Structural damage prediction in a high-velocity urban dam-break flood: Field-scale assessment of predictive skill

Journal of Engineering Mechanics

Volumn 138, Issue 10, 2012, Pages 1249-1262

  Gallegos, Humberto A ^a   Schubert, Jochen E ^b   Sanders, Brett F ^b  

^a East Los Angeles College   (United States)

^b Irvine   (United States)

Author keywords

Dam break flood; LiDAR; Predictive skill; Structural damage; Uncertainty; Urban flooding

Indexed keywords

DAM-BREAKS; PREDICTIVE SKILL; STRUCTURAL DAMAGES; UNCERTAINTY; URBAN FLOODING;

ALARM SYSTEMS; ERRORS; FAILURE (MECHANICAL); FLOOD CONTROL; FORECASTING; FRACTURE MECHANICS; HYDRAULIC MODELS; OPTICAL RADAR; SAFETY ENGINEERING; STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS; STRUCTURAL INTEGRITY; VELOCITY;

FLOODS;

DAM; DAMAGE MECHANICS; DISCHARGE; FLOOD; FLOW VELOCITY; HYDRAULICS; LIDAR; PREDICTION; RISK ASSESSMENT; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; URBAN AREA;

EID: 84877663241     PISSN: 07339399     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)EM.1943-7889.0000427     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Apel,H., Aronica, G. T.,Kreibich, H., and Thieken, A. H. (2009). "Flood risk analyses-How detailed do we need to be?" Nat. Hazards, 49(1), 79-98.
2. Aronica, G. T., and Lanza, L. (2005). "Drainage efficiency in urban areas: A case study." Hydrolog. Process., 19(5), 1105-1119.
3. Baldwin, M., and Kain, J. (2006). "Sensitivity of several performance measures to displacement error, bias and event frequency." Weather Forecast., 21(4), 636-648.
4. Begnudelli, L., and Sanders, B. F. (2006). "Unstructured grid finite-volume algorithm for shallow-water flow and scalar transport with wetting and drying." J. Hydraul. Eng., 132(4), 371-384.
5. Begnudelli, L., Sanders, B. F., and Bradford, S. F. (2008). "Adaptive Godunovbased model for flood simulation." J. Hydraul. Eng., 134(6), 714-725.
6. Black, R. (1975). "Flood proofing rural residences." A Project Agnes Rep., Pennsylvania, Economic Development Administration,Washington, DC.
7. Brown, J. D., Spencer, T., and Moeller, I. (2007). "Modeling storm surge flooding of an urban area with particular reference to modeling uncertainties: A case study of Canvey Island, United Kingdom." Water Resour. Res., 43, W06402.
8. CH2M Hill. (1974). Potential flood damages, Willamette River system, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Portland, OR.
9. Chow, V.-T. (1959). Open-channel hydraulics, McGraw Hill, New York.
10. Clausen, L. (1989). "Potential dam failure: Estimation of consequences and implications for planning." M.S. thesis, School of Geography and Planning, Middlesex Polytechnic, Middlesex, London.
11. Clausen, L., and Clark, P. (1990). "The development of criteria for predicting dambreak flood damages using modeling of historical dam failures." Proc., Int. Conf. on River Flood Hydraulics, W. White, ed., Wiley, Chichester, U.K, 369-380.
12. Dale, K., Edwards, M., Middelmann, M., and Zoppou, C. (2004). "Structural flood vulnerability and the Australianisation of Black's curves." Proc., Risk Conf., Risk Engineering Society, Barton, Australia.
13. Doswell, C., Davies-Jones, R., and Keller, D. (1990). "On summary measures of skill in rare event forecasting based on contingency tables." Weather Forecast., 5(4), 576-585.
14. Ernst, J., Dewals, B. J., Detrembleur, S., Archambeau, P., Erpicum, S., and Pirotton, M. (2010). "Micro-scale flood risk analysis based on detailed 2D hydraulic modelling and high resolution geographic data." Nat. Hazards, 55(2), 181-209.
15. FEMA. (2009). "Multi-hazard loss estimation methodology: Flood model." HAZUS-MH MR4 technical manual, FEMA, Washington, DC.
16. Fewtrell, T. J., Duncan, A., Sampson, C. C., Neal, J. C., and Bates, P. D. (2011). "Benchmarking urban flood models of varying complexity and scale using high resolution terrestrial LiDAR data." Phys. Chem. Earth, 36(7-8), 281-291.
17. Gallegos,H.A., Schubert, J.E., andSanders,B.F. (2009). "Two-dimensional, high-resolution modeling of urban dam-break flooding: A case study of Baldwin Hills, California." Adv. Water Resour., 32(8), 1323-1335.
18. Hydraulic Engineering Center (HEC). (2008). HEC-FDA flood damage reduction analysis, version 1.2.4, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Institute for Water Resources, Hydraulic Engineering Center, Davis, CA.
19. Hunter, N. M., et al. (2008). "Benchmarking 2D hydraulic models for urban flooding." Proc. ICE Water Manage., 161(1), 13-30.
20. Interagency Committee on Dam Safety (ICDS). (1998). Federal guidelines for dam safety, emergency action planning for dam owners, Federal Emergency Management Agency, U.S. Dept. of Homeland Security, Washington, DC.
21. Kelman, I., and Spence, R. (2003). "A flood failure flowchart for buildings." Proc. ICE Municipal Eng., 156(3), 207-214.
22. Kelman, I., and Spence, R. (2004). "An overview of flood actions on buildings." Eng. Geol., 73(3-4), 297-309.
23. Kreibich, H., et al. (2009). "Is flow velocity a significant parameter in flood damage modelling?" Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 9(5), 1679-1692.
24. Kreibich, H., Seifert, I., Merz, B., and Thieken, A. H. (2010). "Development of FLEMOcs-A new model for the estimation of flood losses in the commercial sector." Hydrol. Sci. J., 55(8), 1302-1314.
25. McBean, E. A., Gorrie, J., Fortin, M., Ding, J., and Moulton, R. (1988a). "Adjustment factors for flood damage curves." J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage., 114(6), 635-646.
26. McBean, E. A., Gorrie, J., Fortin, M., Ding, J., and Moulton, R. (1988b). "Flood depth damage curves by interview survey." J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage., 114(6), 613-634.
27. Merz, B., Kreibich, H., Schwarze, R., and Thieken, A. (2010). "Review article 'assessment of economic flood damage'." Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 10(8), 1697-1724.
28. Middelmann-Fernandes, M. H. (2010). "Flood damage estimation beyond stage-damage functions: An Australian example." J. Flood Risk Manage., 3(1), 88-96.
29. Multihazard Mitigation Council (MMC). (2005). Natural hazard mitigation saves: An independent study to assess the future savings from mitigation activities, National Institute of Building Sciences, Washington, DC.
30. RESCDAM. (2000). "The use of physical models in dam break flood analysis." Final Rep., Helsinki Univ. of Technology, Helsinki, Finland.
31. Samuels, P., Klijn, F., and Dijkman, J. (2006). "An analysis of the current practice of policies on river flood risk management in different countries." Irrig. Drain., 55(1), S141-S150.
32. Sanders, B. F. (2008). "Integration of a shallow water model with a local time step." J. Hydraul. Res., 46(4), 466-475.
33. Sanders, B. F., Schubert, J. E., and Gallegos, H. A. (2008). "Integral formulation of shallow-water equations with anisotropic porosity for urban flood modeling." J. Hydrol., 362(1-2), 19-38.
34. Schubert, J. E., and Sanders, B. F. (2012). "Building treatments for urban flood inundation models and implications for predictive skill and modeling efficiency." Adv. Water Resour., 41, 49-64.
35. Schubert, J. E., Sanders, B. F., Smith, M. J., and Wright, N. G. (2008). "Unstructured mesh generation and landcover-based resistance for hydrodynamic modeling of urban flooding." Adv. Water Resour., 31(12), 1603-1621.
36. Shewchuk, J. R. (1996). "Triangle: Engineering a 2Dquality mesh generator and delaunay triangulator." Applied computational geometry: Towards geometric engineering, Vol. 1148, M. C. Lin and D. Manocha, eds., Springer, Berlin, 203-222.
37. Silva, R., et al. (2009). "The cost of rehabilitating our nation's dams." Rep., Association of State Dam Safety Officials, Lexington, KY.
38. Smith, D. I. (1994). "Flood damage estimation-A review of urban stage-damage curves and loss functions." Water SA, 20(3), 231-238.
39. Soares-Frazao, S., Lhomme, J., Guinot, V., and Zech, Y. (2008). "Twodimensional shallow-water model with porosity for urban flood modelling." J. Hydraul. Res., 46(1), 45-64.
40. Tsubaki, R., and Fujita, I. (2010). "Unstructured grid generation using LiDAR data for urban flood inundation modelling." Hydrolog. Process., 24(11), 1404-1420.
41. U.S.Army Corps of Engineers (USACE). (1964). "Report on flood damage and disaster assistance." Rep., USACE, Los Angeles.
42. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE). (1981). "Interim guidelines for estimating n values of flood plains." Rep., USACE, Los Angeles.
43. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE). (1985). "Business depth-damage analysis procedures." Research Rep. 85-R-5, Institute for Water Resources, USACE, Alexandria, VA.
44. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE). (1996). "Risk-based analysis for flood damage reduction studies." Rep., USACE, Washington, DC.
45. Yu, D., and Lane, S. N. (2006). "Urban fluvial flood modeling using a twodimensional diffusive-wave treatment, Part 2: Development of a sub-grid scale treatment." Hydrolog. Process., 20(7), 1567-1583.