Multiscale Markov models with random transitions for energy demand management

Energy and Buildings

Volumn 61, Issue , 2013, Pages 267-274

  Meidani, Hadi ^a   Ghanem, Roger ^a  

^a University of Southern California ^*  (United States)

Author keywords

Demand management; Markov chain; Random transition matrices; Smart Grid; Uncertainty quantification

Indexed keywords

ELECTRICITY-CONSUMPTION; ENERGY DEMAND MANAGEMENTS; HETEROGENEOUS POPULATIONS; MULTISCALE MARKOV MODELS; RANDOM TRANSITION; SMART GRID; UNCERTAINTY MANAGEMENT; UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATIONS;

ELECTRIC LOAD MANAGEMENT; ENERGY UTILIZATION; POPULATION STATISTICS; SAMPLING; WHITE NOISE;

MARKOV PROCESSES;

EID: 84875152479     PISSN: 03787788     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.enbuild.2013.02.020     Document Type: Article

References (29)

1. D. Trudnowski, M. Donnelly, and E. Lightner Power-system frequency and stability control using decentralized intelligent loads Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exhibition, 2005/2006 IEEE PES 2006 IEEE 1453 1459 (Pubitemid 46894558)
2. J. Eto, J. Nelson-Hoffman, C. Torres, S. Hirth, B. Yinger, J. Kueck, B. Kirby, C. Bernier, R. Wright, A. Barat, et al., Demand response spinning reserve demonstration, LBNL-62761, 2007.
3. S. Lu, N. Samaan, R. Diao, M. Elizondo, C. Jin, E. Mayhorn, Y. Zhang, and H. Kirkham Centralized and decentralized control for demand response Innovative Smart Grid Technologies (ISGT), 2011 IEEE PES 2011 1 8
4. M. Albadi, and E. El-Saadany Demand response in electricity markets: an overview Power Engineering Society General Meeting 2007 2007 IEEE 1 5
5. S. Borenstein, M. Jaske, A. Rosenfeld, Dynamic pricing, advanced metering, and demand response in electricity markets, 2002.
6. K. Kalsi, F. Chassin, and D. Chassin Aggregated modeling of thermostatic loads in demand response: a systems and control perspective 2011 50th IEEE Conference on Decision and Control and European Control Conference (CDC-ECC) 2011 15 20 10.1109/CDC.2011.6160448
7. D. Chassin, and J. Fuller On the equilibrium dynamics of demand response in thermostatic loads 2011 44th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS) 2011 1 6 10.1109/HICSS.2011.326
8. R. Cottet, and M. Smith Bayesian modeling and forecasting of intraday electricity load Journal of the American Statistical Association 98 2003 839 849 (Pubitemid 38213973)
9. Load forecast bibliography phase i IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems PAS-99 1980 53 58
10. A. Mahmoud, T. Ortmeyer, and R. Reardon Load forecasting bibliography phase ii IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems PAS-100 1981 3217 3220
11. G. Gross, and F. Galiana Short-term load forecasting Proceedings of the IEEE 75 1987 1558 1573
12. D.W. Bunn Short-term forecasting: a review of procedures in the electricity supply industry The Journal of the Operational Research Society 33 1982 533 545
13. M.T. Hagan, and S.M. Behr The time series approach to short term load forecasting IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 2 1987 785 791
14. I. Moghram, and S. Rahman Analysis and evaluation of five short-term load forecasting techniques IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 4 1989 1484 1491 (Pubitemid 20629707)
15. P.-F. Pai, and W.-C. Hong Support vector machines with simulated annealing algorithms in electricity load forecasting Energy Conversion and Management 46 2005 2669 2688 (Pubitemid 40654933)
16. H. Hippert, C. Pedreira, and R. Souza Neural networks for short-term load forecasting: a review and evaluation IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 16 2001 44 55 (Pubitemid 32297468)
17. H. Hippert, D. Bunn, and R. Souza Large neural networks for electricity load forecasting: are they overfitted? International Journal of Forecasting 21 2005 425 434 (Pubitemid 40935944)
18. I. Richardson, M. Thomson, and D. Infield A high-resolution domestic building occupancy model for energy demand simulations Energy and Buildings 40 2008 1560 1566 (Pubitemid 351625821)
19. J. Widen, M. Lundh, I. Vassileva, E. Dahlquist, K. Ellegard, and E. Wackelgard Constructing load profiles for household electricity and hot water from time-use data-modelling approach and validation Energy and Buildings 41 2009 753 768
20. J. Widen, and E. Wackelgard A high-resolution stochastic model of domestic activity patterns and electricity demand Applied Energy 87 2010 1880 1892
21. I. Richardson, M. Thomson, D. Infield, and C. Clifford Domestic electricity use: a high-resolution energy demand model Energy and Buildings 42 2010 1878 1887
22. H. Meidani, and R. Ghanem Uncertainty quantification for Markov chain models Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science 2012 377 382
23. A. Capasso, W. Grattieri, R. Lamedica, and A. Prudenzi A bottom-up approach to residential load modeling IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 9 1994 957 964
24. J.V. Paatero, and P.D. Lund A model for generating household electricity load profiles International Journal of Energy Research 30 2006 273 290
25. L.G. Swan, and V.I. Ugursal Modeling of end-use energy consumption in the residential sector: a review of modeling techniques Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 13 2009 1819 1835
26. P. Kundur, J. Paserba, V. Ajjarapu, G. Andersson, A. Bose, C. Canizares, N. Hatziargyriou, D. Hill, A. Stankovic, C. Taylor, T. Van Cutsem, and V. Vittal Definition and classification of power system stability IEEE/cigre joint task force on stability terms and definitions IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 19 2004 1387 1401
27. P. Kundur Power System Stability and Control 1994 McGraw-Hill Professional
28. F. Milano An open source power system analysis toolbox IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 20 2005 1199 1206 (Pubitemid 41300930)
29. F. Milano, Power system analysis toolbox: documentation for PSAT version 2.0.0, 2008.