Trends and abrupt changes in daily extreme rainfalls of Ivory Coast (West Africa);Tendances et ruptures au niveau des pluies journalières extrêmes en Côte d'Ivoire (Afrique de l'Ouest)

Hydrological Sciences Journal

Volumn 57, Issue 6, 2012, Pages 1067-1080

  Goula, Bi Tié Albert ^a   Soro, Emile Gneneyougo ^a   Kouassi, Williams ^a   Srohourou, Bernard ^b  

^a Universite d'Abobo Adjame   (France)

^b SODEXAM Direction de la Météorologie Nationale ^*  (France)

Author keywords

Afrique de l'Ouest; changement climatique; C te d'Ivoire; d tection de tendance; pluies extr mes

Indexed keywords

AFRIQUE DE L'OUEST; ANNUAL RAINFALL; CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE; CLIMATIC VARIABLES; DAILY RAINFALL; EXTREME EVENTS; EXTREME RAINFALL; HOMOGENEOUS REGIONS; STATISTICAL PROPERTIES; STEP CHANGES; WEST AFRICA;

CLIMATE CHANGE; STATISTICAL TESTS;

RAIN;

ANNUAL VARIATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE VARIATION; EXTREME EVENT; PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; RAINFALL; TREND ANALYSIS; VARIANCE ANALYSIS;

COTE D'IVOIRE;

EID: 84864631893     PISSN: 02626667     EISSN: 21503435     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2012.692880     Document Type: Article

References (57)

1. Aguilar, E. 2009. Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in western central Africa, Guinea Conakry, and Zimbabwe, 1955-2006. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114(D02): 115 doi:10.1029/2008JD011010
2. Arnaud, M. and Emery, X. 2000. Estimation et interpolation spatiale, Paris: Hermes Science.
3. Bielec, Z. 2001. Long terme variability of thunderstorms and thunderstorms precipitation occurrence in cracow, Poland, in the period 1896-1995. Atmospheric Research, 56: 161-170.
4. Bigot, S. 2005. Facteurs de la variabilité pluviométrique en Côte d'Ivoire et relations avec certaines modifications environnementales. Sécheresse, 16(1): 5-13.
5. Bocheva, L., Simeonova, M.P. and Gospodinova, I. 2009. Variability and trends of extreme precipitation events over Bulgaria (1961-2005). Atmospheric Research, 93(1-3): 490-497.
6. Brou, Y.T. 2005. Climat, mutations socio-économiques et paysages en Côte d'Ivoire, France: Mémoire de synthèse des activités scientifiques présenté en vue de l'obtention de l'Habilitation à Diriger des Recherches, Université des Sciences et Techniques de Lille.
7. Burn, D.H. and Elnur, A.H. 2002. Detection of hydrologic trends and variability. Journal of Hydrology, 255: 107-122.
8. Cannarozzo, M., Noto, L.V. and Viola, F. 2006. Spatial distribution of rainfall trends in Sicily (1921-2000). Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 31: 1201-1211.
9. Cattle, H. and Boscolo, R. 2007. CLIVAR/Commission for Climatology ETCCDI contributions to studies of climate extremes. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 9: 5-2.
10. Chiew, F.H.S. and McMahon, T.A. 1993. Detection of trend or change in annual flow of Australian rivers. International Journal of Climatology, 13: 643-653.
11. Chiew, F. and Siriwardena, L. 2005. Trend and change detection software, Australia: CRC for Catchment Hydrology.
12. Di Baldassarre, G. 2010. Flood fatalities in Africa: From diagnosis to mitigation. Geophysical Research Letters, 37: L22402 doi:10.1029/2010GL045467
13. Douglas, E.M., Vogel, R.M. and Kroll, C.N. 2000. Trend in floods and low flows in United States: impact of spatial correlation. Journal of Hydrology, 240: 90-105.
14. Douglas, I. 2008. Unjust waters: climate change, flooding and the urban poor in Africa. Environment and Urbanization, 20(1): 187-206.
15. Easterling, D.R. 2000. Climate extremes: observations, modeling, and impacts. Science, 289: 2068-2074.
16. Efron, B. and Tibshirani, R. J. 1998. An introduction to the bootstrap, London: Chapman et Hall.
17. Goula, B.T.A. 2006. Impact de la variabilité climatique sur les ressources hydriques des basins versants du N'Zo et du N'Zi en Côte d'Ivoire (Afrique tropicale humide). Vertigo, 7(1): 1-12.
18. Goula, B.T.A. 2007. Estimation des pluies exceptionnelles journalières en zone tropicale: cas de la Côte d'Ivoire par comparaison des lois lognormale et de Gumbel. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 52(2): 49-67.
19. Griffiths, G.M., Salinger, M.J. and Leleu, I. 2003. Trends in extreme daily rainfall across the South Pacific and relationship to the South Pacific convergence zone. International Journal of Climatology, 23: 847-869.
20. Gruza, G. 1999. Indicators of climate chance for the Russian Federation. Climatic Change, 42: 219-242.
21. Hamed, K.H. 2008. Trend detection in hydrologic data: the Mann-Kendall trend test under the scaling hypothesis. Journal of Hydrology, 349: 350-363.
22. Hamdi, M.R., Mahmoud, A-A. and Ammar, Al-S. 2009. Climate change in Jordan: a comprehensive examination approach. American Journal of Environmental Science, 5(1): 58-68.
23. Hardoy, J.E., Mitlin, D. and Satterthwaite, D. 2001. Environmental problems in an urbanizing world: finding solutions in cities in Africa, Asia and Latin America, London: Earthscan.
24. Haylock, M. and Nicholls, N. 2000. Trends in extreme rainfall indices for an updated high quality data set for Australia, 1910-1998. International Journal of Climatology, 20: 1533-1541.
25. Hubert, P., Carbonnel, J.P. and Chaouche, A. 1989. Segmentation des séries hydrométéorologiques: Application à des séries de précipitation et de débits de l'Afrique de l'Ouest. Journal of Hydrology, 110: 349-367.
26. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2001. "Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment report of the IPCC". In Climate change 2001The scientific basis, Edited by: Houghton, J.T. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
27. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2007. "Climate change 2007. The physical science basis". In Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Edited by: Solomon, S. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
28. Karl, T.R. and Knight, R.W. 1998. Secular trends of precipitation amount, frequency, and intensity in the USA. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 79: 231-241.
29. Karpouzos, D.K., Kavalieratou, S. and Babajimopoulos, C. 2010. Trend analysis of precipitation data in Pieria Region (Greece). European Water, 20: 31-40.
30. Kendall, M.G. 1975. Rank correlation methods, London: Griffin.
31. Koning, A. and Franses, P.H. 2005. Are precipitation levels getting higher? Statistical evidence for the Netherlands. Journal of Climate, 18(22): 4701-7414.
32. Kundzewicz, Z.W. and Robson, A. 2004. Change detection in river flow records-review of methodology. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 49(1): 3-6.
33. Lettenmaier, D.P., Wood, E.F. and Wallis, J.R. 1994. Hydro-climatological trends in the continental United-States, 1948-88. Journal of Climate, 7: 586-607.
34. Mahé, G. 2001. Trends and discontinuities in regional rainfall of West and Central Africa. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 46(2): 211-226.
35. Mann, H.B. 1945. Non-parametric tests against trend. Econometrica, 13: 245-259.
36. Mazvimavi, D. 2008. Investigating possible changes of extreme annual rainfall in Zimbabwe. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 5: 1765-1785.
37. New, M. 2006. Evidence of trends in daily climate extremes over Southern and West Africa. Journal of Geophysical Research, 111: D14102 doi:10.1029/2005JD006289
38. Nchito, W.S. 2007. Flood risk in unplanned settlements in Lusaka. Environment and Urbanization, 19(2): 539-551.
39. Onibon, H. 2004. Regional frequency analysis of annual maximum daily precipitation in Quebec. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 49(4): 717-735.
40. Osborn, T.J. 2000. Observed Trends in the Daily Intensity of United Kingdom Precipitation. International Journal of Climatology, 20: 347-264.
41. Pal, I. and Al-Tabbaa, A. 2009. Trends in seasonal precipitation extremes-an indicator of climate change in Kerala, India. Journal of Hydrology, 367: 62-69.
42. Paturel, J.E., Servat, E. and Delattre, M.O. 1998. Analyse de séries pluviométriques de longue durée en Afrique de l'Ouest et centrale non sahélienne dans un contexte de variabilité climatique. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 43(3): 937-945.
43. Pujol, N. 2008. "Développement d'approches régionales et multivariées pour la détection de non stationnarités d'extrêmes climatiques". In Applications aux précipitations du pourtour méditerranéen français, France: Thèse de Doctorat de l'Université de Montpellier 2.
44. Pujol, N, Neppel, L. and Sabatier, R. 2007. Regional test for trend detection in maximum precipitation series in the French Mediterranean region. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 52(5): 956-973.
45. Radziejewski, M. 2000. "HYDROSPECT software for detecting changes in hydrological data". In Detecting trend and other changes in hydrological data, Edited by: Kundzewicz, Z. W., Kundzewicz, Z.W. and Robson, A. 151-152. Geneva: World Meteorological Organization, World Climate Programme Data and Monitoring.
46. Re, M. and Barros, V.R. 2009. Extremes rainfalls in SE South America. Climatic Change, 96(1-2): 119-136.
47. Renard, B. 2006. Détection et prise en compte d'éventuels impacts des changements climatiques sur les extrêmes hydrologiques en France, France: Thèse de Doctorat de l'Institut National Polytechnique de Grenoble.
48. Roy, S.S. and Balling, R.C., Jr. 2004. Trends in extreme daily rainfall indices in India. International Journal of Climatology, 24: 457-466.
49. Salinger, M. J. and Griffiths, G.M. 2001. Trends in New Zealand daily temperature and rainfall extremes. International Journal of Climatology, 21: 1437-14520.
50. Servat, E. 1999. De différents aspects de la variabilité de la pluviométrie en Afrique de l'Ouest et centrale non sahélienne. Revue des Sciences de l'Eau, 12(2): 363-387.
51. Sugahara, S., Porfírio da Rocha, R. and Silveira, R. 2008. Non-stationary frequency analysis of extreme daily rainfall in Sao Paulo, Brazil. International Journal of Climatology, 29(9): 1339-1349.
52. Suppiah, R. and Hennessy, K. 1998. Trends in seasonal rainfall, heavy rain-days, and number of dry days in Australia 1910-1990. International Journal of Climatology, 18: 1141-1155.
53. Tarhule, A. and Woo, M. 1998. Changes in rainfall characteristics in northern Nigeria. International Journal of Climatology, 18(11): 1261-1271.
54. Tomassini, L. and Jacob, D. 2009. Spatial analysis of trends in extreme precipitation events in high-resolution climate model results and observations for Germany. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114: D12113 doi:10.1029/2008JD010652
55. Wald, A. and Wolfowitz, J. 1943. An exact test for randomness in the non parametric case based on the serial correlation. Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 14: 378-388.
56. WMO (World Meteorological Organization). 2009. Guidelines on analysis of extremes in a changing climate in support of informed decisions for adaptation, Geneva, Switzerland: WMO WCDMP no. 72.
57. Yue, S. and Wang, C.Y. 2002. Regional streamflow trend detection with consideration of both temporal and spatial correlation. International Journal of Climatology, 22: 933-946.