A water availability and low-flow analysis of the Tagliamento River discharge in Italy under changing climate conditions

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

Volumn 16, Issue 3, 2012, Pages 1033-1045

  Gunawardhana, L N ^a   Kazama, S ^a  

^a TOHOKU UNIVERSITY   (Japan)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ANNUAL AVERAGE; ANNUAL PRECIPITATION; CHANGING CLIMATE; EXPONENTIAL RATES; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; HIGH QUALITY; LANDSAT IMAGES; LUMPED-PARAMETER; POLICY MAKERS; RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELS; RIVER BASINS; RIVER DISCHARGE; SNOW COVERS; SUMMER SEASON; TEMPORAL CHANGE; TIME-PERIODS; WATER AVAILABILITY; WATER MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES; WINTER SEASONS;

PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS; SNOW; WATER MANAGEMENT;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

CLIMATE CHANGE; EXTREME EVENT; FROST; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE; LANDSAT; LOW FLOW; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELING; RIVER DISCHARGE; SATELLITE IMAGERY; SNOW COVER; SNOWMELT; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS; TWENTY FIRST CENTURY; WARMING; WATER AVAILABILITY; WATER MANAGEMENT;

ITALY; TAGLIAMENTO RIVER;

EID: 84871295566     PISSN: 10275606     EISSN: 16077938     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/hess-16-1033-2012     Document Type: Article

References (42)

1. Ames, D. P.: Estimating 7Q10 confidence limits from data: A Bootstrap approach, J. Water Res. Pl-ASCE, 132, 204-208, 2006.
2. Beniston, M.: Environmental Change in Mountains and Uplands, Arnold/Hodder Publishers, London, UK, and Oxford University Press, New York, USA, 2000.
3. Beniston, M.: Climatic change in mountain regions: A review of possible impacts, Climatic Change, 59, 5-31, 2003. (Pubitemid 36914381)
4. Beniston, M.: Mountain climates and climatic change: An overview of processes focusing on the European Alps, Pure Appl. Geophys, 162, 1587-1606, 2005. (Pubitemid 40973989)
5. Beniston, M., Keller, F., and Goyette, S.: Snow pack in the Swiss Alps under changing climatic conditions: an empirical approach for climate impacts studies, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 74, 19-31, 2003. (Pubitemid 36238620)
6. Cooper, V. A., Nguyen, V. T. V., and Nicell, J. A.: Calibration of conceptual rainfall-runoff models using global optimisation methods with hydrologic process-based parameter constraints, J. Hydrol. 334, 455-466, 2007. (Pubitemid 46185399)
7. Diaz, H. F. and Bradley, R. S.: Temperature Variations during the Last Century at High Elevation Sites, Climatic Change, 36, 253-279, 1997. (Pubitemid 27353934)
8. Durand, Y., Laternser, M., Giraud, G., Etchevers, P., Lesaffre, B., and Merindol, L.: Reanalysis of 44 Yr of Climate in the French Alps (1958-2002): Methodology, Model Validation, Climatology, and Trends for Air Temperature and Precipitation, J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 48, 429-449, 2009.
9. EEA: Regional climate change and adaptation: The Alps facing the challenge of changing water resources, Copenhagen, Denmark, doi:10.2800/12552, 2009.
10. Erdenetuya, M., Khishigsuren, P., Davaa, G., Otgontogs, M.: Glacier change estimation using Landsat TM data, International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Science, 36, 240-243, 2006.
11. Fontaine, T., A., Cruickshank, T. S., Arnold, J. G., and Hotchkiss, R. H.: Development of a snowfall-snowmelt routine for mountainous terrain for the soil water assessment tool (SWAT), J. Hydrol., 262, 209-223, 2002. (Pubitemid 34489893)
12. Gunawardhana, L. N., Kazama, S., and Kawagoe, S.: Impact of urbanization and climate change on aquifer thermal regimes,Water Resour. Manage., 25, 3247-3276, 2011.
13. Haeberli, W. and Beniston, M.: Climate Change and its Impacts on Glaciers and Permafrost in the Alps, Ambio, 27, 258-265, 1998. (Pubitemid 28338433)
14. Hargreaves, G. H. and Samani, Z. A.: Reference crop evapotranspiration from temperature, Appl. Eng. Agric., 1, 96-99, 1985.
15. Hashino, M., Huaxia, Y., and Yoshida, H.: Studies and evaluations on interception processes during rainfall based on a tank model, J. Hydrol., 255, 1-11, 2002. (Pubitemid 34009825)
16. Hodgkins, G. A. and Dudley, R. W.: Changes in the timing of winter-spring streamflows in eastern North America, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L06402, doi:10.1029/2005GL025593, 2006.
17. Kawagoe, S., Kazama, S., and Sarukkalige, P. R.: Assessment of snowmelt triggered landslide hazard and risk in Japan, Cold Reg. Sci. Technol., 58, 120-129, 2009.
18. Kite, G. W.: A watershed model using satellite data applied to a mountain basin in Canada, J. Hydrol., 128, 157-169, 1991. (Pubitemid 21718051)
19. Kroll, C. N. and Vogel, R. M.: Probability distribution of low streamflow series in the United States, J. Hydrol. Eng., 7, 137-146, 2002. (Pubitemid 34254139)
20. Leavesley, G. H., Lichty, R. W., Troutman, B. M., and Saindon, L. G.: Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System: User's Manual, Water Resources Investigations Report 83-4238, US Geological Survey, Denver, Colorado, 1983.
21. Liggins, F., Betts, R. A., and Mcguire, B.: Projected future climate changes in the context of geological and geomorphological hazards, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, 368, 2347-2367, 2010.
22. Maeda, M. and Bergstrom, L. F.: Leaching patterns of heavy metals and nitrogen evaluated with a modified tanks-in-series model, J. Contam. Hydrol., 43, 165-185, 2000. (Pubitemid 30179710)
23. Matonse, A. H., Pierson, D. C., Frei, A., Zion, M. S., Schneiderman, E. M., Anandhi, A., Mukundan, R., and Pradhanang, S. M.: Effects of changes in snow pattern and the timing of runoff on NYC water supply system, Hydrol. Process., 25, 3278-3288, 2011.
24. Miller, N. L., Bashford, K. E., and Strem, E.: Potential impacts of climate change on California hydrology, J. Am. Water Resour. As., 39, 771-784, 2003. (Pubitemid 37060627)
25. Parry, M., Canziani, O., Palutikof, J., Linden, P. V., and Hanson, C.: Climate change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Summary for policymakers, Cambridge University Press, New York, 2007.
26. Reilly, C. F. and Kroll, C. N.: Estimation of 7-day, 10-year lowstreamflow statistics using baseflow correlation, Water Resour. Res., 39, 1236, doi:10.1029/2002WR001740, 2003.
27. Ryu, J. H., Lee, J. H., Jeong, S., Park, S. K., and Han, K.: The impacts of climate change on local hydrology and low flow frequency in the Geum River Basin, Korea, Hydrol. Process., 25, 3437-3447, 2011.
28. Salathe, E. P. Jr., Mote, P.W., andWiley, M.W.: Review of scenario selection and downscaling methods for the assessment of climate change impacts on hydrology in the United States Pacific Northwest, Int. J. Climatol., 27, 1611-1621, 2007. (Pubitemid 47604184)
29. Salinger, M. J. and Griffiths, G. M.: Trends in New Zealand daily temperature and rainfall extremes, Int. J. Climatol., 21, 1437-1452, 2001. (Pubitemid 33030931)
30. Sandvik, S. M., Heegaard, E., Elven, R., and Vandvik, V.: Responses of alpine snowbed vegetation to long-term experimental warming, Ecoscience, 11, 150-159, 2004. (Pubitemid 39052064)
31. Schaefli, B., Hingray, B., and Musy, A.: Climate change and hydropower production in the Swiss Alps: quantification of potential impacts and related modelling uncertainties, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 1191-1205, doi:10.5194/hess-11-1191-2007, 2007. (Pubitemid 46707018)
32. Schneeberger, C., Blatter, H., Abe-Ouchi, A., and Wild, M.: Modelling changes in the mass balance of glaciers of the northern hemisphere for a transient 2×CO2 scenario, J. Hydrol., 282, 145-163, 2003. (Pubitemid 37365179)
33. Semenov, M. A. and Stratonovitch, P.: Use of multi-model ensembles from climate models for assessment of climate change impacts, Climate Res., 41, 1-14, 2010.
34. STARDEX: Statistical and regional dynamical downscaling of extremes for European regions, available at: http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/projects/stardex/ reports/STARDEX FINAL REPORT.pdf (last access date: 7 March 2012), 2002.
35. Stewart, I. T.: Changes in snowpack and snowmelt runoff for key mountain regions, Hydrol. Process., 23, 78-94, 2009.
36. Sugawara, M.: Tank model, Computer models of watershed hydrology, in: Water Resources Publications, edited by: Singh, V. J., Highlands Ranch, CO, USA, 1995.
37. Tockner, K., Ward, J. V., Arscott, D. B., Edwards, P. J., Kollmann, J., Gurnell, A. M., Petts, G. E., and Maiolini, B.: The Tagliamento River: a model ecosystem of European importance, Aquat. Sci., 65, 239-253, 2003. (Pubitemid 37231542)
38. Tureyen, O. I. and Akyap, E.: A generalized non-isothermal tank model for liquid dominated geothermal reservoirs, Geothermics, 40, 50-57, 2011.
39. USEPA: DFLOW: a tool for low flow analysis in water quality models and tools. United States Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, available at: http://epa.gov/waterscience/models/dflow/flow101.cfm (last access: 5 November 2010), 2009.
40. Yokoo, Y., Kazama, S., Sawamoto, M., and Nishimura, H.: Regionalization of lumped water balance model parameters based on multiple regression, J. Hydrol., 246, 209-222, 2001. (Pubitemid 32454009)
41. Zhang, X., Srinivasan, R., Debele, B., and Hao, F.: Runoff simulation of the headwaters of the Yellow River using the SWAT model with three snowmelt algorithms, J. Am. Water Resour. As., 44, 48-61, 2008. (Pubitemid 351517609)
42. Zion, M. S., Pradhanang, S. M., Pierson, D. C., Anandhi, A., Lounsbury, D. G., Matonse, A. H., and Schneiderman, E. M.: Investigation and Modeling of winter streamflow timing and magnitude under changing climate conditions for the Catskill Mountain region, New York, USA, Hydrol. Process., 25, 3289-3301, 2011.