A physical metric-based framework for evaluating the climate trade-off between CO2 and contrails-The case of lowering aircraft flight trajectories

Environmental Science and Policy

Volumn 25, Issue , 2013, Pages 176-185

  Deuber, Odette ^a   Sigrun, Matthes ^a   Robert, Sausen ^a   Michael, Ponater ^a   Ling, Lim ^b  

^a GERMAN AEROSPACE CENTER DLR   (Germany)

^b MANCHESTER METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Aviation; Climate change; Linear contrails; Metrics; Simple climate model; Trade off

Indexed keywords

CARBON DIOXIDE;

AIRCRAFT; ALTITUDE; ARTICLE; AVIATION; CLIMATE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK; COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS; COST EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS; DECISION MAKING; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; PRIORITY JOURNAL; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84868593778     PISSN: 14629011     EISSN: 18736416     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2012.10.004     Document Type: Article

References (46)

1. 2 climate impacts of aviation. Climatic Change 2011, 111:559-579.
2. Boucher O., Reddy M.S. Climate trade-off between black carbon and carbon dioxide emissions. Energy Policy 2008, 36:193-200.
3. Burkhardt U., Kärcher B. Global radiative forcing from contrail cirrus. Nature Climate Change 2011, 1:54-58.
4. Deuber, O., Luderer, G., Edenhofer, O., 2012. Physico-economic evaluation of climate metrics: a conceptual framework. Environmental Science and Policy (D-2660), submitted for publication.
5. Dorbian C.S., Wolfe P.J., Waitz I.A. Estimating the climate and air quality benefits of aviation fuel and emission reductions. Atmospheric Environment 2011, 45:2750-2759.
6. Aircraft Design Driven by Climate Change 2009, Verlag Dr, Hut, München. R. Egelhofer (Ed.).
7. Frömming, C., Ponater, M., Dahlmann, K., Grewe, V., Lee, D.S., Sausen, R., 2012. Aviation-induced radiative forcing and surface temperature change in dependency of the emission altitude. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, D19104, doi:10.1029/2012JD018204.
8. Fichter C., Marquart S., Sausen R., Lee D.S. The impact of cruise altitude on contrails and related radiative forcing. Meteorologische Zeitschrift 2005, 14:563-572.
9. Filippone A. Cruise altitude flexibility of jet transport aircraft. Aerospace Science and Technology 2010, 14:283-294.
10. 2 effects of aviation in emission trading schemes. Atmospheric Environment 2006, 40:1117-1121.
11. Forster P., Ramaswamy V., Artaxo P., Berntsen T., Betts R., Fahey D.W., Haywood J., Lean J., Lowe D.C., Myhre G., Nganga J., Prinn R., Raga G., Schulz M., Van Dorland R. Changes in atmospheric constituents and in radiative forcing. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom/New York, NY, USA. S. Solomon, Q. Qin, M. Manning, A. et (Eds.).
12. Fuglestvedt J.S., Berntsen T.K., Godal O., Sausen R., Shine K.P., Skodvin T. Metrics of climate change: assessing radiative forcing and emission indices. Climatic Change 2003, 58:67-331.
13. Fuglestvedt J.S., Shine K.P., Berntsen T., Cook J., Lee D.S., Stenke A., Skeie R.B., Velders G.J.M., Waitz I.A. Transport impacts on atmosphere and climate: metrics. Atmospheric Environment 2010, 44:4648-4677.
14. x emissions on the atmosphere - tradeoffs to reduce the impact. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 2006, 6:1529-1548.
15. Gierens K., Sausen R., Schumann U. A diagnostic study of the global distribution of contrails. Part II. Future air traffic scenarios. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 1999, 63:1-9.
16. Gierens K., Lim L., Eleftheratos K. A review of various strategies for contrail avoidance. Open Atmospheric Science Journal 2008, 2:1-7.
17. Gillett N.P., Matthews H.D. Accounting for carbon cycle feedbacks in a comparison of the global warming effects of greenhouse gases. Environmental Research Letters 2010, 5(034011):1-6.
18. Hammitt J.K.H., Jain A.K., Adams J.L., Wuebbles D.J. A welfare-based index for assessing environmental effects of greenhouse-gas emissions. Nature 1996, 381:301-303.
19. Hammitt J.K.H. Evaluation endpoints and climate policy: atmospheric stabilization, benefit-cost analysis, and near-term greenhouse-gas emissions. Climatic Change 1999, 41:447-468.
20. 2 emission paths using a simplified structural integrated assessment modal (SIAM). Climatic Change 1997, 37:345-386.
21. IEA Oil Information 2006 2007, International Energy Agency, Paris.
22. Lim L., Lee D.S. Quantifying the effects of aviation on radiative forcing and temperature with a climate response model. Proceeding of the TAC Conference 2006, Oxford, United Kingdom.
23. Lee D.S., Fahey D.W., Forster P.M., Newton P.J., Wit R.C.N., Lim L.L., Owen B., Sausen R. Aviation and global climate change in the 21st century. Atmospheric Environment 2009, 43:3520-3537.
24. Lee D.S., Pitari G., Grewe V., Gierens K., Penner J.E., Petzold A., Prather M.J., Schumann U., Bais A., Berntsen T., Iachetti D., Lim L.L., Sausen R. Transport impacts on atmosphere and climate: aviation. Atmospheric Environment 2010, 44:4678-4734.
25. Lund M.T., Berntsen T., Fuglestvedt J.S., Ponater M., Shine K.P. How much information is lost by using global-mean climate metrics? An example using the transport sector. Climatic Change 2011, 113:949-963.
26. Manne A.S., Richels R.G. An alternative approach to establishing trade-offs among greenhouse gases. Nature 2001, 410:675-677.
27. Mannstein H., Spichtinger P., Gierens K. A note on how to avoid contrail cirrus. Transportation Research Part D 2005, 10:421-426.
28. Marais K., Lakachko S.P., Jun M., Mahashabde A., Waitz I.A. Assessing the impact of aviation on climate. Meteorologische Zeitschrift 2008, 17:157-172.
29. -2 radiative forcing. Climatic Change 2011, 109:59-76.
30. Owen B., Lee D.S., Lim L. Flying into the future: aviation emissions scenarios to 2050. Environmental Science and Technology 2010, 44:2255-2260.
31. Peters G.P., Aamaas B., Lund M.T., Solli C., Fuglestvedt J.S. Alternative " global warming" metrics in life cycle assessment: a case study with existing transportation data. Environmental Science and Technology 2011, 45:8633-8641.
32. Ponater M., Marquart S., Sausen R., Schumann U. On contrail climate sensitivity. Geophysical Research Letters 2005, 32:1-5.
33. Rap A., Forster P.M., Haywood J.M., Jones A., Boucher O. Estimating the climate impact of linear contrails using the UK Met Office climate model. Geophysical Research Letters 2010, 37:L20703.
34. Roeckner E., Bengtsson L., Feichter J., Leliveld J., Rohde H. Transient climate change simulation with a coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM including the tropospheric sulphur cycle. Journal of Climate 1999, 12:3004-3032.
35. Rypdal K., Berntsen T., Fuglestvedt J., Aunan K., Torvanger A., Stordal F., Pacyna J., Nygaard L. Tropospheric ozone and aerosols in climate agreements: scientific and political challenges. Environmental Science & Policy 2005, 8:29-43.
36. Sausen R., Gierens K., Ponater M., Schumann U. A diagnostic study of the global distribution of contrails. Part I: present day climate. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 1998, 61:127-141.
37. Sausen R., Isaksen I., Grewe V., Hauglustaine D., Lee D.S., Myhre G., Köhler M., Pitari G., Schumann U., Stordal F., Zerefos C. Aviation radiative forcing in 2000: an update on IPCC (1999). Meteorologische Zeitschrift 2005, 14:555-561.
38. x emissions scenarios. Climatic Change 2000, 44:27-58.
39. Schumann U. Formation, properties and climatic effects of contrails. Comptes Rendus Physique 2005, 6:546-565.
40. Schumann U., Graf K., Mannstein H. Potential to reduce the climate impact of aviation by flight level changes. Proceedings of the 3rd AIAA Atmospheric Space Environments Conference 2011, 1-22.
41. Shine K.P., Fuglestvedt J.S., Hailemariam K., Stuber N. Alternatives to the global warming potential for comparing climate impacts of emissions of greenhouse gases. Climatic Change 2005, 68:281-302.
42. Shine K.P., Berntsen T.K., Fuglestvedt J.S., Skeie R.B., Stuber N. Comparing the climate effect of emissions of short- and long-lived climate agents. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, Series A 2007, 365:1903-1914.
43. Shine K.P. The global warming potential - the need for an interdisciplinary retrial. An editorial comment. Climatic Change 2009, 96:467-472.
44. Schwartz Dallara E.S., Kroo I.M., Waitz I.A. Metric for comparing lifetime average climate impact of aircraft. AIAA Journal 2011, 49:1600-1613.
45. Van Vuuren D.P., Stehfest E., den Elzen M.G.J., Kram T., van Vliet J., Deetman S., Isaac M., Klein Goldewijk K., Hof A., Mendoza Betran A., Oostenrijk R., von Ruijven B. RCP2.6: exploring the possibility to keep global mean temperature increase below 2°C. Climatic Change 2011, 109:95-116.
46. Wit, R., Boon, B., van Velzen, A., Cames, M., Deuber, O., Lee D.S., 2005. Giving wings to emission trading. Inclusion of aviation under the European emission trading system (ETS): designs and impacts. Report for the European Commission, DG Environment No. ENV.C.2/ETU/2004/0074r.