Comparing Effects of Climate Warming, Fire, and Timber Harvesting on a Boreal Forest Landscape in Northeastern China

PLoS ONE

Volumn 8, Issue 4, 2013, Pages

  Li, Xiaona ^a   He, Hong S ^a,b   Wu, Zhiwei ^a   Liang, Yu ^a   Schneiderman, Jeffrey E ^b  

^a INSTITUTE OF APPLIED ECOLOGY   (China)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; CHINA; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPARATIVE STUDY; CONTROLLED STUDY; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT; EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN; FIRE ECOLOGY; FOREST DYNAMICS; FOREST FRAGMENTATION; FOREST MANAGEMENT; GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; HARVESTING; LANDSCAPE; PROCESS MODEL; SPECIES COMPOSITION; TAIGA; TIMBER HARVESTING;

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE; BETULA; BIOMASS; CHINA; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; CONSERVATION OF NATURAL RESOURCES; FIRES; FORESTRY; LARIX; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; PICEA; PINUS; POPULUS; SALIX; TREES;

CONIFEROPHYTA; LARIX; SALIX;

EID: 84875655380     PISSN: None     EISSN: 19326203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0059747     Document Type: Article

References (56)

1. Nemani RR, Keeling CD, Hashimoto H, Jolly WM, Piper SC, et al. (2003) Climate-driven increases in global terrestrial net primary production from 1982 to 1999. Science 300: 1560-1563.
2. Zhao MS, Running SW, (2010) Drought-Induced Reduction in Global Terrestrial Net Primary Production from 2000 Through 2009. Science 329: 940-943.
3. Johnstone JF, Chapin FS, Hollingsworth TN, Mack MC, Romanovsky V, et al. (2010) Fire, climate change, and forest resilience in interior Alaska. Canadian Journal of Forest Research-Revue Canadienne De Recherche Forestiere 40: 1302-1312.
4. Dale VH, Joyce LA, McNulty S, Neilson RP, Ayres MP, et al. (2001) Climate change and forest disturbances. BioScience 51: 723-734.
5. Soja AJ, Tchebakova NM, French NHF, Flannigan MD, Shugart HH, et al. (2007) Climate-induced boreal forest change: Predictions versus current observations. Global and Planetary Change 56: 274-296.
6. Weber MG, Flannigan MD, (1997) Canadian boreal forest ecosystem structure and function in a changing climate: impact on fire regimes. Environmental Reviews 5: 145-166.
7. IPCC (2007) Summary for Policymakers of the Synthesis Report of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report. Cambridge: UK: Cambridge University Press.
8. Ruckstuhl KE, Johnson EA, Miyanishi K, (2008) Introduction. The boreal forest and global change. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences 363: 2245-2249.
9. Melillo JM, McGuire AD, Kicklighter DW, Moore B, Vorosmarty CJ, et al. (1993) Global climate change and terrestrial net primary production. Nature 363: 234-240.
10. Wang XC, Zhang YD, Mcrae DJ, (2009) Spatial and age-dependent tree-ring growth responses of Larix gmelinii to climate in northeastern China. Trees-Structure and Function 23: 875-885.
11. Hansen AJ, Neilson RR, Dale VH, Flather CH, Iverson LR, et al. (2001) Global change in forests: Responses of species, communities, and biomes. BioScience 51: 765-779.
12. Stueve KM, Isaacs RE, Tyrrell LE, Densmore RV, (2011) Spatial variability of biotic and abiotic tree establishment constraints across a treeline ecotone in the Alaska Range. Ecology 92: 496-506.
13. Pan Y, Birdsey R, Hom J, McCullough K, Clark K, (2006) Improved Estimates of Net Primary Productivity from Modis Satellite Data at Regional and Local Scales. Ecological Applications 16: 125-132.
14. Peng CH, Apps MJ, (1999) Modelling the response of net primary productivity (NPP) of boreal forest ecosystems to changes in climate and fire disturbance regimes. Ecological Modelling 122: 175-193.
15. Xu C, Gertner GZ, Scheller RM, (2007) Potential effects of interaction between CO2 and temperature on forest landscape response to global warming. Global Change Biology 13: 1469-1483.
16. Kelly AE, Goulden ML, (2008) Rapid shifts in plant distribution with recent climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 105: 11823-11826.
17. Lenoir J, Gegout JC, Marquet PA, de Ruffray P, Brisse H, (2008) A significant upward shift in plant species optimum elevation during the 20th century. Science 320: 1768-1771.
18. MacDonald GM, Kremenetski KV, Beilman DW, (2008) Climate change and the northern Russian treeline zone. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences 363: 2285-2299.
19. Flannigan M, Stocks B, Turetsky M, Wotton M, (2009) Impacts of climate change on fire activity and fire management in the circumboreal forest. Global Change Biology 15: 549-560.
20. Flannigan MD, Stocks BJ, Wotton BM, (2000) Climate change and forest fires. Science of the Total Environment 262: 221-229.
21. Johnstone JF, Hollingsworth TN, Chapin FS, Mack MC, (2010) Changes in fire regime break the legacy lock on successional trajectories in Alaskan boreal forest. Global Change Biology 16: 1281-1295.
22. Johnson EA, Miyanishi K, Weir JMH, (1998) Wildfires in the western Canadian boreal forest: Landscape patterns and ecosystem management. Journal of Vegetation Science 9: 603-610.
23. Flannigan MD, Logan KA, Amiro BD, Skinner WR, Stocks BJ, (2005) Future area burned in Canada. Climatic Change 72: 1-16.
24. Krawchuk M, Cumming S, Flannigan M, (2009) Predicted changes in fire weather suggest increases in lightning fire initiation and future area burned in the mixedwood boreal forest. Climatic Change 92: 83-97.
25. Stocks BJ, Fosberg MA, Lynham TJ, Mearns L, Wotton BM, et al. (1998) Climate change and forest fire potential in Russian and Canadian boreal forests. Climatic Change 38: 1-13.
26. Westerling AL, Hidalgo HG, Cayan DR, Swetnam TW, (2006) Warming and earlier spring increase western US forest wildfire activity. Science 313: 940-943.
27. Wotton BM, Nock CA, Flannigan MD, (2010) Forest fire occurrence and climate change in Canada. International Journal of Wildland Fire 19: 253-271.
28. Liu ZH, Yang J, Chang Y, Weisberg PJ, He HS, (2012) Spatial patterns and drivers of fire occurrence and its future trend under climate change in a boreal forest of Northeast China. Global Change Biology 18: 2041-2056.
29. Kurz WA, Stinson G, Rampley G, (2008) Could increased boreal forest ecosystem productivity offset carbon losses from increased disturbances? Philosophical Transactions of The Royal Society Biological Sciences 363: 2259-2268.
30. Schumacher S, Bugmann H, (2006) The relative importance of climatic effects, wildfires and management for future forest landscape dynamics in the Swiss Alps. Global Change Biology 12: 1435-1450.
31. Gustafson EJ, Shvidenko AZ, Sturtevant BR, Scheller RM, (2010) Predicting global change effects on forest biomass and composition in south-central Siberia. Ecological Applications 20: 700-715.
32. He HS, Mladenoff DJ, Gustafson EJ, (2002) Study of landscape change under forest harvesting and climate warming-induced fire disturbance. Forest Ecology and Management 155: 257-270.
33. Gustafson EJ, Shifley SR, Mladenoff DJ, Nimerfro KK, He HS, (2000) Spatial simulation of forest succession and timber harvesting using LANDIS. Canadian Journal of Forest Research-Revue Canadienne De Recherche Forestiere 30: 32-43.
34. He HS, Mladenoff DJ, (1999) Spatially explicit and stochastic simulation of forest-landscape fire disturbance and succession. Ecology 80: 81-99.
35. He HS, Mladenoff DJ, Crow TR, (1999) Linking an ecosystem model and a landscape model to study forest species response to climate warming. Ecological Modelling 114: 213-233.
36. Zhou YL (1991) Vegetation in Great Xing'an Mountains of China. Chinese i, translator. Beijing Science Press. 216 p.
37. Xu HC (1998) Forest in Great Xing'an Mountains of China. Chinese i, translator. Beijing: Science Press. 231 p.
38. Zheng HN, Jia SQ, Hu HQ, (1986) Forest fire and forest rehabilitation in the Da Xingan Mountains Journal of Northeast Forestry University. 14: 1-7.
39. Fang JY, Lechowicz MJ, (2006) Climatic limits for the present distribution of beech (Fagus L.) species in the world. Journal of Biogeography 33: 1804-1819.
40. ClimateWizard (2009): http://www.climatewizard.org/.Accessed 2011 Jun 03.
41. Flato GM, Boer GJ, (2001) Warming asymmetry in climate change simulations. Geophys Res Lett 28: 195-198.
42. He HS, Mladenoff DJ, Boeder J, (1999) An object-oriented forest landscape model and its representation of tree species. Ecological Modelling 119: 1-19.
43. Shifley SR, Thompson FR, Larsen DR, Dijak WD, (2000) Modeling forest landscape change in the Missouri Ozarks under alternative management practices. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 27: 7-24.
44. Post WM, Pastor J, (1996) Linkages- An individual-based forest ecosystem model. Climatic Change 34: 253-261.
45. Yang J, He HS, Gustafson EJ, (2004) A hierarchical fire frequency model to simulate temporal patterns of fire regimes in LANDIS. Ecological Modelling 180: 119-133.
46. He HS, Hao ZQ, Mladenoff DJ, Shao GF, Hu YM, et al. (2005) Simulating forest ecosystem response to climate warming incorporating spatial effects in north-eastern China. Journal of Biogeography 32: 2043-2056.
47. Wang XG, He HS, Li XZ, Chang Y, Hu YM, et al. (2006) Simulating the effects of reforestation on a large catastrophic fire burned landscape in Northeastern China. Forest Ecology and Management 225: 82-93.
48. Xu CG, He HS, Hu YM, Chang Y, Larsen DR, et al. (2004) Assessing the effect of cell-level uncertainty on a forest landscape model simulation in northeastern China. Ecological Modelling 180: 57-72.
49. Xu CG, He HS, Hu YM, Chang Y, Li XZ, et al. (2005) Latin hypercube sampling and geostatistical modeling of spatial uncertainty in a spatially explicit forest landscape model simulation. Ecological Modelling 185: 255-269.
50. Chang Y, He HS, Bishop I, Hu Y, Bu R, et al. (2007) Long-term forest landscape responses to fire exclusion in the Great Xing'an Mountains, China. International Journal of Wildland Fire 16: 34-44.
51. He HS, DeZonia BE, Mladenoff DJ, (2000) An aggregation index (AI) to quantify spatial patterns of landscapes. Landscape Ecology 15: 591-601.
52. McGarigal K, Marks BJ (1995) FRAGSTATS: spatial pattern analysis program for quantifying landscape structure. Portland: USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station: General Technical Report PNW-GTR-351.
53. Norby RJ, DeLucia EH, Gielen B, Calfapietra C, Giardina CP, et al. (2005) Forest response to elevated CO2 is conserved across a broad range of productivity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 102: 18052-18056.
54. Euskirchen ES, McGuire AD, Kicklighter DW, Zhuang Q, Clein JS, et al. (2006) Importance of recent shifts in soil thermal dynamics on growing season length, productivity, and carbon sequestration in terrestrial high-latitude ecosystems. Global Change Biology 12: 731-750.
55. Logan JA, Regniere J, Powell JA, (2003) Assessing the impacts of global warming on forest pest dynamics. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 1: 130-137.
56. Scheller RM, Mladenoff DJ, (2005) A spatially interactive simulation of climate change, harvesting, wind, and tree species migration and projected changes to forest composition and biomass in northern Wisconsin, USA. Global Change Biology 11: 307-321.