메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 80, Issue 11, 2012, Pages 1001-1008

Predicting the future from the past: An old problem from a modern perspective

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 84867761223     PISSN: 00029505     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1119/1.4746070     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (58)

References (38)
  • 4
    • 77951516344 scopus 로고
    • Sur le problème des trois corps et les équations de la dynamique
    • ","
    • Poincaré H. Sur le problème des trois corps et les équations de la dynamique. Acta Math. 1890, 13:1-270.
    • (1890) Acta Math. , vol.13 , pp. 1-270
    • Poincaré, H.1
  • 5
    • 0032004550 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric analogs and recurrence time statistics: Toward a dynamical formulation
    • 10.1175/1520-0469(1998)055<0465:AAARTS>2.0.CO;2
    • Nicolis C. Atmospheric analogs and recurrence time statistics: Toward a dynamical formulation. J. Atmos. Sci. 1998, 55:465-475. 10.1175/1520-0469(1998)055<0465:AAARTS>2.0.CO;2.
    • (1998) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.55 , pp. 465-475
    • Nicolis, C.1
  • 6
    • 26944478850 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recurrence time analysis, long-term correlations, and extreme events
    • 10.1103/PhysRevE.71.056106
    • Altmann E.G. Kantz H. Recurrence time analysis, long-term correlations, and extreme events. Phy. Rev. E 2005, 71:056106. 10.1103/PhysRevE.71.056106.
    • (2005) Phy. Rev. E , vol.71 , pp. 056106
    • Altmann, E.G.1    Kantz, H.2
  • 9
    • 0001285133 scopus 로고
    • Deterministic chaos: The science and the fiction
    • 10.1098/rspa.1990.0010
    • Ruelle D. Deterministic chaos: The science and the fiction. Proc. R. Soc. London, Ser. A 1989, 427:241-248. 10.1098/rspa.1990.0010.
    • (1989) Proc. R. Soc. London, Ser. A , vol.427 , pp. 241-248
    • Ruelle, D.1
  • 10
    • 0000779360 scopus 로고
    • Detecting strange attractors in turbulence
    • D. A. Rand, L. S. Young, edited by and (Springer, Berlin, )
    • Takens F. Detecting strange attractors in turbulence. Dynamical Systems and Turbulence 1981, 366-381. D. A. Rand, L. S. Young, edited by and (Springer, Berlin, ), pp.
    • (1981) Dynamical Systems and Turbulence , pp. 366-381
    • Takens, F.1
  • 14
    • 0014534148 scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric predictability as revealed by naturally occurring analogues
    • 10.1175/1520-0469(1969)26<636:APARBN>2.0.CO;2
    • Lorenz E.N. Atmospheric predictability as revealed by naturally occurring analogues. J. Atmos. Sci. 1969, 26:636-646. 10.1175/1520-0469(1969)26<636:APARBN>2.0.CO;2.
    • (1969) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.26 , pp. 636-646
    • Lorenz, E.N.1
  • 15
    • 0000982627 scopus 로고
    • Three approaches to atmospheric predictability
    • Lorenz E.N. Three approaches to atmospheric predictability. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 1969, 50:345-349.
    • (1969) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.50 , pp. 345-349
    • Lorenz, E.N.1
  • 16
    • 0000241853 scopus 로고
    • Deterministic nonperiodic flow
    • 10.1175/1520-0469(1963)020<0130:DNF>2.0.CO;2
    • Lorenz E.N. Deterministic nonperiodic flow. J. Atmos. Sci. 1963, 20:130-141. 10.1175/1520-0469(1963)020<0130:DNF>2.0.CO;2.
    • (1963) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.20 , pp. 130-141
    • Lorenz, E.N.1
  • 18
    • 0009809703 scopus 로고
    • Studying chaotic systems using microcomputer simulations and Lyapunov exponents
    • 10.1119/1.16163
    • De Souza-Machado S. Rollins R.W. Jacobs D.T. Hartman J.L. Studying chaotic systems using microcomputer simulations and Lyapunov exponents. Am. J. Phys. 1990, 58:321-329. 10.1119/1.16163.
    • (1990) Am. J. Phys. , vol.58 , pp. 321-329
    • De Souza-Machado, S.1    Rollins, R.W.2    Jacobs, D.T.3    Hartman, J.L.4
  • 19
    • 0008494528 scopus 로고
    • Determining Lyapunov exponents from a time series
    • 10.1016/0167-2789(85)90011-9
    • Wolf A. Swift J.B. Swinney H.L. Vastano J.A. Determining Lyapunov exponents from a time series. Physica D 1985, 16:285-317. 10.1016/0167-2789(85)90011-9.
    • (1985) Physica D , vol.16 , pp. 285-317
    • Wolf, A.1    Swift, J.B.2    Swinney, H.L.3    Vastano, J.A.4
  • 20
    • 0001846226 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictability-A problem partly solved
    • (ECMWF, Reading, UK)
    • Lorenz E.N. Predictability-A problem partly solved. Proc. Seminar on Predictability 1996, 1-18. (ECMWF, Reading, UK, ), pp.
    • (1996) Proc. Seminar on Predictability , pp. 1-18
    • Lorenz, E.N.1
  • 21
    • 78650702076 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extensive chaos in the Lorenz-96 model
    • 10.1063/1.3496397
    • Karimi A. Paul M.R. Extensive chaos in the Lorenz-96 model. Chaos 2010, 20:043105. 10.1063/1.3496397.
    • (2010) Chaos , vol.20 , pp. 043105
    • Karimi, A.1    Paul, M.R.2
  • 22
    • 45949115280 scopus 로고
    • Anomalous scaling laws in multifractal objects
    • 10.1016/0370-1573(87)90110-4
    • Paladin G. Vulpiani A. Anomalous scaling laws in multifractal objects. Phys. Rep. 1987, 156:147-225. 10.1016/0370-1573(87)90110-4.
    • (1987) Phys. Rep. , vol.156 , pp. 147-225
    • Paladin, G.1    Vulpiani, A.2
  • 23
    • 33646981873 scopus 로고
    • Characterization of strange attractors
    • 10.1103/PhysRevLett.50.346
    • Grassberger P. Procaccia I. Characterization of strange attractors. Phys. Rev. Lett. 1983, 50:346-349. 10.1103/PhysRevLett.50.346.
    • (1983) Phys. Rev. Lett. , vol.50 , pp. 346-349
    • Grassberger, P.1    Procaccia, I.2
  • 24
    • 68149089788 scopus 로고
    • On the notion of recurrence in discrete stochastic processes
    • 10.1090/S0002-9904-1947-08927-8
    • Kac M. On the notion of recurrence in discrete stochastic processes. Bull. Am. Math. Soc. 1947, 53:1002-1010. 10.1090/S0002-9904-1947-08927-8.
    • (1947) Bull. Am. Math. Soc. , vol.53 , pp. 1002-1010
    • Kac, M.1
  • 25
    • 0039652296 scopus 로고
    • Recurrence time of a dynamical system
    • 10.1103/PhysRev.111.689
    • Hemmer P.C. Maximon L.C. Wergeland H. Recurrence time of a dynamical system. Phys. Rev. 1958, 111:689-694. 10.1103/PhysRev.111.689.
    • (1958) Phys. Rev. , vol.111 , pp. 689-694
    • Hemmer, P.C.1    Maximon, L.C.2    Wergeland, H.3
  • 26
    • 36149020747 scopus 로고
    • Remark on recurrence times
    • 10.1103/PhysRev.115.1
    • Kac M. Remark on recurrence times. Phys. Rev. 1959, 115:1. 10.1103/PhysRev.115.1.
    • (1959) Phys. Rev. , vol.115 , pp. 1
    • Kac, M.1
  • 27
    • 0000201862 scopus 로고
    • Intrinsic limits on dimension calculations
    • 10.1016/0375-9601(88)90445-8
    • Smith L.A. Intrinsic limits on dimension calculations. Phys. Lett. A 1988, 133:283-288. 10.1016/0375-9601(88)90445-8.
    • (1988) Phys. Lett. A , vol.133 , pp. 283-288
    • Smith, L.A.1
  • 28
    • 0000497094 scopus 로고
    • Time series prediction by using the method of analogues
    • A. S. Weigend, N. A. Gershenfeld, and , edited by and (Addison-Wesley, Reading)
    • Kostelich E.J. Lathrop D.P. Time series prediction by using the method of analogues. Time Series Prediction: Forecasting the Future and Understanding the Past 1994, 283-295. A. S. Weigend, N. A. Gershenfeld, and edited by and (Addison-Wesley, Reading, ), pp.
    • (1994) Time Series Prediction: Forecasting the Future and Understanding the Past , pp. 283-295
    • Kostelich, E.J.1    Lathrop, D.P.2
  • 29
    • 0000712133 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictability: A way to characterize complexity
    • 10.1016/S0370-1573(01)00025-4
    • Boffetta G. Cencini M. Falcioni M. Vulpiani A. Predictability: A way to characterize complexity. Phys. Rep. 2002, 356:367-474. 10.1016/S0370-1573(01)00025-4.
    • (2002) Phys. Rep. , vol.356 , pp. 367-474
    • Boffetta, G.1    Cencini, M.2    Falcioni, M.3    Vulpiani, A.4
  • 30
    • 0042784516 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysing local observations of weakly coupled maps
    • 10.1016/S0375-9601(98)00350-8
    • Olbrich E. Hegger R. Kantz H. Analysing local observations of weakly coupled maps. Phys. Lett. A 1998, 244:538-544. 10.1016/S0375-9601(98)00350-8.
    • (1998) Phys. Lett. A , vol.244 , pp. 538-544
    • Olbrich, E.1    Hegger, R.2    Kantz, H.3
  • 32
    • 77649182328 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Whewell's tidal researches: Scientific practice and philosophical methodology
    • 10.1016/j.shpsa.2009.12.011
    • Ducheyne S. Whewell's tidal researches: Scientific practice and philosophical methodology. Stud. Hist. Philos. Sci., Part A 2010, 41:26-40. 10.1016/j.shpsa.2009.12.011.
    • (2010) Stud. Hist. Philos. Sci., Part A , vol.41 , pp. 26-40
    • Ducheyne, S.1
  • 33
    • 83755230754 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Old brass brains-Mechanical prediction of tides
    • Ehret T. Old brass brains-Mechanical prediction of tides. ACSM Bull. 2008, 233:41-44.
    • (2008) ACSM Bull. , vol.233 , pp. 41-44
    • Ehret, T.1
  • 34
    • 50149090451 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Signatures of low-dimensional chaos in hourly water level measurements at coastal site of Mariupol, Ukraine
    • 10.1007/s00477-007-0186-2
    • Khokhlov V. Glushkov A. Loboda N. Serbov N. Zhurbenko K. Signatures of low-dimensional chaos in hourly water level measurements at coastal site of Mariupol, Ukraine. Stochastic Environ. Res. Risk Assess. 2008, 22:777-787. 10.1007/s00477-007-0186-2.
    • (2008) Stochastic Environ. Res. Risk Assess. , vol.22 , pp. 777-787
    • Khokhlov, V.1    Glushkov, A.2    Loboda, N.3    Serbov, N.4    Zhurbenko, K.5
  • 36
    • 67650091011 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Past-future information bottleneck in dynamical systems
    • 10.1103/PhysRevE.79.041925
    • Creutzig F. Globerson A. Tishby N. Past-future information bottleneck in dynamical systems. Phys. Rev. E 2009, 79:041925. 10.1103/PhysRevE.79.041925.
    • (2009) Phys. Rev. E , vol.79 , pp. 041925
    • Creutzig, F.1    Globerson, A.2    Tishby, N.3
  • 37
    • 84859075891 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extracting dynamical equations from experimental data is NP hard
    • 10.1103/PhysRevLett.108.120503
    • Cubitt T.S. Eisert J. Wolf M.M. Extracting dynamical equations from experimental data is NP hard. Phys. Rev. Lett. 2012, 108:120503. 10.1103/PhysRevLett.108.120503.
    • (2012) Phys. Rev. Lett. , vol.108 , pp. 120503
    • Cubitt, T.S.1    Eisert, J.2    Wolf, M.M.3
  • 38
    • 84867753977 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The end of theory: The data deluge makes the scientific method obsolete, Wired Magazine 16.07.
    • Anderson C. "The end of theory: The data deluge makes the scientific method obsolete," Wired Magazine 16.07.
    • Anderson, C.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.