메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 43, Issue 6, 2012, Pages 753-761

Uncertainty in design flood profiles derived by hydraulic modelling

Author keywords

Design flood; Hydraulic modelling; Levee design; Uncertainty analysis

Indexed keywords

ALTERNATIVE APPROACH; DESIGN FLOOD; DESIGN FLOOD ESTIMATION; DESIGN PROFILE; DETERMINISTIC APPROACH; EXPLICIT ANALYSIS; FLOOD DEFENSE; INPUT DATAS; MODEL CALIBRATION; MODEL PARAMETERS; PO RIVER; SAFETY LEVEL; SCIENTIFIC LITERATURE; SOURCES OF UNCERTAINTY; UNCERTAINTY IN DESIGN;

EID: 84871390022     PISSN: 00291277     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2166/nh.2011.086     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (55)

References (53)
  • 2
    • 0344938261 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and equifinality in calibrating distributed roughness coefficients in a flood propagation model with limited data
    • DOI 10.1016/S0309-1708(98)00017-7, PII S0309170898000177
    • Aronica, G., Hankin, B. G. & Beven, K. J. 1998 Uncertainty and equifinality in calibrating distributed roughness coefficients in a flood propagation model with limited data. Advances in Water Resource 22, 349-365. (Pubitemid 29145483)
    • (1998) Advances in Water Resources , vol.22 , Issue.4 , pp. 349-365
    • Aronica, G.1    Hankin, B.2    Beven, K.3
  • 3
    • 11144323262 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian updating of flood inundation likelihoods conditioned on flood extent data
    • DOI 10.1002/hyp.1499
    • Bates, P. D., Horritt, M. S., Aronica, G. & Beven, K. 2004 Bayesian updating of flood inundation likelihoods conditioned on flood extent data. Hydrological Processes 18, 3347-3370. (Pubitemid 40032546)
    • (2004) Hydrological Processes , vol.18 , Issue.17 , pp. 3347-3370
    • Bates, P.D.1    Horritt, M.S.2    Aronica, G.3    Beven, K.4
  • 4
    • 33644526990 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A manifesto for the equifinality thesis
    • Beven, K. J. 2006 A manifesto for the equifinality thesis. Journal of Hydrology 320, 18-36.
    • (2006) Journal of Hydrology , vol.320 , pp. 18-36
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 5
    • 50449091346 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On doing better hydrological science
    • Beven, K. J. 2008 On doing better hydrological science. Hydrological Processes 22, 3549-3553.
    • (2008) Hydrological Processes , vol.22 , pp. 3549-3553
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 6
    • 0027009437 scopus 로고
    • The future of distributed models: Model calibration and uncertainty prediction
    • Beven, K. J. & Binley, A. M. 1992 The future of distributed models: model calibration and uncertainty prediction. Hydrological Processes 6, 279-298.
    • (1992) Hydrological Processes , vol.6 , pp. 279-298
    • Beven, K.J.1    Binley, A.M.2
  • 7
    • 0035426008 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Equifinality, data assimilation, and uncertainty estimation in mechanistic modelling of complex environmental systems using the GLUE methodology
    • DOI 10.1016/S0022-1694(01)00421-8, PII S0022169401004218
    • Beven, K. J. & Freer, J. 2001 Equifinality, data assimilation, and uncertainty estimation in mechanistic modelling of complex environmental systems. Journal of Hydrology 249, 11-29. (Pubitemid 32664993)
    • (2001) Journal of Hydrology , vol.249 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 11-29
    • Beven, K.1    Freer, J.2
  • 13
    • 0345920381 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Commission On Geosciences Environment And Resources. National Academy Press, Washington, DC
    • Commission on Geosciences Environment and Resources 2000 Risk Analysis and Uncertainty in Flood Damage Reduction Studies. National Academy Press, Washington, DC.
    • (2000) Risk Analysis and Uncertainty in Flood Damage Reduction Studies
  • 15
    • 77954152322 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Challenges in communicating and using ensembles in operational flood forecasting
    • Demeritt, D., Nobert, S. & Cloke, H. 2010 Challenges in communicating and using ensembles in operational flood forecasting. Meteorological Applications 17, 209-222.
    • (2010) Meteorological Applications , vol.17 , pp. 209-222
    • Demeritt, D.1    Nobert, S.2    Cloke, H.3
  • 16
    • 79952300675 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A hydraulic study on the applicability of flood rating curves
    • Di Baldassarre, G. & Claps, P. 2011 A hydraulic study on the applicability of flood rating curves. Hydrology Research 42, 10-19.
    • (2011) Hydrology Research , vol.42 , pp. 10-19
    • Di Baldassarre, G.1    Claps, P.2
  • 17
    • 68549083720 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probability weighted hazard maps for comparing different flood risk management strategies: A case study
    • Di Baldassarre, G., Castellarin, A., Montanari, A. & Brath, A. 2009a Probability weighted hazard maps for comparing different flood risk management strategies: a case study. Natural Hazards 50, 479-496.
    • (2009) Natural Hazards , vol.50 , pp. 479-496
    • Di Baldassarre, G.1    Castellarin, A.2    Montanari, A.3    Brath, A.4
  • 19
    • 61749103366 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A technique for the calibration of hydraulic models using uncertain satellite observations of flood extent
    • Di Baldassarre, G., Schumann, G. & Bates, P. D. 2009c A technique for the calibration of hydraulic models using uncertain satellite observations of flood extent. Journal of Hydrology 367, 276-282.
    • (2009) Journal of Hydrology , vol.367 , pp. 276-282
    • Di Baldassarre, G.1    Schumann, G.2    Bates, P.D.3
  • 20
    • 61749099214 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Near real time satellite imagery to support and verify timely flood modelling
    • Di Baldassarre, G., Schumann, G. & Bates, P. D. 2009d Near real time satellite imagery to support and verify timely flood modelling. Hydrological Processes 23, 799-803.
    • (2009) Hydrological Processes , vol.23 , pp. 799-803
    • Di Baldassarre, G.1    Schumann, G.2    Bates, P.D.3
  • 22
    • 0020269697 scopus 로고
    • Accuracy of discharge determined from a rating curve
    • Dymond, J. R. & Christian, R. 1982 Accuracy of discharge determined from a rating curve. Hydrological Sciences Journal 27, 493-504. (Pubitemid 13489739)
    • (1982) Hydrological Sciences Journal , vol.27 , Issue.4 , pp. 493-504
    • Dymond, J.R.1    Christian, R.2
  • 23
    • 0004255286 scopus 로고
    • Columbia University Press, New York
    • Gumbel, E. J. 1958 Statistics of Extremes. Columbia University Press, New York, pp. 375.
    • (1958) Statistics of Extremes , pp. 375
    • Gumbel, E.J.1
  • 24
    • 13244267147 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Distributed sensitivity analysis of flood inundation model calibration
    • DOI 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9429(2005)131:2(117)
    • Hall, J. W., Tarantolo, S., Bates, P. D. & Horritt, M. 2005 Distributed sensitivity analysis of flood inundation model calibration. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering 131, 117-126. (Pubitemid 40191047)
    • (2005) Journal of Hydraulic Engineering , vol.131 , Issue.2 , pp. 117-126
    • Hall, J.W.1    Tarantola, S.2    Bates, P.D.3    Horritt, M.S.4
  • 25
    • 0036845180 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of 1D and 2D numerical models for predicting river flood inundation
    • DOI 10.1016/S0022-1694(02)00121-X, PII S002216940200121X
    • Horritt, M. S. & Bates, P. D. 2002 Evaluation of 1-D and 2-D models for predicting river flood inundation. Journal of Hydrology 268, 87-99. (Pubitemid 35307224)
    • (2002) Journal of Hydrology , vol.268 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 87-99
    • Horritt, M.S.1    Bates, P.D.2
  • 27
    • 35248865277 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparing the performance of a 2-D finite element and a 2-D finite volume model of floodplain inundation using airborne SAR imagery
    • DOI 10.1002/hyp.6486
    • Horritt, M. S., Di Baldassarre, G., Bates, P. D. & Brath, A. 2007 Comparing the performance of 2-D finite element and finite volume models of floodplain inundation using airborne SAR imagery. Hydrological Processes 21, 2745-2759. (Pubitemid 47559598)
    • (2007) Hydrological Processes , vol.21 , Issue.20 , pp. 2745-2759
    • Horritt, M.S.1    Di Baldassarre, G.2    Bates, P.D.3    Brath, A.4
  • 28
    • 27644579703 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Utility of different data types for calibrating flood inundation models within a GLUE framework
    • Advances in Flood Forecasting
    • Hunter, N. M., Bates, P. D., Horritt, M. S., De Roo, P. J. & Werner, M. G. F. 2005 Utility of different data types for calibrating flood inundation models within a GLUE framework. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 9, 412-430. (Pubitemid 41555697)
    • (2005) Hydrology and Earth System Sciences , vol.9 , Issue.4 , pp. 412-430
    • Hunter, N.M.1    Bates, P.D.2    Horritt, M.S.3    De Roo, P.J.4    Werner, M.G.F.5
  • 30
    • 58649117068 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrologic Engineering Center. US Army Corps of Engineers, Davis, California, USA
    • Hydrologic Engineering Center 2001 Hydraulic Reference Manual. US Army Corps of Engineers, Davis, California, USA.
    • (2001) Hydraulic Reference Manual
  • 31
    • 43449136971 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrated hydrodynamic and economic modelling of flood damage in the netherlands
    • Jonkman, S. N., Bockarjovab, M., Kokc, M. & Bernardini, P. 2008 Integrated hydrodynamic and economic modelling of flood damage in the Netherlands. Ecological Economics 66, 77-90.
    • (2008) Ecological Economics , vol.66 , pp. 77-90
    • Jonkman, S.N.1    Bockarjovab, M.2    Kokc, M.3    Bernardini, P.4
  • 34
    • 0026492750 scopus 로고
    • Uncorrelated rating curve error in flood frequency inference
    • Kuczera, G. 1992 Uncorrelated rating curve error in flood frequency inference. Water Resources Research 28, 183-188.
    • (1992) Water Resources Research , vol.28 , pp. 183-188
    • Kuczera, G.1
  • 35
    • 69249129453 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model selection techniques for the frequency analysis of hydrological extremes
    • Laio, F., Di Baldassarre, G. & Montanari, A. 2009 Model selection techniques for the frequency analysis of hydrological extremes. Water Resources Research 45, W07416.
    • (2009) Water Resources Research , vol.45
    • Laio, F.1    Di Baldassarre, G.2    Montanari, A.3
  • 37
    • 33748808177 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrological forecasting uncertainty assessment: Incoherence of the GLUE methodology
    • DOI 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2006.04.046, PII S0022169406002162, Hydro-Ecological Functioning of the Pang and Lambourn Catchments, UK Results from the Lowland Catchment Research (LOCAR) Initiative
    • Mantovan, P. & Todini, E. 2006 Hydrological forecasting uncertainty assessment: incoherence of the GLUE methodology. Journal of Hydrology 330, 368-381. (Pubitemid 44528546)
    • (2006) Journal of Hydrology , vol.330 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 368-381
    • Mantovan, P.1    Todini, E.2
  • 38
    • 25844526502 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large sample behaviors of the generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (glue) in assessing the uncertainty of rainfall-runoff simulations
    • Montanari, A. 2005 Large sample behaviors of the generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) in assessing the uncertainty of rainfall-runoff simulations. Water Resources Research 41, W08406.
    • (2005) Water Resources Research , vol.41
    • Montanari, A.1
  • 39
    • 33947533125 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What do we mean by uncertainty?
    • Montanari, A. 2008 What do we mean by uncertainty? Hydrological Processes 21, 841-845.
    • (2008) Hydrological Processes , vol.21 , pp. 841-845
    • Montanari, A.1
  • 40
    • 0030588344 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Criteria for the choice of flood-routing methods in natural channels
    • Moussa, R. & Bocquillon, C. 1996 Criteria for the choice of flood-routing methods in natural channels. Journal of Hydrology 186, 1-30.
    • (1996) Journal of Hydrology , vol.186 , pp. 1-30
    • Moussa, R.1    Bocquillon, C.2
  • 41
    • 62849089954 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Distributed whole city water level measurements from the carlisle 2005 urban flood event and comparison with hydraulic model simulations
    • Neal, J. C., Bates, P. D., Fewtrell, T. J., Hunter, N. M., Wilson, M. D. & Horritt, M. S. 2009 Distributed whole city water level measurements from the Carlisle 2005 urban flood event and comparison with hydraulic model simulations. Journal of Hydrology 368, 42-55.
    • (2009) Journal of Hydrology , vol.368 , pp. 42-55
    • Neal, J.C.1    Bates, P.D.2    Fewtrell, T.J.3    Hunter, N.M.4    Wilson, M.D.5    Horritt, M.S.6
  • 42
    • 11144265759 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty in the calibration of effective roughness parameters in HEC-RAS using inundation and downstream level observations
    • DOI 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2004.06.036, PII S0022169404003294
    • Pappenberger, F., Beven, K. J., Horritt, M. & Blazkova, S. 2005 Uncertainty in the calibration of effective roughnessparameters in HEC-RAS using inundation and downstream level observations. Journal of Hydrology 302, 46-69. (Pubitemid 40020297)
    • (2005) Journal of Hydrology , vol.302 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 46-69
    • Pappenberger, F.1    Beven, K.2    Horritt, M.3    Blazkova, S.4
  • 43
    • 33745470431 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Influence of uncertain boundary conditions and model structure on flood inundation predictions
    • DOI 10.1016/j.advwatres.2005.11.012, PII S0309170805002666
    • Pappenberger, F., Matgen, P., Beven, K. J., Henry, J. B., Pfister, L. & de Fraipont, P. 2006 Influence of uncertain boundary conditions and model structure on flood inundation predictions. Advances in Water Resources 29, 1430-1449. (Pubitemid 44522816)
    • (2006) Advances in Water Resources , vol.29 , Issue.10 , pp. 1430-1449
    • Pappenberger, F.1    Matgen, P.2    Beven, K.J.3    Henry, J.-B.4    Pfister, L.5    Fraipont, P.6
  • 44
    • 36049007132 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multi-method global sensitivity analysis of flood inundation models
    • DOI 10.1016/j.advwatres.2007.04.009, PII S0309170807000747
    • Pappenberger, F., Beven, K., Ratto, M. & Matgen, P. 2008 Multi-method global sensitivity analysis of flood inundation models. Advances in Water Resources 31, 1-14. (Pubitemid 350082670)
    • (2008) Advances in Water Resources , vol.31 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-14
    • Pappenberger, F.1    Beven, K.J.2    Ratto, M.3    Matgen, P.4
  • 45
    • 2342584877 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accounting for heteroscedasticity in rating curve estimates
    • DOI 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2003.12.024, PII S0022169404000186
    • Petersen-Øverleir, A. 2004 Accounting for heteroscedasticity in rating curve estimates. Journal of Hydrology 292, 173-181. (Pubitemid 38583605)
    • (2004) Journal of Hydrology , vol.292 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 173-181
    • Petersen-Overleir, A.1
  • 46
    • 60349104052 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accounting for rating curve imprecision in flood frequency analysis using likelihood-based methods
    • Petersen-Øverleir, A. 2005 Accounting for rating curve imprecision in flood frequency analysis using likelihood-based methods. Journal of Hydrology 366, 89-100.
    • (2005) Journal of Hydrology , vol.366 , pp. 89-100
    • Petersen-Øverleir, A.1
  • 47
    • 52949112250 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Suitability of the diffusive model for dam-break simulation: Application to a cadam experiment
    • Prestininzi, P. 2008 Suitability of the diffusive model for dam-break simulation: application to a CADAM experiment. Journal of Hydrology 361, 172-185.
    • (2008) Journal of Hydrology , vol.361 , pp. 172-185
    • Prestininzi, P.1
  • 48
    • 0032054749 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamic real-Time prediction of flood inundation probabilities
    • Romanowicz, R. & Beven, K. J. 1998 Dynamic real-Time prediction of flood inundation probabilities. Hydrological Sciences Journal 43, 181-196.
    • (1998) Hydrological Sciences Journal , vol.43 , pp. 181-196
    • Romanowicz, R.1    Beven, K.J.2
  • 49
    • 1542756371 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of flood inundation probabilities as conditioned on event inundation maps
    • Romanowicz, R. & Beven, K. J. 2003 Estimation of flood inundation probabilities as conditioned on event inundation maps. Water Resources Research 39, 1073-1085.
    • (2003) Water Resources Research , vol.39 , pp. 1073-1085
    • Romanowicz, R.1    Beven, K.J.2
  • 50
    • 34548501801 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Deriving distributed roughness values from satellite radar data for flood inundation modelling
    • DOI 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.06.024, PII S0022169407003861
    • Schumann, G., Matgen, P., Pappenberger, F., Hostache, R. & Pfister, L. 2007 Deriving distributed roughness values from satellite radar data for flood inundation modelling. Journal of Hydrology 344, 96-111. (Pubitemid 47371130)
    • (2007) Journal of Hydrology , vol.344 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 96-111
    • Schumann, G.1    Matgen, P.2    Hoffmann, L.3    Hostache, R.4    Pappenberger, F.5    Pfister, L.6
  • 51
    • 0039257193 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An operational decision support system for flood risk mapping, forecasting and management
    • PII S1462075800000108
    • Todini, E. 1999 An operational decision support system for flood risk mapping, forecasting and management. Urban Water 1, 131-143. (Pubitemid 129504785)
    • (1999) Urban Water , vol.1 , Issue.2 , pp. 131-143
    • Todini, E.1
  • 53
    • 76749118526 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the calibration of hydrological models in ungauged basins: A framework for integrating hard and soft hydrological information
    • Winsemius, H. C., Schaefli, B., Montanari, A. & Savenije, H. H. G. 2009 On the calibration of hydrological models in ungauged basins: A framework for integrating hard and soft hydrological information. Water Resources Research 45, W12422.
    • (2009) Water Resources Research , vol.45
    • Winsemius, H.C.1    Schaefli, B.2    Montanari, A.3    Savenije, H.H.G.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.