Uncertainties in Measuring Populations Potentially Impacted by Sea Level Rise and Coastal Flooding

PLoS ONE

Volumn 7, Issue 10, 2012, Pages

  Mondal, Pinki ^a,c   Tatem, Andrew J ^a,b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA   (United States)

^b NATIONAL INSTITUTES OF HEALTH   (United States)

^c Och Spine at New York Presbyterian Hospitals   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; CALCULATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; DATA BASE; FLOODING; GLOBAL RURAL URBAN MAPPING PROJECT; LANDSCAN; POPULATION DISTRIBUTION; POPULATION RISK; POPULATION SIZE; QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS; SEA LEVEL RISE; SEASHORE; UNCERTAINTY; VULNERABLE POPULATION;

CLIMATE CHANGE; FLOODS; HUMANS; OCEANS AND SEAS; POPULATION DENSITY; UNCERTAINTY;

EID: 84868112669     PISSN: None     EISSN: 19326203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0048191     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. Butler D, (2011) Reactors, residents and risk. Nature 474: 36.
2. Doocy S, Gorokhovich Y, Burnham G, Balk D, Robinson C, (2007) Tsunami Mortality Estimates and Vulnerability Mapping in Aceh, Indonesia. Am J Public Health 97: S146-151.
3. Balk D, Storeygard A, Levy M, Gaskell J, Sharma M, et al. (2005) Child hunger in the developing world: An analysis of environmental and social correlates. Food Policy 30: 584-611.
4. Hay SI, Guerra CA, Gething PW, Patil AP, Tatem AJ, et al. (2009) A World Malaria Map: Plasmodium falciparum Endemicity in 2007. PLoS Med 6: e1000048.
5. Brooker S, Hotez PJ, Bundy DAP, (2010) The Global Atlas of Helminth Infection: Mapping the Way Forward in Neglected Tropical Disease Control. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 4: e779.
6. Johansson MA, Dominici F, Glass GE, (2009) Local and Global Effects of Climate on Dengue Transmission in Puerto Rico. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 3: e382.
7. Linard C, Tatem AJ, (2012) Large-scale spatial population databases in infectious disease research. Int J Health Geogrs 11: 7.
8. Tatem AJ, Adamo S, Bharti N, Burgert CR, Castro M, et al. (2012) Mapping populations at risk: Improving spatial demographic data for infectious disease modeling and deriving health metrics. Popul Health Metr 10.
9. Vafeidis A, Neumann B, Zimmermann J. Nicholls RJ (2011) Analysis of land area and population in the low-elevation coastal zone (LECZ). London, UK: Government Office for Science.
10. Hirabayashi Y, Kanae S, (2009) First estimate of the future global population at risk of flooding. Hydrol Res Lett 3: 6-9.
11. McDonald RI, Green P, Balk D, Fekete BM, Revenga C, et al. (2011) Urban growth, climate change, and freshwater availability. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 108: 6312-6317.
12. de Sherbinin A, Schiller A, Pulsipher A, (2007) The vulnerability of global cities to climate hazards. Environ Urban 19: 39-64.
13. Tatem AJ, Campiz N, Gething PW, Snow RW, Linard C (2011) The effects of spatial population dataset choice on estimates of population at risk of disease. Popul Health Metr 9.
14. Tatem AJ, Guerra CA, Kabaria CW, Noor AM, Hay SI (2008) Human population, urban settlement patterns and their impact on Plasmodium falciparum malaria endemicity. Malar J 7.
15. LandScan website. Available: http://www.ornl.gov/sci/landscan/landscan_documentation.shtml. Accessed 2012 September 28.
16. Balk DL, Deichmann U, Yetman G, Pozzi F, Hay SI, et al. (2006) Determining global population distribution: Methods, applications and data. Adv in Parasitol 62: 119-156.
17. IPCC (2007) Climate change 2007: The physical science basis. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, et al., editors. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
18. Nicholls RJ, Tol RSJ, Vafeidis AT (2005) Global estimates of the impact of a collapse of the west Antarctic ice sheet: An application of Fund. Research unit Sustainability and Global Change working papers. Hamburg: Hamburg University.
19. Pfeffer WT, Harper JT, O'Neel S, (2008) Kinematic Constraints on Glacier Contributions to 21st-Century Sea-Level Rise. Science 321: 1340-1343.
20. Ericson JP, Vorosmarty CJ, Dingman SL, Ward LG, Meybeck M, (2006) Effective sea-level rise and deltas: Causes of change and human dimension implications. Glob Planet Change 50: 63-82.
21. McGranahan G, Balk D, Anderson B, (2007) The rising tide: assessing the risks of climate change and human settlements in low elevation coastal zones. Environ Urban 19: 17-37.
22. Nicholls RJ, Cazenave A, (2010) Sea-Level Rise and Its Impact on Coastal Zones. Science 328: 1517-1520.
23. Balk DL, Montgomery M, McGranahan G, Kim D, Mara V, et al. (2009) Mapping urban settlements and the risks of climate change in Africa, Asia and South America. In: Guzmán JM, Martine G, McGranahan G, Schensul D, Tacoli C, editors. Population Dynamics and Climate Change. New York: UNFPA, London: IIED. 80-103.
24. Lam NSN, Arenas H, Li Z, Liu KB, (2009) An Estimate of Population Impacted by Climate Change Along the U. S. Coast. J Coast Res 2: 1522-1526.
25. Rowley RJ, Kostelnick JC, Braaten D, Li X, Meisel J, (2007) Risk of rising sea level to population and land area. Eos 88: 105-107.
26. IPCC (2007) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. In: Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP, van der Linden PJ, Hanson CE, editors. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
27. Lichter M, Vafeiidis AT, Nicholls RJ, Kaiser G, (2011) Exploring data-related uncertainties in analyses of land area and population in the "Low-elevation coastal zone" (LECZ). J Coast Res 27: 757-768.
28. LandScan website. Available: http://www.ornl.gov/sci/landscan/. Accessed 2012 September 28.
29. The GRUMP website. Available: http://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/gpw/. Accessed 2012 September 28.
30. Deichmann U, Balk D, Yetman G (2001) Transforming population data for interdisciplinary usages: from census to grid. Available: http://sedac.ciesin.org/gpw-v2/GPWdocumentation.pdf. Accessed 2012 September 28.
31. United Nations Population Division (2010) World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations.
32. Hay SI, Noor AM, Nelson A, Tatem AJ, (2005) The accuracy of human population maps for public health application. Trop Med Int Health 10: 1073-1086.
33. Linard C, Gilbert M, Snow RW, Noor AM, Tatem AJ, (2012) Population distribution, settlement patterns and accessibility across Africa in 2010. PLoS One 7: e31743.
34. Tatem AJ, Noor AM, von Hagen C, di Gregorio A, Hay SI, (2007) High resolution population maps for low income nations: combining land cover and census in East Africa. PLoS One 2: e1298.
35. Guzmán JM, Martine G, McGranahan G, Schensul D, Tacoli C (2009) Population dynamics and climate change. New York: UNFPA, London: IIED.
36. Salvatore M, Pozzi F, Ataman E, Huddleston B, Bloise M (2005) Mapping global urban and rural population distributions. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
37. The AfriPop Project website. Available: http://www.afripop.org/. Accessed 2012 September 28.
38. The POPSATER Project website. Available: http://eo.belspo.be/Directory/ProjectDetail.aspx?projID=841. Accessed 2012 September 28.