Rational Monte Carlo method for flood frequency analysis in urban catchments

Journal of Hydrology

Volumn 486, Issue , 2013, Pages 306-314

  Brodie, Ian M ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN QUEENSLAND   (Australia)

Author keywords

Design discharges; Flood frequency analysis; Monte Carlo analysis; Rational Method; Urban hydrology

Indexed keywords

DESIGN DISCHARGE; FLOOD FREQUENCY ANALYSIS; MONTE CARLO ANALYSIS; RATIONAL METHODS; URBAN HYDROLOGY;

CATCHMENTS; ESTIMATION; FLOODS; MONTE CARLO METHODS; RAIN; RUNOFF;

FLOOD CONTROL;

CATCHMENT; FLOOD FREQUENCY; HISTORICAL RECORD; MONTE CARLO ANALYSIS; PEAK DISCHARGE; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; STREAMFLOW; URBAN AREA;

AUSTRALIA; QUEENSLAND; TOOWOOMBA;

EID: 84875549038     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.01.039     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. Aronica G.T., Candela A. Derivation of flood frequency curves in poorly gauged Mediterranean catchments using a simple stochastic hydrological rainfall-runoff model. J. Hydrol. 2007, 347:132-142.
2. Arnaud, P., Lavbre, J., 2002. Coupled rainfall model and discharge model for flood frequency estimation. Water Resour. Res. 38(6), 11-1-11-11.
3. Blöschl, G., Sivapalan, M., 1997. Process Controls on Flood Frequency: 2. Runoff Generation, Storm Properties and Return Period. Centre for Water Research, UWA Report ED 1158 MS.
4. Cunnane C. Unbiased plotting positions - a review. J. Hydrol. 1978, 37:205-222.
5. Franchini M., Galeati G., Lolli M. Analytical derivation of the flood frequency curve through partial duration series analysis and a probabilistic representation of the runoff coefficient. J. Hydrol. 2005, 303:1-15.
6. Eagleson P. Dynamics of flood frequency. Water Resour. Res. 1972, 14(5):878-898.
7. French, R., Pilgrim, D.H., Laurenson, E.M., 1974. Experimental examination of the rational method for small rural catchments. Civ. Eng. Trans. Inst. Eng. Aust. CE16, 95-102.
8. Gottschalk L., Weingartner R. Distribution of peak flow derived from a distribution of rainfall volume and runoff coefficient, and a unit hydrograph. J. Hydrol. 1998, 208:146-162.
9. Gutknecht D., Reszler C., Blöschl G. The August 7, 2002 - flood of the Kamp - a first assessment. Elektrotech. Informationstech. 2002, 119:411-413.
10. Haddad K., Rahman A. Selection of the best fit flood frequency distribution and parameter estimation procedure: a case study for Tasmania in Australia. Stoch. Environ. Res. Risk Assess. 2011, 25:415-428.
11. Haddad K., Rahman A., Weinmann P.E., Kuczera G., Ball J.E. Streamflow data preparation for regional flood frequency analysis: lessons from south-east Australia. Aust. J. Water Resour. 2010, 14(1):17-32.
12. Hann, C.T., Wilson, B.N., 1987. Another look at the joint probability of rainfall and runoff. In: Singh, V.P. (Ed.), Hydrologic Frequency Modelling. D. Reidel Publishing, pp. 555-569.
13. Horner W.W., Flynt F.L. Relation between rainfall and run-off from small urban areas. Trans. ASCE 1936, 101:140-183.
14. Institution of Engineers Australia (I.E. Aust.), 1987. In: Pilgrim, D.H. (Ed.), Australian Rainfall and Runoff - A Guide to Flood Estimation, vol. 1. Canberra.
15. Insurance Council of Australia (ICA), 2011. The Nature and Causes of Flooding in Toowoomba 10 January 2011. Prepared by ICA Hydrology Panel, 14 February 2011.
16. Kidson R., Richards K.S. Flood frequency analysis: assumptions and alternatives. Prog. Phys. Geogr. 2005, 29(3):392-410.
17. Kuczera, G., Franks, S., 2006. Book IV Estimation of Peak Discharge. Draft Revision of Australian Rainfall and Runoff. http://www.ncwe.org.au/arr/index.html.
18. Local Government Association of Queensland (LGAQ), 2011. Queensland Floods Commission of Inquiry, Technical Report on the Toowoomba Flood of 10 January 2011. Prepared by BMT WBM, March 2011.
19. Merz B., Thieken A.H. Separating natural and epistemic uncertainty in flood frequency analysis. J. Hydrol. 2005, 309(1-4):114-132.
20. Mulvaney T.J. On the use of self-registering rain and flood gauges in making observations of the relations of rainfall and flood discharges in a given catchment. Trans. Inst. Civil Eng. Ireland 1851, 4(2):18-33.
21. Nathan, R., Weinmann, E., Hill, P., 2003. Use of Monte Carlo simulation to estimate the expected probability of large to extreme floods. In: Proceedings 28th International Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium, vol. 1, 10-14 November, 2003, Wollongong, NSW, pp. 105-112.
22. Pilgrim, D.H., McDermott, G.E., 1982. Design floods for small rural catchments in eastern New South Wales. Civil Eng. Trans. Inst. Eng. Aust. CE24, 226-234.
23. Pilgrim, D.H., 1989. Development of the rational method for flood design for small rural basins in Australia. In: Yen, B.C. (Ed.), Channel Flow and Catchment Runoff. Department of Civil Engineering, University of Virginia.
24. Rahman, A., Weinmann, P.E., Mein, R.G., 1999. At-site flood frequency analysis: LP3-product moment, GEV-L moment and GEV-LH moment procedures compared. In: Water 99 Joint Congress, Brisbane, Australia, 6-8 July 1999, pp. 715-720.
25. Rahman A., Weinmann P.E., Hoang T.M.T., Laurenson E.M. Monte Carlo simulation of flood frequency curves from rainfall. J. Hydrol. 2002, 256(3-4):196-210.
26. Rahman A., Weinmann P.E., Mein R.G. The use of probability-distributed initial losses in design flood estimation. Aust. J. Water Resour. 2002, 6(1):17-30.
27. Rahman A., Haddad K., Zaman M., Kuczera G., Weinmann P.E. Design flood estimation in ungauged catchments: a comparison between the probabilistic rational method and quantile regression technique for NSW. Aust. J. Water Resour. 2011, 14(2):127-137.
28. Schaake J.C., Geyer J.C., Knapp J.P. Experimental examination of the rational method. J. Hydraul. Div. 1967, 121(1):353-370.
29. State of Queensland (SoQ), 2007. Queensland Urban Drainage Manual. Department of Natural Resources and Water.
30. Taleb N.N. Black swans and the domains of statistics. Am. Stat. 2007, 61(3):198-200.
31. Titmarsh G.W., Cordery I., Pilgrim D.H. Calibration procedures for Rational and USSCS design flood methods. J. Hydraul. Eng. 1995, 121(1):61-70.
32. Viglione, A.R., Blöschl, G., 2009. On the role of the runoff coefficient in the mapping of rainfall to flood return period. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 13, 577-593.
33. Weinmann P.E., Rahman A., Hoang T.M.T., Laurenson E.M., Nathan R.J. Monte Carlo simulation of flood frequency curves from rainfall - the way ahead. Aust. J. Water Resour. 2002, 6(1):71-79.
34. Wong, T.S.W., 2002. Call for awakenings in storm drainage design. J. Hydrol. Eng. 7(1), Forum 1-2.
35. Young C.B., McEnroe B.M., Rome A.C. Empirical determination of Rational method runoff coefficients. J. Hydrol. Eng. 2009, 14(12):1283-1289.