Rainfall-runoff modeling of recent hydroclimatic change in a subtropical lake catchment: Laguna Mar Chiquita, Argentina

Journal of Hydrology

Volumn 475, Issue , 2012, Pages 379-391

  Troin, Magali ^a   Vallet Coulomb, Christine ^a   Piovano, Eduardo ^b   Sylvestre, Florence ^a  

^a AIX MARSEILLE UNIVERSITY   (France)

^b UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE CÓRDOBA   (Argentina)

Author keywords

Climate change; Lake level variations; Land cover change; Parameter transferability; Southeastern south america; SWAT

Indexed keywords

LAKE LEVELS; LAND-COVER CHANGE; PARAMETER TRANSFERABILITY; SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH AMERICA; SWAT;

CALIBRATION; CATCHMENTS; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELS; COMPUTER SIMULATION; DIGITAL STORAGE; LANDFORMS; METEOROLOGY; RUNOFF; STREAM FLOW;

LAKES;

CALIBRATION; CATCHMENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; DISCHARGE; FLOW MODELING; HYDROLOGICAL CHANGE; HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE; LAKE LEVEL; LAND COVER; OUTFLOW; PARAMETERIZATION; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELING; RIVER BASIN; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; STREAMFLOW; TREND ANALYSIS;

ARGENTINA; BUENOS AIRES [ARGENTINA]; MAR CHIQUITA LAGOON; SOUTH AMERICA;

EID: 84870247632     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.10.010     Document Type: Article

References (52)

1. Abdo K.S., Fiseha B.M., Rientjes T.H.M., Gieske A.S.M., Haile A.T. Assessment of climate change impacts on the hydrology of Gilgel Abay catchment in Lake Tana basin, Ethiopia. Hydrol. Process. 2009, 23:3661-3669.
2. Anderson R.M., Koren V.I., Reed S.M. Using SSURGO data to improve Sacramento Model a priori parameter estimates. J. Hydrol. 2006, 320:103-116.
3. Apaydin H., Anli A.S., Ozturk A. The temporal transferability of calibrated parameters of a hydrological model. Ecol. Model. 2006, 195:307-317.
4. Arnold J.G., Srinivasan R., Muttiah R.S., Williams J.R. Large area hydrologic modelling and assessment - part I: model development. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 1998, 34(1):73-89.
5. Bardossy A., Das T. Influence of rainfall observation network on model calibration and application. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2008, 12:77-89.
6. Barros, V., 2004. Tendencias climaticas en la Argentina: precipitacion. Proyecto Agenda Ambiental regional-Mejora de la Gobernabilidad para el Desarrollo Sustentable PNUD Arg./03/001. Fundacion torcuato di tella y secretaria de Medio Ambiente y Desarrollo Sustentable.
7. Beven K.J. Rainfall-Runoff Modelling: The Primer 2004, John Wiley and Sons, Chichester, UK.
8. Bianchi, A.F., Yañez, C.E., 1992. Las precipitaciones en el noroeste Argentino. Segunda Edicion. Instituto nacional de tecnologia agropecuaria estacion experimental agropecuaria Salta.
9. Borman H., Breuer L., Gräff T., Huisman J.A. Analyzing the effects of soil properties changes associated with land use changes on the simulated water balance: a comparison of three hydrological catchment models for scenario analyses. Ecol. Model. 2007, 209:29-40.
10. Borman H. Sensitivity of a soil-vegetation-atmosphere transfer scheme to input data resolution and data classification. J. Hydrol. 2008, 351:154-169.
11. De Lima, M.A., 2001. Mudancas Climaticas Globais e a Agropecuaria Brasileira, p. 9.
12. DosReis R.J., Dias N.L. Multi-season lake evaporation: energy-budget estimates and CRLE model assessment with limited meteorological observations. J. Hydrol. 1998, 208:135-147.
13. Figueroa, L.R., Medina, L.F., Pietroboni, A.M., 1996. Variaciones del nivel freático en la llanura deprimida de Tucuman. INTA-CRTS, Serie Monográfica 3.
14. Galvan, A.F., 1981. Description geologica de la Hoja 10 a Cafayate, Provincias de Tucuman, Salta y Catamarca.
15. Garcia N.O., Vargas W.M. The temporal climatic variability in the Rio de la Plata basin displayed by the river discharge. Clim. Change 1998, 38(3):359-379.
16. Garcia N.O., Mechoso C.R. Variability in the discharge of South American rivers and in climate. Hydrol. Sci. 2005, 50(3):459-478.
17. Garcia, M.G., Sracek, O., Fernandez, D.S., del Valle Hidalgo, M., 2006. Factors affecting arsenic concentration in groundwaters from Northwestern Chaco-Pampean Plain, Argentina. Environ. Geol. doi:10.1007/s00254-006-0564-y.
18. Gassman P.W., Reyes M.R., Green C.H., Arnold J.G. The soil and water assessment tool: historical development, applications, and future research directions. Trans. Am. Soc. Agric. Biol. Eng. 2007, 50:1211-1250.
19. Green W.H., Ampt G.A. Studies on soil physics, 1. The flow of air and water through soils. J. Agric. Sci. 1911, 4:11-24.
20. Hall A.J., Rebella C.M., Ghersa C.M., Culot J.P. Field crop systems of the Pampas. Field Crop Ecosystems 1992, 413-450. Elsevier, Amsterdam. C.J. Peterson (Ed.).
21. Hargreaves G.H., Samani Z.A. Reference crop evapotranspiration from temperature. Appl. Eng. Agric. 1985, 1(2):96-99.
22. Hastenrath S. Climate Dynamics of the Tropics 1991, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dortrecht.
23. 2 emission reduction scenarios. Hydrol. Process. 2005, 19:729-748.
24. Hillman, G., 2003. Analysis y simulacion hidrologica del sistema de Mar Chiquita. Unpublished Thesis, Universidad Nacional el Cordoba, Argentina.
25. Klemes V. Operational testing of hydrological simulation models. Hydrol. Sci. J. 1986, 31:13-24.
26. Kröhling D.M., Iriondo M. Upper Quaternary palaeoclimates of the Mar Chiquita area, North Pampa, Argentina. Quatern. Int. 1999, 57-58:149-163.
27. Leavesley G.H. Modeling the effects of climate change on water resources - a review. Clim. Change 1994, 28:159-177.
28. Legesse D., Vallet-Coulomb C., Gasse F. Hydrological response of a catchment to climate and land use changes in Tropical Africa: case study South Central Ethiopia. J. Hydrol. 2003, 275:67-85.
29. Legesse, D., Abiye, T.A., Vallet-Coulomb, C., Abate, H., 2010. Streamflow sensitivity to climate and land cover changes: Meki River, Ethiopia. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 14, 2277-2287.
30. Lenters J.D., Cook K.H. Summertime precipitation variability over South America: role of the large-scale circulation. Mon. Weather Rev. 1999, 127:409-431.
31. Magrin G.O., Travasso M.I., Rodriguez G.R. Changes in climate and crop production during the 20th century in Argentina. Clim. Change 2005, 72:229-249.
32. Moriasi D.N., Arnold J.G., Van Liew M.W., Bingner R.L., Harmel R.D., Veith T.L. Model evaluation guidelines for systematic quantification of accuracy in watershed simulations. Am. Soc. Agric. Biol. Eng. 2007, 50:885-900.
33. Morton F.I. Operational estimates of lake evaporation. J. Hydrol. 1983, 66:77-100.
34. Nachtergaele, F., van Velthuizen, H., Verelst, L., 2009. Harmonized World Soil Database, Version 1.1. FAO, Rome, Italy and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.
35. Nash J.E., Sutcliffe J.V. River flow forecasting through conceptual models part I - a discussion of principles. J. Hydrol. 1970, 10:282-290.
36. Neitsch, S.L., Arnold, J.G., Kiniry, J.R., Williams, J.R., King, K.W., 2002. Soil and Water Assessment Tool Theoretical Documentation. Version 2000. Texas Water Resources Institutes, College Station, Texas, USA.
37. Pasquini A.I., Lecomte K.L., Piovano E.L., Depetris P.J. Recent rainfall and runoff variability in central Argentina. Quatern. Int. 2006, 158:127-139.
38. Paulhus J.L.H., Kohler M.A. Interpolation of missing precipitation records. Mon. Weather Rev. 1952, 80:129-133.
39. Piovano, E.L., Ariztegui, D., Córdoba, F., Cioccale, M., Sylvestre, F., 2009. Hydrological variability in South America below the Tropic of Capricorn (Pampas and Patagonia, Argentina) during the last 13.0. In: Vimeux, F. et al. (Eds.), Past Climate Variability in South America and Surrounding Regions: From the Last Glacial Maximum to the Holocene. Developments in Paleoenvironmental Research Series (DPER), pp. 323-351.
40. Prohaska F. The climate of Argentina Paraguay and Uruguay. World Survey of Climatology. Clim. Central South America 1976, 12:13-112.
41. Qian T., Dai A., Trenberth K.E., Oleson K.W. Simulation of global land surface conditions from 1948 to 2004. Part I: forcing data and evaluations. J. Hydrometeorol. 2006, 7:953-975.
42. Sankarasubramanian A., Vogel R.M., Limbrunner J.F. Climate elasticity of streamflow in United States. Water Resour. Res. 2001, 37:1771-1781.
43. Schuol J., Abbaspour K.C., Srinivasan R., Yang H. Estimation of freshwater availability in the West African Sub-continent using the SWAT hydrologic model. J. Hydrol. 2008, 352:30-49.
44. Setegn S.G., Srinivasan R., Melesse A.M., Dargahi B. SWAT model application and prediction uncertainty analysis in the Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia. Hydrol. Process. 2010, 24:357-367.
45. SCS (Soil Conservation Service), 1972. National Engineering Handbook, Section 4. US Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC.
46. Sharpley, A.N., Williams, J.R., 1990. EPIC - Erosion/Productivity Impact Calculator; 1. Model Documentation. Technical Bulletin 1768. US Department of Agriculture.
47. Shrestha S., Bastola S., Babel M.S., Dulal K.N., Magome J., Hapuarachchi H.A.P., Kazama F., Ishidaira H., Takeuchi K. The assessment of spatial and temporal transferability of a physically based distributed hydrological model parameters in different physiographic regions of Nepal. J. Hydrol. 2007, 347:153-172.
48. Stehr A., Debels P., Romero F., Alcayaga H. Hydrological modeling with SWAT under conditions of limited data availability: evaluation of results from a Chilean case study. Hydrol. Sci. J. 2008, 53:588-601.
49. Troin M., Vallet-Coulomb C., Sylvestre F., Piovano E. Hydrological modelling of a closed lake (Laguna Mar Chiquita, Argentina) in the context of 20th century climatic changes. J. Hydrol. 2010, 393:233-244.
50. van Griensven A., Francos A., Bauwens W. Sensitivity analysis and autocalibration of an integral dynamic model for river water quality. Water Sci. Technol. 2002, 45(9):325-332.
51. van Griensven A., Meixner T., Grunwald S., Bishop T., Di Luzio M., Srinivasan R. A global sensitivity analysis method for the parameters of multi-variable watershed models. J. Hydrol. 2006, 324:10-23.
52. Winchell, M., Srinivasan, R., Di Luzio, M., Arnold, J., 2007. ArcSWAT Interface for SWAT 2005. User's Guide, pp. 1-436.