Rainfall variability and food crop portfolio choice: Evidence from Ethiopia

Food Security

Volumn 4, Issue 4, 2012, Pages 557-567

  Bezabih, Mintewab ^a   Di Falco, Salvatore ^b,c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF SUSSEX   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF GENEVA   (Switzerland)

^c LONDON SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Annual and seasonal rainfall variability; Crop choice; Ethiopia; Risk index

Indexed keywords

FARMING SYSTEM; FOOD PRODUCTION; FOOD SECURITY; METEOROLOGY; RAINFALL; RISK ASSESSMENT; SEASONAL VARIATION; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

ETHIOPIA;

EID: 84870394290     PISSN: 18764517     EISSN: 18764525     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s12571-012-0219-7     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Aarssen, L. (1997). High productivity in grassland ecosystems: affected by species diversity or productive species? Oikos, 80, 183-184.
2. Amede, T., Belachew, T., & Geta, E. (2001). Reversing the degradation of arable land in the Ethiopian Highlands. Managing Africa's soil No. 23. IIED, London.
3. Baltagi, B. H. (2001). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. 2d ed. New York: John Wiley & Sons.
4. Barrett, C. B., Barnett, B. J., Carter, M. R., Chantarat, S., Hansen, J. W., Mude, A. G., Osgood, D. E., Skees, J. R., Turvey, C. G., & Ward, M. N. (2007). Poverty Traps and Climate Risk: Limitations and Opportunities of Index-Based Risk Financing. Paper prepared for the Policy Roundtable on Climate Risk, Poverty Traps and Index-Based Financing, hosted by the International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, September 2007.
5. Baumgartner, S. (2007). The insurance value of biodiversity in the provision of ecosystem services. Natural Resource Modeling, 20(1), 87-127.
6. Borrvall, C., Ebenman, B., & Jonsson, T. (2000). Biodiversity lessens the risk of cascading extinction in model food webs. Ecology Letters, 3(2), 131-136.
7. Benin, S., Smale, M., Pender, J., Gebremedhin, B., & Ehui, S. (2004). The economic determinants of cereal crop diversity on farms in the Ethiopian highlands. Agricultural Economics, 31(2-3), 197-208.
8. Corbeels, M., Shiferaw, A., & Haile, M. (2000). Farmers' knowledge of soil fertility and local management strategies in Tigray, Ethiopia. Managing Africa's soils No. 10 IIED, London.
9. CSA (2001). Ethiopian Agricultural Sample Enumeration: Statistical Report on Farm management practices, Livestock and Farm Implements. Addis Abeba.
10. de Janvry, A., et al. (1991). Peasant household behaviour with missing markets: some paradoxes explained. Economic Journal, 101(409), 1400-1417.
11. Deressa, T. R., Hassan, T., Alemu, M. Y., & Ringler, C. (2009). Analyzing the determinants of Farmers' choice of adaptation methods and perceptions of climate change in the Nile Basin of Ethiopia. Global Environmental Change, 49, 248-255.
12. Dercon, S. (1996). Risk, crop choice, and savings: evidence from Tanzania. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 44(3), 485-513.
13. Dercon, S. (2002). Income risk, coping strategies, and safety nets. World Bank Research Observer. Oxford University Press, vol. 17(2): 141-166.
14. Di Falco, S., & Chavas J.-P. (2009). On crop biodiversity, risk exposure and food security in the highlands of Ethiopia. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 91(3), 599-611.
15. Eggenberger, W., & Hunde M. (2001) Belg Season in North-Central Ethiopia: Rains late but farmers remain optimistic. Report of a joint UN-EUE/MoA/FAO mission undertaken (from 19-29 March 2000).
16. Fafchamps, M. (1992). Cash crop production, food price volatility and rural market integration in the third world. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 74(1), 90-99.
17. Haile, N. (2007). An economic analysis of farmers' risk attitudes and farm households' responses to rainfall Risk in Tigray Northern Ethiopia. Ph. D. Thesis, Wageningen University.
18. Hooper, D. U., Chapin, F. S., III, Ewel, J. J., Hector, A., Inchausti, P., Lavorel, S., Lawton, J. H., Lodge, D. M., Loreau, M., Naeem, S., Schmid, B., Setala, H., Symstad, A. J., Vandermeer, J., & Wardle, D. A. (2005). Effects of biodiversity on ecosystem functioning: a consensus of current knowledge. Ecol. Monogr., 75(1), 3-35.
19. Isik, M. (2002). Variable rate nitrogen application under uncertainty: implications for profitability and Nitrigen Use. Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 27, 61-76.
20. Kates, R. W. (2000). Cautionary tales: adaptation and the global poor. Climatic Change, 45, 5-17.
21. Kurosaki, T., & Fafchamps, M. (2002). Insurance market efficiency and crop choices in Pakistan. Journal of Development Economics, 67(2), 419.
22. Kurukulasuriya, P., & Mendelsohn, R. (2006). Crop selection: Adapting to climate change in Africa, CEEPA Discussion Paper No. 26, CEEPA, University of Pretoria.
23. Kurukulasuriya, P., Mendelsohn, R., Hassan, R., Benhin, J., Diop, M., Eid, H. M., Fosu, K. Y., Gbetibouo, G., Jain, S., Mahamadou, A., El-Marsafawy, S., Ouda, S., Ouedraogo, M., Sène, I., Maddision, D., Seo, N., & Dinar, A. (2006). Will African agriculture survive climate change? World Bank Economic Review, 20(3), 367-388.
24. Loreau, M. (2000). Biodiversity and ecosystem functioning: recent theoretical advances. Oikos, 91, 3-17.
25. MoFED (Ministry of Finance and Economic Development), Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia. (2006). Ethiopia: Building on progress: A plan for accelerated and sustained development to end poverty. Addis Ababa: MoFED.
26. Morduch, J. (2002). Consumption smoothing across space: Testing theories of risk-sharing in the ICRISAT study region of South India, Working Papers UNU-WIDER Research Paper, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
27. Mulder, C., Uliassi, D., & Doak, D. (2001). Physical stress and diversity- productivity relationships: the role of positive interactions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 98(12), 6704-6708.
28. Mundlak, Y. (1978). On the pooling of time series and cross-section data. Econometrica, 46, 69-85.
29. Reilly, J., & Schimmelpfennig, D. (1999). Agricultural impact assessment, vulnerability, and the scope for adaptation. Climatic Change, 43, 745-788.
30. Reilly, J. (1996). Agriculture in a changing climate: Impacts and adaptations. In R. T. Watson, M. C. Zinyowera, & R. H. Moss (Eds.), Climate change 1995: Impacts, adaptations and mitigation of climate change: Scientific-technical analyses (pp. 427-467). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
31. Rosenzweig, M. R., & Binswanger, H. P. (1993). Wealth, weather risk and the composition and profitability of agricultural investments. Economic Journal, 103, 56-78.
32. Rosenzweig, C., & Parry, M. L. (1994). Potential impact of climate change on world food supply. Nature, 367, 133-138.
33. Seo, N., & Mendelsohn, R. (2008). Measuring impacts and adaptations to climate change: a structural ricardian model of African livestock management. Agricultural Economics, 38, 1-15.
34. Smale, M. 1995. Understanding Wheat Genetic Diversity and International Flows of Genetic Resources. Part 1 of CIMMYT World Wheat Facts and Trends Supplement, 1995. Mexico, D. F.: CIMMYT.
35. Turvey, C. (1991). Regional farm level risk analyses with the single index model. Northeastern Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 20(2), 181-188.
36. van Dusen, E., Gauchan, D., et al. (2007). On-farm conservation of rice biodiversity in Nepal: a simultaneous estimation approach. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 58(2), 242-259.
37. Wooldridge, J. M. (2002). Econometric Analysis of cross section and panel data. Cambridge, MA, USA: Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
38. World Bank (2008) Ethiopia: Climate Factsheet, Washington DC: World Bank, http://siteresources. worldbank. org/INTAFRICA/Resources/Ethiopia_Country_Note. pdf.
39. Yesuf, M., & Bluffstone, R. (2009). Poverty, risk aversion and path dependence in low income countries: experimental evidence from Ethiopia. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 91(4), 1022-1037.