Rogun dam-path to energy independence or security threat?

Sustainability

Volumn 3, Issue 9, 2011, Pages 1573-1592

  Eshchanov, Bahtiyor R ^a   Stultjes, Mona Grinwis Plaat ^a   Salaev, Sanaatbek K ^b   Eshchanov, Ruzumboy A ^b  

^a VRIJE UNIVERSITEIT BRUSSEL   (Belgium)

^b URGENCH STATE UNIVERSITY   (Uzbekistan)

Author keywords

Central Asia; Opportunity costs; Tajikistan; Unconventional security; Uzbekistan; Water energy trade off

Indexed keywords

EID: 84867368191     PISSN: 20711050     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3390/su3091573     Document Type: Article

References (57)

1. Press release: Rogun HPS-is Vital Important Factor of Sustainable Development for Tajikistan and Regional Cooperation on Water Management in the Condition of Climate Change; Embassy of the Republic of Tajikistan: Brussels, Belgium, 4 November 2009
2. Snidal, D. Coordination vs Prisoners' Dilemma: Implications for International Cooperation and Regimes. Am. Polit. Sci. Rev. 1985, 79, 923-942.
3. Madani, K. Game theory and water resources. J. Hydrol. 2010, 381, 225-238.
4. Hartman, W.B. Central Asia's Raging Waters: The Prospects of Water Conflict in Central Asia. Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, USA, March 2007.
5. Tookey, W.L. The environment, security and regional cooperation in Central Asia. Commun. Post-Commun. Stud. 2007, 40, 191-208.
6. Rakel, E. Environmental Security in Central Asia and the Caspian Region: Aral and Caspian Seas. In Facing Global Environmental Change. Hexagon Series on Human and Environmental Security and Peace; Springer: Berlin, Heidelberg, Germany, 2009; Volume 4, part VII, pp. 725-738.
7. Laldjebaev, M. The water-energy puzzle in Central Asia: The Tajikistan perspective. Int. J. Water Res. Dev. 2009, 26, 23-36.
8. Katzenstein, P.J. The Culture of National Security: Norms and Identity in World Politics; Columbia University Press: New York, NY, USA, 1996.
9. Ullman, R. Redefining security. Int. Secur. 1983, 8, 129-153.
10. Levy, M.A. Is the environment a national security issue? Int. Secur. 1985, 20, 35-62.
11. International Energy Administration. Caspian Natural Gas Production and Transportation, Note by the Secretariat; IEA: Paris, France, 2008.
12. Dukhovny, V.A.; Sorokin, A.G. Ocenka Vliyaniya Rogunskogo Vodohranilish'a na Vodniy Rejim Reki Amudary [Assessment of Impact of Rogun Reservoir on the Water Mode on Amu-Darya River]. Scientific Information Centre of Interstate Water Coordination Commmittee [N{cyrillic}I{cyrillic}Ts{cyrillic} M{cyrillic}K{cyrillic}V{cyrillic}K{cyrillic}]: Tashkent, Uzbekistan, 2007.
13. Simpson, D.W.; Negmatullaev, S.K. Induced Seismicity at Nurek Reservoir, Tadjikistan, USSR. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 1981, 71, 1561-1586.
14. www.trend.az. Uzbek Expert: Rogun's Dam could Lead to Catastrophe. Trend New Agency. 2011. Available online: http://en.trend.az/news/society/1854472.html (accessed on 22 Feburary 2011).
15. Shepherd, M. Water Crisis Ratchets up Conflict Potential in Tajikistan; Institute for the Study of Conflict, Idealogy, and Policy at Boston University: Boston, MA, USA. 2009.
16. Perelet, R. Central Asia: Background Paper on Climate Change (Human Development Report, Office Occasional Paper); UNDP: New York, NY,x USA, 2007.
17. CA-NEWS. "ElektroTyajMash" Pristupil k Proyektirovaniyu Oborudovaniya Dlya Rogunskoy GES [ElektroTyajmash Proceeded to Project Equipment for Rogun HPS]. CA-NEWS Portal. 2010. Available online: http://ca-news.org/news/416481 (accessed on 22 February 2011).
18. MediaGlobal. UN Secretary-General Suggests 'Cure All' for Central Asia Water Crisis. Media Global Portal. 2010. Available online: http://www.mediaglobal.org/article/2010-04-15/un-secretary-general-suggests-cure-all-for-central-asia-water-crisis (accessed on 22 Feburary 2011).
19. Bartle, A. Hydropower potential and development activities. Energy Policy 2002, 30, 1231-1239.
20. Jeuland, M. Social discounting of large dams with climate change uncertainty. Water Altern. 2010, 3, 185-206.
21. China Three Georges Project (CTGPC). History of China's Three Georges Project. 2002. Available online: http://www.ctgpc.com.cn/en/history/history_a.php (accessed on 22 February 2011).
22. Alam, M.K.; Mirza, M.R.; Maughan, E.O. Constraints and opportunities in planning for the wise use of natural resources in developing countries: example of a hydropower project. Environ. Conserv. 2009, 22, 352-358.
23. National Performance of Dams Program (NPDP). Highest Dams-World and US. 1998. Available online: http://npdp.stanford.edu/damhigh.html (accessed on 22 February 2011).
24. Canadian Induced Seismicity Research Group (CISRG). Dams Database: Nurek, Tadjikistan. 2002. Available online: http://www.telusplanet.net/public/retom/nurek.htm (accessed on 22 February 2011).
25. Lahmeyer. Feasibility Study for the Rogun Dam and Hydropower Plant. Lahmeyer International Newsletter No.50. 2005. Available online: http://www.lahmeyer.de/fileadmin/fm-lahmeyer/dokumente/li-aktuell/aktuell-50-e.pdf (accessed on 22 February 2011).
26. WaterPower. Ukraine interested in Rogun. International Water Power Online Journal. 2008. Available online: http://www.waterpowermagazine.com/story.asp?storyCode=2051689 (accessed on 14 July 2011).
27. Parshin, K. Tajikistan: World Bank Offer Energizes Rogun Hydropower Project. EurasiaNet Business & Economics Portal. 2010. Available online: http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav031610.shtml (accessed on 14 July 2011).
28. International EnergyAdministration. Energy Balance for Tajikistan in 2007; International Energy Agency: Paris, France, 2010.
29. Asian Development Bank (ADB). Promotion of Renewable Energy, Energy Efficiency and Greenhouse Gas Abatement, A Pre-Feasibility Study Report. 2006. Available online: http://www.adb.org/Clean-Energy/documents/TAJ-PFS-Small-Hydroelectric-Power.pdf (accessed on 14 July 2011).
30. Ghasimi, R. Tajikistan. A World Bank Country Study Series; World Bank: Washington, DC, USA, 1994.
31. The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR). Tajikistan: Forced Rogun Payments Sowing Discontent Among Impoverished Tajiks. 2010. Available online: http://www.unhcr.org/refworld/docid/4b966e6ec.html (accessed on 14 July 2011).
32. Ibragimova, R. Rogun Dam Money Collected, but Sits Stagnant. Central Asia Online. 2010. Available online: http://centralasiaonline.com/cocoon/caii/xhtml/en_GB/features/caii/features/business/2010/07/06/feature-01 (accessed on 14 July 2011).
33. Pasadilla, G.O. Financial Crisis, Trade Finance, and SMEs: Case of Central Asia. In ADB Working Paper Series; Asian Development Bank Institute: Tokyo, Japan, 2010.
34. Radio Free Europe-Radio Liberty (RFE-RL). Rising Food Prices Hit Home In Tajikistan. 2011. Available online: http://www.rferl.org/video/16086.html (accessed on 14 July 2011).
35. Matveeva, A. Tajikistan: Revolutionary Situation or a Resilient State? EU Central Asia Monitoring Project: Brussels, Belgium, 2009.
36. World Health Organization (WHO). Polio Rehabilitation in Tajikistan. 2011. Available online: http://www.euro.who.int/en/where-we-work/member-states/tajikistan/sections/news/2012/02/polio-rehabilitation-in-tajikistan (accessed on 14 July 2011).
37. Khodjiyorov, A. Tuberkulyez-Ocherednaya Napast Razrushayushaya Tadjikistan (Tuberculosis-Another Attack that Destroys Tajikistan) CentrAsia News Portal, 2011. Available online: http://www.centrasia.ru/newsA.php?st=129 (accessed on 14 July 2011).
38. World Bank. Tajikistan Country Data. 2010. Available online: http://data.worldbank.org/country/tajikistan (accessed on 14 July 2011).
39. ASIA-Plus Information Agency. Sangtuda 1 Preduprejdaet... [Sangtuda 1 Warns...]. 2009. Available online: http://www.asiaplus.tj/articles/31/4259.html (accessed on 14 July 2011).
40. Barki Tojiki, Rogunskaya Hydro power station Performance Characteristics. Barki Tojiki. Available online: http://www.tajikembassy.org/images/roghun.pdf (accessed on 21 September 2011).
41. Trilling, D. Tajikistan: Rogun Dam a Hot Topic as Tajiks Make It Through Another Winter of Shortages. EurasiaNet Business & Economics Portal. 2009. Available online: http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insightb/articles/eav031309f.shtml (accessed on 14 July 2011).
42. Petrov, G.N.; Normatov, I.Sh. Conflict of interests between water users in the central asian region and possible ways to its elimination. Water Resour. 2010, 37, 113-120.
43. Teasley, R.L.; McKinney, D.C. Calculating the benefits of transboundary river basin cooperation: The syr darya basin. J. Water Resour. Plan. Manag., in press.
44. Nezavisimaya Gazeta. Rogun Lyuboy Cenoy [Rogun at Any Price]. Originally in russian. 2009. Available online: http://www.ng.ru/cis/2009-12-08/6_rogun.html (accessed on 14 July 2011).
45. Glantz, M.H. Water, climate and development issue in the amu darya basin. Mitig. Adapt. Strategies Glob. Chang. 2005, 10, 23-50.
46. Oclott, M.B. Central Asia's Second Chance; Carnegie Endowment for International Peace: Washington, DC, USA, 2005.
47. Djanibekov, N. Land Consolidation for Increasing Cotton Production but Sufficient for Triggering Rural Development in Uzbekistan? In Proceedings of the Green Week Scientific Conference, Berlin, Germany, 14-15 January 2010.
48. Abdullaev, I.; Kazbekov, J.; Manthritilake, H.; Jumaboev, K. Participatory water management at the main canal: A case from South Ferghana canal in Uzbekistan. Agric. Water Manag. 2009, 96, 317-329.
49. Eshchanov, B. How to Meet the Future Energy Needs of Uzbekistan? KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden, 2006. 50.
50. Wegerich, K.; Olsson, O.; Froebrich, J. Reliving the past in a changed environment: Hydropower ambitions, opportunities and constraints in Tajikistan. Energy Policy 2007, 35, 3815-3825.
51. European Bank of Reconstruction and Development (EBDR). Tajikistan Country Profile; European Bank for Reconstruction and Development. Dushanbe: Dushanbe, Tajikistan, 2003.
52. Stettler, Y.N. Cost Efficiency of Thermal Insulation; Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich: Geneva, Switzerland, 2010.
53. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Residential Energy Consumption Survey; Energy Informational Agency: Paris, France, 2005.
54. CA-NEWS. Na Severe Tajikistana Nachali Proizvodit Energosberayushie Lampochki [Production of Energy Saving Lamps has Started in Northern Tajikistan] Originally in Russian. CA-NEWS Potal. 2010. Available online: http://ca-news.org/news/429861 (accessed on 14 July 2011).
55. Khamzina, A.; Lamers, J.; Vlek, P. Tree establishment under deficit irrigation on degraded agricultural land in the lower amu darya river region, aral sea basin. For. Ecol. Manag. 2008, 255, 168-178.
56. Asian Development Bank (ADB). Promotion of Renewable Energy, Energy Efficiency and Greenhouse Gas Abatement. A Pre-Feasibility Study Report. 2006. Available online: http://www.adb.org/Clean-Energy/documents/TAJ-PFS-Small-Hydroelectric-Power.pdf (accessed on 14 July 2011).
57. Safarov, S. In Rural Areas Small Hydro Power Stations are Needed; COOPERATION - UNDP Tajikistan Special Enclose to Asia-Plus: Dushanbe, Tajikistan, 2009.