The aggregative contingent estimation system: Selecting, rewarding, and training experts in a wisdom of crowds approach to forecasting

AAAI Spring Symposium - Technical Report

Volumn SS-12-06, Issue , 2012, Pages 75-76

  Warnaar, Dirk B ^a   Merkle, Edgar C ^b   Steyvers, Mark ^c   Wallsten, Thomas S ^d   Stone, Eric R ^e   Budescu, David V ^f   Yates, J Frank ^g   Sieck, Winston R ^h   Arkes, Hal R ⁱ   Argenta, Chris F ^a   Shin, Youngwon ^a   Carter, Jennifer N ^a  

^a APPLIED RESEARCH ASSOCIATES   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^d UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND   (United States)

^e WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^f FORDHAM UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^g UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN   (United States)

^h Global Cognition   (United States)

ⁱ OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ESTIMATION SYSTEMS; TRAINING EXPERTS;

EID: 84864981949     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (3)

1. Lee, M. D.; Steyvers, M.; de Young, M.; and Miller, B. J. in press. Inferring expertise in knowledge and prediction ranking tasks. Topics in Cognitive Science.
2. Lichtenstein, S., and Fischhoff, B. 1980. Training for calibration. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance 26:149-171.
3. Merkle, E. C., and Steyvers, M. 2011. A psychological model for aggregating judgments of magnitude. In Salerno, J.; Yang, S. J.; Nau, D.; and Chai, S.-K., eds., Social Computing and Behavioral-Cultural Modeling 2011. Lecture Notes in Computer Science 6589. 236-243.