Election forecasting for turbulent times

PS - Political Science and Politics

Volumn 45, Issue 4, 2012, Pages 625-629

  Lewis Beck, Michael S ^a   Tien, Charles ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF IOWA   (United States)

^b CITY UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84870228921     PISSN: 10490965     EISSN: 15375935     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S1049096512000893     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (16)

1. Campbell, James. 2008. "The Trial-Heat Forecast of the 2008 Presidential Vote: Performance and Values Considerations in an Open Seat Election. " PS: Political Science & Politics 41 (4): 697-701.
2. Gibson, Rachel, and Michael S. Lewis-Beck. 2011. "Methodologies of Election Forecasting, Symposium on the 2010 UK Election. " In Electoral Studies 30 (2), ed. Rachel Gibson and Michael S. Lewis-Beck.
3. Kennedy, Peter. 2008. A Guide to Econometrics, Sixth Edition. Malden, MA: Blackwell.
4. Lewis-Beck, Michael S. 2005. "Election Forecasting: Principles and Practice. " British Journal of Politics and International Relations 7: 145-64. (Pubitemid 40595138)
5. Lewis-Beck, Michael S., Eric Bélanger, and Richard Nadeau. 2010. "Election Forecasting in France: A Multi-Equation Solution. " International Journal of Forecasting 25: 11-18.
6. Lewis-Beck, Michael S., Richard Nadeau, and Eric Bélanger. 2011. "Nowcasting v. Polling: The 2010 UK ElectionTrials. " Electoral Studies 30 (2): 284-87.
7. Lewis-Beck, Michael S., and Tom W. Rice. 1992. Forecasting Elections. Washington, DC: CQ Press.
8. Lewis-Beck, Michael S., and Charles Tien. 2001a. "Modeling the Future: Lessons from the Gore Forecast. " PS: Political Science and Politics 34 (1): 21-23. (Pubitemid 33405058)
9. -. 2001b. "Election 2000: How Wrong Was the Forecast?" American Politics Research 29: 302-06.
10. -. 2002. "Presidential Election Forecasting: The Bush-Gore Draw. " Research in Political Sociology; Sociological Views on Political Participation in the 21st Century 10: 173-87.
11. -. 2004. "Jobs and the Job of President: A Forecast for 2004. " PS: Political Science and Politics 37 (4): 753-58. (Pubitemid 39498942)
12. -. 2008. "Forecasting Presidential Elections: When to Change the Model?" International Journal of Forecasting 24: 227-36.
13. -. 2011. "Election Forecasting" in The Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology, ed. Michael Clements and David Hendry, 655-71. New York: Oxford University Press.
14. Lockerbie, Brad. 2008. "Election Forecasting: The Future of the President and the House. " PS: Political Science and Politics 41 (4): 713-16.
15. Nadeau, Richard, and Michael S. Lewis-Beck. 2001. "National Economic Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections. " Journal of Politics 63: 159-81. (Pubitemid 33574737)
16. Tien, Charles, Richard Nadeau, and Michael S. Lewis-Beck. 2012. "Obama and 2012: Still a Racial Cost to Pay?" PS: Political Science and Politics 45 (4): this issue.