-
1
-
-
84870163307
-
-
Bureau of Economic Analysis Accessed September 1, 2012
-
Bureau of Economic Analysis. 2012. http://www.bea.gov/. Accessed September 1, 2012.
-
(2012)
-
-
-
2
-
-
1942450182
-
The science of forecasting presidential elections
-
ed. J. Campbell, and J. Garand Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage
-
Campbell, James E. 2000. "The Science of Forecasting Presidential Elections. " In Before theVote: Forecasting American National Elections, ed. J. Campbell, and J. Garand, 169-87, Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
-
(2000)
Before TheVote: Forecasting American National Elections
, pp. 169-187
-
-
Campbell, J.1
-
3
-
-
0035285967
-
The referendum that didn't happen: The forecasts of the 2000 presidential election
-
DOI 10.1017/S1049096501000051
-
-. 2001. "The Referendum that Didn't Happen: The Forecasts of the 2000 Presidential Election. " PS: Political Science & Politics 34 (1): 33-38. (Pubitemid 33405060)
-
(2001)
PS - Political Science and Politics
, vol.34
, Issue.1
, pp. 33-38
-
-
Campbell, J.E.1
-
5
-
-
85055426445
-
The exceptional election of 2008: Performance, values, and crisis
-
-. 2010a. "The Exceptional Election of 2008: Performance, Values, and Crisis. " Presidential Studies Quarterly 40 (2): 225-46.
-
(2010)
Presidential Studies Quarterly
, vol.40
, Issue.2
, pp. 225-246
-
-
Campbell, J.1
-
6
-
-
77958449126
-
The seats in trouble forecast of the 2010 elections to the U. S. house
-
-. 2010b. "The Seats in Trouble Forecast of the 2010 Elections to the U. S. House. " PS: Political Science & Politics 43 (4): 627-30.
-
(2010)
PS: Political Science & Politics
, vol.43
, Issue.4
, pp. 627-630
-
-
Campbell, J.1
-
7
-
-
84870203616
-
When the fundamentals are trumped: The 2008 wall street meltdown election and election forecasting
-
Seattle, WA 2011
-
-. 2011. "When the Fundamentals Are Trumped: The 2008 Wall Street Meltdown Election and Election Forecasting. " American Political Science Association Annual Meeting, Seattle, WA 2011.
-
(2011)
American Political Science Association Annual Meeting
-
-
Campbell, J.1
-
9
-
-
79951758027
-
The theory of conditional retrospective voting: Does the presidential record matter less in open seat elections?
-
Campbell, James E., Bryan J. Dettrey, and Hongxing Yin. 2010. "The Theory of Conditional Retrospective Voting: Does the Presidential Record Matter Less in Open Seat Elections?" Journal of Politics 72 (4): 1083-95.
-
(2010)
Journal of Politics
, vol.72
, Issue.4
, pp. 1083-1095
-
-
Campbell James, E.1
Dettrey, B.J.2
Yin, H.3
-
10
-
-
84970749458
-
Trial-heat forecasts of the presidential vote
-
Campbell, James E., and Kenneth A. Wink. 1990. "Trial-Heat Forecasts of the Presidential Vote. " American Politics Quarterly 18 (3): 251-69.
-
(1990)
American Politics Quarterly
, vol.18
, Issue.3
, pp. 251-269
-
-
Campbell James, E.1
Wink, K.A.2
-
12
-
-
84870233177
-
-
Accessed August 20, 2012
-
Cook, Charlie. 2012. The Cook Political Report. http://www.cookpolitical. com/. Accessed August 20, 2012.
-
(2012)
The Cook Political Report
-
-
Cook, C.1
-
13
-
-
0000675837
-
The effect of economic events on votes for president
-
Fair, Ray C. 1978. "The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President. " Review of Economics and Statistics 60 (2): 159-72.
-
(1978)
Review of Economics and Statistics
, vol.60
, Issue.2
, pp. 159-172
-
-
Fair, R.1
-
14
-
-
84870227113
-
-
Gallup Accessed September 10
-
Gallup. 2012. "Election 2012 Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney. " http://www.gallup. com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney. aspx. Accessed September 10.
-
(2012)
Election 2012 Trial Heat: Obama Vs. Romney
-
-
-
15
-
-
53349140620
-
Incumbency, national conditions, and the 2008 presidential election
-
Holbrook, Thomas M. 2008. "Incumbency, National Conditions, and the 2008 Presidential Election. " PS: Political Science & Politics 41 (4): 709-12.
-
(2008)
PS: Political Science & Politics
, vol.41
, Issue.4
, pp. 709-712
-
-
Holbrook, T.1
-
16
-
-
84974054531
-
Election forecasts in 1984: How accuratewere they?
-
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. 1985. "Election Forecasts in 1984: How AccurateWere They?" PS: Political Science & Politics 18 (1): 53-62.
-
(1985)
PS: Political Science & Politics
, vol.18
, Issue.1
, pp. 53-62
-
-
Lewis-Beck, M.1
-
17
-
-
47349088867
-
Incumbency advantage in U.S. presidential elections: The historical record
-
Mayhew, David R. 2008. "Incumbency Advantage in U.S. Presidential Elections: The Historical Record. " Political Science Quarterly 123 (2): 201-28.
-
(2008)
Political Science Quarterly
, vol.123
, Issue.2
, pp. 201-228
-
-
Mayhew, D.1
-
18
-
-
0041025210
-
National economic voting in U.S. presidential elections
-
Nadeau, Richard, and Michael S. Lewis-Beck. 2001. "National Economic Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections. " Journal of Politics 63 (1): 159-81. (Pubitemid 33574737)
-
(2001)
Journal of Politics
, vol.63
, Issue.1
, pp. 159-181
-
-
Nadeau, R.1
Lewis-Beck, M.S.2
-
19
-
-
79955665134
-
-
National Bureau of Economic Research Accessed July 27
-
National Bureau of Economic Research. 2012. "U. S. Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions. " http://www.nber.org/cycles/cyclesmain.html. Accessed July 27.
-
(2012)
U. S. Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions
-
-
-
20
-
-
85140173872
-
On a short-leash: Term limits and the economic voter
-
ed. H. Dorussen and M. Taylor Oxford Routledge
-
Norpoth, Helmut. 2002. "On a Short-Leash: Term Limits and the Economic Voter. " In Economic Voting, ed. H. Dorussen and M. Taylor, 121-36. Oxford: Routledge.
-
(2002)
Economic Voting
, pp. 121-136
-
-
Norpoth, H.1
-
22
-
-
84870198354
-
-
Survey of Professional Forecasters Research Department of Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, August 12
-
Survey of Professional Forecasters. 2008. "Third Quarter 2008. " Research Department of Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, August 12.
-
(2008)
Third Quarter 2008
-
-
-
23
-
-
0036922240
-
Partisanship and incumbency in presidential elections
-
Weisberg, Herbert F. 2002. "Partisanship and Incumbency in Presidential Elections. " Political Behavior 24 (4): 339-60.
-
(2002)
Political Behavior
, vol.24
, Issue.4
, pp. 339-360
-
-
Weisberg, H.1
|