메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 11, Issue 10, 2011, Pages 2847-2857

European extra-tropical storm damage risk from a multi-model ensemble of dynamically-downscaled global climate models

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN COUPLING; CALIBRATION; CATASTROPHIC EVENT; CLIMATE MODELING; DAMAGE; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; GLOBAL CLIMATE; GUST; PARAMETERIZATION; REGIONAL CLIMATE; RISK ASSESSMENT; STORM DAMAGE; WIND FIELD; WIND VELOCITY;

EID: 84865275842     PISSN: 15618633     EISSN: 16849981     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-11-2847-2011     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (29)

References (33)
  • 1
    • 0023116909 scopus 로고
    • The influence of sampling and filtering on measured wind gusts
    • doi:10.1175/1520-0426(1987)004 2.0.CO;2
    • Beljaars, A. C. M.: The influence of sampling and filtering on measured wind gusts, J. Atmos. Ocean Tech., 4, 613-626, doi:10.1175/1520-0426(1987)0042. 0.CO;2, 1987.
    • (1987) J. Atmos. Ocean Tech , vol.4 , pp. 613-626
    • Beljaars, A.C.M.1
  • 2
    • 0035517051 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Goodness-of-fit tests for the generalized pareto distribution
    • DOI 10.1198/00401700152672573
    • Choulakian, V. and Stephens, M. A.: Goodness-of-fit tests for the Generalized Pareto Distribution, Technometrics, 43, 478-484, doi:10.1198/00401700152672573, 2001. (Pubitemid 34005134)
    • (2001) Technometrics , vol.43 , Issue.4 , pp. 478-484
    • Choulakian, V.1    Stephens, M.A.2
  • 3
    • 58249085384 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the need for bias correction of regional climate change projections of temperature and precipitation
    • doi:10.1029/2008GL035694
    • Christensen, J. H., Boberg, F., Christensen, O. B., and Lucas-Picher, P.: On the need for bias correction of regional climate change projections of temperature and precipitation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L20709, doi:10.1029/2008GL035694, 2008.
    • (2008) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.35
    • Christensen, J.H.1    Boberg, F.2    Christensen, O.B.3    Lucas-Picher, P.4
  • 6
    • 3142764686 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A combined physical-statistical approach for the downscaling of model wind speed
    • DOI 10.1175/1520-0434(20 04)019<0485:A CPAFT>2.0.CO;2
    • de Rooy, W. C. and Kok, K.: A combined physicalstatistical approach for the downscaling of model wind speed, Weather Forecast., 19, 485-495, 10.1175/1520-0434(2004)019i0485:ACPAFT¿2.0.CO;2, 2004. (Pubitemid 38933412)
    • (2004) Weather and Forecasting , vol.19 , Issue.3 , pp. 485-495
    • De Rooy, W.C.1    Kok, K.2
  • 8
    • 77958471358 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improved estimates of the European winter wind storm climate and the risk of reinsurance loss using climate model data
    • doi:10.1175/2010JAMC2133.1
    • Della-Marta, P. M., Liniger, M. A., Appenzeller, C., Bresch, D. N., Koellner-Heck, P., and Muccione, V.: Improved estimates of the European winter wind storm climate and the risk of reinsurance loss using climate model data, J. Appl. Meteorol. Clim., 49, 2092-2020, doi:10.1175/2010JAMC2133.1, 2010.
    • (2010) J. Appl. Meteorol. Clim , vol.49 , pp. 2092-2020
    • Della-Marta, P.M.1    Liniger, M.A.2    Appenzeller, C.3    Bresch, D.N.4    Koellner-Heck, P.5    Muccione, V.6
  • 9
    • 77954117894 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Benefits and limitations of regional multi-model ensembles for storm loss estimations
    • doi:10.3354/cr00891
    • Donat, M. G., Leckebusch, G., Wild, S., and Ulbrich, U.: Benefits and limitations of regional multi-model ensembles for storm loss estimations, Clim. Res., 44, 211-225, doi:10.3354/cr00891, 2010.
    • (2010) Clim. Res , vol.44 , pp. 211-225
    • Donat, M.G.1    Leckebusch, G.2    Wild, S.3    Ulbrich, U.4
  • 11
    • 34147108957 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • GPWv3: Gridded Population of the World Version 3 Columbia University, Palisades, NY
    • GPWv3: Gridded Population of the World Version 3, Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC), Columbia University, Palisades, NY, 2005.
    • (2005) Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC)
  • 12
    • 84880839754 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Guy Carpenter Guy Carpenter & Company, New York
    • Guy Carpenter: Windstorm Erwin/Gudrun-January 2005, Guy Carpenter & Company, New York, 2005.
    • (2005) Windstorm Erwin/Gudrun-January 2005
  • 13
    • 57649156040 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of Local and Basinwide Methods for Risk Assessment of Tropical Cyclone Landfall
    • doi:10.1175/2007JAMC1720.1
    • Hall, T. M. and Jewson, S.: Comparison of Local and Basinwide Methods for Risk Assessment of Tropical Cyclone Landfall, J. Appl. Meteorol. Clim., 47, 361-367, doi:10.1175/2007JAMC1720.1, 2008.
    • (2008) J. Appl. Meteorol. Clim , vol.47 , pp. 361-367
    • Hall, T.M.1    Jewson, S.2
  • 14
    • 33747135680 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Winter storm risk of residential structures - Model development and application to the German state of Baden-Württemberg
    • Heneka, P., Hofherr, T., Ruck, B., and Kottmeier, C.: Winter storm risk of residential structures-model development and application to the German state of Baden-Ẅurttemberg, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 6, 721-733, doi:10.5194/nhess-6-721-2006, 2006. (Pubitemid 44222016)
    • (2006) Natural Hazards and Earth System Science , vol.6 , Issue.5 , pp. 721-733
    • Heneka, P.1    Hofherr, T.2    Ruck, B.3    Kottmeier, C.4
  • 15
    • 0000310360 scopus 로고
    • L-moments: Analysis and estimation of distributions using linear combinations of order statistics
    • Hosking, J. R. M.: L-moments: analysis and estimation of distributions using linear combinations of order statistics, J. R. Stat. Soc., 52B, 105-124, 1990.
    • (1990) J. R. Stat. Soc , vol.52 B , pp. 105-124
    • Hosking, J.R.M.1
  • 16
    • 77954760148 scopus 로고
    • Historic storms of the North Sea
    • edited by: Frydendahl, K., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK
    • Lamb, H. H. and Frydendahl, K.: Historic storms of the North Sea, British Isles and Northwest Europe, edited by: Frydendahl, K., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 204 pp., 1991.
    • (1991) British Isles and Northwest Europe , pp. 204
    • Lamb, H.H.1    Frydendahl, K.2
  • 17
    • 33846968865 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Property loss potentials for European midlatitude storms in a changing climate
    • DOI 10.1029/2006GL027663
    • Leckebusch, G., Ulbrich, U., Froelich, L., and Pinto, J. G.: Property loss potentials for European mid-latitude storms in a changing climate, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L05703, doi:10.1029/2006GL027663, 2007. (Pubitemid 46864525)
    • (2007) Geophysical Research Letters , vol.34 , Issue.5
    • Leckebusch, G.C.1    Ulbrich, U.2    Frohlich, L.3    Pinto, J.G.4
  • 18
    • 63649106398 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development and application of an objective storm severity measure for the northeast Atlantic region
    • doi:10.1127/0941-2948/2008/0323
    • Leckebusch, G., Renggli, D., and Ulbrich, U.: Development and application of an objective storm severity measure for the northeast Atlantic region, Meteorol. Z., 17, 575-587, doi:10.1127/0941-2948/2008/0323, 2008.
    • (2008) Meteorol. Z , vol.17 , pp. 575-587
    • Leckebusch, G.1    Renggli, D.2    Ulbrich, U.3
  • 19
    • 38349085683 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bringing closure to the plotting position controversy
    • doi:10.1080/03610920701653094
    • Makkonen, L.: Bringing closure to the plotting position controversy, Commun. Stat. Theory, 37, 460-467, doi:10.1080/03610920701653094, 2008.
    • (2008) Commun. Stat. Theory , vol.37 , pp. 460-467
    • Makkonen, L.1
  • 20
    • 0021539273 scopus 로고
    • Using the Penman-Monteith equation predictively
    • doi:10.1016/0378-3774(84)90057-X
    • McNaughton, K. G. and Jarvis, P. G.: Using the Penman-Monteith equation predictively, Agr. Water. Manage., 8, 263-278, doi:10.1016/0378-3774(84)90057-X, 1984.
    • (1984) Agr. Water. Manage , vol.8 , pp. 263-278
    • McNaughton, K.G.1    Jarvis, P.G.2
  • 21
    • 0000447334 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction of near-surface gusts generated by deep convection
    • Nakamura, K., Kershaw, R., and Gait, N.: Prediction of nearsurface gusts generated by deep convection, Meteorol. Appl., 3, 157-167, doi:10.1002/met. 5060030206, 1996. (Pubitemid 126430155)
    • (1996) Meteorological Applications , vol.3 , Issue.2 , pp. 157-167
    • Nakamura, K.1    Kershaw, R.2    Gait, N.3
  • 23
    • 0000426794 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of methods to calculate extreme wind speeds
    • doi:10.1017/S1350482799001103
    • Palutikof, J. P., Brabson, B. B., Lister, D. H., and Adcock, S. T.: A review of methods to calculate extreme wind speeds, Meteorol. Appl., 6, 119-132, doi:10.1017/S1350482799001103, 1999.
    • (1999) Meteorol. Appl , vol.6 , pp. 119-132
    • Palutikof, J.P.1    Brabson, B.B.2    Lister, D.H.3    Adcock, S.T.4
  • 24
    • 33846959426 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changing European storm loss potentials under modified climate conditions according to ensemble simulations of the ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 GCM
    • doi:10.5194/nhess-7-165-2007
    • Pinto, J. G., Fr̈ohlich, E. L., Leckebusch, G. C., and Ulbrich, U.: Changing European storm loss potentials under modified climate conditions according to ensemble simulations of the ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 GCM, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 7, 165-175, doi:10.5194/nhess-7-165-2007, 2007.
    • (2007) Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci , vol.7 , pp. 165-175
    • Pinto, J.G.1    Fr̈ohlich, E.L.2    Leckebusch, G.C.3    Ulbrich, U.4
  • 25
    • 58049133389 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The regional climate model COSMO-CLM (CCLM)
    • doi:10.1127/0941-2948/2008/0309
    • Rockel, B., Will, A., and Hense, A.: The regional climate model COSMO-CLM (CCLM), Meteorol. Z., 17, 347-348, doi:10.1127/0941-2948/2008/0309, 2008.
    • (2008) Meteorol. Z , vol.17 , pp. 347-348
    • Rockel, B.1    Will, A.2    Hense, A.3
  • 26
    • 84865153934 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new scheme for diagnosing nearsurface convective gusts
    • Schulz, J. P. and Heise, E.: A new scheme for diagnosing nearsurface convective gusts, COSMO Newsletter, 3, 221-225, 2003.
    • (2003) COSMO Newsletter , vol.3 , pp. 221-225
    • Schulz, J.P.1    Heise, E.2
  • 27
  • 29
    • 0033747675 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of two gustiness models for exposure correction calculations
    • doi:10.1175/1520-0450(2000)039 2.0.CO;2
    • Verkaik, J. W.: Evaluation of two gustiness models for exposure correction calculations, J. Appl. Meteorol., 39, 1613-1626, doi:10.1175/1520- 0450(2000)0392.0.CO;2, 2000.
    • (2000) J. Appl. Meteorol , vol.39 , pp. 1613-1626
    • Verkaik, J.W.1
  • 30
    • 0036130769 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamical aspects of the life cycle of the winter storm 'Lothar' (26-26 December 1999)
    • DOI 10.1256/003590002321042036
    • Wernli, H., Dirren, S., Liniger, M. A., and Zillig, M.: Dynamical aspects of the life-cycle of the winter storm "Lothar" (24-26 December 1999), Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 128, 405-428, doi:10.1256/003590002321042036, 2002. (Pubitemid 34246904)
    • (2002) Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society , vol.128 , Issue.580 , pp. 405-429
    • Wernli, H.1    Dirren, S.2    Liniger, M.A.3    Zillig, M.4
  • 31
    • 0000058563 scopus 로고
    • Gust factors over open water and built-up country
    • doi:10.1007/BF01034986
    • Wieringa, J.: Gust factors over open water and built-up country, Bound.-Lay. Meteorol., 3, 424-441, doi:10.1007/BF01034986, 1973.
    • (1973) Bound.-Lay. Meteorol , vol.3 , pp. 424-441
    • Wieringa, J.1
  • 32
    • 84981588510 scopus 로고
    • An objective exposure correction method for average wind speeds measured at a sheltered location
    • doi:10.1002/qj.49710243119
    • Wieringa, J.: An objective exposure correction method for average wind speeds measured at a sheltered location, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 102, 241-253, doi:10.1002/qj.49710243119, 1976.
    • (1976) Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc , vol.102 , pp. 241-253
    • Wieringa, J.1
  • 33
    • 0027800504 scopus 로고
    • The pressure force induced by neutral turbulent flow over hills
    • doi:10.1002/qj.49711951402
    • Wood, N. and Mason, P. J.: The pressure force induced by neutral turbulent flow over hills, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 119, 1233-1297, doi:10.1002/qj.49711951402, 1993.
    • (1993) Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc , vol.119 , pp. 1233-1297
    • Wood, N.1    Mason, P.J.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.