Analysing uncertainties: Towards comparing Bayesian and interval probabilities'

Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing

Volumn 37, Issue 1-2, 2013, Pages 30-42

  Blockley, David ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Bayes theorem; Imprecision; Incompleteness; Probability; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

BAYES THEOREM; BAYESIAN APPROACHES; CONCEPTUAL ANALYSIS; IMPRECISION; INCOMPLETE INFORMATION; INCOMPLETENESS; INTERVAL PROBABILITY; UNCERTAINTY;

BAYESIAN NETWORKS; CLIMATE CHANGE; PROBABILITY; RISK PERCEPTION;

UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84876900941     PISSN: 08883270     EISSN: 10961216     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ymssp.2012.05.007     Document Type: Article

References (23)

1. T. Aven On the need for restricting the probabilistic analysis in risk assessments to variability Risk Anal. 30 3 2010 354 360
2. D.I. Blockley The Nature of Structural Design and Safety 1980 Ellis Horwood Chichester
3. D.I. Blockley Reliability or responsibility Struct. Saf. 2 4 1985 273 280
4. D.I. Blockley Fuzziness and probability: a discussion of Gaines' axioms Civ. Eng. Environ. Syst. 2 4 1985 195 200
5. D.I. Blockley, and P S Godfrey Doing it Differently 2000 Thomas Telford London
6. D.I. Blockley Managing risks to structures Proc. Inst. Civ. Eng., Struct. Build. 161 SB4 2008 231 237
7. D.I. Blockley Uncertainty, prediction or control Int. J. Eng. Under Uncertainty: Hazard., Assess. Mitig. 1 1-2 2009 73 80
8. D.I. Blockley The importance of being process Civ. Eng. Environ. Syst. 27 3 2010 189 199
9. S. Bradley, Dutch Books and Ambiguity, Pluralism in the Foundations of Statistics, University of Kent, September, See 〈http://www.kent.ac.uk/secl/ philosophy/jw/2010/plurastats/Bradley-handout.pdf〉. Also S. Bradley, Dutch book arguments and imprecise probabilities, in: D. Dieks, W.J. Gonzalez, S. Hartmann, M. Stolzner, M. Weber (Eds.), Probabilities, Laws and Structures, Springer, 2012. See 〈http://www.seamusbradley.net/Papers/dba-ip.pdf〉, 2010, 2011
10. R. Corotis Risk communication with generalised uncertainty and linguistics Struct. Saf. 31 2009 113 117
11. W.C. Cui, and D.I. Blockley Interval probability theory for evidential support Int. J. Intell. Syst. 5 2 1990 183 192
12. A. Der Kiureghian, and O. Ditlevsen Aleatory or epistemic? Does it matter? Struct. Saf. 31 2009 105 112
13. D. Dubois Representation, propagation and decision issues in risk analysis under incomplete probabilistic information Risk Anal. 30 3 2010 361 368
14. I. Hacking The Emergence of Probability 1975 Cambridge University Press Cambridge
15. W.A. Huber Ignorance is not probability Risk Anal. 30 3 2010 371 376
16. J. D. Norton, Ignorance and Indifference. See 〈http://www.pitt.edu/ ~jdnorton〉, 2011.
17. C. Perrow Normal Accidents: Living with High Risk Technologies 1984 Basic Books New York
18. J. Reason Human Error 1990 Cambridge University Press New York
19. G. Shafer A Mathematical Theory of Evidence 1976 Princeton University Press
20. B. A. Turner, N. F. Pidgeon, Man-Made Disasters, 1998
21. P. Walley Statistical Reasoning with Imprecise Probabilities 1991 Chapman and Hall London
22. L.A. Zadeh Outline of a new approach to the analysis of complex systems and decision processes IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. SMC-3 1 1973 28 44
23. L.A. Zadeh The role of fuzzy logic in modelling, identification and control L.A. Zadeh, G.J. Klir, B. Yuan, Fuzzy Sets, Fuzzy Logic and Fuzzy Systems: Selected Papers 1996 World Scientific 783 795