Copula-based spatio-temporal patterns of precipitation extremes in China

International Journal of Climatology

Volumn 33, Issue 5, 2013, Pages 1140-1152

  Zhang, Qiang ^a   Li, Jianfeng ^a   Singh, Vijay P ^b,c   Xu, Chong Yu ^d  

^a SUN YAT SEN UNIVERSITY   (China)

^b Texas A and M University   (United States)

^c Texas AandM University   (United States)

^d UNIVERSITY OF OSLO   (Norway)

Author keywords

Agricultural responses; Climate changes; Copula functions; Natural hazards; Precipitation extremes; Spatio temporal distribution

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURAL RESPONSES; COPULA FUNCTIONS; NATURAL HAZARD; PRECIPITATION EXTREMES; SPATIOTEMPORAL DISTRIBUTIONS;

CLIMATE CHANGE; COPYRIGHTS; DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS; DROUGHT; FLOODS; FOOD SUPPLY; HAZARDS; METEOR IMPACTS; WATER MANAGEMENT; WATERSHEDS;

LASERS;

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; FLOODING; NATURAL HAZARD; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); PROBABILITY; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS;

CHINA; GUANGDONG; HAI BASIN; HUAI RIVER; YANGTZE BASIN; YELLOW RIVER BASIN; ZHUJIANG BASIN;

EID: 84876093183     PISSN: 08998418     EISSN: 10970088     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/joc.3499     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Akaike H. 1974. A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 19(6): 716-723.
2. Allen M, Ingram WJ. 2002. Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle. Nature 419: 224-232.
3. Arnell NW. 1999. Climate change and global water resources. Global and Environmental Change 9: S31-S49.
4. Chen DD, Dai YJ. 2009. Characteristics and analysis of typical anomalous summer rainfall patterns in Northwest China over the last 50 years. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences 33(6): 1247-1258 (in Chinese).
5. Daufresne M, K Lengfellner, U Sommer. 2009. Global warming benefits the small in aquatic ecosystems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 106(31): 12788-12793.
6. De Michele C, Salvadori G, Canossi M, Petaccia A, Rosso R. 2005. Bivariate statistical approach to check adequacy of dam spillway. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 10(1): 50-57.
7. Easterling RD, Meehl AG, Parmesan C, Changnon AS, Karl RT, Mearns OL. 2000. Climate extremes: observations, modeling, and impacts. Science 289: 2068-2074.
8. Fatichi S, Caporali E. 2009. A comprehensive analysis of changes in precipitation regime in Tuscany. International Journal of Climatology 29(13): 1883-1893.
9. Frank J, Masse J. 1951. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for goodness of fit. Journal of the American Statistical Association 46(253): 68-78.
10. Freund JE. 1961. A bivariate extension of the exponential distribution. Journal of the American Statistical Association 56: 71-977.
11. Genest C, Rivest LP. 1993. Statistical inference procedures for bivariate Archimedean copulas. Journal of the American Statistical Association 88(423): 1034-1043.
12. Groisman PY, Karl TR, Easterling DR, Knight RW, Jameson PF, Hennessy KJ, Suppiah R, Page CM, Wibig J, Fortuniak K, Razuvaev V, Douglas A, Rorland E, Zhai PM. 1999. Changes in probability of heavy precipitation: important indicators of climatic change. Climatic Change 42: 243-283.
13. Hamed KH, AR Rao. 1998. A modified Mann-Kendall trend test for autocorrelated data. Journal of Hydrology 204(1-4): 182-196.
14. Hashino M. 1985. Formulation of the joint return period of two hydrologic variates associated with a Poisson process. Journal of Hydroscience and Hydrolic Engineering 3(2): 73-84.
15. Hosking JRM. 1990. L-moments: analysis and estimation of distributions using linear combinations of order statistics. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 52(1): 105-124.
16. Jin LY, Fu JL, Chen FH. 2006. Spatial and temporal distribution of water vapor and its relationship with precipitation over the Northwest China. Journal of Lanzhou University 42(1): 1-5 (in Chinese).
17. Kao SC, Govindaraju RS. 2008. Trivariate statistical analysis of extreme rainfall events via the Plackett family of copulas. Water Resources Research 44: W02415, DOI: 10.1029/2007WR006261.
18. Kao SC, Govindaraju RS. 2010. A copula-based joint deficit index for droughts. Journal of Hydrology 380: 121-134.
19. Kendall MG. 1955. Rank Correlation Methods. Griffin: London.
20. Leonard M, Metcalfe A, Lambert M. 2008. Frequency analysis of rainfall and streamflow extremes accounting for seasonal and climatic partitions. Journal of Hydrology 348: 135-147.
21. Mann HB. 1945. Nonparametric tests against trend. Econometrica 13: 245-259.
22. Nelsen RB. 2006. An Introduction to Copulas. Springer Science: Portland, 7-269.
23. Salvadori G, Michele C. 2004. Frequency analysis via copulas: theoretical aspects and applications to hydrological events. Water Resource Research. DOI: 10.1029/2004WR003133.
24. Singh VP, Zhang L. 2007. IDF curves using the Frank Archimedean copula. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 12(6): 651-662.
25. Song S, Singh VP. 2010a. Meta-elliptic copulas for drought frequency analysis of periodic hydrologic data. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 24(3): 425-444.
26. Song S, Singh VP. 2010b. Frequency analysis of droughts using the Plackett copula and parameter estimation by genetic algorithm. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 24(5): 783-805.
27. Spiegel MR, Schiller J, Srinivasan RA. 2000. Outlines of Theory and Problems of Probability and Statistics, 2nd edn. McGraw-Hill: USA, 2-7.
28. von Storch H. 1995. Misuses of statistical analysis in climate research. In Analysis of Climate Variability: Applications of Statistical Techniques. Springer-Verlag: Berlin, 11-26.
29. Suppiah R, Hennessy K. 1998. Tends in seasonal rainfall, heavy rain-days, and number of dry days in Australia 1910-1990. International. Journal of Climatology 18: 1141-1155.
30. Tebaldi C, Hayhoe K, Arblaser JM, Meechl GA. 2006. Going to the extremes, an inter-comparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events. Climatic Change 79: 185-211.
31. Vörösmarty CJ, Mclntyre PB, Gessner MO, Dudgeon D, Green P, Glidden S, Sullivan CA, Liermann CR, Davies PM. 2010. Global threats to human water security and river biodiversity. Nature 467: 555-561.
32. Wang BJ, Huang YX, He JH. 2004. Relationship between moisture transportation during the East Asian Monsoon period and the droughts in the northwest China. Plateau Meteorology 23(6): 912-918.
33. Wilks DS. 1999. Interannual variability and extreme-value characteristics of several stochastic daily precipitation models. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 93: 153-169.
34. World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 2003. Statement on the Status of Global Climate in 2003. WMO Publication No. 966. WMO: Geneva, Switzerland.
35. Yue S, Pilon P, Phinney B, Cavadias G. 2002. The influence of autocorrelation on the ability to detect trend in hydrological series. Hydrological Processes 16(9): 1807-1829.
36. Zhai PM, Ren FM, Zhang Q. 1999. Detection of trends in China's precipitation extremes. Acta Meteorologica Sinica 57(2): 208-216.
37. Zhang L, Singh VP. 2006. Bivariate flood frequency analysis using the copula method. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 11(2): 150-164.
38. Zhang L, Singh VP. 2007a. Bivariate rainfall frequency distributions using Archimedean copulas. Journal of Hydrology 332: 93-109.
39. Zhang L, Singh VP. 2007b. Gumbel-Hougard copula for trivariate rainfall frequency analysis. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 12(4): 431-439.
40. Zhang Q, Xu C-Y, Becker S, Zhang ZX, Chen YD, Coulibaly M. 2009a. Trends and abrupt changes of precipitation extremes in the Pearl River basin, China. Atmospheric Science Letter 10: 132-144.
41. Zhang Q, Xu C-Y, Gemmer M, Chen YD, Liu C-L. 2009b. Changing properties of precipitation concentration in the Pearl River basin, China. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 23: 377-385.
42. Zhang Q, Xu C-Y, Chen XH, Zhang ZX. 2011. Statistical behaviors of precipitation regimes in China and their links with atmospheric circulation 1960-2005. International Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.2193.
43. Zhang Q, Xu C-Y, Zhang ZX, Chen YD, Liu C-L. 2008. Spatial and temporal variability of precipitation maxima during 1960-2005 in the Yangtze River basin and possible association with large-scale circulation. Journal of Hydrology 353: 215-227.
44. Ziegler AD, Sheffield J, Maurer EP, Nijssen B, Wood EF, Lettenmaier DP. 2003. Detection of intensification in global- and continental-scale hydrological cycles: temporal scale of evaluation. Journal of Climate 16: 535-547.
45. Zolina O, Simmer C, Gulev KS, Kollet S. 2010. Changing structure of European precipitation: longer wet periods leading to more abundant rainfalls. Geophysical Research Letters 37: L06704, DOI: 10.1029/2010GL042468.