On the significance of omitted variables in intersection crash modeling

Accident Analysis and Prevention

Volumn 49, Issue , 2012, Pages 439-448

  Mitra, Sudeshna ^a   Washington, Simon ^b  

^a INDIAN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (India)

^b QUEENSLAND UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Australia)

Author keywords

Crash modeling; Motor vehicle crashes; Negative binomial; Omitted variables; Signalized intersection safety; Spatial variables; Traffic safety

Indexed keywords

CRASH MODELING; MOTOR VEHICLE CRASHES; NEGATIVE BINOMIAL; OMITTED VARIABLES; SIGNALIZED INTERSECTION; SPATIAL VARIABLES; TRAFFIC SAFETY;

ROADS AND STREETS; VEHICLES;

RESEARCH;

ARTICLE; CITY; ENVIRONMENTAL PLANNING; EPIDEMIOLOGY; FACTUAL DATABASE; GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEM; HUMAN; SAFETY; SPATIAL ANALYSIS; STATISTICAL MODEL; STATISTICS; TRAFFIC ACCIDENT; UNITED STATES; WEATHER;

ACCIDENTS, TRAFFIC; ARIZONA; BIAS (EPIDEMIOLOGY); CAUSALITY; CITIES; DATABASES, FACTUAL; ENVIRONMENT DESIGN; GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEMS; HUMANS; MODELS, STATISTICAL; SAFETY; SPATIAL ANALYSIS; WEATHER;

EID: 84867083361     PISSN: 00014575     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2012.03.014     Document Type: Article

References (36)

1. P.Ch. Anastasopoulos, and F.L. Mannering A note on modeling vehicle accident frequencies with random-parameters count models Accident Analysis and Prevention 41 1 2009 153 159
2. Andrey, J., Mills, B., Vandermolen, J., 2001. Weather Information and Road Safety, Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction, Toronto, Ontario, Canada. Paper Series- No. 15.
3. K.M. Bauer, and D.W. Harwood Statistical Models of At-grade Intersection Accidents 1996 Federal Highway Administration
4. J. Broughton, M. Hazelton, and M. Stone Influence of light level on the incidence of road casualties and the predicted effect of changing 'Summertime' Journal of Royal Statistical Society. Series A 162 2 1999 137 175
5. A.C. Cameron, and P.K. Trivedi Regression Analysis of Count Data 1998 Cambridge University Press Cambridge, UK
6. H.C. Chin, and M.A. Quddus Applying the random effect negative binomial model to examine traffic accident occurrence at signalized intersections Accident Analysis and Prevention 35 2003 253 259
7. K. El-Basyouny, and T. Sayed Accident prediction models with random corridor parameters Accident Analysis and Prevention 41 5 2009 1118 1123
8. B. Flahaut Impact of infrastructure and local environment on road unsafety: logistic modeling with spatial autocorrelation Accident Analysis and Prevention 36 6 2004 1055 1066
9. W. Greene Limdep, Version 9.0 2007 Econometric Software Inc Plainview, NY
10. P. Griebe Accident prediction models for urban roads Accident Analysis and Prevention 35 2 2005 273 285
11. E. Hauer, J.C. Ng, and J. Lovell Estimation of safety at signalized intersections Transportation Research Record 1185 1988 48 61
12. S.C. Joshua, and N.J. Garber Estimating truck accident rate and involvements using linear and Poisson regression models Transportation Planning and Technology 15 1 1990 41 58
13. D. Kim, Y. Lee, S. Washington, and K. Choi Modeling crash outcome probabilities at rural intersections: application of hierarchical binomial logistic models Accident Analysis & Prevention 39 1 2007 125 134
14. D. Kim, and S. Washington The significance of endogeneity problems in crash models: an examination of left-turn lanes in intersection crash models Accident Analysis and Prevention 38 6 2006 1094 1100
15. S.P. Kumara, and H.C. Chin Modeling accident occurrence at signalized intersections with special emphasis on excess zeros Traffic Injury Prevention 4 1 2003 53 57
16. D. Lord, and B.N. Persaud Accident prediction models with and without trend: application of the generalized estimating equations procedure Transportation Research Record 1717 2000 102 108
17. D. Lord, S. Washington, and J. Ivan Poisson, Poisson-gamma, and zero-inflated regression models of motor vehicle crashes: balancing statistical fit and theory Accident Analysis and Prevention 37 1 2004 35 46
18. D. Lord, S. Washington, and J. Ivan Further notes on the application of zero-inflated models in highway safety Accident Analysis and Prevention 39 1 2006 53 57
19. D. Lord, and F. Mannering The statistical analysis of crash-frequency data: a review and assessment of methodological alternatives Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 44 5 2010 291 305
20. J. Maher, and I. Summersgill A comprehensive methodology for the fitting of predictive accident models Accident Analysis and Prevention 28 3 1996 281 296
21. N.V. Malyshkina, F.L. Mannering, and A.P. Tarko Markov switching negative binomial models: an application to vehicle accident frequencies Accident Analysis and Prevention 41 2 2009 217 226
22. S. Miaou, and H. Lum A Statistical Evaluation of the Effects of Highway Geometric Design on Truck Accident Involvements. Transportation Research Record 1407, TRB 1993 National Research Council Washington, DC, pp. 11-23
23. S. Miaou The relationship between truck accidents and geometric design of road section: Poisson versus negative binomial regression Accident Analysis and Prevention 26 4 1994 471 482
24. S. Miaou, J.J. Song, and B.K. Mallick Roadway traffic crash mapping: a space-time modeling approach Journal of Transportation and Statistics 6 1 2003 33 57
25. S. Mitra, H.C. Chin, and M.A. Quddus Study of intersection accidents by maneuver type Transportation Research Record 1784 2002 43 50
26. S. Mitra, and S. Washington On the nature of over-dispersion in motor vehicle crash prediction models Accident Analysis and Prevention 39 3 2007 459 468
27. J. Oh, S.P. Washington, and K. Choi Development of accident prediction models for rural highway intersections Transportation Research Record 1897 2004 18 27
28. B.-J. Park, and D. Lord Application of finite mixture models for vehicle crash data analysis Accident Analysis and Prevention 41 4 2009 683 691
29. M. Poch, and F. Mannering Negative binomial analysis of intersection accident frequencies Journal of Transportation Engineering 122 2 1996 105 113
30. V.N. Shankar, F. Mannering, and W. Barfield Effect of roadway geometrics and environmental factors on rural freeway accident frequencies Accident Analysis and Prevention 27 3 1995 371 389
31. V. Shankar, J. Milton, and F. Mannering Modeling accident frequencies as zero-altered probability process: an empirical inquiry Accident Analysis and Prevention 29 6 1997 829 837
32. V. Shankar, A. Richard, J. Milton, and F. Mannering Evaluating Median Crossover Likelihoods with Clustered Accident Counts: An Empirical Inquiry Using the Random Effects Negative Binomial Model. Transportation Research Record 1635, TRB 1998 National Research Council Washington, DC pp. 44-48
33. R.J. Smeed Some statistical aspects of road safety research Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A 112 1 1949 1 34
34. X. Wang, and M. Abdel-Aty Temporal and spatial analysis of rear-end crashes at signalized intersections Accident Analysis and Prevention 38 6 2006 1137 1150
35. S. Washington, M. Karlaftis, and F. Mannering Statistical and Econometric Methods for Transportation Data Analysis 2nd ed. 2010 Chapman & Hall Boca Raton
36. L. Zhang, and P. Holm Identifying and Assessing Key Weather-related Parameters and their Impacts on Traffic Operations using Simulation 2004 Federal Highway Administration Turner Fairbanks Highway Research Center