school closures in the US PLoS Current Influenza October 5 2009 RRN1051
    • (2009) PLoS Current Influenza , pp. 1051
    • Lempel, H.1    Hammond, R.A.2    Epstein, J.M.3
  • 25
    • 58049215469 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A small community model for the transmission of infectious diseases: Comparison of school closure as an intervention in individual-based models of an influenza pandemic
    • 10.1371/journal.pone.0004005
    • G.J. Milne, J.K. Kelso, H.A. Kelly, S.T. Huband, and J. McVernon A small community model for the transmission of infectious diseases: comparison of school closure as an intervention in individual-based models of an influenza pandemic PLoS One 3 12 2008 e4005 10.1371/journal.pone.0004005
    • (2008) PLoS One , vol.3 , Issue.12 , pp. 4005
    • Milne, G.J.1    Kelso, J.K.2    Kelly, H.A.3    Huband, S.T.4    McVernon, J.5
  • 26
    • 47649126774 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pandemic simulation of antivirals + school closures: Buying time until strain-specific vaccine is available
    • S.M. Mniszewski, S.Y. Del Valle, P.D. Stroud, J.M. Riese, and S.J. Sydoriak Pandemic simulation of antivirals + school closures: buying time until strain-specific vaccine is available Comput Math Organ Theory 14 2008 209 221
    • (2008) Comput Math Organ Theory , vol.14 , pp. 209-221
    • Mniszewski, S.M.1    Del Valle, S.Y.2    Stroud, P.D.3    Riese, J.M.4    Sydoriak, S.J.5
  • 27
    • 56249104753 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Living with influenza: Impacts of government imposed and voluntarily selected interventions
    • K.R. Nigmatulina, and R.C. Larson Living with influenza: impacts of government imposed and voluntarily selected interventions European Journal of Operational Research 195 2009 613 627
    • (2009) European Journal of Operational Research , vol.195 , pp. 613-627
    • Nigmatulina, K.R.1    Larson, R.C.2
  • 28
    • 73649145881 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Health outcomes and cost of community mitigation strategies for an influenza pandemic in the United States
    • D.J. Perlroth, R.J. Glass, V.J. Davey, D. Cannon, A.M. Garber, and D.K. Owens Health outcomes and cost of community mitigation strategies for an influenza pandemic in the United States Clinical Infectious Diseases 50 2 2010 165 174
    • (2010) Clinical Infectious Diseases , vol.50 , Issue.2 , pp. 165-174
    • Perlroth, D.J.1    Glass, R.J.2    Davey, V.J.3    Cannon, D.4    Garber, A.M.5    Owens, D.K.6
  • 29
    • 84878239482 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Powersim Software AS http://www.powersim.com 2003
    • (2003)
    • Software As, P.1
  • 30
    • 0022394032 scopus 로고
    • A mathematical model for the global spread of influenza
    • L. Rvachev, and I.M. Longini A mathematical model for the global spread of influenza Mathematical Biosciences 75 1985 3 22
    • (1985) Mathematical Biosciences , vol.75 , pp. 3-22
    • Rvachev, L.1    Longini, I.M.2
  • 31
    • 0000099291 scopus 로고
    • A mathematical model for predicting the geographic spread of new infectious agents
    • I.M. Longini A mathematical model for predicting the geographic spread of new infectious agents Mathematical Biosciences 90 1988 367 383
    • (1988) Mathematical Biosciences , vol.90 , pp. 367-383
    • Longini, I.M.1
  • 32
    • 43549101123 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating the costs of school closure for mitigating an influenza pandemic
    • M.Z. Sadique, E.J. Adams, and W.J. Edmunds Estimating the costs of school closure for mitigating an influenza pandemic BMC Public Health 8 2008 15
    • (2008) BMC Public Health , vol.8 , pp. 15
    • Sadique, M.Z.1    Adams, E.J.2    Edmunds, W.J.3
  • 33
    • 60349094121 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic evaluation of influenza pandemic mitigation strategies in the United States using a stochastic microsimulation transmission model
    • B. Sander, M.B.A. MecDev, A. Nizam, L.P. Garisson, M.J. Postma, M.E. Halloran, and I.M. Longini Economic evaluation of influenza pandemic mitigation strategies in the United States using a stochastic microsimulation transmission model Value in Health 12 2009 226 233
    • (2009) Value in Health , vol.12 , pp. 226-233
    • Sander, B.1    Mecdev, M.B.A.2    Nizam, A.3    Garisson, L.P.4    Postma, M.J.5    Halloran, M.E.6    Longini, I.M.7
  • 35
    • 71749084118 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The economy-wide impact of pandemic influenza on the UK: A computable general equilibrium modelling experiment
    • R.D. Smith, M.R. Keogh-Brown, T. Barnett, and J. Tait The economy-wide impact of pandemic influenza on the UK: a computable general equilibrium modelling experiment BMJ 339 2009 b4571
    • (2009) BMJ , vol.339 , pp. 4571
    • Smith, R.D.1    Keogh-Brown, M.R.2    Barnett, T.3    Tait, J.4
  • 37
    • 84878236561 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ThinkTank
    • ThinkTank GroupSystems http://www.groupsystems.com/ 2009
    • (2009) GroupSystems
  • 38
    • 84878241660 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • U.S. Census Data
    • U.S. Census Data www.census.gov/main/www/cen2000.html 2000
    • (2000)
  • 39
    • 33750896281 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using data on social contacts to estimate age specific transmission parameters for respiratory-spread infectious agents
    • J. Wallinga, P. Teunis, and M. Kretzschmar Using data on social contacts to estimate age specific transmission parameters for respiratory-spread infectious agents American Journal of Epidemiology 164 2006 936 944
    • (2006) American Journal of Epidemiology , vol.164 , pp. 936-944
    • Wallinga, J.1    Teunis, P.2    Kretzschmar, M.3
  • 40
    • 79951525155 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Influence of school closure on the incidence of influenza among school-age children in Arizona
    • C. Wheeler, L. Erhart, and M.L. Jehn Influence of school closure on the incidence of influenza among school-age children in Arizona Public Health Report 125 6 2010 851 859
    • (2010) Public Health Report , vol.125 , Issue.6 , pp. 851-859
    • Wheeler, C.1    Erhart, L.2    Jehn, M.L.3
  • 42
    • 33749039988 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reducing the impact of the next influenza pandemic using the household-based public interventions
    • J.T. Wu, S. Riley, C. Fraser, and G.M. Leung Reducing the impact of the next influenza pandemic using the household-based public interventions PLoS Medicine 3 9 2006 1532 1540
    • (2006) PLoS Medicine , vol.3 , Issue.9 , pp. 1532-1540
    • Wu, J.T.1    Riley, S.2    Fraser, C.3    Leung, G.M.4
  • 43
    • 56049123151 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transportation security decision support system for emergency response: A training prototype
    • S.W. Yoon, J.D. Velasquez, B.K. Partridge, and S.Y. Nof Transportation security decision support system for emergency response: a training prototype Decision Support Systems 46 2008 139 148
    • (2008) Decision Support Systems , vol.46 , pp. 139-148
    • Yoon, S.W.1    Velasquez, J.D.2    Partridge, B.K.3    Nof, S.Y.4
  • 44
    • 70350564445 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Automatic online news monitoring and classification for syndromic surveillance
    • Y. Zhang, Y. Dang, H. Chen, M. Thurmond, and C. Larson Automatic online news monitoring and classification for syndromic surveillance Decision Support Systems 47 2009 508 517
    • (2009) Decision Support Systems , vol.47 , pp. 508-517
    • Zhang, Y.1    Dang, Y.2    Chen, H.3    Thurmond, M.4    Larson, C.5


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.