Climate change increases the risk of invasion by the Yellow-legged hornet

Biological Conservation

Volumn 157, Issue , 2013, Pages 4-10

  Barbet Massin, Morgane ^a,b   Rome, Quentin ^c   Muller, Franck ^c   Perrard, Adrien ^c   Villemant, Claire ^c   Jiguet, Frédéric ^a  

^a SORBONNE UNIVERSITÉ   (France)

^b YALE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c MUSÉUM NATIONAL D'HISTOIRE NATURELLE   (France)

Author keywords

Ensemble forecast; Future climate scenarios; Invasive species; Native range; Niche modelling; Vespidae

Indexed keywords

BIOLOGICAL INVASION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE PREDICTION; ECOLOGICAL MODELING; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; FUTURE PROSPECT; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; HOME RANGE; INVASIVE SPECIES; NICHE; NORTHERN HEMISPHERE; POLLINATOR; PREDATION; RISK ASSESSMENT; WASP;

EUROPE; UNITED STATES;

APOIDEA; VESPA; VESPA VELUTINA NIGRITHORAX; VESPIDAE;

EID: 84870325137     PISSN: 00063207     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.biocon.2012.09.015     Document Type: Article

References (53)

1. Abrol D.P. Ecology, behaviour and management of social wasp, V. velutina Smith (Hymenoptera: Vespidae), attacking honeybee colonies. Korean Journal of Apiculture 1994, 9:5-10.
2. Allouche O., Tsoar A., Kadmon R. Assessing the accuracy of species distribution models: prevalence, kappa and the true skill statistic (TSS). Journal of Applied Ecology 2006, 43:1223-1232.
3. Andonian K., Hierro J.L. Species interactions contribute to the success of a global plant invader. Biological Invasions 2011, 13:2957-2965.
4. Araújo M.B., New M. Ensemble forecasting of species distributions. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 2007, 22:42-47.
5. Araújo M.B., Thuiller W., Pearson R.G. Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in Europe. Journal of Biogeography 2006, 33:1712-1728.
6. Barbet-Massin M., Thuiller W., Jiguet F. The fate of European breeding birds under climate, land use and dispersal scenarios. Global Change Biology 2011, 18:881-890.
7. Barbet-Massin M., Jiguet F., Albert C., Thuiller W. Selecting pseudo-absence for species distribution models: how, where and how many?. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 2012, 3:327-338.
8. Beggs, J., Brockerhoff, E., Corley, J., Kenis, K., Masciocchi, M., Muller, F., Rome, Q., Villemant, C., 2011. Ecological effects and management of invasive Vespidae. In: Roy, H., Ware, R., Handley-Lawson, L., De Clercq, P., Wajnberg, E. (Eds.). Invasive Arthropod Predators and Parasitoids: An Ecological Approach, Biocontrol, vol. 56. pp. 505-526.
9. Bellard C., Bertelsmeier C., Leadley P., Thuiller W., Courchamp F. Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity. Ecology Letters 2012, 15:365-377.
10. Bourdôt G.W., Lamoureaux S.L., Watt M.S., Manning L.K., Kriticos D.J. The potential global distribution of the invasive weed Nassella neesiana under current and future climates. Biological Invasions 2012, 14:1545-1556.
11. Bradley B.A., Wilcove D.S., Oppenheimer M. Climate change increases risk of plant invasion in the Eastern United States. Biological Invasions 2010, 12:1855-1872.
12. Broennimann O., Guisan A. Predicting current and future biological invasions: both native and invaded ranges matter. Biology Letters 2008, 4:585-589.
13. Carpenter J.M., Kojima J. Checklist of the species in the subfamily Vespinae (Insecta: Hymenoptera: Vespidae). Natural History Bulletin of the Ibaraki University 1997, 1:51-92.
14. Castro L., Pagola-Carte S. V. velutina Lepeletier, 1836 (Hymenoptera: Vespidae), recolectada en la Península Ibérica. Heteropterus Review of Entomology 2010, 10:193-196.
15. Chen P.F., Wiley E.O., McNyset K.M. Ecological niche modeling as a predictive tool: silver and bighead carps in North America. Biological Invasions 2007, 9:43-51.
16. Clapperton B.K., Alspach P.A., Moller H., Matheson A.G. The impact of Common and German wasps (Hymenoptera: Vespidae) on the New Zealand beekeeping industry. New Zealand Journal of Zoology 1989, 16:325-332.
17. Dejean A., Céréghino R., Carpenter J.M., Corbara B., Hérault B., Rossi V., Leponce M., Orivel J., Bonal D. Climate change impact on Neotropical social wasps. PLoS ONE 2011, 6:e27004. 10.1371/journal.pone.0027004.
18. FAO, 2010. Faostat/production/live animals. (Accessed 9.07.10). http://faostat.Fao.Org.2010.
19. Ficetola G.F., Thuiller W., Miaud C. Prediction and validation of the potential global distribution of a problematic alien invasive species - The American bullfrog. Diversity and Distribution 2007, 13:476-485.
20. Fielding A.H., Bell J.F. A review methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environmental Conservation 1997, 24:38-49.
21. Guisan A., Thuiller W. Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models. Ecology Letters 2005, 8:993-1009.
22. Hijmans R.J., Cameron S.E., Parra J.L., Jones P.G., Jarvis A. Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology 2005, 25:1965-1978.
23. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability: Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC 2007, Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, U.K.
24. Jetz W., Wilcove D.S., Dobson A.P. Projected impacts of climate and land-use change on the global diversity of birds. PLoS Biology 2007, 5:1211-1219.
25. Jiménez-Valverde A., Peterson A.T., Soberón J., Overton J.M., Aragón P. Use of niche models in invasive species risk assessments. Biological Invasions 2011, 13:2785-2797.
26. Jung C., Kim D.-W., Lee H.-S., Baek H. Some biological characteristics of a new honeybee pest, V. v. nigrithorax Buysson 1905 (Hymenoptera: Vespidae). Korean Journal of Apiculture 2008, 24:61-65.
27. Kim J.-K., Choi M., Moon T.-Y. Occurrence of V. velutina Lepeletier from Korea, and a revised key for Korean Vespa species (Hymenoptera: Vespidae). Entomological Research 2006, 36:112-115.
28. Levinsky I., Skov F., Svenning J.-C., Rahbek C. Potential impacts of climate change on the distributions and diversity patterns of European mammals. Biodiversity and Conservation 2007, 16:3803-3816.
29. Lobo J.M., Jiménez-Valverde A., Real R. AUC: a misleading measure of the performance of predictive distribution models. Global Ecology and Biogeography 2007, 17:145-151.
30. Luoto M., Virkkala R., Heikkinen R.K. The role of land cover in bioclimatic models depends on spatial resolution. Global Ecology and Biogeography 2007, 16:34-42.
31. Maitre D.C.L., Thuiller W., Schonegevel L. Developing an approach to defining the potential distributions of invasive plant species: a case study of Hakea species in South Africa. Global Ecology and Biogeography 2008, 17:569-584.
32. Marmion M., Parviainen M., Luoto M., Heikkinen R.K., Thuiller W. Evaluation of consensus methods in predictive species distribution modelling. Diversity and Distribution 2008, 15:59-69.
33. Medley K.A. Niche shifts during the global invasion of the Asian tiger mosquito, Aedes albopictus Skuse (Culicidae), revealed by reciprocal distribution models. Global Ecology and Biogeography 2010, 19:122-133.
34. Memmott J., Craze P.G., Waser N.M., Price M.V. Global warming and the disruption of plant-pollinator interactions. Ecology Letters 2007, 10:710-717.
35. Mitchell C.E., Power A.G. Release of invasive plants from fungal and viral pathogens. Nature 2003, 421:625-627.
36. Mitchell C.E., Agrawal A.A., Bever J.D., Gilbert G.S., Hufbauer R.A., Klironomos J.N., Maron J.L., Morris W.F., Parker I.M., Power A.G., Seabloom E.W., Torchin M.E., Vazquez D.P. Biotic interactions and plant invasions. Ecology Letters 2006, 9:726-740.
37. Parmesan C., Ryrholm N., Stefanescu C., et al. Poleward shifts in geographical ranges of butterfly species associated with regional warming. Nature 1999, 399:579-583.
38. Perrard A., Haxaire J., Rortais A., Villemant C. Observations on the colony activity of the Asian hornet V. velutina Lepeletier 1836 (Hymenoptera: Vespidae: Vespinae) in France. Annales de la Société Entomologique de France 2009, 45:119-127.
39. Peterson A.T. Predicting the geography of species' invasions via ecological niche modeling. Quaternary Review of Biology 2003, 78:419-433.
40. Peterson A.T., Vieglais D.A. Predicting species invasions using ecological niche modeling: new approaches from bioinformatics attack a pressing problem. Bioscience 2001, 51:363-371.
41. Peterson A.T., Papes M., Kluza D.A. Predicting the potential invasive distributions of four alien plant species in North America. Weed Science 2003, 51:863-868.
42. Potts S., Roberts S.P.M., Dean R., Marris G., Brown M., Jones R., Settele J. Declines of managed honeybees and beekeepers in Europe. Journal of Apiculture Research 2010, 49:15-22.
43. Régnière J., Nealis V., Porter K. Climate suitability and management of the gypsy moth invasion into Canada. Biological Invasions 2009, 11:135-148.
44. Rome Q., Muller F., Gargominy O., Villemant C. Bilan 2008 de l'invasion de V. velutina Lepeletier en France (Hymenoptera, Vespidae). Bulletin de la Société Entomologique de France 2009, 114:297-302.
45. Roura-Pascual N., Brotons L., Peterson A.T., Thuiller W. Consensual predictions of potential distributional areas for invasive species: a case study of Argentine ants in the Iberian Peninsula. Biological Invasions 2009, 11:1017-1031.
46. Swab R.M., Regan H.M., Keith D.A., Regan T.J., Ooi M.K.J. Niche models tell half the story: spatial context and life-history traits influence species responses to global change. Journal of Biogeography 2012, 39:1266-1277.
47. Tan K., Radloff S.E., Li J.J., Hepburn H.R., Yang M.X., Zhang L.J., Neumann P. Bee-hawking by the wasp, V. velutina, on the honeybees Apis cerana and Apis mellifera. Naturwissenschaft 2007, 94:469-472.
48. Thuiller W., Richardson D.M., Pysek P., Midgley G.F., Hughes G.O., Rouget M. Niche-based modelling as a tool for predicting the risk of alien plant invasions at a global scale. Global Change Biology 2005, 11:2234-2250.
49. Thuiller W., Lavorel S., Araújo M.B., Sykes M.T., Prentice I.C. Climate change threats to plant diversity in Europe. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2005, 102:8245-8250.
50. Thuiller W., Lafourcade B., Engler R., Araújo M.B. Biomod - A platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions. Ecography 2009, 32:369-373.
51. Torchin M.E., Lafferty K.D., Dobson A.P., McKenzie V.J., Kuris A.M. Introduced species and their missing parasites. Nature 2003, 421:628-630.
52. Villemant C., Barbet-Massin M., Perrard A., Muller F., Gargominy O., Jiguet F., Rome Q. Predicting the invasion risk by the alien bee-hawking Yellow-legged hornet V. velutina nigrithorax across Europe and other continents with niche models. Biological Conservation 2011, 144:2142-2150.
53. Villemant, C., Muller, F., Haubois, S., Perrard, A., Darrouzet, E., Rome, Q., 2011b. Bilan des travaux (MNHN et IRBI) sur l'invasion en France de V. velutina, le frelon asiatique prédateur d'abeilles. In: Barbançon, J.M., L'Hostis, M. (Eds.) Proceedings of the Journée Scientifique Apicole - 11 Feb. 2011, Arles. ONIRIS-FNOSAD, Nantes. pp. 3-12.