Temporal trends and spatial characteristics of drought and rainfall in arid and semiarid regions of Iran

Hydrological Processes

Volumn 26, Issue 22, 2012, Pages 3351-3361

  Tabari, Hossein ^a   Abghari, Hirad ^b   Hosseinzadeh Talaee, P ^c  

^a ISLAMIC AZAD UNIVERSITY   (Iran)

^b URMIA UNIVERSITY   (Iran)

^c ISLAMIC AZAD UNIVERSITY   (Iran)

Author keywords

Drought characteristics; Nonparametric tests; Serial correlation; Standardized Precipitation Index; Trend magnitude

Indexed keywords

ANNUAL RAINFALL; ARID AND SEMI-ARID REGIONS; AVERAGE VALUES; DROUGHT SEVERITY; NON-PARAMETRIC TEST; RAINFALL SERIES; RECURRENT EVENTS; SERIAL CORRELATION; SPATIAL CHARACTERISTICS; SPEARMAN TESTS; STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX; STUDY AREAS; SUMMER RAINFALL; TEMPORAL TRENDS; TIME-SCALES; TREND ANALYSIS; TREND MAGNITUDE; TREND TESTS; WINTER SEASONS;

ARID REGIONS; DROUGHT; TIME SERIES;

RAIN;

ARID REGION; DROUGHT; PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT; PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; RAINFALL; SEMIARID REGION; SPATIAL VARIATION; SPRING (SEASON); SUMMER; TEMPORAL VARIATION; TREND ANALYSIS; WINTER;

IRAN;

EID: 84867196887     PISSN: 08856087     EISSN: 10991085     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/hyp.8460     Document Type: Article

References (84)

1. Alijani B. 2002. Variation of 500 hPa flow patterns over Iran and surrounding areas and their relationship with the climate of Iran. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 72: 41-54.
2. Alizadeh A, Keshavarz A. 2005. Status of Agricultural Water Use in Iran. In Water Conservation, Reuse, and Recycling: Proceedings of an Iranian-American Workshop. The National Academies Press: Washington, DC; 94-105.
3. Aziz OIA, Burn DH. 2006. Trends and variability in the hydrological regime of the Mackenzie River Basin. Journal of Hydrology 319(1-4): 282-294.
4. Babaie O, Farajzadeh M. 2002. Patterns of spatial and temporal variations of rainfall in Iran. Modarres Humanity Sciences 6: 51-70 (in Persian).
5. Bhalme HN, Mooley DA. 1980. Large-scale drought/floods and monsoon circulation. Monthly Weather Review 108: 1197-1211.
6. Bonaccorso B, Bordi I, Cancelliere A, Rossi G, Sutera A. 2003. Spatial Variability of drought: an analysis of the SPI in Sicily. Water Resources Management 17: 273-296.
7. Bordi I, Fraedrich K, Jiang J-M, Sutera A. 2004. Spatio-temporal variability of dry and wet periods in eastern China. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 79: 81-91.
8. Brunetti M, Brunetti M, Maugeri M, Nanni T, Navarra A, Maugeri M, Nanni T, Navarra A. 2002. Droughts and extreme events in regional daily Italian precipitation series. International Journal of Climatology 22: 509-621.
9. de la Casa A, Nasello O. 2010. Breakpoints in annual rainfall trends in Córdoba, Argentina. Atmospheric Research 95: 419-427.
10. Dai A, Trenberth KE, Qian T. 2004. A global dataset of Palmer Drought Severity Index for 1870-2002: relationship with soil moisture and effects of surface warming. Journal of Hydrometeorology 5: 1117-1130.
11. Dinpashoh Y, Jhajharia D, Fakheri-Fard A, Singh VP, Kahya E. 2011. Trends in reference crop evapotranspiration over Iran. Journal of Hydrology 399: 422-433.
12. Domroes M, Kaviani M, Schaefer D. 1998. An analysis of regional and intra-annual precipitation variability over Iran using multivariate statistical methods. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 61: 151-159.
13. Dore MHI. 2005. Climate change and changes in global precipitation patterns: What do we know? Environment International 31:1167-1181.
14. Gibbs WJ, Maher JV. 1967. Rainfall Deciles as Drought Indicators. Bureau of Meteorology Bulletin No. 48: Commonwealth of Australia, Melbourne.
15. Guttman NB. 1999. Accepting the Standardized Precipitation Index: a calculation algorithm. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 35: 311-322.
16. Heim RR. 2000. Drought indices: a review. In Drought: a global assessment, Wilhite DA (ed.). Routledge: London and New York.
17. Jhajharia D, Dinpashoh Y, Kahya E, Singh VP, Fakheri-Fard A. 2011. Trends in reference evapotranspiration in the humid region of northeast India. Hydrological Processes DOI: 10.1002/hyp.8140
18. Kahya E, Kalayci S. 2004. Trend analysis of streamflow in Turkey. Journal of Hydrology 289: 128-144.
19. Kampata JM, Parida BP, Moalafhi DB. 2008. Trend analysis of rainfall in the headstreams of the Zambezi River Basin in Zambia. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 33: 621-625.
20. Katiraie PS, Hajjam S, Irannejad P. 2007. Contribution from the variations of precipitation frequency and daily intensity to the precipitation trend in Iran over the period 1960-2001. Journal of Earth and Space Physics 33(1): 67-83 (in Persian).
21. Kendall MG. Stuart A. 1973. The Advanced Theory by Statistics. Griffin: London.
22. Keyantash J, Dracup JA. 2002. The quantification of drought: an evaluation of drought indices. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 83: 1167-1180.
23. Keyantash J, Dracup JA. 2004. An aggregate drought index: assessing drought severity based on fluctuations in the hydrologic cycle and surface water storage. Water Resources Research 40: DOI: 10.1029/2003WR002610 (W09304)
24. Khalili D, Farnoud T, Jamshidi H, Kamgar-Haghighi AA, Zand-Parsa SH. 2011. Comparability analyses of the SPI and RDI meteorological drought indices in different climatic zones. Water Resources Management 25: 1737-1757.
25. Khaliq MN, Ouarda TBMJ, Gachon P. 2009. Identification of temporal trends in annual and seasonal low flows occurring in Canadian rivers: The effect of short- and long-term persistence. Journal of Hydrology 369: 183-197.
26. Khan S, Gabriel HF, Rana T. 2008. Standard precipitation index to track drought and assess impact of rainfall on watertables in irrigation areas. Irrigation and Drainage Systems 22: 159-177.
27. Kogan FN. 1990. Remote sensing of weather impacts on vegetation in non-homogeneous areas. International Journal of Remote Sensing 11(8): 1405-1419.
28. Kogan FN. 2002. World droughts in the new millennium from AVHRR-based Vegetation Health Indices. Eos, Transactions, American Geophysical Union 83(48): 562-563.
29. Kohler MA. 1949. Double-mass analysis for testing the consistency of records and for making adjustments. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 30: 188-189.
30. Kottegoda NT. 1980. Stochastic Water Resources Technology. The Macmillan Press Ltd: London.
31. Kousari MR, Ekhtesasi MR, Tazeh M, Saremi Naeini MA, Asadi Zarch MA. 2011. An investigation of the Iranian climatic changes by considering the precipitation, temperature, and relative humidity parameters. Theoretical and Applied Climatology DOI: 10.1007/s00704-010-0304-9
32. Kumar S, Merwade V, Kam J, Thurner K. 2009. Streamflow trends in Indiana: Effects of long term persistence, precipitation and subsurface drains. Journal of Hydrology 374(1-2): 171-183.
33. Lana X, Serra C, Burgueno A. 2001. Patterns of monthly rainfall shortage and excess in terms of the standardized precipitation index for Catalonia (NE Spain). International Journal of Climatology 21: 1669-1691.
34. Le Houerou HN. 1992. Relations entre la variabilit'e des pr'ecipitations et celle des productions primaire et secondaire en zone aride. In L'aridit'e, une contrainte au d'eveloppement, Le Floc'h E, Grouzis M, Cornet A, Bille JC (eds). Collections Didactiques. ORSTOM: Paris; 197-220, 597pp.
35. Le Houerou HN. 1996. Climate change, drought and desertification. Journal of Arid Environments 34: 133-185.
36. Le Houerou HN, Norwine JR. 1985. The ecoclimatology of South Texas. In Arid Lands Today and Tomorrow, Whitehead EE, Hutchinson CF, Timmerman BN, Varady RG (eds). Westview Press: Boulder, CO; 417-443, 1435pp.
37. Livada I, Assimakopoulos VD. 2007. Spatial and temporal analysis of drought in Greece using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). Theoretical and Applied Climatology 89: 143-153.
38. Lloyd-Hughes B, Saunders MA. 2002. A drought climatology for Europe. International Journal of Climatology 22: 1571-1592.
39. Ma Z, Kang S, Zhang L, Tong L, Su X. 2008. Analysis of impacts of climate variability and human activity on streamflow for a river basin in arid region of northwest China. Journal of Hydrology 352: 239-249.
40. McKee TB, Doesken NJ, Kleist J. 1993. The relation of drought frequency and duration to time scales. In Proceedings of the Eighth Conference on Applied Climatology. Am. Meteorol. Soc. Boston, 179-184.
41. Modarres R, da Silva VPR. 2007. Rainfall trends in arid and semi-arid regions of Iran. Journal of Arid Environments 70: 344-355.
42. Modarres R, Sarhadi A. 2009. Rainfall trends analysis of Iran in the last half of the twentieth century. Journal of Geophysical Research 114: D03101, DOI: 10.1029/2008JD010707
43. Moreira EE, Coelho CA, Paulo AA, Pereira LS, Mexia JT. 2008. SPI-based drought category prediction using loglinear Models. Journal of Hydrology 354: 116-130.
44. Morid S, Smakhtin V, Moghaddasi M. 2006. Comparison of seven meteorological indices for drought monitoring in Iran. International Journal of Climatology 26: 971-985.
45. Mousavi SF. 2005. Agricultural Drought Management in Iran. In Water Conservation, Reuse, and Recycling: Proceedings of an Iranian-American Workshop, 106-113.
46. Novotny EV, Stefan HG. 2007. Stream flow in Minnesota: indicator of climate change. Journal of Hydrology 334(3-4): 319-333.
47. Oguntunde PG, Abiodun BJ, Lischeid G. 2011. Rainfall Trends in Nigeria, 1901-2000. Journal of Hydrology DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.09.037
48. Palmer WC. 1965. Meteorological drought. Research Paper No. 45, U.S. Department of CommerceWeather Bureau, Washington, DC.
49. Palmer WC. 1968. Keeping track of crop moisture conditions, nationwide: The new Crop Moisture Index. Weatherwise 21: 156-161.
50. Paulo AA, Pereira LS. 2007. Prediction of SPI drought class transitions using Markov chains. Water Resources Management 21: 1813-1827.
51. Pereira LS, Cordery I, Iacovides I. 2002. Coping with water scarcity, UNESCO IHP VI, technical documents in hydrology, no. 58. UNESCO, Paris.
52. Piccarreta M, Capolongo D, Boenzi F. 2004. Trend analysis of precipitation and drought in Basilicata from 1923 to 2000 within a Southern Italy context. International Journal of Climatology 24: 907-922.
53. Raziei T, Saghafian B, Paulo AA, Pereira LS, Bordi I. 2009. Spatial patterns and temporal variability of drought in western Iran. Water Resources Management 23: 439-455.
54. Rebetez M. 1999. Twentieth century trends in droughts in southern Switzerland. Geophysical Research Letters 26(6): 755-758.
55. del Rio S, Penas A, Fraile R. 2005. Analysis of recent climatic variations in Castile and Leon (Spain). Atmospheric Research 73: 69-85.
56. Rossi G, Cancelliere A. 2002. Early warning of drought: development of a drought bullettin for Sicily. In Proc. 2nd International Conference "New trends in water and environmental engineering for safety and life: eco-compatible solutions for aquatic environments. Capri, Italy, June 24-28, 2002, 1-12.
57. Sadeghi AR, Kamgar-Haghighi AA, Sepaskahah AR, Khalili D, Zand-Parsa S. 2002. Regional classification for dryland agriculture in southern Iran. Journal of Arid Environments 50: 333-341.
58. Sen PK. 1968. Estimates of the regression coefficient based on Kendall's tau. Journal of the American Statistical Association 63: 1379-1389.
59. Shafer BA, Dezman LE. 1982. Development of a Surface Water Supply Index (SWSI) to assess the severity of drought conditions in snowpack runoff areas. In Proceedings of the Western Snow Conference, Fort Collins, CO, 164-175.
60. da Silva VPR. 2004. On climate variability in Northeast of Brazil. Journal of Arid Environments 58: 575-596.
61. De Martonne E. 1926. Une nouvelle fonction climatologi-que: L' indice d'aridite. La Meteorologie 2: 449-458.
62. Smith JB, Huq S, Lenhart S, Mata LJ, Nemesova I, Toure S. 1996. Vulnerability and adaptation to climate change: interim results from the U. S. country studies program.Kluwer: Dordrecht; 366.
63. Sneyers R. 1990. On the statistical analysis of series of observations. WMO. Technical Note (143). Geneve: World Meteorological Organization, 192.
64. von Storch H. 1995. Misuses of statistical analysis in climate research. In Analysis of climate variability: applications of statistical techniques, Storch HV, Navarra A (eds). Berlin: Springer; 11-26.
65. Tabari H, Hosseinzadeh Talaee P. 2011a. Temporal variability of precipitation over Iran: 1966-2005. Journal of Hydrology 396: 313-320.
66. Tabari H, Hosseinzadeh Talaee P. 2011b. Analysis of trends in temperature data in arid and semi-arid regions of Iran. Global and Planetary Change 79: 1-10.
67. Tabari H, Aeini A, Hosseinzadeh Talaee P, Shifteh SB. 2011a. Spatial distribution and temporal variation of reference evapotranspiration in arid and semi-arid regions of Iran. Hydrological Processes DOI: 10.1002/hyp.8146
68. Tabari H, Shifteh Somee B, Rezaeian Zadeh M. 2011b. Testing for long-term trends in climatic variables in Iran. Atmospheric Research 100: 132-140.
69. Theil H. 1950. A rank-invariant method of linear and polynomial regression analysis, Part 3. Proceedings of Koninalijke Nederlandse Akademie van Weinenschatpen A 53: 1397-1412.
70. Tsakiris G, Vangelis H. 2005. Establishing a drought index incorporating evapotranspiration. European Water 9/10: 3-11.
71. Vicente-Serrano SM, Cuadrat-Prats JM. 2007. Trends in drought intensity and variability in the middle Ebro valley (NE of the Iberian peninsula) during the second half of the twentieth century. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 88: 247-258.
72. Vicente-Serrano SM, González-Hidalgo JC, de Luis M, Raventós J. 2004. Drought patterns in the Mediterranean area: the Valencia region (eastern Spain). Climate Research 26: 5-15.
73. Watson RT, Zinyowera MC, Moss RH (eds). 1997. The regional impacts of climate change: an assessment of vulnerability. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge; 517.
74. Weghorst KM. 1996. The reclamation drought index: Guidelines and practical applications. Bureau of Reclamation: Denver, Colorado; 6.
75. Wilhite DA, Hayes MJ, Svodoba MD. 2000. Drought monitoring and assessment in the U.S. In Drought and drought mitigation in Europe, Voght JV, Somma F (eds). Kluwers: Dordrecht.
76. Willeke G, Hosking JRM, Wallis JR, Guttman NB. 1994. The national drought atlas. Institute for water resources report 94-NDS-4, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.
77. Worrall F, Burt TP, Adamson JK. 2006. Trends in drought frequency-the fate of doc export from British peatlands. Climatic Change 76: 339-359.
78. Xu ZX, Takeuchi K, Ishidaira H. 2003. Monotonic trend and step changes in Japanese precipitation. Journal of Hydrology 279: 144-150.
79. Yue S, Hashino M. 2003. Temperature trends in Japan: 1900-1996. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 75: 15-27.
80. Yue S, Wang CY. 2002. The influence of serial correlation on the Mann-Whitney test for detecting a shift in median. Advances in Water Resources 25: 325-333.
81. Yue S, Pilon P, Phinney B, Cavadias G. 2002. The influence of autocorrelation on the ability to detect trend in hydrological series. Hydrological Processes 16: 1807-1829.
82. Yue S, Pilon P, Phinney B. 2003. Canadian streamflow trend detection: impacts of serial and cross-correlation. Hydrological Science Journal 48(1): 51-63.
83. Zhang Q, Xu C-Y, Zhang Z. 2009. Observed changes of drought/wetness episodes in the Pearl River basin, China, using the standardized precipitation index and aridity index. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 98: 89-99.
84. Zhang Q, Singh VP, Li J, Chen X. 2011. Analysis of the periods of maximum consecutive wet days in China. Journal of Geophysical Research DOI: 10.1029/2011JD016088