메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 23, Issue 2, 2012, Pages 397-417

Modeling supply-side dynamics of it components, products, and infrastructure: An empirical analysis using vector autoregression

Author keywords

Information systems and technology trends; Supply side forces; Technological change; Technology ecosystems; Technology forecasting; Time series analysis; Vector autoregression

Indexed keywords

FORECASTING; HEURISTIC METHODS; INFORMATION SYSTEMS; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING; VALUE ENGINEERING; WIRELESS AD HOC NETWORKS;

EID: 84871259473     PISSN: 10477047     EISSN: 15265536     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1287/isre.1120.0418     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (66)

References (72)
  • 1
    • 0035351895 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Demand heterogeneity and technology evolution: Implications for product and process innovation
    • Adner R, Levinthal D (2001) Demand heterogeneity and technology evolution: Implications for product and process innovation. Management Sci. 47(5):611-628.
    • (2001) Management Sci , vol.47 , Issue.5 , pp. 611-628
    • Adner, R.1    Levinthal, D.2
  • 2
    • 53349108324 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Making sense of technology trends in the information technology landscape: A design science approach
    • Adomavicius G, Bockstedt JC, Gupta A, Kauffman RJ (2008) Making sense of technology trends in the information technology landscape: A design science approach. MIS Quart. 32(4):779-809.
    • (2008) MIS Quart , vol.32 , Issue.4 , pp. 779-809
    • Adomavicius, G.1    Bockstedt, J.C.2    Gupta, A.3    Kauffman, R.J.4
  • 5
    • 84936823811 scopus 로고
    • Technology diffusion and organizational learning: The case of business computing
    • Attewell P (1992) Technology diffusion and organizational learning: The case of business computing. Organ. Sci. 3(1):1-19.
    • (1992) Organ. Sci. , vol.3 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-19
    • Attewell, P.1
  • 6
    • 84936156496 scopus 로고
    • The Canadian-U S. exchange rate: Evidence from a vector autoregression
    • Backus D (1986) The Canadian-U.S. exchange rate: Evidence from a vector autoregression. Rev. Econom. Statist. 68(4):628-637.
    • (1986) Rev. Econom. Statist. , vol.68 , Issue.4 , pp. 628-637
    • Backus, D.1
  • 8
    • 0001202221 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting sales of new contingent products: An application of the compact disc market
    • Bayus BL (1987) Forecasting sales of new contingent products: An application of the compact disc market. J. Product Innovation Management 4(4):243-55.
    • (1987) J. Product Innovation Management , vol.4 , Issue.4 , pp. 243-255
    • Bayus, B.L.1
  • 10
    • 0031268642 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Intraday volatility in international stock index futures markets: Meteor showers or heat waves?
    • Booth GG, Chowdhury M, Martikainen T, Tse Y (1997) Intraday volatility in international stock index futures markets: Meteor showers or heat waves? Management Sci. 43(11):1564-1576.
    • (1997) Management Sci , vol.43 , Issue.11 , pp. 1564-1576
    • Booth, G.G.1    Chowdhury, M.2    Martikainen, T.3    Tse, Y.4
  • 12
    • 0000739025 scopus 로고
    • The co-diffusion of complementary innovations: Supermarket scanners and UPC symbols
    • Bucklin LP, Sengupta S (1993) The co-diffusion of complementary innovations: Supermarket scanners and UPC symbols. J. Product Innovation Management 10(2):148-60.
    • (1993) J. Product Innovation Management , vol.10 , Issue.2 , pp. 148-160
    • Bucklin, L.P.1    Sengupta, S.2
  • 13
    • 0010245399 scopus 로고
    • Levels of organization, downward causation, and the selection-theory approach to evolutionary epistemology
    • Greenberg G, Tobach E, eds. (Lawrence Erlbaum, Hillsdale, NY)
    • Campbell DT (1990) Levels of organization, downward causation, and the selection-theory approach to evolutionary epistemology. Greenberg G, Tobach E, eds. Theories of the Evolution of Knowing (Lawrence Erlbaum, Hillsdale, NY), 1-17.
    • (1990) Theories of the Evolution of Knowing , pp. 1-17
    • Campbell, D.T.1
  • 14
    • 84977717068 scopus 로고
    • Stock prices, earnings, and expected dividends
    • Campbell JY, Shiller RJ (1988) Stock prices, earnings, and expected dividends. J. Fin. 43(3):661-676.
    • (1988) J. Fin. , vol.43 , Issue.3 , pp. 661-676
    • Campbell, J.Y.1    Shiller, R.J.2
  • 16
    • 0000847273 scopus 로고
    • A theoretical macroeconomics: A critique
    • Cooley T, LeRoy S (1985) A theoretical macroeconomics: A critique. J. Monet. Econ. 16(3):283-308.
    • (1985) J. Monet. Econ. , vol.16 , Issue.3 , pp. 283-308
    • Cooley, T.1    LeRoy, S.2
  • 17
    • 23044529606 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exploring the supply-side if IT outsourcing: Evaluating the emerging role of application service providers
    • Currie WL, Seltsikas P (2001) Exploring the supply-side if IT outsourcing: Evaluating the emerging role of application service providers. Eur. J. Inform. Systems 10(3):123-134.
    • (2001) Eur. J. Inform. Systems , vol.10 , Issue.3 , pp. 123-134
    • Currie, W.L.1    Seltsikas, P.2
  • 18
    • 0037973174 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Business models for internet-based B2B electronic markets
    • Dai Q, Kauffman RJ (2002) Business models for internet-based B2B electronic markets. Int'l J. Electronic Commerce 6(4):41-72.
    • (2002) Int'l J. Electronic Commerce , vol.6 , Issue.4 , pp. 41-72
    • Dai, Q.1    Kauffman, R.J.2
  • 20
    • 0012651592 scopus 로고
    • Technological paradigms and technological trajectories
    • Dosi G (1982) Technological paradigms and technological trajectories. Res. Policy 11(3):147-162.
    • (1982) Res. Policy , vol.11 , Issue.3 , pp. 147-162
    • Dosi, G.1
  • 21
    • 78650014134 scopus 로고
    • Testing for serial correlation in least squares regression
    • Durbin J, Watson GS (1950) Testing for serial correlation in least squares regression, I. Biometrika 37(3/4):409-428.
    • (1950) I. Biometrika , vol.37 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 409-428
    • Durbin, J.1    Watson, G.S.2
  • 23
    • 84899010374 scopus 로고
    • Causality between transnational terrorism and tourism: The case of Spain
    • Enders W, Sandler T (1991) Causality between transnational terrorism and tourism: The case of Spain. Terrorism 14(1):49-58.
    • (1991) Terrorism , vol.14 , Issue.1 , pp. 49-58
    • Enders, W.1    Sandler, T.2
  • 24
    • 0000013567 scopus 로고
    • Co-integration and error-correction: Representation, estimation, and testing
    • Engle RF, Granger CWJ (1987) Co-integration and error-correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica 55(2): 251-276.
    • (1987) Econometrica , vol.55 , Issue.2 , pp. 251-276
    • Engle, R.F.1    Granger, C.W.J.2
  • 25
    • 1642361663 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modularity and innovation in complex systems
    • Ethiraj SK, Levinthal D (2004) Modularity and innovation in complex systems. Management Sci. 50(2):159-173.
    • (2004) Management Sci , vol.50 , Issue.2 , pp. 159-173
    • Ethiraj, S.K.1    Levinthal, D.2
  • 26
    • 0000232275 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The illusory diffusion of innovation: An examination of assimilation gaps
    • Fichman RG, Kemerer CF (1999) The illusory diffusion of innovation: An examination of assimilation gaps. Inform. Systems Res. 10(3):255-275.
    • (1999) Inform. Systems Res. , vol.10 , Issue.3 , pp. 255-275
    • Fichman, R.G.1    Kemerer, C.F.2
  • 27
    • 22544443646 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The corporate digital divide: Determinants of Internet adoption
    • Forman C (2005) The corporate digital divide: Determinants of Internet adoption. Management Sci. 51(4):641-654.
    • (2005) Management Sci , vol.51 , Issue.4 , pp. 641-654
    • Forman, C.1
  • 28
    • 84929066042 scopus 로고
    • Vector autoregression and the study of politics Amer
    • Freeman JR, Williams JT, Lin T (1989) Vector autoregression and the study of politics. Amer. J. Political Sci. 33(4):842-877.
    • (1989) J. Political Sci. , vol.33 , Issue.4 , pp. 842-877
    • Freeman, J.R.1    Williams, J.T.2    Lin, T.3
  • 29
    • 77954905330 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technological change within hierarchies: The case of the music industry Econom
    • Funk J (2007) Technological change within hierarchies: The case of the music industry. Econom. Innovation and New Tech. 16(1):1-16.
    • (2007) Innovation and New Tech , vol.16 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-16
    • Funk, J.1
  • 30
    • 0000418290 scopus 로고
    • Technology diffusion: An empirical test of competitive effects
    • Gatignon H, Robertson, TS (1989) Technology diffusion: An empirical test of competitive effects. J. Marketing 53(1):35-49.
    • (1989) J. Marketing , vol.53 , Issue.1 , pp. 35-49
    • Gatignon, H.1    Robertson, T.S.2
  • 31
    • 84979403272 scopus 로고
    • Combining VAR estimation and state space model reduction for simple good predictions
    • Gilbert PD (1995) Combining VAR estimation and state space model reduction for simple good predictions. J. Forecasting 14(3):229-250.
    • (1995) J. Forecasting , vol.14 , Issue.3 , pp. 229-250
    • Gilbert, P.D.1
  • 32
    • 0000351727 scopus 로고
    • Investigating causal relationships by econometric models and cross-spectral methods
    • Granger CWJ (1969) Investigating causal relationships by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica 37(3):424-438.
    • (1969) Econometrica , vol.37 , Issue.3 , pp. 424-438
    • Granger, C.W.J.1
  • 33
    • 0004296209 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • (Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ)
    • Greene WH (2003) Econometric Analysis (Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ)
    • (2003) Econometric Analysis
    • Greene, W.H.1
  • 34
    • 0031524058 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical evidence on Swanson's Tri-Core model of information systems innovation
    • Grover V, Fiedler K, Teng J (1997) Empirical evidence on Swanson's Tri-Core model of information systems innovation. Inform. Systems Res. 8(3):273-287.
    • (1997) Inform. Systems Res. , vol.8 , Issue.3 , pp. 273-287
    • Grover, V.1    Fiedler, K.2    Teng, J.3
  • 36
    • 0001511053 scopus 로고
    • Architectural innovation: The reconfiguration of existing product technologies and the failure of existing firms
    • Henderson R, Clark KB (1990) Architectural innovation: The reconfiguration of existing product technologies and the failure of existing firms. Admin. Sci. Quart. 35(1):9-30.
    • (1990) Admin. Sci. Quart. , vol.35 , Issue.1 , pp. 9-30
    • Henderson, R.1    Clark, K.B.2
  • 37
    • 0004167186 scopus 로고
    • (Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore)
    • Hughes TP (1983) Networks of Power (Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore)
    • (1983) Networks of Power
    • Hughes, T.P.1
  • 38
    • 0040621644 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trajectories in the evolution of technology: A multi-level study of competition in Formula 1 racing
    • Jenkins M, Floyd S (2001) Trajectories in the evolution of technology: A multi-level study of competition in Formula 1 racing. Organ. Stud. 22(6):945-969.
    • (2001) Organ. Stud. , vol.22 , Issue.6 , pp. 945-969
    • Jenkins, M.1    Floyd, S.2
  • 39
    • 0002981164 scopus 로고
    • Systems competition and network effects
    • Katz ML, Shapiro C (1994) Systems competition and network effects. J. Econom. Perspectives 8(2):93-115.
    • (1994) J. Econom. Perspectives , vol.8 , Issue.2 , pp. 93-115
    • Katz, M.L.1    Shapiro, C.2
  • 41
    • 2842559071 scopus 로고
    • Networks and innovation in a modular system: Lessons from the microcomputer and stereo component industries
    • Langlois RN, Robertson PL (1992) Networks and innovation in a modular system: Lessons from the microcomputer and stereo component industries. Res. Policy 21(4):297-313.
    • (1992) Res. Policy , vol.21 , Issue.4 , pp. 297-313
    • Langlois, R.N.1    Robertson, P.L.2
  • 42
    • 0342274889 scopus 로고
    • Working Paper 115, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, MN. Accessed February 16, 2002
    • Litterman RB (1979) Techniques of forecasting using vector autoregression. Working Paper 115, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, MN. Accessed February 16, 2002, http://www. minneapolisfed.org/research/WP/WP115.pdf.
    • (1979) Techniques of forecasting using vector autoregression
    • Litterman, R.B.1
  • 45
    • 9744227977 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The disruptive nature of information technology innovations: The case of Internet computing in systems development organizations
    • Lyytinen K, Rose GM (2003) The disruptive nature of information technology innovations: The case of Internet computing in systems development organizations. MIS Quart. 27(4):557-595.
    • (2003) MIS Quart , vol.27 , Issue.4 , pp. 557-595
    • Lyytinen, K.1    Rose, G.M.2
  • 46
    • 84952493522 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting accuracy of alternative techniques: A comparison of U S. macroeconomic forecasts
    • McNees S (1986) Forecasting accuracy of alternative techniques: A comparison of U.S. macroeconomic forecasts. J. Bus. Econom. Statist. 4(1):5-15.
    • (1986) J. Bus. Econom. Statist. , vol.4 , Issue.1 , pp. 5-15
    • McNees, S.1
  • 47
    • 0000663579 scopus 로고
    • The role of judgment in macroeconomic forecasting accuracy
    • McNees S (1990) The role of judgment in macroeconomic forecasting accuracy. Int'l J. Forecasting 6(3):287-299.
    • (1990) Int'l J. Forecasting , vol.6 , Issue.3 , pp. 287-299
    • McNees, S.1
  • 48
    • 33747151599 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Toward a systemic framework for research on dominant designs, technological innovations, and industrial change
    • Murmann JP, Frenken K (2006) Toward a systemic framework for research on dominant designs, technological innovations, and industrial change. Res. Policy 35(7):925-952.
    • (2006) Res. Policy , vol.35 , Issue.7 , pp. 925-952
    • Murmann, J.P.1    Frenken, K.2
  • 49
    • 29744454469 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical analysis of indirect network effects in the market for personal digital assistants
    • Nair H, Chintagunta P, Dube JP (2004) Empirical analysis of indirect network effects in the market for personal digital assistants. Quant. Marketing Econom. 2(1):23-58.
    • (2004) Quant. Marketing Econom. , vol.2 , Issue.1 , pp. 23-58
    • Nair, H.1    Chintagunta, P.2    Dube, J.P.3
  • 50
    • 0002474259 scopus 로고
    • Recent evolutionary theorizing about economic change
    • Nelson RR (1995) Recent evolutionary theorizing about economic change. J. Econ. Lit. 33(1):48-90.
    • (1995) J. Econ. Lit. , vol.33 , Issue.1 , pp. 48-90
    • Nelson, R.R.1
  • 51
    • 84993845578 scopus 로고
    • Three econometric methodologies: A critical appraisal
    • Pagan AR (1987) Three econometric methodologies: A critical appraisal. J. Econom. Surveys 1(1):3-24.
    • (1987) J. Econom. Surveys , vol.1 , Issue.1 , pp. 3-24
    • Pagan, A.R.1
  • 52
    • 0009250551 scopus 로고
    • Three econometric methodologies: An update
    • Oxley L. et al. eds (Basil Blackwell, Oxford, UK)
    • Pagan AR (1995) Three econometric methodologies: An update. Oxley L. et al. eds. Surveys in Econometrics (Basil Blackwell, Oxford, UK), 30-41.
    • (1995) Surveys in Econometrics , pp. 30-41
    • Pagan, A.R.1
  • 53
    • 84954756965 scopus 로고
    • The direction of technological change: Inducement mechanisms and focusing devices Econom
    • Rosenberg N (1969) The direction of technological change: Inducement mechanisms and focusing devices. Econom. Development and Cultural Change 18(1):1-24.
    • (1969) Development and Cultural Change , vol.18 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-24
    • Rosenberg, N.1
  • 54
    • 0011319552 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the complexity of technological evolution: Exploring coevolution within and across hierarchical levels in optical disc technology
    • Honor of D. T. Campbell.Baum J, McKelvey W, eds. (Sage, Thousand Oaks, CA)
    • Rosenkopf L, Nerkar A (1999) On the complexity of technological evolution: Exploring coevolution within and across hierarchical levels in optical disc technology. Baum J, McKelvey W, eds. Variations in Organization Science: In Honor of D. T. Campbell (Sage, Thousand Oaks, CA), 169-183.
    • (1999) Variations in Organization Science , pp. 169-183
    • Rosenkopf, L.1    Nerkar, A.2
  • 55
    • 84952537547 scopus 로고
    • Vector autoregression and reality J
    • Runkle DE (1987) Vector autoregression and reality J. Bus. Econom. Statist. 5(4):437-454.
    • (1987) Bus. Econom. Statist. , vol.5 , Issue.4 , pp. 437-454
    • Runkle, D.E.1
  • 56
    • 0002684960 scopus 로고
    • Technological guideposts and innovation avenues
    • Sahal D (1985) Technological guideposts and innovation avenues. Res. Policy 14(2):61-82.
    • (1985) Res. Policy , vol.14 , Issue.2 , pp. 61-82
    • Sahal, D.1
  • 57
    • 0343167506 scopus 로고
    • Vector autoregressive forecasts of recession and recovery: Is less more? Econom
    • Schlegel G (1985) Vector autoregressive forecasts of recession and recovery: Is less more? Econom. Rev. 26(Q2):1-12.
    • (1985) Rev , vol.26 , Issue.Q2 , pp. 1-12
    • Schlegel, G.1
  • 58
    • 0000790263 scopus 로고
    • The architecture of complexity: Hierarchic systems
    • Simon HA (1962) The architecture of complexity: Hierarchic systems. Proc. Amer. Philosophical Soc. 106(6):467-482.
    • (1962) Proc. Amer. Philosophical Soc. , vol.106 , Issue.6 , pp. 467-482
    • Simon, H.A.1
  • 60
    • 0000997472 scopus 로고
    • Macroeconomics and reality
    • Sims CA (1980) Macroeconomics and reality. Econometrica 48(1): 1-47.
    • (1980) Econometrica , vol.48 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-47
    • Sims, C.A.1
  • 61
    • 44049115762 scopus 로고
    • Interpreting the macroeconomic time series facts: The effects of monetary policy
    • Sims CA (1992) Interpreting the macroeconomic time series facts: The effects of monetary policy. Euro. Econom. Rev. 36(5): 975-1011.
    • (1992) Euro. Econom. Rev. , vol.36 , Issue.5 , pp. 975-1011
    • Sims, C.A.1
  • 62
    • 0000745315 scopus 로고
    • Inference in linear time series models with some unit roots
    • Sims CA, Stock JH, Watson MW (1990) Inference in linear time series models with some unit roots. Econometrica 58(1):113-144.
    • (1990) Econometrica , vol.58 , Issue.1 , pp. 113-144
    • Sims, C.A.1    Stock, J.H.2    Watson, M.W.3
  • 63
    • 0036112997 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Israeli military actions and internalization-externalization processes
    • Sprecher C, DeRouen Jr. K (2002) Israeli military actions and internalization-externalization processes. J. Conflict Resolution 46(2): 244-259.
    • (2002) J. Conflict Resolution , vol.46 , Issue.2 , pp. 244-259
    • Sprecher, C.1    DeRouen Jr., K.2
  • 66
    • 0028494782 scopus 로고
    • Information systems innovation among organizations
    • Swanson EB (1994) Information systems innovation among organizations. Man. Sci. 40(9):1069-1092.
    • (1994) Man. Sci. , vol.40 , Issue.9 , pp. 1069-1092
    • Swanson, E.B.1
  • 67
    • 0031512927 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The organizing vision of information systems innovation
    • Swanson EB, Ramiller NC (1997) The organizing vision of information systems innovation. Organ. Sci. 8(5):458-474.
    • (1997) Organ. Sci. , vol.8 , Issue.5 , pp. 458-474
    • Swanson, E.B.1    Ramiller, N.C.2
  • 70
    • 0008850808 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dominant designs, technology cycles, and organizational outcomes
    • Tushman ML, Murmann JP (1998) Dominant designs, technology cycles, and organizational outcomes. Res. Organ. Behav. 20:231-266.
    • (1998) Res. Organ. Behav. , vol.20 , pp. 231-266
    • Tushman, M.L.1    Murmann, J.P.2
  • 71
    • 21844507587 scopus 로고
    • On the organizational determinants of technological change: Toward a sociology of technological evolution
    • Tushman ML, Rosenkopf L (1992) On the organizational determinants of technological change: Toward a sociology of technological evolution. Res. Organ. Behav. 14:311-347.
    • (1992) Res. Organ. Behav. , vol.14 , pp. 311-347
    • Tushman, M.L.1    Rosenkopf, L.2
  • 72
    • 0000019603 scopus 로고
    • An examination of push-pull theory applied to process innovation in knowledge work
    • Zmud RW (1984) An examination of "push-pull" theory applied to process innovation in knowledge work. Management Sci. 30(6):727-738.
    • (1984) Management Sci , vol.30 , Issue.6 , pp. 727-738
    • Zmud, R.W.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.