Multi-Year Lags between Forest Browning and Soil Respiration at High Northern Latitudes

PLoS ONE

Volumn 7, Issue 11, 2012, Pages

  Bond Lamberty, Ben ^a   Bunn, Andrew G ^b   Thomson, Allison M ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND   (United States)

^b WESTERN WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CARBON;

ALGORITHM; ANALYTICAL PARAMETERS; ARTICLE; CANOPY; CLIMATE CHANGE; ECOSYSTEM; ENVIRONMENTAL TEMPERATURE; FOREST; LATITUDE; MACHINE LEARNING; MORTALITY; NORTH AMERICA; PLANT BROWNING; PLANT STRESS; PREDICTION; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SOIL MOISTURE; SOIL RESPIRATION; STATISTICAL MODEL; SUMMER;

ARCTIC REGIONS; ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE; CLIMATE; GEOGRAPHY; MODELS, THEORETICAL; SOIL; TREES;

EID: 84870013885     PISSN: None     EISSN: 19326203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0050441     Document Type: Article

References (59)

1. Field CB, Lobell DB, Peters HA, Chiariello NR, (2007) Feedbacks of terrestrial ecosystems to climate change. Annual Review of Environment and Resources 32: 1-29.
2. Schaefer K, Zhang T, Bruhwiler LP, Barrett AP, (2011) Amount and timing of permafrost carbon release in response to climate warming. Tellus Series B-Chemical and Physical Meteorology 63: 165-180.
3. Johnstone JF, McIntire EJB, Pedersen EJ, King G, Pisaric MJF (2010) A sensitive slope: estimating landscape patterns of forest resilience in a changing climate. Ecosphere 1.
4. Beck PSA, Juday GP, Alix C, Barber VA, Winslow SE, et al. (2011) Changes in forest productivity across Alaska consistent with biome shift. Ecology Letters 14: 373-379.
5. Schuur EAG, Vogel JG, Crummer KG, Lee H, Sickman JO, et al. (2009) The effect of permafrost thaw on old carbon release and net carbon exchange from tundra. Nature 459: 556-559.
6. McGuire AD, Anderson LG, Christensen TR, Dallimore S, Guo L, et al. (2009) Sensitivity of the carbon cycle in the Arctic to climate change. Ecological Monographs 79: 523-555.
7. Tarnocai C, Canadell JG, Schuur EAG, Kuhry P, Mazhitova G, et al. (2009) Soil organic carbon pools in the northern circumpolar permafrost region. Global Biochemical Cycles 23: GB2023.
8. IPCC (2007) Summary for Policymakers. In: Solomon SD, Qin D, Manning MR, Chen Z, Marquis M et al., editors. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press. 18.
9. Turetsky MR, Kane ES, Harden JW, Ottmar RD, Manies KL, et al. (2011) Recent acceleration of biomass burning and carbon losses in Alaskan forests and peatlands. Nature Geoscience 4: 27-31.
10. Bond-Lamberty B, Thomson AM, (2010) Temperature-associated increases in the global soil respiration record. Nature 464: 579-582.
11. Raich JW, Potter CS, Bhagawati D, (2002) Interannual variability in global soil respiration, 1980-94. Global Change Biology 8: 800-812.
12. Hogg EH, Brandt JP, Kochtubajda B, (2005) Factors affecting interannual variation in growth of western Canadian aspen forests during 1951-2000. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 35: 610-622.
13. Frey BR, Lieffers VJ, Hogg EH, Landhäusser SM, (2004) Predicting landscape patterns of aspen dieback: mechanisms and knowledge gaps. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 34: 1379-1390.
14. Peng C, Ma Z, Lei X, Zhu Q, Chen H, et al. (2011) A drought-induced pervasive increase in tree mortality across Canada's boreal forests. Nature Climate Change 1: 467-471.
15. Silva LCR, Anand M, Leithead MD, (2010) Recent widespread tree growth decline despite increasing atmospheric CO2. PLoS ONE 5: e11543.
16. Dulamsuren C, Hauck M, Leuschner C, (2010) Recent drought stress leads to growth reductions in Larix sibirica in the western Khentey, Mongolia. Global Change Biology 16: 3024-3035.
17. Wu X, Liu H, Guo D, Anenkhonov OA, Badmaeva NK, et al. (2012) Growth decline linked to warming-induced water limitation in hemi-boreal forests. PLoS ONE in press.
18. Allen CD, Macalady AK, Chenchouni H, Bachelet D, McDowell NG, et al. (2010) A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests. Forest Ecology and Management 259: 660-684.
19. van Mantgem PJ, Stephenson NL, Byrne JC, Daniels LD, Franklin JF, et al. (2009) Widespread increase of tree mortality rates in the western United States. Science 323: 521-524.
20. Goetz SJ, Bond-Lamberty B, Harmon ME, Hicke JA, Houghton RA, et al. (2012) Observations and assessment of forest carbon recovery following disturbance in North America. Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences 117: G02022.
21. Beck PSA, Goetz SJ, (2011) Satellite observations of high northern latitude vegetation productivity changes between 1982 and 2008: ecological variability and regional differences. Environmental Research Letters 6: 045501.
22. Bunn AG, Goetz SJ, (2006) Trends in satellite-observed circumpolar photosynthetic activity from 1982 to 2003: the influence of seasonality, cover type, and vegetation density. Earth Interactions 10: 1-19.
23. Li S, Potter CS (2012) Vegetation regrowth trends in post forest fire ecosystems across North America from 2000 to 2010. Natural Science in press.
24. Galiano L, Martínez-Vilalta J, Lloret F (2011) Carbon reserves and canopy defoliation determine the recovery of Scots pine 4 yr after a drought episode. New Phytologist.
25. McDowell NG, (2011) The interdependence of mechanisms climate-driven vegetation mortality. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 26: 523-532.
26. Janssens IA, Lankreijer H, Matteucci G, Kowalski AS, Buchmann N, et al. (2001) Productivity overshadows temperature in determining soil and ecosystem respiration across European forests. Global Change Biology 7: 269-278.
27. Bond-Lamberty B, Thomson AM, (2010) A global database of soil respiration data. Biogeosciences 7: 1915-1926.
28. Goetz SJ, Bunn AG, Fiske GJ, Houghton RA, (2005) Satellite-observed photosynthetic trends across boreal North America associated with climate and fire disturbance. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science 102: 13521-13525.
29. Tucker CJ, Pinzon JE, Brown ME, Slayback DA, Pak E, et al. (2005) An extended AVHRR 8-km NDVI dataset compatible with MODIS and SPOT vegetation NDVI data. International Journal of Remote Sensing 26: 4485-4498.
30. Brown ME, Pinzon JE, Tucker CJ, (2004) New vegetation index data set to monitor global change. EOS Transactions American Geophysical Union 85: 565.
31. Breiman L, (2001) Random forests. Machine Learning 45: 5-32.
32. Masson V, Champeaux JL, Chauvin F, Meriguet C, Lacaze R, (2003) A global database of land surface parameters at 1-km resolution in meteorological and climate models. Journal of Climate 16: 1261-1282.
33. Willmott CJ, Feddema JJ, (1992) A more rational climate index. The Professional Geographer 44: 84-88.
34. Carbone MS, Czimczik CI, McDuffee KE, Trumbore SE, (2007) Allocation and residence time of photosynthetic products in a boreal forest using a low-level 14C pulse-chase labeling technique. Global Change Biology 13: 466-477.
35. Rocha AV, Goulden ML, Dunn AL, Wofsy SC, (2006) On linking interannual tree ring variability with observations of whole-forest CO2 flux. Global Change Biology 12: 1378-1389.
36. Strobl C, Boulesteix A-L, Zeileis A, Hothorn T, (2007) Bias in random forest variable importance measures: Illustrations, sources and a solution. BMC Bioinformatics 8: 25.
37. Strobl C, Boulesteix A-L, Kneib T, Augustin T, Zeileis A, (2008) Conditional variable importance for random forests. BMC Bioinformatics 9: 307.
38. R Development Core Team (2012) R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.
39. Hothorn T, Buehlmann P, Dudoit S, Molinaro A, Van Der Laan M, (2006) Survival ensembles. Biostatistics 7: 355-373.
40. D'Agostino RB, (1970) Transformation to normality of the null distribution of g1. Biometrika 57: 679-681.
41. Knorr W, Prentice IC, House JI, Holland EA, (2005) Long-term sensitivity of soil carbon turnover to warming. Nature 433: 298-301.
42. Bunn AG, Goetz SJ, Fiske GJ, (2005) Observed and predicted responses of plant growth to climate across Canada. Geophysical Research Letters 32: L16710 (16714 pp.).
43. Berner LT, Beck PSA, Bunn AG, Lloyd AH, Goetz SJ, (2011) High-latitude tree growth and satellite vegetation indices: Correlations and trends in Russia and Canada (1982-2008). Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences 116: G01015.
44. Vargas R, Baldocchi DD, Allen MF, Bahn M, Black TA, et al. (2010) Looking deeper into the soil: biophysical controls and seasonal lags of soil CO2 production and efflux across multiple vegetation types. Ecological Applications.
45. Vargas R, Baldocchi DD, Bahn M, Hanson PJ, Hosman KP, et al. (2011) On the multi-temporal correlation between photosynthesis and soil CO2 efflux: reconciling lags and observations. New Phytologist in press.
46. Angert A, Biraud S, Bonfils C, Henning CC, Buermann W, et al. (2005) Drier summers cancel out the CO2 uptake enhancement induced by warmer springs. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science 102: 10823-10827.
47. Burton AJ, Pregitzer KS, Zogg GP, Zak DR, (1998) Drought reduces root respiration in sugar maple forests. Ecological Applications 8: 771-778.
48. Schwalm CR, Williams CA, Schaefer K, Arneth A, Bonal D, et al. (2010) Assimilation exceeds respiration sensitivity to drought: A FLUXNET synthesis. Global Change Biology 16: 657-670.
49. Beer C, Reichstein M, Tomelleri E, Ciais P, Jung M, et al. (2010) Terrestrial gross carbon dioxide uptake: global distribution and covariation with climate. Science 329: 834-838.
50. Janssens IA, Dieleman WIJ, Luyssaert S, Subke J-A, Reichstein M, et al. (2010) Reduction of forest soil respiration in response to nitrogen deposition. Nature Geoscience 3: 315-322.
51. Kasischke ES, Turetsky MR, (2006) Recent changes in the fire regime across the North American boreal region-Spatial and temporal patterns of burning across Canada and Alaska. Geophysical Research Letters 33: L09703.
52. O'Neill KP, Kasischke ES, Richter DD, (2002) Environmental controls on soil CO2 flux following fire in black spruce, white spruce, and aspen stands of interior Alaska. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 32: 1525-1541.
53. Goulden ML, Winston GC, McMillan A, Litvak M, Read EL, et al. (2006) An eddy covariance mesonet to measure the effect of forest age on land-atmosphere exchange. Global Change Biology 12: 1-17.
54. Pregitzer KS, Euskirchen ES, (2004) Carbon cycling and storage in world forests: biome patterns relating to forest age. Global Change Biology 10: 2052-2077.
55. Amiro BD, Barr AG, Barr JG, Black TA, Bracho R, et al. (2010) Ecosystem carbon dioxide fluxes after disturbance in forests of North America. Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences 115: G00K02.
56. Wang C, Bond-Lamberty B, Gower ST (2002) Soil surface CO2 flux in a boreal black spruce fire chronosequence. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 108: art. no. 8224.
57. Rustad LE, Campbell JL, Marion GM, Norby RJ, Mitchell MJ, et al. (2001) A meta-analysis of the response of soil respiration, net nitrogen mineralization, and aboveground plant growth to experimental ecosystem warming. Oecologia 126: 543-562.
58. Doak DF, Morris WF, (2010) Demographic compensation and tipping points in climate-induced range shifts. Nature 467: 959-962.
59. Piao S, Wang X, Ciais P, Zhu B, Wang T, et al. (2011) Changes in satellite-derived vegetation growth trend in temperate and boreal Eurasia from 1982 to 2006. Global Change Biology 17: 3228-3239.