Will climate change impact on wind power development in the UK?

Climatic Change

Volumn 115, Issue 3-4, 2012, Pages 837-852

  Cradden, Lucy C ^a   Harrison, Gareth P ^a   Chick, John P ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF EDINBURGH   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ANTHROPOGENIC CLIMATE CHANGES; CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT; CURRENT PATTERNS; FUTURE CLIMATE; MEAN WIND SPEED; RENEWABLE ENERGIES; SIMPLE METHOD; UNITED KINGDOM; WIND CLIMATE; WIND ENERGY INDUSTRY; WIND ENERGY OUTPUT; WIND POWER DEVELOPMENT; WIND POWER INDUSTRY; WIND SPEED;

WIND EFFECTS; WIND POWER;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

ANTHROPOGENIC EFFECT; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; FORECASTING METHOD; POWER GENERATION; RENEWABLE RESOURCE; WIND POWER; WIND VELOCITY;

UNITED KINGDOM;

EID: 84868704019     PISSN: 01650009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-012-0486-5     Document Type: Article

References (33)

1. Barry RG, Chorley RJ (1998) Atmosphere, weather and climate. Routledge, London.
2. Breslow PB, Sailor DJ (2002) Vulnerability of wind power resources to climate change in the continental United States. Renew Energy 27: 585-598.
3. BWEA (2009) Wind power statistics. Retrieved July 2009, from http://www. bwea. com/statistics/.
4. DECC (2004-2009) Offshore wind capital grants scheme annual reports: Scroby Sands offshore wind farm 1st annual report, January 2005-December 2005; Scroby Sands offshore wind farm 2nd annual report, January 2006-December 2006; Scroby Sands offshore wind farm 3rd annual report, January-December 2007; North Hoyle offshore wind farm 1st annual report, July 2004-June 2005; North Hoyle offshore wind farm 2nd annual report, July 2005-June 2006; North Hoyle offshore wind farm 3rd annual report, July 2006-June 2007; Kentish Flats offshore wind farm 1st annual report, January-December 2006; Kentish Flats offshore wind farm 2nd annual report, January-December 2007; Barrow Offshore wind farm 1st annual report, July 2006-June 2007.
5. DECC (2009) The UK renewable energy strategy 2009. Retrieved July 2009, from http://www. decc. gov. uk/en/content/cms/what_we_do/uk_supply/energy_mix/renewable/res/res. aspx.
6. DECC (2010) Digest of United Kingdom energy statistics (DUKES). Retrieved July 2011, from http://www. decc. gov. uk/en/content/cms/statistics/publications/dukes/dukes. aspx.
7. Demuzere M, Werner M, van Lipzig NPM, Roeckner E (2009) An analysis of present and future ECHAM5 pressure fields using a classification of circulation patterns. Int J Climatol 29(12): 1796-1810.
8. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (2006) ECMWF ERA-40 Re-Analysis data, British Atmospheric Data Centre.
9. Gordon A, Grace W, Schwerdtfeger P, Byron-Scott R (1998) Dynamic meteorology: a basic course. Arnold, London.
10. Harrison GP, Cradden LC, Chick JP (2008) Preliminary assessment of climate change impacts on the UK onshore wind energy resource. Energ Source 30(14): 1286-1299.
11. IPCC (2000) Summary for policymakers. In: Nakicenovic N, Swart R (eds) Special report on emissions scenarios. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
12. IPCC (2007) Summary for policymakers. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H. L. Miller. Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, Cambridge University Press.
13. IPCC Data Distribution Centre (2005a) IPCC DDC AR4 ECHAM5/MPI-OM 20C3M, World Climate Research Program.
14. IPCC Data Distribution Centre (2005b) IPCC DDC AR4 ECHAM5/MPI-OM SRES A1B, World Climate Research Program.
15. IPCC Data Distribution Centre (2005c) IPCC DDC AR4 ECHAM5/MPI-OM SRES B1, World Climate Research Program.
16. IPCC Data Distribution Centre (2005d) IPCC DDC AR4 ECHAM5/MPI-OM SRESA2, World Climate Research Program.
17. IPCC Data Distribution Centre (2005e) IPCC DDC AR4 HadCM3 20C3M, World Climate Research Program.
18. IPCC Data Distribution Centre (2005f) IPCC DDC AR4 HadCM3 SRES A2, World Climate Research Program.
19. McAvaney BJ, Covey C, Joussaume S, Kattsov V, Kitoh A, Ogana W, Pitman AJ, Weaver A, Wood RA, Zhao Z-C (2001) Model evaluation. In: Houghton JT, Ding Y, Griggs DJ, Noguer M, van der Linden PJ, Dai X, Maskell K, Johnson CA (eds) Climate Change 2001: the scientific basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the third assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
20. McQueen D, Watson S (2006) Validation of wind speed prediction methods at offshore sites. Wind Energy 9: 75-85.
21. Pryor SC, Barthelmie RJ (2010) Climate change impacts on wind energy: a review. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 14: 430-437.
22. Pryor SC, Schoof JT, Barthelmie RJ (2005a) Empirical downscaling of wind speed probability distribution. Journal of Geophysical Research 110.
23. Pryor SC, Barthelmie RJ, Kjellstrom E (2005b) Potential climate change impact on wind energy resources in northern Europe: analyses using a regional climate model. Clim Dynam 25: 815-835.
24. Pryor SC, Schoof JT, Barthelmie RJ (2005c) Climate change impacts on wind speeds and wind energy density in northern Europe: empirical downscaling of multiple AOGCMs. Climate Res 29: 183-198.
25. Sailor DJ, Hu T, Li X, Rosen JN (2000) A neural network approach to local downscaling of GCM wind statistics for assessment of wind power implications of climate variability and climatic change. Renew Energy 19: 359-378.
26. Sailor DJ, Smith M, Hart M (2008) Climate change implications for wind power resources in the Northwest United States. Renew Energy 33: 2393-2406.
27. Schoof JT, Pryor SC (2006) An evaluation of two GCMs: simulation of North American teleconnection indices and synoptic phenomena. Int J Climatol 26(2): 267-282.
28. Segal M, Pan Z, Arritt RW, Takle ES (2001) On the potential change in wind power over the US due to increases of atmospheric greenhouse gases. Renew Energy 24: 235-243.
29. Taylor KE (2001) Summarizing multiple aspects of model performance in a single diagram. J Geophys Res 106: 7183-7192.
30. Taylor KE (2005) Taylor diagram primer, PCMDI.
31. Troen I, Petersen EL (1989) European wind atlas. Risø National Laboratory, Roskilde.
32. Uppala SM, Kållberg PW, Simmons AJ, Andrae U, da Costa Bechtold V, Fiorino M, Gibson JK, Haseler J, Hernandez A, Kelly GA, Li X, Onogi K, Saarinen S, Sokka N, Allan RP, Andersson E, Arpe K, Balmaseda MA, Beljaars ACM, van de Berg L, Bidlot J, Bormann N, Caires S, Chevallier F, Dethof A, Dragosavac M, Fisher M, Fuentes M, Hagemann S, Hólm E, Hoskins BJ, Isaksen L, Janssen PAEM, Jenne R, McNally AP, Mahfouf J-F, Morcrette J-J, Rayner NA, Saunders RW, Simon P, Sterl A, Trenberth KE, Untch A, Vasiljevic D, Viterbo P, Woollen J (2005) The ERA-40 re-analysis. Q J Roy Meteor Soc 131: 2961-3012.
33. Wilby RL, Charles SP, Zorita E, Timbal B, Whetton P, Mearns LO (2004) Guidelines for the use of climate scenarios developed from statistical downscaling methods. IPCC Supporting Material.