메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 34, Issue 6, 2012, Pages 1799-1808

The effect of the financial sector on the evolution of oil prices: Analysis of the contribution of the futures market to the price discovery process in the WTI spot market

Author keywords

Futures markets; Oil prices; Price discovery; WTI

Indexed keywords

COINTEGRATION; CURRENT SUPPLIES; FINANCIAL MARKET; FINANCIAL SECTORS; FUTURES MARKET; KALMAN FILTER TECHNIQUE; OIL MARKET; OIL PRICES; PRICE DISCOVERY; SPOT MARKET; SPOT PRICE; TIME VARYING; WEST TEXAS INTERMEDIATES; WTI;

EID: 84867664936     PISSN: 01409883     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2012.07.014     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (49)

References (45)
  • 1
    • 33644825353 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Crude oil price differentials and differences in oil qualities: a statistical analysis
    • Bacon R., Tordo S. Crude oil price differentials and differences in oil qualities: a statistical analysis. ESMAP Technical Paper 81 2005.
    • (2005) ESMAP Technical Paper 81
    • Bacon, R.1    Tordo, S.2
  • 2
    • 84881096389 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fundamentals, trader activity and derivative pricing
    • Buyuksahin B., et al. Fundamentals, trader activity and derivative pricing. EFA 2009 Bergen Meetings Paper 2008.
    • (2008) EFA 2009 Bergen Meetings Paper
    • Buyuksahin, B.1
  • 6
    • 74149083861 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oil price dynamics and speculation: a multivariate financial approach
    • Cifarelli G., Paladino G. Oil price dynamics and speculation: a multivariate financial approach. Energy Econ. 2010, 32:363-372.
    • (2010) Energy Econ. , vol.32 , pp. 363-372
    • Cifarelli, G.1    Paladino, G.2
  • 7
    • 48049087426 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relationship between crude oil spot and future prices: cointegration, linear and non-linear causality
    • Diks C.G.H., Bekiros S.D. The relationship between crude oil spot and future prices: cointegration, linear and non-linear causality. Energy Econ. 2008, 30:2673-2685.
    • (2008) Energy Econ. , vol.30 , pp. 2673-2685
    • Diks, C.G.H.1    Bekiros, S.D.2
  • 8
    • 84867680674 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The International Crude Oil Market Handbook
    • Energy Intelligence
    • Energy Intelligence The International Crude Oil Market Handbook. Energy Intelligence Research 2007.
    • (2007) Energy Intelligence Research
  • 9
    • 0000013567 scopus 로고
    • Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing
    • Engle R.F., Granger C.W. Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica 1987, 2:251-276.
    • (1987) Econometrica , vol.2 , pp. 251-276
    • Engle, R.F.1    Granger, C.W.2
  • 12
    • 84867664146 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling and measuring price discovery on the NYMEX and IPE crude oil markets
    • Figuerola-Ferreti I., Gonzalo J. Modeling and measuring price discovery on the NYMEX and IPE crude oil markets. Working Paper Series 2008.
    • (2008) Working Paper Series
    • Figuerola-Ferreti, I.1    Gonzalo, J.2
  • 13
    • 77955422012 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling and measuring price discovery in commodity markets
    • Figuerola-Ferreti I., Gonzalo J. Modeling and measuring price discovery in commodity markets. J. Econ. 2010, 158(1):95-107.
    • (2010) J. Econ. , vol.158 , Issue.1 , pp. 95-107
    • Figuerola-Ferreti, I.1    Gonzalo, J.2
  • 14
    • 0030198073 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Price discovery in oil markets: a time varying analysis of the 1990-91 Gulf conflict
    • Foster A.J. Price discovery in oil markets: a time varying analysis of the 1990-91 Gulf conflict. Energy Econ. 1996, 18:231-246.
    • (1996) Energy Econ. , vol.18 , pp. 231-246
    • Foster, A.J.1
  • 15
    • 0000313261 scopus 로고
    • Price movements and price discovery in futures and cash markets
    • Garbade K.D., Silber W.L. Price movements and price discovery in futures and cash markets. Rev. Econ. Stat. 1983, 65:289-297.
    • (1983) Rev. Econ. Stat. , vol.65 , pp. 289-297
    • Garbade, K.D.1    Silber, W.L.2
  • 16
    • 84952524237 scopus 로고
    • Estimation of common long-memory components in cointegrated systems
    • Gonzalo J., Granger C.W. Estimation of common long-memory components in cointegrated systems. J. Bus. Econ. Stat. 1995, 13:27-35.
    • (1995) J. Bus. Econ. Stat. , vol.13 , pp. 27-35
    • Gonzalo, J.1    Granger, C.W.2
  • 17
    • 0037767593 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A systematic framework for analyzing the dynamic effects of permanent and transitory shocks
    • Gonzalo J., Ng S. A systematic framework for analyzing the dynamic effects of permanent and transitory shocks. J. Econ. Dyn. Control. 2001, 25:1527-1546.
    • (2001) J. Econ. Dyn. Control. , vol.25 , pp. 1527-1546
    • Gonzalo, J.1    Ng, S.2
  • 19
    • 84867680673 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Price dynamics, price discovery and large futures trader interactions in the energy complex
    • Haigh M.S., Hranaiova J., Overdahl J.A. Price dynamics, price discovery and large futures trader interactions in the energy complex. CFTC Working Paper 2005.
    • (2005) CFTC Working Paper
    • Haigh, M.S.1    Hranaiova, J.2    Overdahl, J.A.3
  • 20
    • 70350120270 scopus 로고
    • State space models
    • Elsevier Science, R.F. Engle, D.L. McFadden (Eds.)
    • Hamilton J.D. State space models. Handbook of Econometrics: Volume IV 1994, 3039-3080. Elsevier Science. R.F. Engle, D.L. McFadden (Eds.).
    • (1994) Handbook of Econometrics: Volume IV , pp. 3039-3080
    • Hamilton, J.D.1
  • 21
    • 84993849369 scopus 로고
    • One security many markets: determining the contributions to price discovery
    • Hasbrouck J. One security many markets: determining the contributions to price discovery. J. Finance 1995, 50:1175-1199.
    • (1995) J. Finance , vol.50 , pp. 1175-1199
    • Hasbrouck, J.1
  • 23
    • 57549091095 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • International Energy Agency (IEA)
    • International Energy Agency (IEA) World Energy Outlook 2008 2008.
    • (2008) World Energy Outlook 2008
  • 24
    • 79957924417 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interagency Task Force on Commodity Markets
    • Interagency Task Force on Commodity Markets Interim Report on Crude Oil, CFTC 2008.
    • (2008) Interim Report on Crude Oil, CFTC
  • 25
    • 0036112241 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measures of contributions to price discovery: a comparison
    • de Jong F. Measures of contributions to price discovery: a comparison. J. Financ. Mark. 2002, 5:323-327.
    • (2002) J. Financ. Mark. , vol.5 , pp. 323-327
    • de Jong, F.1
  • 26
    • 71149101788 scopus 로고
    • Speculation and economic stability
    • Kaldor N. Speculation and economic stability. Rev. Econ. Stud. 1939, 7:1-27.
    • (1939) Rev. Econ. Stud. , vol.7 , pp. 1-27
    • Kaldor, N.1
  • 27
    • 48049093249 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oil prices: the role of refinery utilization, futures markets and non-linearities
    • Kaufmann R.K., et al. Oil prices: the role of refinery utilization, futures markets and non-linearities. Energy econ. 2008, 30:2609-2622.
    • (2008) Energy econ. , vol.30 , pp. 2609-2622
    • Kaufmann, R.K.1
  • 28
    • 78549272312 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of market fundamentals and speculation in recent price changes for crude oil
    • Kaufmann R.K. The role of market fundamentals and speculation in recent price changes for crude oil. Energy Policy. 2011, 39:106-115.
    • (2011) Energy Policy. , vol.39 , pp. 106-115
    • Kaufmann, R.K.1
  • 29
    • 67349134984 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oil prices, speculation, and fundamentals: interpreting causal relations among spot and futures prices
    • Kaufmann R.K., Ullman B. Oil prices, speculation, and fundamentals: interpreting causal relations among spot and futures prices. Energy Econ. 2009, 31:550-558.
    • (2009) Energy Econ. , vol.31 , pp. 550-558
    • Kaufmann, R.K.1    Ullman, B.2
  • 30
    • 84867684657 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Essays on Price Discovery. Ph. D. thesis, University of Washington.
    • Kim, C.-H., 2011. Essays on Price Discovery. Ph. D. thesis, University of Washington.
    • (2011)
    • Kim, C.-H.1
  • 31
    • 0036099041 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Some desiderata for the measurement of price discovery across markets
    • Lehmann B.N. Some desiderata for the measurement of price discovery across markets. J. Financ. Mark. 2002, 5:259-276.
    • (2002) J. Financ. Mark. , vol.5 , pp. 259-276
    • Lehmann, B.N.1
  • 32
    • 31144435440 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The international oil price regime: origins rationale and assessment
    • Mabro R. The international oil price regime: origins rationale and assessment. J. Energy Lit. 2005, 11(1):3-20.
    • (2005) J. Energy Lit. , vol.11 , Issue.1 , pp. 3-20
    • Mabro, R.1
  • 33
    • 21444437806 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Numerical distribution functions for unit root and cointegration tests
    • MacKinnon J.G. Numerical distribution functions for unit root and cointegration tests. J. Appl. Econ. 1996, 11(6):601-618.
    • (1996) J. Appl. Econ. , vol.11 , Issue.6 , pp. 601-618
    • MacKinnon, J.G.1
  • 34
    • 0033444729 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Numerical distribution functions of likelihood ratio tests for cointegration
    • MacKinnon J.G., Haug A.A., Michelis L. Numerical distribution functions of likelihood ratio tests for cointegration. J. Appl. Econ. 1999, 14(5):563-577.
    • (1999) J. Appl. Econ. , vol.14 , Issue.5 , pp. 563-577
    • MacKinnon, J.G.1    Haug, A.A.2    Michelis, L.3
  • 36
    • 84867684661 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Who is in the oil futures markets and how has it changed?
    • James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy Rice University, Houston
    • Medlock K.B., Jaffe A.M. Who is in the oil futures markets and how has it changed?. Working Paper Series 2009, James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy Rice University, Houston.
    • (2009) Working Paper Series
    • Medlock, K.B.1    Jaffe, A.M.2
  • 37
    • 79959844566 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)
    • Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) World Oil Outlook. Vienna 2010.
    • (2010) World Oil Outlook. Vienna
  • 38
    • 84867684664 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Black gold & fool's gold: speculation in the oil futures market
    • Parsons J. Black gold & fool's gold: speculation in the oil futures market. CEEPR Working Paper No. 09-013 2009.
    • (2009) CEEPR Working Paper No. 09-013
    • Parsons, J.1
  • 40
    • 2942736903 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hedgers, funds, and small speculators in the energy futures markets: an analysis of the CFTC's commitment of traders reports
    • Sanders D., et al. Hedgers, funds, and small speculators in the energy futures markets: an analysis of the CFTC's commitment of traders reports. Energy Econ. 2004, 26:425-445.
    • (2004) Energy Econ. , vol.26 , pp. 425-445
    • Sanders, D.1
  • 41
    • 84978574509 scopus 로고
    • Price discovery in petroleum markets: arbitrage, cointegration, and the time interval of analysis
    • Schwarz T.V., Szakmary A.C. Price discovery in petroleum markets: arbitrage, cointegration, and the time interval of analysis. J. Futur. Mark. 1994, 14:147-167.
    • (1994) J. Futur. Mark. , vol.14 , pp. 147-167
    • Schwarz, T.V.1    Szakmary, A.C.2
  • 42
    • 0033464772 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relationship between spot and futures prices: evidence from the crude oil market
    • Silvapulle P., Moosa I. The relationship between spot and futures prices: evidence from the crude oil market. J. Futur. Mark. 1999, 19(2):175-193.
    • (1999) J. Futur. Mark. , vol.19 , Issue.2 , pp. 175-193
    • Silvapulle, P.1    Moosa, I.2
  • 45
    • 77956414093 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rational destabilizing speculation, positive feedback trading, and the oil bubble of 2008
    • Tokic D. Rational destabilizing speculation, positive feedback trading, and the oil bubble of 2008. Energy Policy 2011, 38(10):6009-6015.
    • (2011) Energy Policy , vol.38 , Issue.10 , pp. 6009-6015
    • Tokic, D.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.