Strengthening of the hydrological cycle in future scenarios: Atmospheric energy and water balance perspective

Earth System Dynamics

Volumn 3, Issue 2, 2012, Pages 199-212

  Alessandri, A ^a,f   Fogli, P G ^b   Vichi, M ^b,e   Zeng, N ^c,d  

^a ENEA   (Italy)

^b CENTRO EURO MEDITERRANEO SUI CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI   (Italy)

^c Bldg 142   (United States)

^d UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND   (United States)

^e ISTITUTO NAZIONALE DI GEOFISICA E VULCANOLOGIA   (Italy)

^f UNIVERSITY OF HAWAII   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

20TH CENTURY; ATMOSPHERIC ABSORPTION; ATMOSPHERIC CONCENTRATION; ATMOSPHERIC ENERGY; ATMOSPHERIC WATER; BOWEN RATIO; EARTH SYSTEM MODEL; ENERGY PRODUCTIONS; FUTURE CLIMATE; GLOBAL PRECIPITATION; HISTORICAL PERIODS; HYDROLOGICAL CYCLES; MITIGATION POLICIES; RADIATIVE COOLING; RADIATIVE FORCINGS; SPECIAL REPORT ON EMISSIONS SCENARIOS; SULFATE AEROSOLS; SURFACE FLUX; WATER EQUATIONS; FUTURE CLIMATE SCENARIOS;

AEROSOLS; ATMOSPHERIC RADIATION; COMPUTER SIMULATION; FOSSIL FUELS; PRECIPITATION (METEOROLOGY); STABILIZATION; SURFACE MEASUREMENT;

GLOBAL WARMING;

AEROSOL; AIR TEMPERATURE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; CONCENTRATION (COMPOSITION); ENERGY BALANCE; GLOBAL WARMING; HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE; LATENT HEAT FLUX; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); RADIATIVE FORCING; SENSIBLE HEAT FLUX; TWENTIETH CENTURY; TWENTY FIRST CENTURY; WATER BUDGET; AEROSOL COMPOSITION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE PREDICTION; FUTURE PROSPECT; PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; TEMPERATURE PROFILE; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 84870608959     PISSN: 21904979     EISSN: 21904987     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/esd-3-199-2012     Document Type: Review

References (45)

1. Alessandri, A.: Effects of Land Surface and Vegetation Processes on the Climate Simulated by an Atmospheric General Circulation Model, PhD Thesis in Geophysics, Bologna University Alma Mater Studiorum, 114 pp., 2006.
2. Alessandri, A., Gualdi, S., Polcher, J., and Navarra, A.: Effects of Land Surface-Vegetation on the Boreal Summer Surface Climate of a GCM, J. Climate, 20, 255-277, 2007.
3. Andrews, T., Forster, P. M., and Gregory, J. M.: A surface energy perspective on climate change, J. Climate, 22, 2557-2570, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2759.1, 2009.
4. Andrews, T., Forster, P. M., Boucher, O., and Bellouin, N.: Precipitation, radiative forcing and global temperature change, Geophys. Res. Lett, 37, L14701, doi:10.1029/2010GL043991, 2010.
5. Bouwman, L., Kram, T., and Klein-Goldewijk, K.: Integrated Modelling of Global Environmental Change. An Overview of IMAGE 2.4, Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, 2006.
6. Boucher, O. and Pham, M.: History of sulfate aerosol radiative forcings, Geophys. Res. Lett, 29, 1308, doi:10.1029/2001GL014048, 2002.
7. 2 partial pressure on the global distribution of C-4 grasses: present, past, and future, OECOLOGIA, 114, 441-454, 1998.
8. Douville, H., Salas-Melia, D., and Tyteca, S.: On the tropical origin of uncertainties in the global land precipitation response to global warming, Clim. Dynam, 26, 367-385, 2006. (Pubitemid 43224994)
9. Ducoudré, N., Laval, K., and Perrier, A.: SECHIBA, a New Set of Parameterizations of the Hydrologie Exchanges of the LandAtmosphere Interface within the LMD Atmospheric General Circulation Model, J. Climate, 6, 248-273, 1993.
10. Feichter, J., Roeckner, E., Lohmann, U., and Liepert, B.: Nonlinear aspects of the climate response to greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing, J. Climate, 17, 2384-2398, 2004. (Pubitemid 38945788)
11. Fogli, P G., Manzini, E., Vichi, M., Alessandri, A., Gualdi, S., Scoccimarro, E., Masina, S., and Navarra, A.: INGV-CMCC Carbon: A Carbon Cycle Earth System Model, CMCC Tech. Rep. RP0061, http://www. cmcc.it/publications- meetings/publications/research-papers/ rp0061-ingv-cmcc-carbon-icc-a-carbon- cycle-earth-system-model (last access: June 2012), 2009.
12. Hibbard, K. A., Meehl, G. A., Cox, P. M., and Friedlingstein, P.: A strategy for climate change stabilization experiments, EOS Trans AGU, 88, 217-221,2007.
13. Huntington, T. G.: Evidence for intensification of the global water cycle: review and synthesis, J. Hydrol, 319, 83-95, 2006.
14. Hartman, D. L.: Global Physical Climatology, International Geophysics Series, edited by: Dmowska, R. and Holton, J. R., Academic Press, 56, 411 pp., 1994.
15. Held, I. M. and Soden, B. J.: Robust responses of the hydrological cycle to global warming, J. Climate, 19, 5686-5699, 2006. (Pubitemid 44817044)
16. Johns, T C., Royer, J.-F, Hoschei, J.I, Huebener, H., Roeckner, E., Manzini, E., May, W., Dufresne,J.-L., Ottera, O. H., van Vuuren, D. P., Salas y Melia, D., Giorgetta, M. A., Denvil, S., Yang, S., Fogli, P G., Körper, J., Tjiputra, J. F., Stehfest, E., and Hewitt, C. D.: Climate change under aggressive mitigation: the ENSEMBLES multi-model experiment, Clim. Dynam, 37, 1975-2003, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1005-5, 2011.
17. Kiehl, J. T., Schneider, T. L., Portmann, R. W., and Solomon, S.: Climate forcing due to tropospheric and stratospheric ozone, J. Geophys. Res, 104, 31239-31254, 1999.
18. Lambert, F. H. and Webb, M. J.: Dependency of global mean precipitation on surface temperature, Geophys. Res. Lett, 35, L16706, doi:10.1029/ 2008GL034838, 2008.
19. Liepert, B. G., and Previdi, M.: Do models and observations disagree on the rainfall response to global warming?, J. Climate, 22,3156-3166,2009.
20. Liepert, B. G. and Previdi, M.: Inter-model variability and biases of the global water cycle in CMIP3 coupled climate models, Environ. Res. Lett, 7, 014006, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/l/014006, 2012.
21. Liepert, B. G., Feichter, J., Lohmann, U., and Roeckner, E.: Can aerosols spin down the water cycle in a warmer and moister world?, Geophys. Res. Lett, 31, L06207, doi:10.1029/2003GL019060, 2004.
22. Lohmann, U. and Roeckner, E.: Design and performance of a new cloud microphysics scheme developed for the ECHAM4 general circulation model, Clim. Dynam, 12, 557-572, 1996.
23. Lucarini, V and Ragone, F.: Energetics of Climate Models: Net Energy Balance and Meridional Enthalpy Transports, Rev. Geophys, 49, RGlOl, doi:10.1029/2009RG000323, 2011.
24. Lucarini, V., Danihlik, R., Kriegerova, I., and Speranza, A.: Hydrological cycle in the Danube basin in present-day and XXII century simulations by IPCCAR4 global climate models, J. Geophys. Res, 113, D09107, doi:10.1029/2007JD009167, 2008.
25. Madec, G., Delecluse, P., Imbard, M., and Levy, C.: OPA version 8.1 Ocean General Circulation Model reference manual, Technical report, LODYC/IPSL Note 11, 1998.
26. Mariotti, A., Struglia, M. V., Zeng, N., and Lau, K.-M.: The Hydrological Cycle in the Mediterranean Region and Implications for the Water Budget of the Mediterranean Sea, I. Climate, 15, 1674-1690,2001.
27. Nakicenovic, N. and Swart, R. (Eds.): Special Report on Emissions Scenarios. A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 728 pp., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, ISBN 0521804930, 2000.
28. Peixoto,J. P. and Oort, A. H.: Physics of climate; American Institute of Physics (AIP), New York, 1992.
29. Polcher,J, McAvaney, B., Viterbo, P., Gaertner, M.-A., Hahmann, A., Mahfouf, J.-F, Noilhan, J., Phillips, T., Pitman, A., Schlosser, C. A., Schulz, J.-P., Timbal, B., Verseghy, D., and Xue, Y.: A proposal for a general interface between land-surface schemes and general circulation models, Global Planet. Change, 19, 261-276, 1998. (Pubitemid 28490047)
30. Roeckner, E., Bauml, G., Bonaventura, L., Brokopf, R., Esch, M., Giorgetta, M., Hagemann, S., Kirchner, I., Kornblueh, L., Manzini, E., Rhodin, A., Schlese, U., Schulzweida, U., and Tompkins, A.: The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM5. Part I: Model description. Rep. No. 349, Max-PlanckInstitut für Meteorologie, Hamburg, Germany, 127 pp., 2003.
31. Sutton, R. T., Dong, B., and Gregory, J. M.: Land/sea warming ratio in response to climate change: IPCC AR4 model results and comparison with observations, Geophys. Res. Lett, 34, L02701, doi:10.1029/2006GL028164, 2007.
32. Tanre, D., Geleyn, J., and Slingo, J.: First results of the introduction of an advanced aerosol-radiation interaction in ECMWF low resolution global model, in Aerosols and Their Climatic Effects, edited by: Gerber, H. and Deepak, A., 133-177, A. Deepak, Hampton, Va, 1984.
33. Timmermann, R., Goosse, H., Madec, G., Fichefet, T., Etheb, C., and Duliere, V.: On the representation of high latitude processes in the ORCA-LIM global coupled sea ice ocean model, Ocean Modell, 8, 175-201,2005. (Pubitemid 38994781)
34. Trenberth, K. E.: Changes in precipitation with climate change, Clim. Res, 47, 123-138, doi:10.3354/cr00953, 2011.
35. Trenberth, K. E. and Shea, D. I.: Relationship between precipitation and surface temperature, Geophys. Res. Lett, 32, L14703, doi:10.1029/2005GL022760, 2005.
36. Trenberth, K. E, Caron, J. M., and Stepaniak, D. P.: The atmospheric energy budget and implications for surface fluxes and ocean heat transports, Clim. Dynam, 17, 259-276, 2001. (Pubitemid 32849576)
37. Trenberth, K. E., Iones, P. D., Ambenje, P., Bojariu, R., Easterling, D., Klein Tank, A, Parker, D., Rahimzadeh, F., Renwick, J. A., Rusticucci, M., Soden, B., and Zhai, P.: Observations: Surface and Atmospheric Climate Changen in: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Solomon, S, Qin, D, Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M, and Miller, H. L, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 2007.
38. Valcke, S.: OASIS3 User Guide (prism-2-5), PRISM Report No 2, 6th Edn, CERFACS, Toulouse, France, 64 pp., 2006.
39. van Oldenborgh, G. J., Doblas-Reyes, F.-J., Wouters, B., Hazeleger, and W.: Decadal prediction skill in a multi-model ensemble, Clim. Dynam, 38, 7-8, 1263-1280, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1313-4,2012.
40. van Vuuren, D., den Elzen, M., Lucas, P., Eickhout, B., Strengers, B. van Ruijven, B., Wonink, S., and van Houdt, R.: Stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations at low levels: an assessment of reduction strategies and costs, Clim. Change, 81, 119-159, doi:10.1007/sl0584-006-9172-9, 2007. (Pubitemid 46348672)
41. Vichi, M., Pinardi, N., and Masina, S.: A generalized model of pelagic biogeochemistry for the global ocean ecosystem. Part I: theory,J. Mar. Sys, 64, 89-109, 2007a. (Pubitemid 44854470)
42. Vichi, M, Masina, S, and Navarra, A.: A generalized model of pelagic biogeochemistry for the global ocean ecosystem. Part II: numerical simulations, J. Mar. Sys, 801, 110-134, 2007b. (Pubitemid 44854471)
43. Vichi, M., Manzini, E., Fogli, P. G., Alessandri, A., Patara, L., Scoccimarro, E., Masina, S., and Navarra, A.: Global and regional ocean carbon uptake and climate change: Sensitivity to an aggressive mitigation scenario, Clim. Dynam, 37, 1929-1947, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1079-0, 2011.
44. Wentz, F. J., Ricciardulli, L., Hilburn, K. A., and Mears, C. A.: How Much More Rain Will Global Warming Bring?, Science, 317, 233-235, 2007. (Pubitemid 47076196)
45. 2 Variability, Global Biogeochem. Cy, 19, 2539-2558, 2004.