Occupancy modelling as a new approach to assess supranational trends using opportunistic data: A pilot study for the damselfly Calopteryx splendens

Biodiversity and Conservation

Volumn 22, Issue 3, 2013, Pages 673-686

  van Strien, Arco J ^a,b   Termaat, Tim ^c   Kalkman, Vincent ^d   Prins, Marijn ^c   De Knijf, Geert ^e   Gourmand, Anne Laure ^f   Houard, Xavier ^g   Nelson, Brian ^h   Plate, Calijn ^a   Prentice, Stephen ⁱ   Regan, Eugenie ^j   Smallshire, David ^k   Vanappelghem, Cédric ^l   Vanreusel, Wouter ^m  

^a STATISTICS NETHERLANDS   (Netherlands)

^b UNIVERSITY OF AMSTERDAM   (Netherlands)

^c DUTCH BUTTERFLY CONSERVATION   (Netherlands)

^d NATURALIS BIODIVERSITY CENTER   (Netherlands)

^e RESEARCH INSTITUTE FOR NATURE AND FOREST INBO   (Belgium)

^f MUSÉUM NATIONAL D'HISTOIRE NATURELLE   (France)

^g Office pour les insectes et leur environnement (Opie)   (France)

^h National Parks and Wildlife Service Ireland   (Ireland)

ⁱ NATURAL ENGLAND   (United Kingdom)

^j South East Technological University   (Ireland)

^k British Dragonfly Society   (United Kingdom)

^l UNIV LILLE   (France)

^m Natuurpunt   (Belgium)

more..

Author keywords

Citizen science data; Detection; Distribution; JAGS; Monitoring; Odonata

Indexed keywords

BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; BIODIVERSITY; DAMSELFLY; DATA PROCESSING; ESTIMATION METHOD; GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION; NATIONAL STRATEGY; NUMERICAL MODEL; SPECIES DIVERSITY; SURVEYING;

BELGIUM; FRANCE; IRELAND; NETHERLANDS; UNITED KINGDOM;

CALOPTERYX SPLENDENS; ODONATA; ZYGOPTERA;

EID: 84874529174     PISSN: 09603115     EISSN: 15729710     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10531-013-0436-1     Document Type: Article

References (40)

1. Butchart SHM, Walpole M, Collen B, van Strien A, Scharleman JPW et al (2010) Global biodiversity: indicators of recent declines. Science 328: 1164-1168.
2. Clausnitzer V, Kalkman VJ, Ram M, Collen B, Baillie JEM, Bedjanic M, Darwall WRT, Dijkstra KB, Dowf R, Hawking J, Karube H, Malikova E, Paulson D, Schutte K, Suhling F, Villanuevam RJ, von Ellenrieder N, Wilson K (2009) Odonata enter the biodiversity crisis debate: the first global assessment of an insect group. Biol Conserv 142: 1864-1869.
3. De Heer M, Kapos V, ten Brink BJE (2005) Biodiversity trends in Europe: development and testing of a species trend indicator for evaluating progress towards the 2010 target. Philos Trans R Soc B 360: 297-308.
4. De Knijf G, Anselin A, Goffart P, Tailly M (eds) (2006) De libellen (Odonata) van België: verspreiding-evolutie-habitats [Dragonflies (Odonata) of Belgium: distribution-evolution-habitats]. Libellenwerkgroep Gomphus & Instituut voor Natuur- en Bosonderzoek, Brussel [Dutch with English abstract].
5. Dennis RLH, Thomas CD (2000) Bias in butterfly distribution maps: the influence of hot spots and recorders home range. J Insect Conserv 4: 73-77.
6. Dennis RLH, Sparks TH, Hardy BP (1999) Bias in butterfly distribution maps: the effect of sampling effort. J Insect Conserv 3: 33-42.
7. Devictor V, Whittaker RJ, Beltrame C (2010) Beyond scarcity: citizen science programmes as useful tools for conservation biogeography. Divers Distrib 16: 354-362.
8. Devictor V, van Swaay C, Brereton T, Brotons L, Chamberlain D, Heliölä J, Herrando S, Julliard R, Kuussaari M, Lindström Å, Reif J, Roy DB, Schweiger O, Settele J, Stefanescu C, van Strien A, van Turnhout C, Vermouzek Z, WallisDeVries M, Wynhoff I, Jiguet F (2012) Differences in the climatic debts of birds and butterflies at a continental scale. Nat Clim Chang. doi: 10. 1038/nclimate1347: 1-4.
9. Dingemans N, Kalkman VJ (2008) Changing temperature regimes have advanced the phenology of Odonata in NLD. Ecol Entomol 33: 394-402.
10. Dommanget JL (2002) Protocole de l'inventaire cartographique des Odonates de France (Programme INVOD). Muséum National d'Histoire Naturelle, Société française d'odonatologie, Paris.
11. Dommanget JL (2010) Complément à l'inventaire des libellules de France (Programme national de collecte des données odonatologique (Programme CILIF), Actualisation janvier 2010. Société française d'odonatologie http://www. libellules. org/protocole/cilif. html/. Accessed 15 June 2012.
12. European Environment Agency (2007) Halting the loss of biodiversity by 2010: proposal for a first set of indicators to monitor progress in Europe. EEA, Copenhagen.
13. European Union (2011) Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions. Our life insurance, our natural capital: an EU biodiversity strategy to 2020. COM(2011) 244 final, Brussels.
14. Gregory RD, van Strien A, Vorisek P, Gmelig Meyling AW, Noble DG, Foppen RPB, Gibbons DW (2005) Developing indicators for European birds. Philos Trans R Soc B 360: 269-288.
15. Hassall C (2012) Predicting the distributions of under-recorded Odonata using species distribution models. Insect Conserv Divers 5: 192-201.
16. Hassall C, Thompson DJ (2010) Accounting for recorder effort in the detection of range shifts from historical data. Methods Ecol Evol 1: 343-350.
17. Hickling R, Roy DB, Hill JK, Thomas CD (2005) A northward shift of range margins in British Odonata. Glob Chang Biol 11: 502-506.
18. Kalkman VJ, Boudot JP, Bernard R, Conze KJ, de Knijf G, Dyatlova E, Ferreira S, Jović M, Ott J, Riservato E, Sahlén G (2010) European red list of dragonflies. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
19. Kendall WL, White GC (2009) A cautionary note on substituting spatial subunits for repeated temporal sampling in studies of site occupancy. J Appl Ecol 46: 1182-1188.
20. Kéry M (2010) Introduction to WinBUGS for ecologists: a Bayesian approach to regression, ANOVA, mixed models and related analyses. Academic Press, Burlington.
21. Kéry M (2011) Towards the modelling of true species distributions. J Biogeogr 38: 617-618.
22. Kéry M, Royle JA, Schmid H, Schaub M, Volet B, Häfliger G, Zbinden N (2010) Site-occupancy distribution modeling to correct population-trend estimates derived from opportunistic observations. Conserv Biol 24: 1388-1397.
23. MacKenzie DI, Nichols JD, Royle JA, Pollock KH, Hines JE, Bailey LL (2006) Occupancy estimation and modeling: inferring patterns and dynamics of species occurrence. Elsevier, San Diego.
24. Nelson B, Ronayne C, Thompson R (2011) Ireland Red List No. 6. Damselflies & Dragonflies (Odonata). National Parks and Wildlife Service, Department of the Environment, Heritage and Local Government, Dublin.
25. Plummer M (2009) JAGS Version 1. 0. 3 manual. http://sourceforge. net/projects/mcmc-jags/. Accessed 15 June 2012.
26. Robertson MP, Cumming GS, Erasmus BFN (2010) Getting the most out of atlas data. Divers Distrib 16: 363-375.
27. Rota CT, Fletcher RJ, Dorazio RM, Betts MG (2009) Occupancy estimation and the closure assumption. J Appl Ecol 46: 1173-1181.
28. Royle JA, Dorazio RM (2008) Hierarchical modeling and inference in ecology. Academic Press, Amsterdam.
29. Royle JA, Kéry M (2007) A Bayesian state-space formulation of dynamic occupancy models. Ecol 88: 1813-1823.
30. Schmeller DS, Henry PY, Julliard R, Gruber B, Clobert J, Dziock F, Lengyel S, Nowicki P, Déri E, Budrys E, Kull T, Tali K, Bauch B, Settele J, van Swaay C, Kobler A, Babij V, Papastergiadou E, Henle K (2009) Advantages of volunteer-based biodiversity monitoring in Europe. Conserv Biol 23: 307-316.
31. Service de l'observation et des statistiques (2009) Évolution de la qualité des cours d'eau: volet macropolluants. Études et documents, SOeS et Commissariat général au développement durable, Orléans.
32. Service de l'observation et des statistiques (2010) L'environnement en France-edition 2010. Références, SOeS et Commissariat général au développement durable, Orléans.
33. Spiegelhalter D, Thomas A, Best NG (2003) WinBUGS user manual, version 1. 4. MCR Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge.
34. Szabo JK, Vesk PA, Baxter PWJ, Possingham HP (2010) Regional avian species declines estimated from volunteer-collected long-term data using list length analysis. Ecol Appl 20: 2157-2169.
35. van Strien AJ, Termaat T, Groenendijk D, Mensing V, Kéry M (2010) Site-occupancy models offer new opportunities for dragonfly monitoring based on daily species lists. Basic Appl Ecol 11: 495-503.
36. van Strien AJ, van Swaay CAM, Kéry M (2011) Metapopulation dynamics in the butterfly Hipparchia semele changed decades before occupancy declined in NLD. Ecol Appl 21: 2510-2520.
37. van Swaay CAM, Plate CL, van Strien A (2002) Monitoring butterflies in NLD: how to get unbiased indices. Proc Exper Appl Entomol NEV Amsterdam 13: 21-27.
38. van Swaay CAM, Nowicki P, Settele J, van Strien AJ (2008) Butterfly monitoring in Europe: methods, applications. Biodivers Conserv 17: 3455-3469.
39. Ward L, Mill PJ (2004) Distribution of the Banded Demoiselle Calopteryx splendens (Harris) in northern England: an example of range expansion. J Br Dragonfly Soc 20: 61-69.
40. Yoccoz NG, Nichols JD, Boulinier T (2001) Monitoring of biodiversity in space and time. TREE 16: 446-453.