Structural Change of European Dairy Farms - A Cross-Regional Analysis

Journal of Agricultural Economics

Volumn 63, Issue 3, 2012, Pages 576-603

  Zimmermann, Andrea ^a   Heckelei, Thomas ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF BONN   (Germany)

Author keywords

Cross sectional; Dairy farms; EU 15; Markov chain analysis; Structural change

Indexed keywords

CROSS SECTION; DAIRY FARMING; EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS; EUROPEAN UNION; MARKOV CHAIN; REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT;

EUROPE;

EID: 84865538491     PISSN: 0021857X     EISSN: 14779552     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1477-9552.2012.00355.x     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Baldock, D., Barley, J., Burrell, A., Colman, D., Hart, K., Pointereau, P. and Silcock, P. Evaluation of the environmental impact of milk quotas', Final deliverable report, Alliance Environment. (2008)
2. Balmann, A. Pfadabhängigkeiten in Agrarstrukturentwicklungen Begriff, Ursachen und Konsequenzen. (Berlin: Duncker and Humblot, 1995).
3. th EAAE seminar (April 15-16, Berlin, Germany, 2010).
4. Boehlje, M. Alternative models of structural change in agriculture and related industries', Agribusiness, Vol. 8, (1992) pp. 219-231.
5. Breustedt, G. and Glauben, T. Driving forces behind exiting from farming in Western Europe', Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 58, (2007) pp. 115-127.
6. Britz, W. and Witzke, P. (eds.) CAPRI Model Documentation 2008: Version 2. (2008) Available at: http://www.capri-model.org.
7. Chavas, J. P. and Magand, G. A dynamic analysis of the size distribution of firms: the case of the US dairy industry', Agribusiness, Vol. 4, (1988) pp. 315-329.
8. Cochrane, W. Farm Prices: Myth and Reality. (Minneapolis, MN: University of Minnesota Press, 1958).
9. De Haen, H. and Von Braun, J. Mobility of agricultural labour and fluctuating regional labour markets: a demographic and economic analysis with application to West Germany', European Review of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 4, (1977) pp. 215-243.
10. Foltz, J. D. Entry, exit, and farm size: Assessing an experiment in dairy price policy', American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 86, (2004) pp. 594-604.
11. Goddard, E., Weersink, A., Chen, K. and Turvey, C. G. Economics of structural change in agriculture', Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 41, (1993) pp. 475-86.
12. Golan, A. and Vogel, S. J. Estimation of non-stationary social accounting matrix coefficients with supply side information', Economic Systems Research, Vol. 12, (2000) pp. 447-471.
13. Golan, A., Judge, G. and Miller, D. Maximum Entropy Econometrics (Chichester: John Wiley and Sons, 1996.)
14. Greene, W. H. Econometric Analysis (New Jersey: Prentice Hall, 2003.)
15. Hallam, A. Economies of size and scale in agriculture: an interpretative review of empirical measurement', Review of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 13, (1991) pp. 155-172.
16. Happe, K. Agricultural Policies and Farm Structures. Agent-Based Modeling and Application to EU-Policy Reform. Studies on the Agricultural and Food Sector in Central and Eastern Europe Vol. 30 (Halle: IAMO, 2004.)
17. Happe, K., Balmann, A. and Kellermann, K. The Agricultural Policy Simulator (AgriPoliS) - An Agent-Based Model to study Structural Change in Agriculture (Version 1.0). Discussion Paper No. 71 (Halle: IAMO, 2004.)
18. Harrington, D. H. and Reinsel, R. D. A synthesis of forces driving structural change', Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 43, (1995) pp. 3-14.
19. Huettel, S. and Jongeneel, R. How has the EU milk quota affected patterns of herd-size change? European Review of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 38, (2011) pp. 497-527.
20. Huettel, S. and Margarian, A. 'Structural change in the West German agricultural sector', Agricultural Economics, Vol. 40, supplement (2009) pp. 759-772.
21. Jongeneel, R., Longworth, N. and Huettel, S. Dairy farm size distribution in east and west: Evolution and sensitivity to structural and policy variables: Case-studies of the Netherlands, Germany, Poland, and Hungary'. Paper presented at the 107th EAAE Seminar (January 29-February 1, Seville, Spain 2005).
22. Karantininis, K. Information-based estimators for the non-stationary transition probability matrix: an application to the Danish pork industry', Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 107, (2002) pp. 275-290.
23. Limao, N. and Venables, A. J. Infrastructure, geographical disadvantage, transport cost, and trade', The World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 15, (2001) pp. 451-479.
24. MacRae, E. C. Estimation of time-varying Markov processes with aggregate data', Econometrica, Vol. 45, (1977) pp. 183-198.
25. Mann, S. Theorie und Empirie agrarstrukturellen Wandels? Agrarwirtschaft, Vol. 52, (2003) pp. 140-148.
26. Margarian, A. Coordination and differentiation of strategies: the impact on farm growth of strategic interaction on the rental market for land', German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 59, (2010a) pp. 202-216.
27. Margarian, A. Die regionale Spezifität des Agrarstrukturwandels. Eine theoretische und empirische Analyse. (Aachen: Shaker, 2010b.)
28. Mosnier, C. and Wieck, C. Determinants of spatial dynamics of dairy production: a review, ' Discussion Paper 2010:2 (Bonn: Institute for Food and Resource Economics, University of Bonn, 2010).
29. Pietola, K., Väre, M. and Oude Lansink, A. Timing and type of exit from farming: Farmer's early retirement programmes in Finland', European Review of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 30, (2003) pp. 99-116.
30. Pukelsheim, F. The three sigma rule', The American Statistician, Vol. 48, (1994) pp. 88-91.
31. Rahelizatovo, N. C. and Gillespie, J. M. Dairy farm size, entry, and exit in a declining production region', Journal of Agriculture and Applied Economics, Vol. 31, (1999) pp. 333-347.
32. Robilliard, A.-S. and Robinson, S. Reconciling household surveys and national accounts data using a cross entropy estimation method', Review of Income and Wealth, Vol. 49, (2003) pp. 395-406.
33. Schmitt, G. Verfügen die Agrarökonomen über eine Theorie des agrarstrukturellen Wandels? Berichte über Landwirtschaft, Vol. 70, (1992) pp. 213-230.
34. Stavins, R. N. and Stanton, B. F. Using Markov Models to Predict the Size Distribution of Dairy Farms, New York State, 1968-1985 (New York: Department of Agricultural Economics, Cornell University, 1980).
35. Stokes, J. R. Entry, exit, and structural change in Pennsylvania's dairy sector', Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Vol. 35, (2006) pp. 357-373.
36. Storm, H., Heckelei, T. and Mittelhammer, R. C. Bayesian estimation of non-stationary Markov models combining micro and macro data'. Discussion Paper 2011:2 (Bonn: Institute for Food and Resource Economics, University of Bonn, 2011).
37. Tonini, A. and Jongeneel, R. The distribution of dairy farm size in Poland: a Markov approach based on information theory', Applied Economics, Vol. 41, (2009) pp. 55-69.
38. Weiss, C. R. Farm growth and survival: Econometric evidence for individual farms in upper Austria', American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 81, (1999) pp. 103-116.
39. Wieck, C. and Heckelei, T. Determinants, differentiation, and development of short-term marginal costs in dairy production: an empirical analysis for selected regions of the EU', Agricultural Economics, Vol. 36, (2007) pp. 203-220.
40. Zepeda, L. Asymmetry and nonstationarity in the farm size distribution of Wisconsin milk producers: an aggregate analysis', American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 77, (1995a) pp. 837-852.
41. Zepeda, L. Technical change and the structure of production: a non-stationary Markov analysis', European Review of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 22, (1995b) pp. 41-60.
42. Zimmermann, A. and Heckelei, T. Farm structural change in German regions - An empirical analysis using micro and macro data'. Poster presented at the XIIth EAAE Congress (August 26-29, Ghent, Belgium 2008).
43. Zimmermann, A., Heckelei, T. and Pérez Domínguez, I. Modelling farm structural change for integrated ex-ante assessment: Review of methods and determinants', Environmental Science & Policy, Vol. 12, (2009) pp. 601-618.