The red knot (Calidris canutus rufa) decline in the western hemisphere: Is there a lemming connection?

Canadian Journal of Zoology

Volumn 91, Issue 1, 2013, Pages 13-16

  Fraser, J D ^a   Karpanty, S M ^a   Cohen, J B ^b   Truitt, B R ^c  

^a VIRGINIA POLYTECHNIC INSTITUTE AND STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK   (United States)

^c THE NATURE CONSERVANCY   (United States)

Author keywords

Alopex lagopus; Arctic; Arctic fox; Calidris canutus rufa; Cycle; Decline; Demography; Lemming; Population dynamics; Predation; Red knot; Reproductive output; Rodent

Indexed keywords

ARCTIC ENVIRONMENT; CANID; DEMOGRAPHY; ENVIRONMENTAL FACTOR; POPULATION CYCLE; POPULATION DECLINE; POPULATION DYNAMICS; PREDATION; REPRODUCTIVE PRODUCTIVITY; RODENT; WADER;

CANADA; CANADIAN ARCTIC;

ALOPEX LAGOPUS; CALIDRIS CANUTUS; CALIDRIS CANUTUS RUFA; RODENTIA; VULPES LAGOPUS;

EID: 84873600850     PISSN: 00084301     EISSN: 14803283     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1139/cjz-2012-0233     Document Type: Article

References (32)

1. Baker, A.J., González, P.M., Piersma, T., Niles, L.J., Nascimento, I.L.S., Atkinson, P.W., Clark, N.A., Minton, C.D.T., Peck, M.K., and Aarts, G. 2004. Rapid population decline in red knots: fitness consequences of decreased refuelling rates and late arrival in Delaware Bay. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B Biol. Sci. 271(1541): 875-882. doi:10.1098/rspb.2003.2663.
2. Beissinger, S.R., and Peery, M.Z. 2007. Reconstructing the historic demography of an endangered seabird. Ecology, 88(2): 296-305. doi:10.1890/06-0869. PMID:17479748.
3. Blomqvist, S., Holmgren, N., Åkesson, S., Hedenström, A., and Pettersson, J. 2002. Indirect effects of lemming cycles on sandpiper dynamics: 50 years of counts from southern Sweden. Oecologia, 133(2):146-158. doi:10.1007/s00442002-1017-2.
4. Brommer, J.E., Pietiäinen, H., Ahola, K., Karell, K., Karstinen, T., and Kolunen, H. 2010. The return of the vole cycle in southern Finland refutes the generality of loss of cycles through 'climatic forcing'. Glob. Change Biol. 16(2): 577-586. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02012.x.
5. Clark, K.E., Niles, L.J., and Burger, J. 1993. Abundance and distribution of migrant shorebirds in Delaware Bay. Condor, 95(3): 694-705. doi:10.2307/1369612.
6. Cohen, J.B., Karpanty, S.M., Fraser, J.D., Watts, B.D., and Truitt, B.R. 2009. Residence probability and population size of red knots during spring stopover in the mid-Atlantic region of the United States. J. Wildl. Manage. 73(6): 939-945. doi:10.2193/2008-042.
7. Cohen, J.B., Karpanty, S.M., Fraser, J.D., and Truitt, B.R. 2010. The effect of benthic prey abundance and size on red knot (Calidris canutus) distribution at an alternative migratory stopover site on the US Atlantic coast. J. Ornithol. 151(2): 355-364. doi:10.1007/s10336-009-0462-7.
8. Dey, A.D., Niles, L.J., Sitters, H.P., Kalasz, K., and Morrison, R.I.G. 2011. Update to the status of the Red Knot Calidris canutus in the western hemisphere, April 2011. Available from http://www.whsrn.org/sites/default/files/file/Red_Knot_status_update_2011_Dey_et_al_11_05-28.pdf [accessed 5 May 2012].
9. Elmhagen, B., Hellström, P., Angerbjörn, A., and Kindberg, J. 2011. Changes in vole and lemming fluctuations in northern Sweden 1960-2008 revealed by fox dynamics. Ann. Zool. Fenn. 48(3): 167-179. doi:10.5735/086.048.0305.
10. Elton, C.S. 1942. Voles, mice and lemmings: problems in population dynamics. Clarendon Press, Oxford.
11. Franklin, A.B., Anderson, D.R., and Burnham, K.P. 2002. Estimation of long-term trends and variation in avian survival probabilities using random effects models. J. Appl. Stat. 29(1-4): 267-287. doi:10.1080/02664760120108719.
12. Gillings, S., Atkinson, P.W., Bardsley, S.L., Clark, N.A., Love, S.E., Robinson, R.A., Stillman, R.A., and Weber, R.G. 2007. Shorebird predation on horseshoe crab eggs in Delaware Bay: species contrasts and availability constraints. J. Anim. Ecol. 76(3): 503-514. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2656.2007.01229.x.
13. Harrington, B. 2001. Red Knot (Calidris canutus). In The birds of North America. No. 563. Edited by A. Poole. The Academy of Natural Sciences, Washington, D.C., and the American Ornithologists' Union, Philadelphia, Pa. doi:10.2173/ bna.563.
14. Kausrud, K.L., Mysterud, A., Steen, H., Vik, J.O., Østbye, E., Cazelles, B., Framstad, E., Kikeset, A.M., Myerstud, I., Solhøy, T., and Stenseth, N.C. 2008. Linking climate change to lemming cycles. Nature, 456(7218): 93-97. doi: 10.1038/nature07442. PMID:18987742.
15. Krebs, C.J. 2011. Of lemmings and snowshoe hares: the ecology of northern Canada. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B Biol. Sci. 278(1705): 481-489. doi:10.1098/rspb.2010.1992.
16. Krebs, C.J., Kenney, A.J., Gilbert, S., Danell, K., Angerbjörn, A., Erlinge, S., Bromley, R.G., Shank, C., and Carriere, S. 2002. Synchrony in lemming and vole populations in the Canadian Arctic. Can. J. Zool. 80(8): 1323-1333. doi: 10.1139/z02-120.
17. Krementz, D.G., Barker, R.J., and Nichols, J.D. 1997. Sources of variation in waterfowl survival rates. Auk, 114(1): 93-102. doi:10.2307/4089068.
18. Lack, D. 1954. The natural regulation of animal numbers. Clarendon Press, Oxford.
19. Larson, S. 1960. On the influence of the arctic fox Alopex lagopus on the distribution of arctic birds. Oikos, 11(2): 276-305. doi:10.2307/3564688.
20. Mackay, G.H. 1893. Observations on the knot (Tringa canutus). Auk, 10: 25-35. Available from http://elibrary.unm.edu/sora/Auk/v010n01/p0025-p0035.pdf [accessed 14 April 2012].
21. MacKay, G.H., and Reeves, H.M. 1929. Shooting journal of George Henry MacKay. Cosmos Press, Cambridge, Mass.
22. McGowan, C.P., Hines, J.E., Nicholls, J.D., Lyons, J.E., Smith, D.R., Kalasz, K.S., Niles, L.J., Dey, A.D., Clark, N.A., Atkinson, P.W., Minton, C.D.T., and Kendall, W. 2011a. Demographic consequences of migratory stopover: linking red knot survival to horseshoe crab spawning abundance. Ecosphere, 2(6): art60. doi:10.1890/ES11-00106.1.
23. McGowan, C.P., Smith, D.R., Sweka, J.A., Martin, J., Nichols, J.D., Wong, R., Lyons, J.E., Niles, L.J., Kalasz, K., Brust, J., Klopfer, M., and Spear, B. 2011b. Multispecies modeling for adaptive management of horseshoe crabs and red knots in the Delaware Bay. Natural Resour. Model. 24(1): 117-156. doi:10.1111/ j.1939-7445.2010.00085.x.
24. Morrison, R.I.G. 1975. Migration and morphometrics of European knot and turnstone on Ellesmere Island, Canada. Bird-Banding, 46(4): 290-302. doi:10.2307/4512160.
25. Morrison, R.I.G., Ross, R.K., and Niles, L.J. 2004. Declines in wintering populations of red knots in southern South America. Condor, 106(1): 60-70. doi: 10.1650/7372.
26. Morrison, R.I.G., Davidson, N.C., and Wilson, J.R. 2007. Survival of the fattest: body stores on migration and survival of Red Knots Calidris canutus islandica. J. Avian. Biol. 38(4): 479-487. doi:10.1111/j.2007.0908-8857.03934.x.
27. Niles, L.J., Sitters, H.P., Dey, A.D., Atkinson, P.W., Baker, A.J., Bennett, K.A., Carmona, R., Clark, K.E., Clark, N.A., Espoz, C., González, P.M., Harrington, B.A., Hernandez, D.E., Kalasz, K.S., Lathrop, R.G., Matus, R.N., Minton, C.D.T., Morrison, R.I.G., Peck, M.K., Pitts, W., Robinson, R.A., and Serrano, I.L. 2008. Status of the red knot (Calidris canutus rufa) in the western hemisphere. Stud. Avian Biol. 36.
28. Niles, L.J., Bart, J., Sitters, H.P., Dey, A.D., Clark, K.E., Atkinson, P.W., Baker, A.J., Bennett, K.A., Kalasz, K.S., Clark, N.A., Clark, J., Gillings, S., Gates, A.S., González, P.M., Hernandez, D.E., Minton, C.D.T., Morrison, R.I.G., Porter, R.R., Ross, R.K., and Veitch, C.R. 2009. Effects of horseshoe crab harvest in Delaware Bay on red knots: are harvest restrictions working? Bioscience, 59(2): 153-164. doi:10.1525/bio.2009.59.2.8.
29. Ricklefs, R.E., Tsunekage, T., and Shea, R.E. 2011. Annual adult survival in several New World passerine birds based on age ratios in museum collections. J. Ornithol. 152(2): 481-495. doi:10.1007/s10336-010-0614-9.
30. Roodbergen, M., van der Werf, B., and Hötker, H. 2011. Revealing the contributions of reproduction and survival to the Europe-wide decline in meadow birds: a review and meta-analysis. J. Ornithol. 153(1): 53-74. doi:10.1007/ s10336-011-0733-y.
31. Sæther, B.E. 1989. Survival rates in relation to body weight in European birds. Ornis Scand. 20(1): 13-21. doi:10.2307/3676702.
32. Sutherland, W.J. 1988. Predation may link the cycles of lemmings and birds. Trends Ecol. Evol. 3(2): 29-30. doi:10.1016/0169-5347(88)90040-7.