The impacts of China's household consumption expenditure patterns on energy demand and carbon emissions towards 2050

Energy Policy

Volumn 50, Issue , 2012, Pages 736-750

  Dai, Hancheng ^a   Masui, Toshihiko ^b   Matsuoka, Yuzuru ^c   Fujimori, Shinichiro ^b  

^a TOKYO INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (Japan)

^b NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES   (Japan)

^c KYOTO UNIVERSITY   (Japan)

Author keywords

Computable general equilibrium model; Energy demand and CO 2 emissions; Household consumption expenditure pattern

Indexed keywords

CARBON EMISSIONS; CARBON MITIGATION; CARBON PRICE; COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL; ECONOMIC COSTS; ENERGY DEMANDS; HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION; HOUSEHOLD ENERGY REQUIREMENTS; HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURE; INCOME LEVELS; MATERIAL PRODUCTS; PRIMARY ENERGIES; SERVICE ORIENTED; TOTAL ENERGY;

CARBON; COSTS; ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL EFFECTS; ENERGY MANAGEMENT;

CARBON DIOXIDE;

CARBON DIOXIDE; CARBON EMISSION; COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS; DEMAND ANALYSIS; HOUSEHOLD ENERGY; HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURE;

EID: 84866922083     PISSN: 03014215     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2012.08.023     Document Type: Article

References (59)

1. Ayres R.U., van den Bergh J.C.J.M. A theory of economic growth with material/energy resources and dematerialization: Interaction of three growth mechanisms. Ecological Economics 2005, 55(1):96-118.
2. Banks J., Blundell R., et al. Quadratic Engel curves and consumer demand. Review of Economics and Statistics 1997, 79(4):527-539.
3. Bernardini O., Galli R. Dematerialization: long-term trends in the intensity of use of materials and energy. Futures 1993, 25(4):431-448.
4. Dai H., Masui T., et al. Assessment of China's climate commitment and non-fossil energy plan towards 2020 using hybrid AIM/CGE model. Energy Policy 2011, 39(5):2875-2887.
5. Deaton A., Muellbauer J. An almost ideal demand system. The American Economic Review 1980, 70(3):312-326.
6. Dimaranan, Betina V. Global Trade, Assistance, and Production: The GTAP 6 Data Base 2006, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University.
7. Duarte R., Mainar A., et al. The impact of household consumption patterns on emissions in Spain. Energy Economics 2009, 32(1):176-185.
8. Engel E. Die Productions-und Consumtions-Verhältnisse des Königreichs Sachsen 1857, Bulletin de l'Institut International de la Statistique (9).
9. Feng Z.-H., Zou L.-L., et al. The impact of household consumption on energy use and CO2 emissions in China. Energy 2011, 36(1):656-670.
10. Hertel, T.W., Tsigas, M.E. (2004). In: Hertel, T.W. (Ed.), Structure of GTAP. Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and Applications, vol. 48. Cambridge University Press, New York.
11. International Energy Agency (IEA) Energy Technology Perspectives: Scenarios and Strategies to 2050 2010, OECD/International Energy Agency, Paris.
12. Jackson T., Papathanasopoulou E. Luxury or 'lock-in'? An exploration of unsustainable consumption in the UK: 1968 to 2000. Ecological Economics 2008, 68(1-2):80-95.
13. Jacoby H.D., Reilly J.M., et al. Technology and technical change in the MIT EPPA model. Energy Economics 2006, 28(5-6):610-631.
14. Jiang K., Hu X. 2050 China Energy and CO2 Emissions Scenario. China's Low Carbon Development Pathways by 2050 2009, Energy Research Institute of National Development and Reform Commission, Science Press, Beijing.
15. Jiang K., Hu X. China's low carbon development scenario in 2050. 2050 China energy and CO2 emissions report. Study Team of 2050 China Energy and CO2 Emissions Report 2009, Science Press, Beijing.
16. Kander A. Baumol's disease and dematerialization of the economy. Ecological Economics 2005, 55(1):119-130.
17. Karagiannis G., Velentzas K. Decomposition analysis of consumers' demand changes: an application to Greek consumption data. Applied Economics 2004, 36(5):497-504.
18. Kemfert C. Induced technological change in a multi-regional, multi-sectoral, integrated assessment model (WIAGEM): Impact assessment of climate policy strategies. Ecological Economics 2005, 54(2):293-305.
19. Lardy, N.R. (2007). In: Bergsten, C.F., Gill, B., Lardy, N.R., Mitchell, D. (Eds.). China: Rebalancing Economic Growth. The China Balance Sheet in 2007 and Beyond. Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, DC.
20. Leser C.E.V. Forms of Engel functions. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society 1963, 694-703.
21. Lewbel A. Engel curves. Entry for The New Palgrave Dictionary in Economics 2006.
22. Li, N. (2010). A Multi-Regional CGE Model for Policy Simulation on Regional Development (in Chinese). Ph.D. Thesis. CAS Research Center on Fictitious Economy & Data Sciences. Beijing, Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences.
23. Liu H.-T., Guo J.-E., et al. Comprehensive evaluation of household indirect energy consumption and impacts of alternative energy policies in China by input-output analysis. Energy Policy 2009, 37(8):3194-3204.
24. Mai X., Wang C. Analysis of factors affecting household consumption pattern change. Businiess Economy 2011, 1:3-4.
25. -2 radiative forcing. Climatic Change 2011, 59-76.
26. Metz B. IPCC Special Report on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage 2005, Cambridge University Press.
27. Ministry of Science and Technology Economy and Energy (2001). Supply of an Instrument for Estimating the Emissions of Greenhouse Effect Gases Coupled with the Energy Matrix. Retrieved August 2011, from http://ecen.com/matriz/eee24/coefycin.htm.
28. Moneta, A., Chai, A. (2010). The Evolution of Engel Curves and Its Implications for Structural Change. Discussion Papers in Economics.
29. Mongelli I., Neuwahl F., et al. Integrating a household demand system in the input-output framework. Methodological aspects and modelling implications. Economic Systems Research 2010, 22(3):201-222.
30. National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS) China Statistical Year Book: 1996-2010 1996-2010, China Statistics Press, Beijing.
31. National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS) Input-output Tables of China 2002 (in Chinese) 2006, China Statistics Press, Beijing.
32. National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS) China Energy Statistical Year Book 2006 (in Chinese) 2006, China Statistics Press, Beijing.
33. National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS) Compilation Methods of China's Input-Output Table 2007 2008, China Statistics Press, Beijing.
34. National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS) (2008b). Questionnaire of Urban Residential Consumption Expenditure, Beijing.
35. National Development and Reform Commission of China (NDRC) (2010). National Development and Reform Commission on Pilot Work in Low-Carbon Provinces and Cities (in Chinese). NDRC Climate Doc [2010] No. 1587.
36. National People's Congress (2006). The Eleventh Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development (in Chinese), Beijing.
37. National People's Congress The Twelfth Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development (in Chinese) 2010, People's Education Press, Beijing.
38. Paltsev, S., Reilly, J.M., et al. (2005). The MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) Model: Version 4.
39. Papathanasopoulou E. Household consumption, associated fossil fuel demand and carbon dioxide emissions: the case of Greece between 1990 and 2006. Energy Policy 2010, 38(8):4152-4162.
40. Park H.-C., Heo E. The direct and indirect household energy requirements in the Republic of Korea from 1980 to 2000-An input-output analysis. Energy Policy 2007, 35(5):2839-2851.
41. Peng Z. Input-output Tables of China (2007) 2009, China Statistics Press, Beijing.
42. Reinders A.H.M.E., Vringer K., et al. The direct and indirect energy requirement of households in the European Union. Energy Policy 2003, 31(2):139-153.
43. Rimmer M.T., Powell A.A. An implicitly additive demand system. Applied Economics 1996, 28(12):1613-1622.
44. Rutherford T.F. Applied general equilibrium modeling with MPSGE as a GAMS subsystem: an overview of the modeling framework and syntax. Computational Economics 1999, 14(1-2):1-46.
45. Sue Wing, I. (2001). Induced technical change in computable general equilibrium models for climate-change policy analysis. Technology, Management, and Policy Program., Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Doctor.
46. Sue Wing I. The synthesis of bottom-up and top-down approaches to climate policy modeling: electric power technologies and the cost of limiting US CO2 emissions. Energy Policy 2006, 34(18):3847-3869.
47. Sue Wing I. The synthesis of bottom-up and top-down approaches to climate policy modeling: electric power technology detail in a social accounting framework. Energy Economics 2008, 30(2):547-573.
48. The China Times (2011). China's Energy Consumption Surpassed the U.S. in 2010. Retrieved August 2011, from http://www.thechinatimes.com/online/2011/06/137.html.
49. Thurlow J. A Recursive Dynamic CGE Model and Microsimulation Poverty Module for South Africa 2008, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC.
50. UN (2008). World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision Population Database. New York, United Nations.
51. UN (2010). The National Accounts Main Aggregates Database. Retrieved November 2011, from http://unstats.un.org/unsd/snaama/Introduction.asp.
52. UNEP (1995). Sustainable Consumption. Retrieved July, 2011, from http://www.uneptie.org/scp/.
53. United States Department of Agriculture (USDA)2011. ERS International Macroeconomic Data Set. Retrieved 31 December 2011, from http://www.ers.usda.gov/Data/Macroeconomics/.
54. Vringer K., Blok K. The direct and indirect energy requirements of households in the Netherlands. Energy Policy 1995, 23(10):893-910.
55. Vringer K., Blok K. Long-term trends in direct and indirect household energy intensities: a factor in dematerialisation?. Energy Policy 2000, 28(10):713-727.
56. Working H. Statistical laws of family expenditure. Journal of the American Statistical Association 1943, 38(221):43-56.
57. Wu Y., Xuan X. The Theory of Environmental Tax and Its Application in China 2002, Economic Science Press, Beijing.
58. Zhou N., Fridley D., et al. China's Energy and Carbon Emissions Outlook to 2050 2011, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.
59. Zhou S., Zheng X. Analysis of factors that affect Chinese household consumption pattern. Consuming Guide 2010, 3:5-7.