메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 32, Issue 10, 2012, Pages 1638-1646

Why Risk Analysis is Difficult, and Some Thoughts on How to Proceed

Author keywords

Info gap theory; Optimizing; Robustness; Satisficing; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

CONVENTIONAL TECHNOLOGY; INFO-GAP; NON-PROBABILISTIC; OPTIMIZING; ROBUST DECISIONS; SATISFICING; UNCERTAINTY;

EID: 84867021563     PISSN: 02724332     EISSN: 15396924     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01859.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (24)

References (44)
  • 11
    • 0141628999 scopus 로고
    • Statistical decision functions which minimize the maximum risk
    • Wald A. Statistical decision functions which minimize the maximum risk. Annals of Mathematics, 1945; 46(2):265-280.
    • (1945) Annals of Mathematics , vol.46 , Issue.2 , pp. 265-280
    • Wald, A.1
  • 13
    • 0030146168 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measures of uncertainty in expert systems
    • Walley P. Measures of uncertainty in expert systems. Artificial Intelligence, 1996; 83:1-58.
    • (1996) Artificial Intelligence , vol.83 , pp. 1-58
    • Walley, P.1
  • 15
    • 0000516376 scopus 로고
    • Upper and lower probabilities induced by multivalue mappings
    • Dempster AP. Upper and lower probabilities induced by multivalue mappings. Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 1967; 38:325-339.
    • (1967) Annals of Mathematical Statistics , vol.38 , pp. 325-339
    • Dempster, A.P.1
  • 23
    • 84867004050 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The end of science? Available at:., Accessed June 8, 2012.
    • Ben-Haim Y. The end of science? Available at: http://decisions-and-info-gaps.blogspot.com/2011/10/end-of-science.html. 2011, Accessed June 8, 2012.
    • (2011)
    • Ben-Haim, Y.1
  • 25
  • 26
    • 84867013759 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oxford English Dictionary. Online version.
    • Oxford English Dictionary. 2012. Online version.
    • (2012)
  • 30
    • 0012444303 scopus 로고
    • in Jonathan Rosenhead (ed). Rational Analysis for a Problematic World: Problem Structuring Methods for Complexity, Uncertainty and Conflict. New York : John Wiley
    • Rosenhead J. Robustness analysis: Keeping your options open. in Jonathan Rosenhead (ed). Rational Analysis for a Problematic World: Problem Structuring Methods for Complexity, Uncertainty and Conflict. New York : John Wiley, 1989.
    • (1989) Robustness analysis: Keeping your options open
    • Rosenhead, J.1
  • 32
    • 27744433247 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Info-gap robust-satisficing model of foraging behavior: Do foragers optimize or satisfice
    • Carmel Y, Ben-Haim Y. Info-gap robust-satisficing model of foraging behavior: Do foragers optimize or satisfice? American Naturalist, 2005; 166:633-641.
    • (2005) American Naturalist , vol.166 , pp. 633-641
    • Carmel, Y.1    Ben-Haim, Y.2
  • 33
    • 84867030184 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Home-bias in financial markets: Robust satisficing with info-gaps, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Working Paper Series, 2003-35, December 2003.
    • Ben-Haim Y, Jeske K. Home-bias in financial markets: Robust satisficing with info-gaps, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Working Paper Series, 2003-35, December 2003.
    • Ben-Haim, Y.1    Jeske, K.2
  • 34
    • 85027958408 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Doing our best: Optimization and the management of risk
    • in press DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01818.x.
    • Ben-Haim Y. Doing our best: Optimization and the management of risk. Risk Analysis, in press DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01818.x.
    • Risk Analysis
    • Ben-Haim, Y.1
  • 35
    • 84867030187 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • When is non-probabilistic robustness a good probabilistic bet? Available at: , Accessed June 8, 2012.
    • Ben-Haim Y. 2011, When is non-probabilistic robustness a good probabilistic bet? Available at: http://www.technion.ac.il/yakov/prx27a.pdf, Accessed June 8, 2012.
    • (2011)
    • Ben-Haim, Y.1
  • 36
    • 84867013758 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robust satisficing and the probability of survival
    • in press DOI:10.1080/00207721.2012.684906.
    • Ben-Haim Y. Robust satisficing and the probability of survival. International Journal of System Science, in press DOI:10.1080/00207721.2012.684906.
    • International Journal of System Science
    • Ben-Haim, Y.1
  • 37
    • 84867030188 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The innovation dilemma. Available at: , Accessed June 8, 2012.
    • Ben-Haim Y. The innovation dilemma. Available at: http://decisions-and-info-gaps.blogspot.com/2011/08/innovation-dilemma.html, Accessed June 8, 2012.
    • Ben-Haim, Y.1
  • 39
    • 58149433367 scopus 로고
    • Rational choice and the structure of the environment
    • Simon HA. Rational choice and the structure of the environment. Psychological Review, 1956; 63(2):129-138.
    • (1956) Psychological Review , vol.63 , Issue.2 , pp. 129-138
    • Simon, H.A.1
  • 41
    • 84866986237 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fooled by local robustness
    • doi:10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01772.x.
    • Sniedovich M. Fooled by local robustness. Risk Analysis, 2012; doi:10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01772.x.
    • (2012) Risk Analysis
    • Sniedovich, M.1
  • 42
    • 84867004049 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • We're just getting started: A glimpse at the history of uncertainty, Available at: Accessed June 8, 2012.
    • Ben-Haim Y. We're just getting started: A glimpse at the history of uncertainty, 2012. Available at: http://decisions-and-info-gaps.blogspot.com/2012/03/were-just-getting-started-glimpse-at.html, Accessed June 8, 2012.
    • (2012)
    • Ben-Haim, Y.1
  • 44
    • 0007043759 scopus 로고
    • Ernest Samuels (ed). Boston : Houghton Mifflin Co.
    • Adams H. The Education of Henry Adams. Ernest Samuels (ed). Boston : Houghton Mifflin Co., 1918.
    • (1918) The Education of Henry Adams
    • Adams, H.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.