Forecasting catastrophic stratovolcano collapse: A model based on Mount Taranaki, New Zealand

Geology

Volumn 40, Issue 11, 2012, Pages 983-986

  Zernack, Anke V ^a   Cronin, Shane J ^a   Bebbington, Mark S ^a   Price, Richard C ^b   Smith, Ian E M ^c   Stewart, Robert B ^a   Procter, Jonathan N ^a  

^a MASSEY UNIVERSITY   (New Zealand)

^b UNIVERSITY OF WAIKATO   (New Zealand)

^c UNIVERSITY OF AUCKLAND   (New Zealand)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATIC VARIATION; DEBRIS AVALANCHE DEPOSITS; DEBRIS AVALANCHES; GEOCHEMICAL CHANGES; LAST GLACIAL; LIFESPANS; MAGMATIC SYSTEMS; MASS BALANCE; MODEL-BASED OPC; NEW ZEALAND; PATH CONDITION; STRATOVOLCANOES; SUDDEN EVENTS; SUPPLY RATE; TRIGGER MECHANISM;

GEOLOGY;

DEPOSITS;

CATASTROPHIC EVENT; CLIMATE VARIATION; COLLAPSE STRUCTURE; DEBRIS AVALANCHE; FORECASTING METHOD; MASS BALANCE; STRATOVOLCANO; TRIGGER MECHANISM; VOLCANIC ERUPTION; VOLCANISM;

MOUNT TARANAKI; NEW ZEALAND; NORTH ISLAND; TARANAKI;

EID: 84868710361     PISSN: 00917613     EISSN: 19432682     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1130/G33277.1     Document Type: Article

References (24)

1. Alloway, B., McComb, P., Neall, V., Vucetich, C., Gibb, J., Sherburn, S., and Stirling, M., 2005, Stratigraphy, age, and correlation of voluminous debris-avalanche events from an ancestral Egmont Volcano: Implications for coastal plain construction and regional hazard assessment: Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand, v. 35, p. 229-267, doi:10.1080/03014223.2005.9517782.
2. Bebbington, M.S., and Lai, C.D., 1996, On nonhomogeneous models for volcanic eruptions: Mathematical Geology, v. 28, p. 585-600, doi:10.1007/BF02066102.
3. Begét, J.E., and Kienle, J., 1992, Cyclic formation of debris avalanches at Mount St Augustine volcano: Nature, v. 356, p. 701-704, doi:10.1038/356701a0.
4. Belousov, A., Belousova, M., and Voight, B., 1999, Multiple edifi ce failures, debris avalanches and associated eruptions in the Holocene history of Shiveluch volcano, Kamchatka, Russia: Bulletin of Volcanology, v. 61, p. 324-342, doi:10.1007/s004450050300.
5. Capra, L., 2006, Abrupt climatic changes as triggering mechanisms of massive volcanic collapses: Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, v. 155, p. 329-333, doi:10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2006.04.009.
6. Davidson, J.P., and De Silva, S., 2000, Composite volcanoes, in Sigurdsson, et al., eds., Encyclopedia of volcanoes: San Diego, Academic Press, p. 663-681.
7. Glicken, H., 1996, Rockslide-debris avalanche of May 18, 1980, Mount St. Helens Volcano, Washington: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 96-677, 90 p.
8. Neall, V.E., 1979, Geological map of New Zealand, sheets P19, P20 and P21, New Plymouth, Egmont and Manaia: New Zealand Department of Science and Industrial Research, Wellington, scale 1:50,000, 3 sheets, 36 p.
9. Nelson, C.S., Cooke, P.J., Hendy, C.H., and Cuthbertson, A.M., 1993, Oceanographic and climatic changes over the past 160,000 years at Deep Sea Drilling Project Site 594 off southeastern New Zealand, southwest Pacifi c Ocean: Paleoceanography, v. 8, p. 435-458, doi:10.1029/93PA01162.
10. Newnham, R.M., Lowe, D.J., and Williams, P.W., 1999, Quaternary environmental change in New Zealand: A review: Progress in Physical Geography, v. 23, p. 567-610.
11. Palmer, B.A., Alloway, B.V., and Neall, V.E., 1991, Volcanic-debris-avalanche deposits in New Zealand-Lithofacies organisation in unconfi ned, wet-avalanche fl ows, in Fisher, R.V., and Smith, G.A., eds., Sedimentation in volcanic settings: SEPM (Society for Sedimentary Geology) Special Publication 45, p. 89-98.
12. Palmer, J., and Bulte, G., 1991, Taranaki Basin, New Zealand, in Biddle, K.T., ed., Active margin basins: American Association of Petroleum Geologists Memoir 52, p. 261-282.
13. Platz, T., Cronin, S.J., Procter, J.N., Neall, V.E., and Foley, S.F., 2012, Non-explosive, dome-forming eruptions at Mt. Taranaki, New Zealand: Geomorphology, v. 136, p. 15-30, doi:10.1016/j.geomorph.2011.06.016.
14. Price, R.C., Stewart, R.B., Woodhead, J.D., and Smith, I.E., 1999, Petrogenesis of high-K arc magmas: Evidence from Egmont Volcano, North Island, New Zealand: Journal of Petrology, v. 40, p. 167-197, doi:10.1093/petrology/40.1.167.
15. Procter, J.N., Cronin, S.J., and Zernack, A.V., 2009, Landscape and sedimentary response to catastrophic debris avalanches, western Taranaki, New Zealand: Sedimentary Geology, v. 220, p. 271-287, doi:10.1016/j.sedgeo.2009.04.027.
16. Scott, K.M., Vallance, J.W., and Pringle, P.T., 1995, Sedimentology, behaviour, and hazards of debris fl ows at Mount Rainier, Washington: U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 1547, 56 p.
17. Siebert, L., 1984, Large volcanic debris avalanches: Characteristics of source areas, deposits, and associated eruptions: Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, v. 22, p. 163-197, doi:10.1016/0377-0273(84)90002-7.
18. Turner, M.B., Cronin, S.J., Bebbington, M., Smith, I.E.M., and Stewart, R.B., 2011, Relating magma composition to eruption variability at andesitic volcanoes: A case study from Mount Taranaki, New Zealand: Geological Society of America Bulletin, v. 123, p. 2005-2015, doi:10.1130/B30367.1.
19. Voight, B., 1988, A method for prediction of volcanic eruptions: Nature, v. 332, p. 125-130, doi:10.1038/332125a0.
20. Voight, B., and Elsworth, D., 1997, Failure of volcano slopes: Geotechnique, v. 47, p. 1-31, doi:10.1680/geot.1997.47.1.1.
21. Wadge, G., and Guest, J.E., 1981, Steady-state magma discharge at Etna 1971-81: Nature, v. 294, p. 548-550.
22. Zernack, A.V., Procter, J.N., and Cronin, S.J., 2009, Sedimentary signatures of cyclic growth and destruction of stratovolcanoes: A case study from Mt. Taranaki, New Zealand: Sedimentary Geology, v. 220, p. 288-305, doi:10.1016/j.sedgeo .2009.04.024.
23. Zernack, A.V., Cronin, S.J., Neall, V.E., and Procter, J.N., 2011, A medial to distal volcaniclastic record of an andesitic stratovolcano: Detailed stratigraphy of the ring-plain succession of south-west Taranaki, New Zealand: International Journal of Earth Sciences, v. 100, p. 1937-1966, doi:10.1007 /s00531-010-0610-6.
24. Zernack, A.V., Price, R.C., Smith, I.E.M., Cronin, S.J., and Stewart, R.B., 2012, Temporal evolution of a high-K andesitic magmatic system: Taranaki Volcano, New Zealand: Journal of Petrology, v. 53, p. 325-363, doi:10.1093 /petrology/egr064.