A seasonal study of the atmospheric dynamics over the Iberian Peninsula based on circulation types

Theoretical and Applied Climatology

Volumn 110, Issue 1-2, 2012, Pages 291-310

  García Valero, Juan Andrés ^b   Montavez, Juan Pedro ^a   Jerez, Sonia ^a   Gómez Navarro, Juan José ^a   Lorente Plazas, Raquel ^a   Jiménez Guerrero, Pedro ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MURCIA   (Spain)

^b Delegación Territorial de AEMET en Murcia   (Spain)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ANTICYCLONE; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; ATMOSPHERIC DYNAMICS; EXTRATROPICAL ENVIRONMENT; GEOPOTENTIAL; LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM; SEA LEVEL PRESSURE; SEASONAL VARIATION; TREND ANALYSIS;

IBERIAN PENINSULA;

EID: 84867096596     PISSN: 0177798X     EISSN: 14344483     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-012-0623-0     Document Type: Article

References (55)

1. Bárdossy A, Caspary H (1990) Detection of climate change in Europe by analyzing European atmospheric circulation patterns from 1881 to 1989. Theor Appl Climatol 42: 155-167.
2. Beck C, Philipp A (2010) Evaluation and comparison of circulation type classifications for the European domain. Phys Chem Earth, Parts A/B/C 35(9-12): 374-387. doi: 10. 1016/j. pce. 2010. 01. 001.
3. Bermejo M, Ancell R (2009) Observed changes in extreme temperatures over Spain during 1957-2002, using weather types. Rev Climatol 9: 45-61.
4. Bladé I, Cacho I, Castro-Díez Y, Gomis D, González-Sampériz P, Miguez-Macho G, Pérez F, Rodríguez-Fonseca B, Rodríguez-Puebla C, Sánchez E, Sotillo M, Valero-Garcés B, Vargas-Yáez M (2010) Clima en España: Pasado, presente y futuro. Tech rep, CLIVAR-España.
5. Brunet M, Jones P, Sigró J, Saladié O, Aguilar E, Moberg A, Della-Marta P, Lister D, Walther A, López D (2007) Temporal and spatial temperature variability and change over Spain during 1850-2005. J Geophys Res 112: 12, 117.
6. Calinski T, Harabasz J (1974) A dendrite method for cluster analysis. Commun Stat 3: 1-27.
7. Casado M, Pastor M, Doblas-Reyes F (2008) Euro-Atlantic circulation types and modes of variability in winter. Theor Appl Climatol 96: 17-29.
8. Cassou C, Terray L, Phillips A (2005) Tropical Atlantic influence on European heat waves. J Clim 18: 2805-2811.
9. Catell R (1966) The scree test for the number of pcs. Multivar Behav Res 1: 245-276.
10. Crane R, Barry R (1988) Comparison of the MSL synoptic pressure patterns of the Artic as observed and simulated by the GISS general circulation model. Meteoro Atmos Phys 39: 169-183.
11. Demezure M, Werner M, van Lipzig N, Roeckner E (2008) An analysis of present and future echam5 pressure fields using a classification of circulation patterns. Int J Climatol 29: 1796-1810.
12. Fereday D, Knight J, Scaife A, Folland C (2008) Cluster analysis of North Atlantic-European circulation types and links with tropical Pacific Sea surface temperatures. J Clim 21: 3687-3703.
13. Font-Tullot I (2000) Climatología de España y Portugal. University of Salamanca, Spain.
14. Gallego F (1995) Situaciones de flujo mediterráneo y precipitaciones asociadas. aplicación a la predicción cuantitativa en la cuenca del segura. PhD thesis, Universidad de Murcia, Spain.
15. García-Bustamante E, González-Rouco J, Navarro J, Xoplaki E, Jiménez P, Montávez J (2012) North Atlantic atmospheric circulation and surface wind in the northeast of the Iberian Peninsula: uncertainty and long term downscaled variability. Clim Dyn 38(1): 141-160. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-010-0969-x.
16. Gesterngarbe F, Werner P (1997) A method to estimate the statistical confidence of cluster separation. Theor Appl Climatol 57: 103-110.
17. Giorgi F (2006) Climate change hot-spots. Geophys Res Lett 33: 08, 707.
18. Goodess C, Palutikof J (1998) Development of daily rainfall scenarios for Southeast Spain using a circulation-type approach to downscaling. Int J Climatol 18(10): 1051-1083.
19. Hannachi A, Jolliffe I, Stephenson D (2007) Empirical orthogonal functions and related techniques in atmospheric science: a review. Int J Climatol 27(9): 1119-1152.
20. Hartigan J, Wong M (1979) A k-means clustering algorithm. Appl Stat 28: 100-108.
21. Hess P, Brezowsky H (1952) Katalog der Grosswetterlagen Europas. Deutscher Wetterdienst in d. US-Zone.
22. Hewitson B, Crane R (2002) Self-organizing maps: applications to synoptic climatology. Clim Res 22: 13-26.
23. Hulme H, Briffal K, Jones P, Senior C (1993) Validation of GCM control simulations using indices of daily airflow types over the British Isles. Clim Dyn 9: 95-105.
24. Huth R (1996) An intercomparison of computer-assisted circulation classification methods. Int J Climatol 16: 893-922.
25. Huth R (1997) Continental-scale circulation in the UKHI GCM. J Clim 10: 1545-1561.
26. Huth R (2000) A circulation classification scheme applicable in GCM studies. Theor Appl Climatol 67: 1-18.
27. James P (2007) An objective classification method for Hess and Brezowsky Grosswetterlagen over Europe. Theor Appl Climatol 88: 17-42.
28. Jiménez P, González-Rouco J, Montávez J, García-Bustamante E, Navarro J (2008) Climatology of wind patterns in the northeast of the Iberian Peninsula. Int J Climatol 29: 501-525.
29. Kaufman L, Rousseeuw P (1990) Finding groups in data: an introduction to cluster analysis, vol 39. Wiley Online Library, NY.
30. Kendall M (1970) Rank correlation methods. Charles Griffin, London.
31. Key J, Crane R (1986) A comparison of synoptic classification schemes based on objective procedures. Int J Climatol 6: 375-388.
32. Kirchhofer W (1974) Classification of European 500 mb patterns. Working reports of the Swiss Meteorological Institute, Swiss Meteorological Institute, Zurich.
33. Kyselý J, Huth R (2006) Changes in atmospheric circulation over Europe detected by objective and subjective methods. Theor Appl Climatol 85: 19-36.
34. Lamb H (1950) Types and spells of weather around the year in the British Isles: annual trends, seasonal structure of the year, singularities. Q J Roy Meteor Soc 76: 393-429.
35. López-Bustins J, Martín-Vide J, Sánchez-Lorenzo A (2008) Iberia winter rainfall trends based upon changes in teleconnection and circulation patterns. Glob Planet Change 63: 171-176.
36. Lorenz E (1956) Technical report. Statistical forecast project report 1. Department of Meteorology. MIT 49, vol 1. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, chap Empirical orthogonal functions and statistical weather prediction, p 52.
37. Lund I (1963) Map-pattern classification by statistical methods. J Appl Meteorol 2: 56-65.
38. Michelangeli P, Vautard R, Legras B (1995) Weather regimes: recurrence and quasi stationary. J Atmos Sci 52: 1237-1256.
39. Milligan G (1980) An examination of the effect of six types of error perturbation of fifteen clustering algorithms. Psychometrika 45: 325-342.
40. Paredes D, Trigo R, García-Herrera R, Trigo I (2006) Understanding precipitation changes in Iberia in early spring: weather typing and storm-tracking approaches. J Hydrometerol 7: 101-113.
41. Petisco E (2003) Metodología para una caracterización de la circulación atmosférica en el entorno de la Península Ibérica y Baleares. nt n 9. Tech rep, INM.
42. Philipp A, Della-Marta P, JJacobett, Fereday D, Jones P, Moberg A, Wanner H (2006) Long-term variability of day North Atlantic-European pressure patterns since 1850 classified by simulated annealing clustering. J Clim 20: 4065-4095.
43. Philipp A, Bartholy J, Beck C, Erpicum M, Esteban P, Fettweis X, Huth R, James P, Jourdain S, Kreienkamp F, Krennert T, Lykoudis S, Michalides SC, Pianko-Kluczynska K, Post P, lvarez DR, Schiemann R, Spekat A, Tymvios FS (2010) Cost733cat a database of weather and circulation type classifications. Phys Chem Earth, Parts A/B/C 35(9-12): 360-373. doi: 10. 1016/j. pce. 2009. 12. 010.
44. Preisendorfer R (1988) Principal components analysis in meteorology and oceanography. Elsevier Science Ltd, Amsterdam.
45. Rasilla D (2003) Aplicación de un método de clasificación sinóptica a la Península Ibérica. Invest Geogr 30: 27-44.
46. Richman M (1981) Obliquely rotated principal componentes: an improved meteorological map typing technique. J Appl Meteorol 24: 1145-1149.
47. Romero R, Sumner G, Ramis C, Genovés A (1999) A classification of the atmospheric circulation patterns producing significant daily rainfall in the Spanish Mediterranean area. Int J Climatol 19: 765-785.
48. Sanchez-Gómez E, Terray L (2005) Largue scale atmospheric dynamics and local intense precipitation epidodes. Geophys Res Lett 32: 24, 711.
49. Serrano A, Garcia J, Mateos V, Cancillo M, Garrido J (1999) Monthly modes of variation of precipitation over the Iberian Peninsula. J Clim 12: 2894-2919.
50. Storch V, Zwiers W (1999) Statistical analysis in climate research. In: Empirical ortogonal functions. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. pp 135-192.
51. Uppala S, Kallberg P, Simmons A, Andra U, da Costa Beechtold V, Fiorino M, Gibson J, Haseler J, Hernandez A, Kelly G, Li X, Onogi K, Saarinen S, Sokka N, Allan R, Andersson E, Arpe K, Balmaseda M, Beljaars A, van de Berg L, Bidlot J, Bormann N, Caires S, Chevallier F, Dethof A, Dragosavac M, Fisher M, Fuentes M, Sagemann, EH E, Hoskins B, Isaksen L, Janssen P, RJenne, McNally A, Mahfouf J, Mocrette J, Rayner N, Saunders R, Simon P, Sterl A, Trenberth K, AU A, Vasiljevic D, Viterbo P, Woollen J (2005) The era-40 re-analysis. Q J Roy Meteor Soc 131: 2961-3012.
52. Wang X (2008) Penalized maximal f test for detecting undocumented mean shift without trend change. J Atmos Oceanic Technol 25(3): 368-384.
53. Wilks D (1995) Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciencies: an introduction. International geophysics series, Academic Press, MA.
54. Yiou P, Nogaj M (2004) Extreme climatic events and weather regimes over the North Atlantic: when and where? Geophys Res Lett 31: 1-4.
55. Yiou P, Goubanova K, Nogaj M (2008) Weather regime dependence of extre value statistics for summer temperature and precipitation. Nonlinear Process Geophys 15: 365-378.