A multivariate analysis of biophysical factors and forest fires in Spain, 1991-2005

International Journal of Wildland Fire

Volumn 21, Issue 5, 2012, Pages 498-509

  Verdú, Felipe ^a   Salas, Javier ^a   Vega García, Cristina ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF ALCALÁ   (Spain)

^b UNIVERSITY OF LLEIDA   (Spain)

Author keywords

discriminant analysis; fire size; logistic regression; probability of burning; regression trees.

Indexed keywords

EID: 84864924191     PISSN: 10498001     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1071/WF11100     Document Type: Article

References (60)

1. Aguado I, Rodríguez Y, Silva F (2004) El factor meteorológico en los incendios forestales. In 'Nuevas Tecnologiás para la Estimación del Riesgo de Incendios Forestales'. (Eds E Chuvieco and P Martín) pp. 63-100. (CSIC, Instituto de Economiá y Geografiá: Madrid, Spain)
2. Anderson HE (1982) Aids to determining fuel models for estimating fire behavior. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, General Technical Report INT-GTR-122. (Ogden, UT)
3. Bailey RG, Zoltai SC (1985) Ecological regionalization in Canada and the United States. Geoforum 16, 265-275. doi:10.1016/0016-7185(85) 90034-X
4. Balling RC, Meyer GA, Wells SG (1992) Relation of surface climate and burned area in Yellowstone National Park. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 60, 285-293. doi:10.1016/0168-1923(92)90043-4
5. Beyer HL (2004) Hawth's analysis tools for ArcGIS. Available at http://www.spatialecology.com/htools [Verified 25 April 2012]
6. Breiman L, Friedman JH, Olshen RA, Stone CG (1984) 'Classification and Regression Trees.' (Wadsworth International Group: Belmont, CA)
7. Broncano MJ, Retana J (2004) Topography and forest composition affecting the variability in fire severity and post-fire regeneration occurring after a large fire in the Mediterranean basin. International Journal of Wildland Fire 13, 209-216. doi:10.1071/WF03036
8. Carvacho L (1998) Evaluación de la estimación de grandes incendios forestales en la cuenca Mediterránea Europea por redes neuronales y regresión logística. Serie Geográfica 7, 73-85.
9. Chuvieco E (2002) 'Teledetección Ambiental. La Observación de la Tierra desde el Espacio.' (Ariel Ciencia: Barcelona)
10. Collins BM, Kelly M, vanWagtendonk JW, Stephens SL (2007) Spatial patterns of large natural fires in Sierra Nevada wilderness area. Landscape Ecology 22, 545-557. doi:10.1007/S10980-006-9047-5
11. Deng Y, Chen X, Chuvieco E, Warner T, Wilson JP (2007) Multiscale linkages between topographic attributes and vegetation indices in a mountainous landscape. Remote Sensing of Environment 111, 122-134. doi:10.1016/J.RSE.2007. 03.016
12. Diáz-Delgado R, Lloret F, PonsX (2004) Spatial patterns of fire occurrence in Catalonia, NE, Spain. Landscape Ecology 19, 731-745. doi:10.1007/S10980-005-0183-1
13. ESRI (2009) 'ArcGIS 9.3.' (Environmental Systems Research Institute: Redlands, CA)
14. Ferrán Aranaz M (2002) 'Curso de SPSS para Windows.' (McGraw-Hill: Madrid)
15. Flannigan MD, Harrington JB (1988) A study of the relation of meteorological variables to monthly provincial area burned by wildfire in Canada (1953-1980). Journal of Applied Meteorology 27, 441-452. doi:10.1175/1520- 0450(1988)027,0441:ASOTRO.2.0.CO;2
16. Flannigan MD, Logan KA, Amiro BD, Skinner WR, Stocks BJ (2005) Future area burned in Canada. Climatic Change 72, 1-16. doi:10.1007/S10584-005-5935-Y
17. Healey JF (1999) 'Statistics: a Tool for Social Research. 5th edn.' (Wadsworth Publishing Company: Belmont, CA)
18. Johnson EA (1992) 'Fire and Vegetation Dynamics: Studies from the North American Boreal Forest.' (Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK)
19. Kitzberger T (2002) ENSO as a forewarning tool of regional fire occurrence in northern Patagonia, Argentina. International Journal of Wildland Fire 11, 33-39. doi:10.1071/WF01041
20. Klecka WR (1980) 'Discriminant Analysis.' (Sage Publications, Inc.: Newbury Park, CA)
21. Littell JS, McKenzie D, Peterson DL, Westerling AL (2009) Climate and ecoprovince fire area burned in western US ecoprovinces, 1916-2003. Ecological Applications 19, 1003-1021. doi:10.1890/07-1183.1
22. Lloret F, Calvo E, Pons X, Diáz-Delgado R (2002) Wildfires and landscape patterns in the eastern Iberian Peninsula. Landscape Ecology 17, 745-759. doi:10.1023/A:1022966930861
23. Lozano FJ, Suárez-Seoane S, Kelly M, Luis E (2008) A multiscale approach for modelling fire occurrence probability using satellite data and classification trees: a case study in a mountainous Mediterranean region. Remote Sensing of Environment 112, 708-719. doi:10.1016/J.RSE.2007.06.006
24. Maingi JK, Henry MC (2007) Factors influencing wildfire occurrence and distribution in eastern Kentucky, USA. International Journal of Wildland Fire 16, 23-33. doi:10.1071/WF06007
25. Martell DL, Otukol S, Stocks BJ (1987) A logistic model for predicting daily people-caused forest fire occurrence in Ontario. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 17, 394-401. doi:10.1139/X87-068
26. Martínez J, Vega-Garciá C, Chuvieco E (2009) Human-caused wildfire risk rating for prevention planning in Spain. Journal of Environmental Management 90, 1241-1252. doi:10.1016/J.JENVMAN.2008.07.005
27. McKenzie D, Peterson DL, Agee JK (2000) Fire frequency in the interior Columbia River Basin: building regional models from fire history data. Ecological Applications 10, 1497-1516. doi:10.1890/1051-0761(2000) 010[1497:FFITIC]2.0.CO;2
28. Millington JDA (2005) Wildfire risk mapping: considering environmental change in space and time. Journal of Mediterranean Ecology 6, 33-42.
29. Minnich RA, Bahre CJ (1995) Wildland fire and chaparral succession along the California-Baja California boundary. International Journal of Wildland Fire 5, 13-24. doi:10.1071/WF9950013
30. Mouillot F, Rambal S, Joffre R (2002) Simulating climate change impacts on fire frequency and vegetation in a Mediterranean-Type ecosystem. Global Change Biology 8, 423-437. doi:10.1046/J.1365-2486.2002. 00494.X
31. Mouillot F, Ratte JP, Joffre R, Moreno JM, Rambal S (2003) Some determinants of the spatio-Temporal fire cycle in a Mediterranean landscape (Corsica, France). Landscape Ecology 18, 665-674. doi:10.1023/B:LAND.0000004182. 22525.A9
32. NATLAN (2000) 'CLC 1990 CORINE Land Cover 250 m.' (European Environment Agency: Copenhagen)
33. NATLAN (2005) 'CLC 2000 CORINE Land Cover 100 m.' (European Environment Agency: Copenhagen)
34. Ninyerola M, Pons X, Roure JM (2005) 'Atlas Climático Digital de la Península Ibérica. Metodologiá y Aplicaciones en Bioclimatologiá y Geobotánica.' (Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona: Bellaterra, Spain)
35. Pausas JG (2004) Changes in fire and climate in the eastern Iberian Peninsula (Mediterranean basin). Climatic Change 63, 337-350. doi:10.1023/B:CLIM.0000018508.94901.9C
36. Pew KL, Larsen CPS (2001) GIS analysis of spatial and temporal patterns of human-caused wildfires in the temperate rain forest of Vancouver Island, Canada. Forest Ecology and Management 140, 1-18. doi:10.1016/S0378-1127(00) 00271-1
37. Prasad VK, Badarinathb KVS, Eaturu A (2008) Biophysical and anthropogenic controls of forest fires in the Deccan Plateau, India. Journal of Environmental Management 86, 1-13. doi:10.1016/J.JENVMAN.2006. 11.017
38. Preisler HK, Brillinger DR, Burgan RE, Benoit JW (2004) Probabilitybased models for estimation of wildfire risk. International Journal of Wildland Fire 13, 133-142. doi:10.1071/WF02061
39. Rivas-Martínez S (1987) 'Memoria del Mapa de Series de Vegetación de España.' (Instituto Nacional para la Conservación de la Naturaleza: Madrid, Spain)
40. Rollins MG, Keane RE, Parsons RA (2004) Mapping fuels and fire regimes using remote sensing, ecosystem simulation, and gradient modelling. Ecological Applications 14, 75-95. doi:10.1890/02-5145
41. Rorig ML, Ferguson SA (1999) Characteristics of lightning and wildland fire ignition in the Pacific Northwest. Journal of Applied Meteorology 38, 1565-1575. doi:10.1175/1520-0450(1999)038 ,1565:COLAWF.2.0.CO;2
42. Rothermel RC (1983) How to predict the spread and intensity of forest and range fires. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, General Technical Report GTR-INT-143. (Ogden, UT)
43. Rothermel RC (1991) Predicting behavior and size of crown fires in the northern Rocky Mountains. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, Research Paper RP-INT-438. (Ogden, UT)
44. Ruiz de la Torre J (1999) 'Mapa Forestal de España. Escala 1 : 1 000 000.' (Ministerio de Medio Ambiente, Secretariá General de Medio Ambiente, Dirección General de Conservación de la Naturaleza: Madrid, Spain)
45. Salas J, Chuvieco E (1994) GIS applications for forest fire risk mapping. Wildfire 3, 7-13.
46. Swetnam TW (1993) Fire history and climate change in giant sequoia groves. Science 262, 885-889. doi:10.1126/SCIENCE.262.5135.885
47. SyphardAD, RadeloffVC, KeulerNS, TaylorRS, HawbakerTJ, Stewart SI, Clayton MK (2008) Predicting spatial patterns of fire on a southern California landscape. International Journal of Wildland Fire 17, 602-613. doi:10.1071/WF07087
48. Vasconcelos MJP, Silva S, Tomé M, Alvim M, Pereira JMC (2001) Spatial prediction of fire ignition probabilities: comparing logistic regression and neural networks. Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing 67, 73-83.
49. Vázquez A, Pérez B, Fernández-González F, Moreno JM, Franklin J (2002) Recent fire regime characteristics and potential natural vegetation relationships in Spain. Journal of Vegetation Science 13, 663-676. doi:10.1111/J.1654-1103.2002.TB02094.X
50. Vega-Garciá C, Chuvieco E (2006) Applying local measures of spatial heterogeneity to Landsat-TM images for predicting wildfire occurrence in Mediterranean landscapes. Landscape Ecology 21, 595-605. doi:10.1007/S10980- 005-4119-5
51. Vega-Garciá C, Tatay-Nieto J, Blanco R, Chuvieco E (2010) Evaluation of the influence of local fuel homogeneity on fire hazard through Landsat-5 TM texture measures. Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing 76, 853-864.
52. Vélez R (2000) 'La Defensa contra Incendios Forestales. Fundamentos y Experiencias.' (McGraw-Hill: Madrid)
53. Verdú F, Salas J (2010) Cartografiá de áreas quemadas mediante análisis visual de imágenes de satélite en la España peninsular para el periodo 1991-2005. Geofocus 10, 54-81.
54. Viegas DX, Viegas MT (1994) A relationship between rainfall and burned area for Portugal. International Journal of Wildland Fire 4, 11-16. doi:10.1071/WF9940011
55. Vilar L, Woolford DG, Martell DL, Martín MP (2010) A model for predicting human-caused wildfire occurrence in the region of Madrid, Spain. International Journal of Wildland Fire 19, 325-337. doi:10.1071/WF09030
56. Weiss AD (2001) Topographic positions and landforms analysis. In 'ESRI International User Conference', 9-13 July 2001, San Diego, CA. Available at http://www.jennessent.com/arcview/TPI-Weiss-poster. htm [Verified 21 May 2012]
57. Westerling AL, Bryant BP (2008) Climate change and wildfire in California. Climatic Change 87, 231-249. doi:10.1007/S10584-007-9363-Z
58. Westerling AL, Brown TJ, Gershunov A, Cayan DR, DettingerMD (2003) Climate and wildfire in the western United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 84, 595-604. doi:10.1175/BAMS-84-5-595
59. Whelan RJ (1995) 'The Ecology of Fire.' (Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK)
60. Worth AP, Cronin MTD (2003) The use of discriminant analysis, logistic regression and classification tree analysis in the development of classification models for human health effects. Journal of Molecular Structure THEOCHEM 622, 97-111. doi:10.1016/S0166-1280(02) 00622-X