Development and validation of a comprehensive hybrid causal model for safety assessment and management of aviation systems

9th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management 2008, PSAM 2008

Volumn 1, Issue , 2008, Pages 776-783

  Roelen, Alfred ^a   Wever, Rombout ^a   Mosleh, Ali ^b   Groth, Katrina ^b  

^a NLR Air Transport Safety Institute   (Netherlands)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND   (United States)

Author keywords

Accident scenario; Causal model; PRA; Safety assessment

Indexed keywords

ACCIDENT SCENARIOS; CAUSAL MODEL; EVENT SEQUENCE DIAGRAMS; FEDERAL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION; HYBRID CAUSAL LOGIC; PRA; SAFETY ASSESSMENTS; SOFTWARE PROTOTYPES;

ACCIDENTS; CIVIL AVIATION; ELECTROSTATIC DEVICES; ELECTROSTATIC DISCHARGE; FORESTRY; OPERATIONS RESEARCH; RISK ASSESSMENT; SOFTWARE PROTOTYPING;

BAYESIAN NETWORKS;

EID: 84876496414     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (12)

1. B.J.M. Ale et al., "Further development of a causal model for air transport safety (CATS): the complete model", this conference, 2008
2. A. Mosleh, A. Dias, G. Eghbali, K. Fazen, "An integrated framework for identification, classification, and assessment of aviation system hazards", Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management: PSAM 7 - ESREL '04: proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, 14-18 June 2004, Berlin, Germany.
3. A.L.C. Roelen and R. Wever, "Accident scenarios for an integrated aviation safety model", NLR-CR-2005-560, National Aerospace Laboratory NLR, Amsterdam, 2005.
4. A.L.C. Roelen, G.B. van Baren, J.W. Smeltink, P.H. Lin, O. Morales, "A generic flight crew performance model for application in a hybrid causal model software prototype (IRIS) for safety assessment and management of aviation systems", NLR-CR-2007-786, National Aerospace Laboratory NLR, Amsterdam, 2007.
5. R.M. Cooke and L.H.J. Goossens, "Procedures guide for structured expert judgement", EURATOM document EUR 18820EN, European Communities (2000).
6. A.L.C. Roelen, R. Wever, A.R. Hale, L.H.J. Goossens, R.M. Cooke, R. Lopuhaa, M. Simons and P.J.L. Valk, "Causal modelling of air safety. Demonstration model", NLR-CR-2002-662, National Aerospace Laboratory NLR, Amsterdam, 2002.
7. R. Wever, H.T.H. van der Zee, J. Weijts, B.A. van Doorn and J.W. Smeltink, "Development and quantification of fault trees and influence diagrams of pivotal events for a causal risk model of commercial air transport", NLR-CR-2007-191, National Aerospace Laboratory NLR, Amsterdam, 2007.
8. G.W.H van Es, "Running out of runway. Analysis of 35 years of landing overrun accidents", NLR-TP-2005-498, National Aerospace Laboratory NLR, Amsterdam, 2005.
9. R.A. MacKinnon, "Rejected Take-off Studies", Aero magazine 11, published quarterly by Boeing Commercial Airplane Group, 2000.
10. A.J. Pikaar, C.J.M. de Jong, and J. Weijts, "An enhanced method for the calculation of third party risk around large airports with application to Schiphol", NLR-CR-2000-147, National Aerospace Laboratory NLR, Amsterdam, 2000.
11. A. Mosleh, K. Groth, and D. Zhu, "Integrated Risk Information System (IRIS) Software and User Guide", Center for Risk and Reliability, University of Maryland, College Park, MD Maryland, 2007.
12. K. Groth, D. Zhu, A. Mosleh, "Hybrid methodology and software platform for probabilistic risk assessment. The Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS)", 2008, Jan 28-31, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.