The production peaks in petroleum and natural gas: Information, misinformation, awareness, and implications

Proceedings of the Solar World Congress 2005: Bringing Water to the World, Including Proceedings of 34th ASES Annual Conference and Proceedings of 30th National Passive Solar Conference

Volumn 1, Issue , 2005, Pages 606-611

  Swenson, Ronald B ^a   De Winter, Francis ^b  

^a Ecosystems   (United States)

^b Francis de Winter and Associates   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ANNUAL GROWTH RATE; DANIELS; NATURAL-GAS PRODUCTION; OIL AND GAS; OIL DEPLETION; OIL PEAK; PEAK OIL; PRODUCTION PEAKS; TECHNOLOGICAL ADVANCES;

ION SELECTIVE ELECTRODES; NATURAL GAS WELL PRODUCTION;

NATURAL GAS;

EID: 84870556367     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (83)

1. C. J. Campbell: "The Golden Century of Oil - 1950 to 2050," Kluwer Acad. Publ., Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 1991
2. M. King Hubbert: "Energy from Fossil Fuels," Science (an AAAS Journal), Vol. 109, 1949, pp 103-109
3. F. Daniels: "Solar Energy," Science, Vol. 109, 1949, pp 51-57
4. Anon: "The First Reactor - 40th Anniversary," US DOE report DOE/NE-0046, Washington, DC, December 1982
5. E. P. Wigner: "Atomic Energy," Science, Vol. 108, 1948, pp 517-521
6. F. de Winter: "Economic and Policy Aspects of Solar Energy," Proc. Intersol 85 ISES Congress, Montreal, Canada, Pergamon, NY, 1986, Vol. 4, pp 2207-2218
7. H. Hotelling: "The Economics of Exhaustible Resources," Jl. of Polit. Econ., Vol. 39, No. 2, April 1931, p 137
8. D. Yergin: "The Prize - The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, & Power," Simon & Schuster, NY, 1991
9. J. R. McNeill: "Something New Under the Sun - An Environmental History of the Twentieth Century World," Norton, NY, 2000
10. F. Daniels, M. K. Hubbert, and E. P. Wigner: "Our Energy Resources," Physics Today, April 1949, pp 18-22
11. The President's Materials Policy Commission (headed by William Paley): "Resources for Freedom," Five Volume Report to Pres. Truman, June 1952
12. F. Daniels (1964): "Direct Use of the Sun's Energy," Ballantine Books, NY (see page 3 or page 4)
13. M. K. Hubbert: "Nuclear Energy and the Fossil Fuels," Pub. No. 95, Shell Dev. Co. Expl. & Prod. Res. Div., Houston, TX, June 1956
14. N. Grove: "Oil, the Dwindling Resource," Nat. Geogr., June 1974, pp 792-825
15. M. K. Hubbert: "The Energy Resources of the Earth," Energy and Power, A Sci. American Book, Freeman & Co., San Francisco, 1971, pp. 31-40
16. R. C. Duncan: "Three World Oil Forecasts Predict Peak Oil Production," OGJ, May 26, 2003
17. C. J. Campbell: "The Essence of Oil & Gas Depletion," Multi-Sci. Publ. Co., Ltd., Essex, UK, 2003; see also www.oilcrisis.com/ campbell/images/2004Scenario.jpg
18. M. Simmons: "Twilight in the Desert: The Coming Saudi Oil Shock and the World Economy," J. Wiley, NY, 2005
19. K. S. Deffeyes: "What Happens Once the Oil Runs Out?" New York Times, March 25, 2005, page A19
20. See www.hubbertpeak.com; www.hubbertpeak.com/dewinter; www.dieoff.org; www.peakoil.net
21. R. C. Duncan and W. Youngquist: "Encircling the Peak of Oil Production," Natural Resources Research, Vol. 8, No. 3, 1999, pp 219-232
22. R. Williams: "Future Energy Supply - Oil Depletion," Oil & Gas Journal (OGJ) Jul 14, 2003. See also Williams OGJ "Future Energy Supply" articles: "Natural Gas Potential," (Jul 21, 2003); "Heavy Oil and Tar Sands," (Jul 28, 2003); and "Potential from Improved Oil Recovery," (Aug 4, 2003)
23. W. Youngquist and R. C. Duncan: "North American Natural Gas: Data Show Supply Problems," Natural Resources Research, Dec. 2003, pp 229-240
24. R. Heinberg: "The Party's Over - Oil, War, and the Fate of Industrial Societies," New Soc. Publ., Gabriola Island, BC, Canada, 2003
25. C. J. Campbell: "The Imminent End of Cheap Oil-Based Energy," ISES SunWorld, V 18, N 4, Dec. 1994, pp 17-19. See also: "Taking Stock," in V 19, N 1, March 1995, pp 16-19, and: "The Coming Crisis," in V 19, N 2, June 1995, pp 16-19
26. C. J. Campbell: "The Coming Oil Crisis," Multi-Sci. Publ. Co. Ltd., Essex, UK and Petroconsultants, 1997
27. C. J. Campbell and Jean Laherrère: "The End of Cheap Oil," Sci. American, March 1998, pp 78-83
28. C. J. Campbell: "Running Out of Gas - This Time the Wolf is Coming," The National Interest, Number 51, Spring 1998, pp 47-55
29. K. S. Deffeyes: "Hubbert's Peak - The Impending World Oil Shortage," Princeton Univ. Press, 2001
30. B. Fleay: "The Decline of the Age of Oil - Petrol Politics: Australia's Road Ahead," Pluto Press Austr., Annandale, 1995
31. C. J. Campbell replies to: "Global Petroleum Reserves -A View to the Future," of T. S. Ahlbrand and J. McCabe of the USGS in Geotimes, Nov. 2002, at hubbertpeak.com/news/article.asp?id=3659
32. D. B. Reynolds: "Scarcity and Growth Considering Oil and Energy - An Alternative Neo-Classical View," Edwin Mellen Press; Lewiston, NY, USA, 2002
33. D. Goodstein: "Out of Gas - The End of the Age of Oil," Norton, NY, 2004
34. P. Roberts: "The End of Oil: On the Edge of a Perilous New Journey," Houghton Mifflin, NY, 2004
35. J. Laherrère: "Previsions de Production de Combustibles Fosiles, et Consequences sur l'Economie et le Climat," Feb. 5, 2005, www.hubbertpeak.com/Laherrère/metatm.pdf
36. The Magoon material is at: geopubs.wr.usgs.gov/openfile/of00-320/ and at www.hubbertpeak.com/magoon/
37. Laherrère, www.hubbertpeak.com/Laherrere
38. US Congressman Roscoe Bartlett: "Presentation to the US Congress on the Hubbert Peak," March 15, 2005
39. T. Appenzeller: "The End of Cheap Oil," Nat. Geogr., June 2004, pp 80-91
40. S. Arrhenius: "On the Influence of Carbonic Acid in the Air Upon the Temperature of the Ground," Philosophical Magazine and Journal of Science (London, Edinburgh, and Dublin), Fifth Series, Vol. 41, pp 237 - 276, April 1896.
41. T. Appenzeller and other authors: Articles on Global Warming, Nat. Geogr., Sept. 2004, pp 2-75
42. E. Kolbert: "The Climate of Man, 3," The New Yorker, May 9, 2005, page 61
43. D. W. Aitken (Nov. 2003): "Transitioning to a Renewable Energy Future," ISES White Paper, www.whitepaper.ises.org
44. Anon: "Ending the Energy Stalemate - A Bipartisan Strategy to Meet America's Energy Challenge," A Report of the National Commission on Energy Policy, Wash., DC 2006, December 2004, www.energycommission.org/ewebeditpro/ items/O82F4682.pdf
45. R. B. Swenson and F. de Winter: "NOPEC - Non-Oil Power Exporting Communities," Proc. 14th Nat. Pass. Solar Conf. of ASES, Denver, 1989, pp. 254-259
46. L. B. Magoon and W. G. Dow (Eds.): "The Petroleum System - From Source to Trap," The Am. Assoc. of Petroleum Geologists, Tulsa, OK, 1994
47. Gas Research Institute: "Policy Implications of the GRI Baseline Projection of U.S. Energy Supply and Demand to 2015," GRI Rept. GRI-00/0001, Chicago, IL, July 2000
48. U.S. Geological Survey: "USGS World Petroleum Assessment 2000 - Description and Results," USGS Digital Data Series DDS-60, Multi (CD) Disc Set Version 1.0 2000
49. D. B. Reynolds: "Alaska and North Slope Natural Gas," Alaska Chena Associates, 2003
50. G. Bowden: "The Social Construction of Validity in Estimates of US Crude Oil Reserves," Social Studies of Science (SAGE, London), Vol. 15, 1985, pp 207-240
51. R. B. Swenson: www.ecotopia.com/apollo2; www.hubbertpeak.com/swenson
52. W. Youngquist: "Geodestinies - The Inevitable Control of Earth Resources over Nations and Individuals," National Book Co., Portland, OR, 1997
53. Anon: "Earth at Night," Satellite Photo Map, Nat. Geogr., Wash., DC, Nov. 2004
54. A. Zapp: "Future Petroleum Producing Capacity of the United States," USGS Bull. No. 1142-H, 1962
55. R. Stobaugh and D. Yergin (Eds.): "Energy Future," Random House, NY, 1979
56. Adelman, see: www.hubbertpeak.com/Laherrere/adelman.htm
57. Lynch, see: www.hubbertpeak.com/lynch
58. E. Morse et al "Oil in Troubled Waters," A series of articles in The Economist, April 30 - May 6, 2005, with a 24 page section between pages 50 and 51
59. C. Mooney: "Some Like it Hot," Mother Jones Magazine, May-June, 2005, pp 36-43
60. P. W. Huber: "Galileo's Revenge: Junk Science in the Courtroom," Basic Books, NY, 1991
61. H. F. Williamson and A. R. Daum: "The American Petroleum Industry - The Age of Illumination - 1859-1899," Northwestern Univ. Press, Evanston, 1959
62. T. Brokaw: "The Greatest Generation," Random House, NY, 1998
63. H. R. McMaster: "Dereliction of Duty," HarperCollins, 1998
64. SERI (many authors): "A New Prosperity - Building a Sustainable Energy Future," Brickhouse Publ., Andover, MA, 1981
65. D. Hayes: "Statement of Denis Hayes," Handout at ASES Conference, Portland, OR, July 11, 2004
66. R. L. Hirsch, R. H. Bezdek, and R. M. Wendling: "Peaking of Oil Production: Impacts, Mitigation, and Risk Management," Science Applications Inc. and Management Information Services Inc. Report to the National Energy Techn. Lab. of the US DOE, Wash., DC, Feb. 2005
67. Anon: www.apolloalliance.org
68. D. H. Meadows et al: "The Limits to Growth," (The Club of Rome Book) Universe Books, NY, 1972
69. D. H. Meadows et al: "Limits of Growth: the 30-Year Update," Chelsea Green Pub. , White River Jct., VT, 2004
70. M. Simmons: "Revisiting 'The Limits to Growth:' Could the Club of Rome Have Been Correct, After All?" Simmons & Co. International, Houston, Oct. 2000
71. R. Costanza: "Ecological Economics - The Science and Management of Sustainability," Columbia Univ. Press, NY, 1991
72. P. Hawken: "The Ecology of Commerce," HarperCollins, NY, 1993
73. H. Scheer: "The Solar Economy," Earthscan, London, 2004
74. M. Gladwell: "The Tipping Point - How Little Things Can Make a Big Difference," Little, Brown & Co., 2000
75. B. Mau: "Massive Change," Phaidon Press Ltd., London, 2004
76. The Duncan material is at www.hubbertpeak.com/duncan
77. J. Perkins: "Confessions of an Economic Hit Man;" Berrett-Koehler Pub. Inc., San Francisco, CA, 2004
78. J. Diamond: "Guns, Germs, and Steel: The Fate of Human Societies," Norton, NY, 1999
79. J. Diamond: "Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed," Viking, NY, 2005
80. K. Phillips: "American Dynasty - Aristocracy, Fortune, and the Politics of Deception in the House of Bush," Viking (Penguin Group), NY, 2004
81. T. Kerasote: "Drilling the Wild," Field & Stream Magazine, Oct. 2003, Page 37
82. V. Klinkenborg: "Turning Northeast Wyoming Upside Down in the Hunt for Coal Bed Methane," New York Times, Dec. 1, 2003, Editorial Observer Section
83. K. Ward, Jr.: Coverage in the West Virginia Gazette at www.wvgazette.com/mining