Climate change projections for Catalonia (NE Iberian Peninsula). Part II: Integrating several methodologies

Tethys

Volumn 9, Issue , 2012, Pages 13-24

  Calbo J ^a   Sanchez Lorenzo, A ^b   Barrera Escoda, A ^c   Cunillera, J ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF GIRONA   (Spain)

^b ETH Zurich   (Switzerland)

^c Generalitat de Catalunya ^*  (Spain)

Author keywords

Catalonia; Climate change; Downscaling; ENSEMBLES; Projection

Indexed keywords

EID: 84865827044     PISSN: 16971523     EISSN: 11393394     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3369/tethys.2012.9.02     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Barrera-Escoda, A. and Cunillera, J., 2011: Climate change projections for Catalonia (NE Iberian Peninsula). Part I: Regional climate modeling, Tethys, 8, 77-89, doi: 10.3369/tethys.2011.8.08.
2. Beniston, M., Stephenson, D. B., Christensen, O. B., Ferro, C. A. T., Frei, C., Goyette, S., Halsnaes, K., Holt, T., Jylhä, K., Koffi, B., Palutikof, J., Schöll, R., Semmler, T., and Woth, K., 2007: Future extreme events in European climate: an exploration of regional climate model projections, Clim Change, 81, 71-95, doi: 10.1007/s10 584-006-9226-z.
3. Brunet, M., Casado, M. J., de Castro, M., Galán, P., López, J. A., Martín, J. M., Pasto, A., Petisco, E., Ramos, P., Ribalaygua, J., Rodríguez, E., Sanz, I., and Torres, L., 2009: Generación de escenarios regionalizados de cambio climático para España, Agencia Estatal de Meteorología, Madrid, pp. 165.
4. Calbó, J., 2009a: Projeccions globals: el 4t informe del GIECC. Aigua i canvi climàtic. Diagnosi dels impactes previstos a Catalunya, Agència Catalana de l'Aigua, Departament de Medi Ambient i Habitatge, Generalitat de Catalunya, Barcelona, pp. 73-81.
5. Calbó, J., 2009b: Projeccions regionals; d'Europa a la península Ibèrica. Aigua i canvi climàtic. Diagnosi dels impactes previstos a Catalunya, Agència Catalana de l'Aigua, Departament de Medi Ambient i Habitatge, Generalitat de Catalunya, Barcelona, pp. 83-90.
6. Calbó, J., 2009c: Possible Climate Change Scenarios with Specific Reference to Mediterranean Regions, S. Sabater and D. Barceló (Eds.), Water Scarcity in the Mediterranean: Perspectives Under Global Change, Handbook of Environmental Chemistry, Springer-Verlag, doi: 10.1007/698 2009 28.
7. Calbó, J., Cunillera, J., Llasat, M. C., Llebot, J. E., and Martín-Vide, J., 2009: Projeccions climàtiques per a Catalunya. Aigua i canvi climàtic. Diagnosi dels impactes previstos a Catalunya, Agència Catalana de l'Aigua, Departament de Medi Ambient i Habitatge, Generalitat de Catalunya, Barcelona, pp. 91-99.
8. Calbó, J., Sanchez-Lorenzo, A., Cunillera, J., and Barrera-Escoda, A., 2010: Projeccions i Escenaris futurs. 2n Informe sobre el Canvi Climàtic a Catalunya, J. E. Llebot. Grup d'Experts en Canvi Climàtic de Catalunya, Generalitat de Catalunya i Institut d'Estudis Catalans, Barcelona, pp. 183-239.
9. Castro, M. D., Martín-Vide, J., and Alonso, S., 2005: El clima de España: pasado, presente y escenarios para el siglo XXI, Impactos del Cambio Climático en España.
10. Christensen, J. H., 2005: Prediction of Regional scenarios and Uncertainties for Defining EuropeaN Climate change risks and Effects (PRUDENCE) Final Report, J. H. Christensen coord., 269 pp.
11. Christensen, J. H., Hewitson, B., Busuioc, A., Chen, A., Gao, X., Held, I., Jones, R., Kolli, R. K., Kwon, W. T., Laprise, R., Magaña Rueda, V., Mearns, L., Menéndez, C. G., Räisänen, J., Rinke, A., Sarr, A., and Whetton, P., 2007: Regional Climate Projections, Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., and Miller, H. L. (eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (UK), climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
12. Christensen, O. B. and Christensen, J. H., 2004: Intensification of extreme European summer precipitation in a warmer climate, Glob Planet Change, 44,107-117, doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2004.06.013.
13. Déqué, M., Jones, R. G., Wild, M., Giorgi, F., Christensen, J. H., Hassell, D. C., Vidale, P. L., Rockel, B., Jacob, D., Kjelltröm, E., De Castro, M., Kucharski, F., and van den Hurk, B., 2005: Global high resolution versus Limited Area Model climate change projections over Europe: quantifying confidence level from PRUDENCE results, Clim Dyn, 25, 653-670, doi: 10.1007/s00 382-005-0052-1.
14. Déqué, M., Rowel, D. P., Lüthi, D., Giorgi, F., Christensen, J. H., Rockel, B., Jacob, D., Kjellström, E., De Castro, M., and van den Hurk, B., 2007: An intercomparison of regional climate simulations for Europe: assessing uncertainties in model projections, Clim Change, 81, 53-70, doi: 10.1007/s10 584-006-9228-x.
15. Diffenbaugh, N. S., Pal, J. S., Giorgi, F., and Gao, X.,2007: Heat stress intensification in the Mediterranean climate change hotspot, Geophys Res Lett, 34, L11 706, doi:10.1029/2007GL030 000.
16. Gaertner, M. A., 2009: Técnicas y aplicaciones de regionalización dinámica, Brunet, M., Sigró, J., Aguilar, E. (Eds.). Observed and modelled regional climate change. Asociación Española de Climatología.
17. Gaertner, M. A., Jacob, D., Domínguez, M., Padorno, E., Sánchez, E., and De Castro, M., 2007: Tropical cyclones over the Mediterranean Sea in climate change simulations, Geophys Res Lett, 34, L14 711, doi: 10.1029/2007GL029 977.
18. Gao, X., Pal, J. S., and Giorgi, F., 2006: Projected changes in mean and extreme precipitation over the Mediterranean region from a high resolution double nested RCM simulation, Geophys Res Lett, 33, L03 706, doi:10.1029/2005GL024 954.
19. Gibelin, A. L. and Déqué, E. M., 2003: Anthropogenic climate change over the Mediterranean region simulated by a global variable resolution model, Clim Dyn, 20, 327-339, doi: 10.1007/s00 382-002-0277-1.
20. Giorgi, F. and Lionello, P., 2008: Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region, Glob Planet Change, 63, 90-104, doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.09.005.
21. Goddard, L. and Baethgen, W., 2009: The urgent need for improved climate models and predictions, EOS Transactions AGU, 90, 343, doi: 10.1029/2009EO390 004.
22. Hewitt, 2005: The ENSEMBLES Project Providing ensemblebased predictions of climate changes and their impacts, The EGGS, EGU newsletter, 13, 22-25.
23. IPCC, 2007: Climate change 2007: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., and Miller, H. L. (eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (UK) and New York (USA), 996 pp.
24. Jiménez-Guerrero, P., 2007: Application of climate models within supercomputing frameworks, Teraflop, 94, p. 3.
25. Kjellström, E., Bäring, L., Jacob, D., Jones, R., Lenderink, G., and Schär, C., 2007: Modelling daily temperature extremes: recent climate and future changes over Europe, Clim Change, 81, 249-265, doi: 10.1007/s10 584-006-9220-5.
26. López-Moreno, J. I., Beniston, M., and García-Ruiz, J. M., 2008: Environmental change and water management in the Pyrenees: Facts and future perspectives for Mediterranean mountains, Glob Planet Change, 61, 300-312, doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.10.004.
27. McGuffie, K. and Henderson-Sellers, A., 1990: Introducción a los modelos climáticos, Editorial Omega, Barcelona, 246 pp.
28. Naki, N., Swart, R., Alcamo, J., Davis, G., de Vries, B.,Fenhann, J., Gaffin, S., Gregory, K., Grübler, A., Jung, T. Y., Kram, T., La Rovere, E. L., Michaelis, L., Mori, S., Morita, T., Pepper, W., Pitcher, H., Price, L., Riahi, K., Roehrl, A., Rogner, H. H., Sankovski, A., Schlesinger, M., Shukla, P., Smith, S., van Rooijen, S., Victor, N., and Dadi, D., 2000: Emissions Scenarios 2000-Special Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (SRES), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (UK), 570 pp.
29. Ohfuchi, W., Sasaki, H., Masumoto, Y., and Nakamura, H., 2005: Mesoscale Resolving Simulations of the Global Atmosphere and Ocean on the Earth Simulator, EOS Transactions AGU, 86, 45, doi: 10.1029/2005EO050 002.
30. Petisco, E., Martín, J. M., and Alonso, J., 2006: Escenarios de temperatura y precipitación para la España Peninsular y Baleares durante el período 2001-2100 basados en "Downscaling" estadístico mediante métodos de análogos, Proceedings XXIX Jornadas Científicas de la AME, Pamplona.
31. Randall, D. A., Wood, R. A., Bony, S., Colman, R., Fichefet, T., Fyfe, J., Kattsov, V., Pitman, A., Shukla, J., Srinivasan, J., Stouffer, R. J., Sumi, A., and Taylor, K. E., 2007: Climate Models and Their Evaluation, Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M. and Miller, H.L. (eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (UK) and New York (USA), climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
32. Ribalaygua, J., Torres, L., and del Carre, M., 2009: El método de análogos en el downscaling estadístico, Brunet, M., Sigró, J., Aguilar, E. (Eds.). Observed and modelled regional climate change. Asociación Española de Climatología, pp. 41-48.
33. Rowell, D. P., 2005: A scenario of European climate change for the late twenty-first century: seasonal means and interannual variability, Clim Dyn, 25, 837-849, doi: 10.1007/s00 382-005-0068-6.
34. Rowell, D. P. and Jones, R. G., 2006: Causes and uncertainty of future summer drying over Europe, Clim Dyn, 27, 281-299, doi:10.1007/s00 382-006-0125-9.
35. Sánchez, E., Gallardo, C., Gaertner, M. A., Arribas, A., and De Castro, M., 2004: Future climate extreme events in the Mediterranean simulated by a regional climate model: a first approach, Glob Planet Change, 44, 163-180, doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2004.06.010.
36. SMC, 2011: Butlletí anual d'indicadors climàtics 2010, Servei Meteorològic de Catalunya, Departament de Territori i Sostenibilitat, Generalitat de Catalunya, Barcelona, 60 pp.
37. Tapiador, F. J., Sánchez, E., and Gaertner, M. A., 2007: Regional changes in precipitation in Europe under an increased greenhouse emissions scenario, Geophys Res Lett, 34, L06 701, doi:10.1029/2006GL029 035.
38. Van der Linden, P. and Mitchell, J. F. B., 2009: ENSEMBLES. Climate change and its impacts at seasonal, deacadal and centennial timescales, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter (UK), 160 pp.
39. Wigley, T. M. L., Raper, S. C. B., Hulme, M., and Smith, S., 2000: The MAGICC/SCENGEN Climate Scenario Generator: Version 2.4, Technical Manual, Climatic Research Unit, UEA, Norwich (UK), 48 pp.