Relationship between the Pacific and Atlantic stepwise climate change during the 1990s

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 39, Issue 21, 2012, Pages

  Chikamoto, Y ^a   Kimoto, M ^b   Watanabe, M ^b   Ishii, M ^c,d   Mochizuki, T ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF HAWAII   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF TOKYO   (Japan)

^c JAPAN AGENCY FOR MARINE EARTH SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY   (Japan)

^d METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (Japan)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; OCEANOGRAPHY;

ACCURATE ESTIMATION; ATLANTIC MULTIDECADAL OSCILLATIONS; COUPLED CLIMATE MODEL; ENSEMBLE MEMBERS; EXTERNAL FORCING; GLOBAL TEMPERATURE CHANGE; HINDCASTS; LARGE AMPLITUDE; MARINE FISHERY; MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE; NORTH ATLANTIC; PACIFIC OCEAN; PRECIPITATION PATTERNS; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST); TROPICAL ATLANTIC; TYPHOON FREQUENCY; WALKER CIRCULATION;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

AMPLITUDE; CLIMATE CHANGE; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; HINDCASTING; LA NINA; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE;

ATLANTIC OCEAN; PACIFIC OCEAN;

NIA;

EID: 84869385037     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: 19448007     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2012GL053901     Document Type: Article

References (26)

1. Bloom, S. C., L. Takacs, A. M. da Silva, and D. Ledvina (1996), Data assimilation using incremental analysis updates, Mon. Weather Rev., 124, 1256-1271. (Pubitemid 126551852)
2. Chikamoto, Y., and Y. Tanimoto (2005), Role of specific humidity anomalies in Caribbean SST response to ENSO, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 83, 959-975. (Pubitemid 43285678)
3. Chikamoto, Y., et al. (2012a), Predictability of a stepwise shift in Pacific climate during the late 1990s in hindcast experiments using MIROC, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 90A, 1-21, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2012-A01.
4. Chikamoto, Y., et al. (2012b), An overview of decadal climate predictability in a multi-model ensemble by climate model MIROC, Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1351-y, in press.
5. Ishii, M., and M. Kimoto (2009), Reevaluation of historical ocean heat content variations with time-varying XBT and MBT depth bias corrections, J. Oceanogr., 65(3), 287-299.
6. Kajikawa, Y., and B. Wang (2012), Interdecadal change of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset, J. Clim., 25, 3207-3218.
7. Keenlyside, N. S., M. Latif, J. Jungclaus, L. Kornblueh, and E. Roeckner (2008), Advancing decadal-scale climate prediction in the North Atlantic sector, Nature, 453, 84-88, doi:10.1038/nature06921. (Pubitemid 351630335)
8. Kim, W.-M., J.-G. Jhun, K.-J. Ha, and M. Kimoto (2011), Decadal changes in climatological intraseasonal fluctuation of subseasonal evolution of summer precipitation over the Korean peninsula in mid-1990s, Adv. Atmos. Sci., 28(3), 591-600.
9. Knight, J. R., R. J. Allan, C. K. Folland, M. Vellinga, and M. E. Mann (2005), A signature of persistent natural thermohaline circulation cycles in observed climate, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L20708, doi:10.1029/2005GL024233. (Pubitemid 41782721)
10. Kucharski, F., I.-S. Kang, R. Farneti, and L. Feudale (2011), Tropical Pacific response to 20th century Atlantic warming, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L03702, doi:10.1029/2010GL046248.
11. Mantua, N. J., and S. R. Hare (2002), The Pacific decadal oscillation, J. Oceanogr., 58, 35-44. (Pubitemid 34609349)
12. Mantua, N. J., S. R. Hare, Y. Zhang, J. M. Wallace, and R. C. Francis (1997), A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 78, 1069-1079.
13. Meehl, G. A., A. Hu, and B. D. Santer (2009), The mid-1970s climate shift in the Pacific and the relative roles of forced versus inherent decadal variability, J. Clim., 22(3), 780-792.
14. Mochizuki, T., et al. (2010), Pacific decadal oscillation hindcasts relevant to near-term climate prediction, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., 107, 1833-1837, doi:10.1073/pnas.0906531107.
15. Mochizuki, T., Y. Chikamoto, M. Kimoto, M. Ishii, H. Tatebe, Y. Komuro, T. T. Sakamoto, M. Watanabe, and M. Mori (2012), Decadal prediction using a recent series of MIROC global climate models, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 90A, 373-383.
16. Nozawa, T., T. Nagashima, T. Ogura, T. Yokohata, N. Okada, and H. Shiogama (2007), Climate change simulations with a coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM called the model for interdisciplinary research on climate: MIROC, CGER Supercomput. Monogr. Rep. 12, Cent. for Global Environ. Res., Natl. Inst. for Environ. Stud., Tsukuba, Japan.
17. Reverdin, G. (2010), North Atlantic subpolar gyre surface variability (1895-2009), J. Clim., 23(17), 4571-4584.
18. Robson, J., R. Sutton, K. Lohmann, D. Smith, and M. D. Palmer (2012), Causes of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the mid 1990s, J. Clim., 25, 4116-4134, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00443.1.
19. Sakamoto, T. T., et al. (2012), MIROC4h-A new high-resolution atmosphere-ocean coupled general circulation model, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 90, 325-359, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2012-301.
20. Smith, D., R. Eade, N. Dunstone, D. Fereday, J. Murphy, H. Pohlmann, and A. Scaife (2010), Skillful multi-year predictions of Atlantic hurricane frequency, Nat. Geosci., 3, 846-849.
21. Sutton, R. T., and D. L. R. Hodson (2005), Atlantic ocean forcing of North American and European summer climate, Science, 309(5731), 115-118. (Pubitemid 40934986)
22. Tatebe, H., et al. (2012), The initialization of the MIROC climate models with hydographic data assimilation for decadal prediction, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 90A, 275-294.
23. Trenberth, K. E., and D. J. Shea (2006), Atlantic hurricanes and natural variability in 2005, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L12704, doi:10.1029/2006GL026894. (Pubitemid 44687723)
24. Tu, J., C. Chou, and P. Chu (2009), The abrupt shift of typhoon activity in the vicinity of Taiwan and its association with western North Pacific-East Asian climate change, J. Clim., 22(13), 3617-3628.
25. Watanabe, M., et al. (2010), Improved climate simulation by MIROC5: Mean states, variability, and climate sensitivity, J. Clim., 23(23), 6312-6335, doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3679.1.
26. Zhang, R., and T. L. Delworth (2007), Impact of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on North Pacific climate variability, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L23708, doi:10.1029/2007GL031601. (Pubitemid 351247022)