Reduced complexity model for assessing patterns of rainfall erosivity in Africa

Global and Planetary Change

Volumn 100, Issue , 2013, Pages 183-193

  Diodato, Nazzareno ^a   Knight, Jasper ^b   Bellocchi, Gianni ^a,c  

^a Met European Research Observatory   (Italy)

^b UNIVERSITY OF THE WITWATERSRAND   (South Africa)

^c French National Institute of Agricultural Research   (France)

Author keywords

Africa; Climate variability; Downscaling; Modeling; Rainfall erosivity

Indexed keywords

AFRICA; CLIMATE VARIABILITY; CONTINENTAL SCALE; DECADAL TIMESCALE; DIFFERENT SCALE; DOWN-SCALING; ENVIRONMENTAL PLANNING; EROSIVITY; GEOSTATISTICAL MODELING; HYDROLOGICAL EXTREMES; MODEL DEVELOPMENT; PARAMETERIZED; RAINFALL EROSIVITY; REDUCED COMPLEXITY; REDUCED COMPLEXITY MODELING; REGIONAL MANAGEMENT; REMOTE AREAS; REVISED UNIVERSAL SOIL LOSS EQUATIONS; SPATIAL PATTERNS; SPATIAL SCALE; TIME-PERIODS; VALIDATION TOOLS;

CLIMATOLOGY; MODELS; RAIN; SEDIMENT TRANSPORT;

CLIMATE MODELS;

CLIMATE MODELING; CLIMATE VARIATION; COMPLEXITY; DOWNSCALING; EROSIVITY; MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); RAINFALL;

AFRICA;

EID: 84868685996     PISSN: 09218181     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.10.016     Document Type: Article

References (76)

1. Angima S.D., Stott D.E., O'Neill M.K., Ong C.K., Weesies G.A. Soil erosion prediction using RUSLE for central Kenyan highland conditions. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 2003, 97:295-308.
2. Angulo-Martínez M., Beguería S. Estimating rainfall erosivity from daily precipitation records: a comparison among methods using data from the Ebro Basin (SE Spain). Journal of Hydrology 2009, 379:111-121.
3. Boko M., Niang I., Nyong A., Vogel C., Githeko A., Medany M., Osman-Elasha B., Tabo R., Yanda P. Africa. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007, 433-467. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge United Kingdom. M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden, C.E. Hanson (Eds.).
4. Calles B., Kulander L. Rainfall erosivity at Roma, Lesotho. Geografiska Annaler 1994, 76A:121-129.
5. Cambardella C.A., Moorman T.B., Novak J.M., Parkin T.B., Karlen D.L., Turco R.F., Konopka A.E. Field-scale variability of soil properties in Central Iowa Soils. Soil Science Society of America Journal 1994, 58:1501-1511.
6. Caton P.G.F. A study of rain-drop size distribution in the free atmosphere. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 1966, 92:15-30.
7. Cressie N. Statistics for Spatial Data 1993, Wiley, New York.
8. Dabney S.M., Yoder D.C., Vieira D.A.N., Binger R.L. Enhancing RUSLE to include runoff-driven phenomena. Hydrological Processes 2011, 25:1373-1390.
9. de Wit A.J.W., de Bruin S., Torfs P.J.J.F. Representing uncertainty in continental-scale gridded precipitation fields for agrometeorological modeling. Journal of Hydrometeorology 2008, 9:1172-1190.
10. Diodato N., Bellocchi G., Ceccarelli M. GIS-aided evaluation of evapotranspiration at multiple spatial and temporal climate patterns using geoindicators. Ecological Indicators 2010, 10:1009-1016.
11. Durbin J., Watson G.S. Testing for serial correlation in least squares regression, I. Biometrika 1950, 37:409-428.
12. Durbin J., Watson G.S. Testing for serial correlation in least squares regression, II. Biometrika 1951, 38:159-179.
13. Elagib N.A. Changing rainfall, seasonality and erosivity in the hyper-arid zone of Sudan. Land Degradation and Development 2011, 22:505-512.
14. Emery X., Lantuéjoul C. TBSIM: a computer program for conditional simulation of three-dimensional Gaussian random fields via the turning bands method. Computers and Geosciences 2006, 32:1615-1628.
15. Fornis R.L., Vermeulen H.R., Nieuwenhuis J.D. Kinetic energy - rainfall intensity relationship for Central Cebu, Philippines for soil erosion studies. Journal of Hydrology 2005, 300:20-32.
16. Fotheringham A.S., Brunsdon C., Charlton M.E. Geographically Weighted Regression: The Analysis of Spatially Varying Relationships 2002, Wiley, Chichester, 282 pp.
17. Fournier J. Agressivité climatique et risques érosifs dans la région de Dschang, ouest Cameroun. Bulletin Réseau Erosion 1994, 14:145-156. (in French).
18. González-Hidalgo J.C., de Luis M., Batalla R.J. Effects of the largest daily events on total soil erosion by rainwater. An analysis of the USLE database. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 2009, 34:2070-2077.
19. Goovaerts P. Geostatistics for Natural Resources Evaluation 1997, Oxford University Press, New York, 496pp.
20. Granger C.W.J., Hyung N., Jeon Y. Spurious regressions with stationary series. Applied Economics 2001, 33:899-904.
21. Grauso S., Diodato N., Verrubbi V. Calibrating a rainfall erosivity assessment model at regional scale in Mediterranean area. Environmental and Earth Sciences 2010, 60:1597-1606.
22. Grimm N., Faeth S., Golubiewski N., Redman C., Wu J., Bai X., Briggs J. Global change and the ecology of cities. Science 2008, 319:756-760.
23. Haile M., Herweg K., Stillhardt B. Sustainable Land Management - A New Approach to Soil and Water Conservation in Ethiopia 2006, Mekelle University (with CDE-University of Berne and NCCR), Mekelle, Ethiopia, (305 pp.).
24. Hastenrath S., Lamb P. On the dynamics and climatology of surface flow over the equatorial oceans. Tellus 1978, 30:436-448.
25. Jakob D., Karoly D.J., Seed A. Non-stationarity in daily and sub-daily intense rainfall - Part 1: Sydney, Australia. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 2011, 11:2263-2271.
26. Ker A.D.R. Farming Systems in the African Savanna - A Continent in Crisis 1987, IDRC-Lib, Kenya, 176 pp.
27. Kerry R., Oliver M.A. Determining nugget:sill ratios of standardized variograms from aerial photographs to krige sparse soil data. Precision Agriculture 2008, 9:33-56.
28. Kinnell P.I.A. Event soil loss, runoff and the Universal Soil Loss Equation family of models: a review. Journal of Hydrology 2010, 385:384-397.
29. König D. L'agriculture écologique forestière. Une stratégie intégrée de conservation des sols au Rwanda. Bulletin Réseau Erosion 1992, 12:130-139. (in French).
30. Kowal J.M., Kassam A.H. Agricultural Ecology of Savanna: A Study of West Africa 1978, Clarendon Press, Oxford, 403 pp.
31. Krauer J. Rainfall, erosivity and isoerodent map of Ethiopia. Soil Conservation Research Project Report 15 1988, University of Berne, Switzerland, (132 pp.).
32. Lal R. Soil erosion and sediment transport research in tropical Africa. Hydrological Sciences - Journal - des Sciences Hydrologiques 1985, 30:239-256.
33. Le Roux J.J., Newby T.S., Sumner P.D. Monitoring soil erosion in South Africa at a regional scale: review and recommendations. South African Journal of Science 2007, 103:329-335.
34. Le Roux J.J., Morgenthal T.L., Malherbe J., Pretorius D.J., Sumner P.D. Water erosion prediction at a national scale for South Africa. Water SA 2008, 34:305-314.
35. Lenton T.M., Held H., Kriegler E., Hall J.W., Lucht W., Rahmstorf S., Schellnhuber H.J. Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 2008, 105:1786-1793.
36. Liu C. Rainfall contributions from precipitation systems with different sizes, convective intensities, and durations over the tropics and subtropics. Journal of Hydrometeorology 2011, 12:394-412.
37. Maeda E.E., Clark B.J.F., Pellikka P.K.E., Siljander M. Modelling agricultural expansion in Kenya's Eastern Arc Mountains biodiversity hotspot. Agricultural Systems 2010, 103:609-620.
38. Matthews, A., 2005. An empirical model of Sahel climate. PhD thesis, Climate Research Unit, University of East Anglia, 338 pp.
39. Meusburger K., Steel A., Panagos P., Montanarella L., Alewell C. Spatial and temporal variability of rainfall erosivity factor for Switzerland. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 2012, 16:167-177.
40. Mikhailova E.A., Bryant R.B., Schwager S.J., Smith S.D. Predicting rainfall erosivity in Honduras. Soil Science Society of America Journal 1997, 61:273-279.
41. Moore T.R. Rainfall erosivity in East Africa. Geografiska Annaler, Series A 1979, 61:147-156.
42. Munka C., Cruz G., Caffera R.M. Long term variation in rainfall erosivity in Uraguay: a preliminary Fournier approach. GeoJournal 2007, 70:257-262.
43. Nash J.E., Sutcliffe J.V. River flow forecasting through conceptual models part I - a discussion of principles. Journal of Hydrology 1970, 10:282-290.
44. Nau R. STATGRAPHICS V.5: Overview & tutorial guide (Available at), (accessed Oct. 2011). http://www.duke.edu/~rnau/sgwin5.pdf.
45. Nel W., Sumner P.D. Intensity, energy and erosivity attributes of rainstorms in the KwaZulu-Natal Drakensberg, South Africa. South African Journal of Science 2007, 103:398-402.
46. Nel W., Reynhardt D.A., Sumner P.D. Effect of altitude on erosive characteristics of concurrent rainfall events in the northern KwaZulu-Natal Drakensberg. Water SA 2010, 36:509-512.
47. Nicholson S.E. The nature of rainfall variability over Africa on time scales of decades to millenia. Global and Planetary Change 2000, 26:137-158.
48. Nicholson S.E., Some B., McCollum J., Nelkin E., Klotter D., Berte Y., Diallo B.M., Gaye I., Kpebebe G., Ndiaye O., Noukpozounkou J.N., Tanu M.M., Thiam A., Toure A.A., Traore A.K. Validation of TRMM and other rainfall estimates with a high-density gauge dataset for West Africa. Part II: Validation of TRMM rainfall products. Journal of Applied Meteorology 2003, 42:1355-1368.
49. Pauwelyn P.L.L., Lenvain J.S., Sakala W.K. Iso-erodent map of Zambia. Part I: the calculation of erosivity indices from a rainfall data bank. Soil Technology 1988, 1:235-250.
50. Pelacani S., Marker M., Rodolfi G. Simulation of soil erosion and deposition in a changing land use: a modelling approach to implement the support practice factor. Geomorphology 2008, 99:329-340.
51. Reason C.J.C., Landman W., Tennant W. Seasonal to decadal prediction of southern African climate and its links with variability of the Atlantic Ocean. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2006, 87:941-955.
52. Renard K.G., Freimund J.R. Using monthly precipitation data to estimate the R-factor in the revised USLE. Journal of Hydrology 1994, 157:287-306.
53. Roose E.J. Erosion et ruissellement en Afrique de l'Ouest. Vingt années de mesures en petites parcelles expérimentales 1977, ORSTOM, Paris, (108 pp. in French).
54. Roose E.J. Dynamique actuelle de sols ferrallitiques et ferrugineux tropicaux d'Afrique occidentale: étude expérimentale des transferts hydrologiques et biologiques de matières sous végétations naturelles ou cultivées. Travaux et Documents no. 130 1980, ORSTOM, Paris, (569 pp. in French).
55. Ruiz-Barradas A.J., Carton A., Nigam S. Role of the atmosphere in climate variability of the Tropical Atlantic. Journal of Climate 2003, 16:2053-2065.
56. Ryumugabe J.B., Berding F.R. Variabilité de l'indice d'agressivité des pluies au Rwanda. Bulletin Réseau Erosion 1992, 12:113-119. (in French).
57. Salako F.K. Rainfall variability and kinetic energy in Southern Nigeria. Climatic Change 2008, 86:151-164.
58. Salvador Sanchis M.P., Torri D., Borselli L., Poesen J. Climate effects on soil erodibility. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 2008, 33:1082-1097.
59. Seidel D.J., Fu Q., Randel W.J., Reichler T.J. Widening of the tropical belt in a changing climate. Nature Geoscience 2008, 1:21-24.
60. 30 index and preparation of erosivity maps for Pulau Penang in Peninsular Malaysia. Catena 2008, 72:423-432.
61. Sharma A., Tiwari K.N., Bhadoria P.B.S. Effects of land use land cover change on soil erosion potential in an agricultural watershed. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 2011, 173:789-801.
62. Silva A.T., Portela M.M., Naghettini M. Nonstationarities in the occurrence rates of flood events in Portuguese watersheds. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 2012, 16:241-254.
63. Smithen A.A., Schulze R.E. The spatial distribution in Southern Africa of rainfall erosivity for use in the Universal Soil Loss Equation. Water SA 1982, 8:74-78.
64. Smithers J.C., Schulze R.E. Design rainfall estimation in South Africa. Final Report to the Water Research Commission, WRC Project No: K5/1060, Pretoria, South Africa 2002, (155 pp.).
65. Sonneveld B.G.J.S., Keyzer M.A., Stroosnijder L. Evaluating quantitative and qualitative models: an application for nationwide water erosion assessment in Ethiopia. Environmental Modelling and Software 2011, 26:1161-1170.
66. Stillhardt B., Herweg K., Hurni H. Long-term monitoring of soil erosion and soil and water conservation. Afdeyu, Eritrea (1984-1998): Soil Erosion and Soil and Water Conservation Database 2002, Centre for Development and Environment, University of Berne, Switzerland, (120 pp.).
67. Stocking M.A., Elwell H.A. Rainfall erosivity over Rhodesia. Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers 1976, 1:231-245.
68. Sveinsson O.G.B., Salas J.D., Boes D.C., Pielke R.A. Modeling the dynamics of long-term variability of hydroclimatic processes. Journal of Hydrometeorology 2003, 4:489-505.
69. Thomas D.B., Edwards K.A., Barber R.G., Hogg I.G.G. Runoff erosion and conservation in a representative catchment in Machakos District, Kenya. Tropical Agricultural Hydrology 1981, 395-420. Wiley, Chichester. R. Lal, E.W. Russell (Eds.).
70. Ulsaker L.G., Onstad C.A. Relating rainfall erosivity factors to soil loss in Kenya. Soil Science Society of America Journal 1984, 48:891-896.
71. Volk M., Möller M., Wurbs D. A pragmatic approach for soil erosion risk assessment within policy hierarchies. Land Use Policy 2010, 27:997-1009.
72. Von Schmengler, A.C., 2010. Modeling soil erosion and reservoir sedimentation at hillslope and catchment scale in semi-arid Burkina Faso. PhD thesis, Rheinischen Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität, Bonn, Germany, 237 pp.
73. Vrieling A., Sterk G., de Jong S.M. Satellite-based estimation of rainfall erosivity for Africa. Journal of Hydrology 2010, 395:235-241.
74. Wainwright J., Mulligan M. Introduction. Environmental Modeling - Finding Simplicity in Complexity 2004, 1-4. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester. J. Wainwright, M. Mulligan (Eds.).
75. Wessa P. A framework for statistical software development, maintenance, and publishing within an open-access business model. Computational Statistics 2009, 24:183-193.
76. Williams C.J.R., Kniveton D.R. Atmosphere-land surface interactions and their influence on extreme rainfall and potential abrupt climate change over southern Africa. Climatic Change 2012, 12:981-996.