Extreme fire events are related to previous-year surface moisture conditions in permafrost-underlain larch forests of Siberia

Environmental Research Letters

Volumn 7, Issue 4, 2012, Pages

  Forkel, Matthias ^a,b,c   Thonicke, Kirsten ^b   Beer, Christian ^a   Cramer, Wolfgang ^b,d   Bartalev, Sergey ^e   Schmullius, Christiane ^c  

^a MAX PLANCK INSTITUTE FOR BIOGEOCHEMISTRY   (Germany)

^b POTSDAM INSTITUTE FOR CLIMATE IMPACT RESEARCH   (Germany)

^c FRIEDRICH SCHILLER UNIVERSITY JENA   (Germany)

^d AVIGNON UNIVERSITÉ   (France)

^e Space Research Institute Russian Academy of Sciences ^*  (Russian Federation)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; FIRE HAZARDS; FIRES; GEOLOGIC MODELS; MOISTURE; PERMAFROST; THERMODYNAMICS; VEGETATION;

CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT; COMPLEX INTERACTION; COUPLED MECHANISMS; EARTH SYSTEM MODEL; FIRE WEATHER INDEX; LAND SURFACE ALBEDO; PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES; SURFACE MOISTURES;

FORESTRY;

ALBEDO; BOREAL FOREST; CLIMATE EFFECT; CONIFEROUS FOREST; FOREST FIRE; MOISTURE CONTENT; PERMAFROST; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); SATELLITE DATA; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS; THERMODYNAMICS; WILDFIRE;

FIRES; FORESTRY; GEOLOGY; HYDROLOGY; MOISTURE; PLANTS; SEASONAL VARIATION;

BAIKAL REGION; RUSSIAN FEDERATION; SIBERIA;

LARIX;

EID: 84871826260     PISSN: None     EISSN: 17489326     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044021     Document Type: Article

References (37)

1. ACIA Arctic Climate Impact Assessment 2005 Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press)
2. Balzter H et al 2005 Impact of the Arctic oscillation pattern on interannual forest fire variability in Central Siberia Geophys. Res. Lett. 32 L14709 (Pubitemid 41372617)
3. Bartalev S A, Belward A S, Erchov D V and Isaev A S 2003 A new SPOT4-VEGETATION derived land cover map of Northern Eurasia Int. J. Remote Sens. 24 1977-82 (Pubitemid 36600029)
4. Bartalev S A, Egorov V A, Loupian E A and Uvarov I A 2007 Multi-year circumpolar assessment of the area burnt in boreal ecosystems using SPOT-VEGETATION Int. J. Remote Sens. 28 1397-404 (Pubitemid 46455027)
5. Bartsch A, Baltzer H and George C 2009 The influence of regional surface soil moisture anomalies on forest fires in Siberia observed from satellites Environ. Res. Lett. 4 045021
6. Beer C, Lucht W, Gerten D, Thonicke K and Schmullius C 2007 Effects of soil freezing and thawing on vegetation carbon density in Siberia: a modeling analysis with the Lund-Potsdam-Jena Dynamic Global Vegetation Model LPJ-DGVM Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles 21 GB1012 (Pubitemid 46831865)
7. Brown J, Ferrians J A Jr, Heginbottom J A and Melnikov E S 1998 Circum-Arctic Map of Permafrost and Ground-Ice Conditions (Boulder, CO: National Snow and Ice Data Center) (http://nsidc.org/data/ggd318.html)
8. Cleveland R B, Cleveland W S, Mcrae J E and Terpenning I 1990 STL: a seasonal-trend decomposition procedure based on Loess J. Official Statist. 6 3-73
9. Dee D P et al 2011 The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 137 553-97
10. Gillett N P, Weaver A J, Zwiers F W and Flannigan M D 2004 Detecting the effect of climate change on Canadian forest fires Geophys. Res. Lett. 31 L18211 (Pubitemid 39660794)
11. Goldammer J G, Sukhinin A and Csiszar I 2005 The current fire situation in the Russian federation: implications for enhancing international and regional cooperation in the UN framework and the global programs on fire monitoring and assessment Int. For. Fire News 32 13-35
12. Jupp T E, Taylor C M, Balzter H and George C T 2006 A statistical model linking Siberian forest fire scars with early summer rainfall anomalies Geophys. Res. Lett. 33 L14701 (Pubitemid 44945880)
13. Kasischke E S and Turetsky M R 2006 Recent changes in the fire regime across the North American boreal region - spatial and temporal patterns of burning across Canada and Alaska Geophys. Res. Lett. 33 L09703 (Pubitemid 43997553)
14. Kasischke E S et al 2010 Alaska's changing fire regime - implications for the vulnerability of its boreal forests Can. J. For. Res. 40 1313-24
15. Kharuk V I, Ranson K J and Dvinskaya M L 2008 Wildfires dynamic in the larch dominance zone Geophys. Res. Lett. 35 L01402 (Pubitemid 351459818)
16. Kloster S, Mahowald N M, Randerson J T, Thornton P E, Hoffman F M, Levis S, Lawrence P J, Feddema J J, Oleson K W and Lawrence D M 2010 Fire dynamics during the 20th century simulated by the Community Land Model Biogeosciences 7 1877-902
17. Korovin G N 1996 Analysis of the distribution of forest fires Fire in Ecosystems of Boreal Eurasia (Dordrecht: Kluwer) pp 112-28
18. Lenton T M, Held H, Kriegler E, Hall J W, Lucht W, Rahmstorf S and Schellnhuber H J 2008 Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. 105 1786-93 (Pubitemid 351439417)
19. McGuire A D, Chapin III F, Walsh J E and Wirth C 2006 Integrated regional changes in arctic climate feedbacks: implications for the global climate system Annu. Rev. Environ. Res. 31 61-91 (Pubitemid 44748627)
20. Nesterov V G 1949 Gorimost' lesa i Metody eio Opredelenia (Moscow: Goslesbumaga)
21. Njoku E and Chan S 2006 Vegetation and surface roughness effects on AMSR-E land observations Remote Sens. Environ. 100 190-9 (Pubitemid 43083568)
22. Njoku E, Jackson T J, Lakshmi V, Chan T K and Nghiem S V 2003 Soil moisture retrieval from AMSR-E IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens. 41 215-29 (Pubitemid 350178126)
23. Ohta T et al 2008 Interannual variation of water balance and summer evapotranspiration in an Eastern Siberian larch forest over a 7-year period 1998-2006 Agric. For. Meteorol. 148 1941-53
24. Parisien M-A, Parks S A, Krawchuk M A, Flannigan M D, Bowman L M and Moritz M A 2010 Scale-dependent controls on the area burned in the boreal forest of Canada, 1980-2005 Ecol. Appl. 21 789-805
25. R Development Core Team 2010 R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing (www.R-project.org)
26. Rüdiger C, Calvet J-C, Gruhier C, Holmes T R H, de Jeu R A M and Wagner W 2009 An intercomparison of ERS-Scat and AMSR-E soil moisture observations with model simulations over France J. Hydrometeorol. 10 431-47
27. Skinner W R, Flannigan M D, Stocks B J, Martell D L, Wotton B M, Todd J B, Mason J A, Logan K A and Bosch E M 2002 A 500 hPa synoptic wildland fire climatology for large Canadian forest fires, 1959-1996 Theor. Appl. Climatol. 71 157-69 (Pubitemid 34246845)
28. Skinner W R, Stocks B J, Martell D L, Bonsal B and Shabbar A 1999 The association between circulation anomaliesin the mid-troposphere and area burnedby wildland fire in Canada Theor. Appl. Climatol. 63 89-105 (Pubitemid 29465174)
29. Sofronov M A and Volokitina A V 2010 Wildfire ecology in continuous permafrost Permafrost Ecosystems Sibirian Larch Forests (Dordrecht: Springer) pp 59-82
30. Soja A J, Tchebakova N M, French N H F, Flannigan M D, Shugart H H, Stocks B J, Sukhinin A I, Parfenova E I, Chapin III F S and Stackhouse P W 2007 Climate-induced boreal forest change: predictions versus current observations Glob. Planet. Change 56 274-96 (Pubitemid 46621098)
31. Stocks B J et al 1998 Climate change and forest fire potential in Russian and Canadian boreal forests Clim. Change 38 1-13 (Pubitemid 28102122)
32. Stocks B J et al 2003 Large forest fires in Canada, 1959-1997 J. Geophys. Res. 107 8149-60
33. Sugimoto A, Yanagisawa N, Naito D, Fujita N and Maximov T C 2002 Importance of permafrost as a source of water for plants in east Siberian taiga Ecol. Res. 17 493-503 (Pubitemid 41327373)
34. Tchebakova N M, Parfenova E I and Soja A J 2009 The effects of climate, permafrost and fire on vegetation change in Siberia in a changing climate Environ. Res. Lett. 4 045013
35. Thonicke K, Spessa A, Prentice I C, Harrison S P, Dong L and Carmona-Moreno C 2010 The influence of vegetation, fire spread and fire behaviour on biomass burning and trace gas emissions: results from a process-based model Biogeosciences 6 1991-2011
36. Valendik E N 1996 Temporal and spatial distribution of forest fires in Siberia Fire in Ecosystems of Boreal Eurasia (Dordrecht: Kluwer) pp 129-38
37. Venevsky S, Thonicke K, Sitch S and Cramer W 2002 Simulating fire regimes in human-dominated ecosystems: Iberian Peninsula case study Glob. Change Biol. 8 984-98