Estimating the Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in Low-Income Countries: Household Level Evidence from the Nile Basin, Ethiopia

Environmental and Resource Economics

Volumn 52, Issue 4, 2012, Pages 457-478

  Di Falco, Salvatore ^a   Yesuf, Mahmud ^b   Kohlin, Gunnar ^c   Ringler, Claudia ^d  

^a LONDON SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS   (United Kingdom)

^b AMERICAN UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF GOTHENBURG   (Sweden)

^d INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (United States)

Author keywords

Adaptation; Climate change; Ethiopia; Farm level productivity; Instrumental variables; Rainfall

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURE; DEVELOPING COUNTRIES; ESTIMATION; INTERPOLATION; PRODUCTIVITY; RAIN;

ADAPTATION; CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION; ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS; ETHIOPIA; INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES; LOW INCOME COUNTRIES; METEOROLOGICAL STATION; SPATIAL INTERPOLATION;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT; AREAL INTERPOLATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; DEVELOPING WORLD; EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS; FARM; HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURE; HOUSEHOLD INCOME; RAINFALL; WEATHER STATION;

ETHIOPIA; NILE BASIN;

EID: 84864310050     PISSN: 09246460     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10640-011-9538-y     Document Type: Article

References (47)

1. Admassie A, Adenew B, Abebe T (2007) Perceptions of stakeholders on climate change and adaptation strategies in Ethiopia. EEA Research Report. Addis Ababa.
2. 2 concentration. Field Crops Res 73: 1-34.
3. Angrist JD, Krueger AB (2001) Instrumental variables and the search for identification: from supply and demand to natural experiments. J Econ Perspect 15(4): 69-85.
4. Deressa T (2006) Measuring the economic impact of climate change on Ethiopian agriculture: Ricardian approach. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa (CEEPA) Discussion Paper No. 25. University of Pretoria, South Africa.
5. Deressa T, Hassen R, Alemu T, Yesuf M, Ringler C (2008) 'Analyzing the determinants of farmers' choice of adaptation measures and perceptions of climate change in the Nile Basin of Ethiopia. International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) Discussion Paper No. 00798, Washington.
6. Deschenes O, Greenstone M (2007) The economic impacts of climate change: evidence from agricultural output and random fluctuations in weather. Am Econ Rev 97(1): 354-385.
7. Di Falco S, Veronesi M, Yesuf M (2011) Does adaptation to climate change provide food secuity? micro perspective from Ethiopia. Am J Agric Econ 93(3): 829-846.
8. Dinar A, Hassan R, Mendelsohn R, Benhin J, et al. (2008) Climate change and agriculture in Africa: impact assessment and adaptation strategies. EarthScan, London.
9. 2, ozone, and global climate change. Agric Ecosyst Environ 97: 1-20.
10. Giorgis K, Tadege A, Tibebe D (2006) Estimating crop water use and simulating yield reductions for maize and sorghum in Adama and Miesso districts using the CROPWAT model. CEEPA Discussion Paper, University of Pretoria, South Africa.
11. Gregory PJ et al (2002) Environmental consequences of alternative practices for intensifying crop production. Agric Ecosyst Environ 88: 279-290.
12. Hong Y, Nix HA, Hutchinson MF, Booth TH (2005) Spatial interpolation of monthly mean climate data for China. Int J Climatol 25: 1369-1379.
13. Hurni H (1998) Soil conservation research programme Ethiopia: research report on agroecological belts of Ethiopia. Addis Ababa.
14. Hutchinson M (1998) Spatial interpolation of the parameters of rainfall model from ground-based data. J Hydrol 213: 335-347.
15. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2007) Summary for policymakers. Climate change 2007: the physical science basis, Working Group I contribution to IPCC fourth assessment report: climate change 2007. Geneva.
16. Kurukulasuriya P, Mendelsohn R (2008a) Crop switching as an adaptation strategy to climate change. Afr J Agric Resour Econ 2: 105-126.
17. Kurukulasuriya P, Mendelsohn R (2008b) A Ricardian analysis of the impact of climate change on African cropland. Afr J Agric Resour Econ 2: 1-23.
18. Kurukulasuriya P, Mendelsohn R, Hassan R, Benhin J, Diop M, Eid HM, Fosu KY, Gbetibouo G, Jain S, Mahamadou A, El-Marsafawy S, Ouda S, Ouedraogo M, Sène I, Seo N, Maddison D, Dinar A (2006) Will African agriculture survive climate change?. World Bank Econ Rev 20(3): 367-388.
19. Lobell DB, Burke MB, Tebaldi C, Mastrandrea MD, Falcon WP, Naylor RL (2008) Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030. Science 319: 607-610.
20. McCarthy J, Canziani OF, Leary NA, Dokken DJ, White C (eds) (2001) Climate change 2001: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability, contribution of Working Group II to the third assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
21. Mckenney D, Nalder I, Hutchinson M, Kesteven J (2000) A comparison of two statistical methods for spatial interpolation of Canadian monthly climate data. Agric For Meteorol 101(2-3): 81-94.
22. Mendelsohn R (2000) Measuring the effect of climate change on developing country agriculture. Two essays on climate change and agriculture: a developing country perspective. FAO Economic and Social Development Paper 145, Rome.
23. Mendelsohn R, Dinar A (1999) Climate change, agriculture, and developing countries: does adaptation matter?. World Bank Res Obs 14: 277-293.
24. Mendelsohn R, Dinar A (2003) Climate, water, and agriculture. Land Econ 79: 328-341.
25. Mendelsohn R, Dinar A, Sanghi A (2001) The effect of development on the climate sensitivity of agriculture. Environ Dev Econ 6: 85-101.
26. Mendelsohn R, Nordhaus W, Shaw D (1994) The impact of global warming on agriculture: a Ricardian analysis. Am Econ Rev 84: 753-771.
27. Mendelsohn R, Nordhaus W, Shaw D (1996) Climate impacts on aggregate farm value: accounting for adaptation. J Agric For Meteorol 80: 55-66.
28. Ministry of Finance and Economic Development: (2006) Survey of the Ethiopian economy. MoFED, Addis Ababa.
29. Mundlak Y (1978) On the pooling of time series and cross-section data. Econometrica 46: 69-85.
30. Orindi V, Ochieng A., Otiende B, Bhadwal S, Anantram K, Nair S, Kumar V, Kelkar U (2006) Mapping climate vulnerability and poverty in Africa. In: Thornton PK, Jones PG, Owiyo T, Kruska RL, Herrero M, Kristjanson P, Notenbaert A, Bekele N, Omolo A (eds) Climate change and poverty in Africa. Report to the Department for International Development, ILRI, Nairobi.
31. Parry M, Rosenzweig C, Iglesias A, Livermore M, Fisher G (2004) Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios. Glob Environ Change 14: 53-67.
32. Pearce D, Cline W, Achanta A, Fankhauser S, Pachauri R, Tol R, Vellinga P (1996) The social costs of climate change: greenhouse damage and benefits of control. In: Bruce J, Lee H, Haites E (eds) Climate change 1995: economic and social dimensions of climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
33. Reilly J et al (1996) Agriculture in a changing climate: impacts and adaptations. In: Watson R, Zinyowera M, Moss R, Dokken D (eds) Climate change 1995: impacts, adaptations, and mitigation of climate change: scientific-technical analyses, intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
34. Roncoli C, Ingram K, Kirshen P (2002) Reading the rains: local knowledge and rainfall forecasting among farmers of Burkina Faso. Soc Nat Resour 15: 411-430.
35. Rosenzweig C, Parry ML (1994) Potential impact of climate change on world food supply. Nature 367: 133-138.
36. Schlenker W, Hanemann WM, Fisher AC (2006) The impact of global warming on U. S. agriculture: an econometric analysis of optimal growing conditions. Rev Econ Stat 88(1): 113-125.
37. Seo N, Mendelsohn R (2008a) Climate change impacts and adaptations on animal husbandry in Africa. Afr J Agric Resour Econ 2: 65-82.
38. Seo SN, Mendelsohn R (2008b) A Ricardian analysis of the impact of climate change on South American farms. Chil J Agric Res 68(1): 69-79.
39. Smithers J, Smit B (1997) Human adaptation to climatic variability and change. Glob Environ Change 7(3): 129-146.
40. Stern N (2007) The economics of climate change: the stern review. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
41. Stige LC, Stave J, Chan K (2006) The effect of climate variation on agro-pastoral production in Africa. Proc Natl Acad Sci 103: 3049-3053.
42. Vogel C, O'Brien K (2006) Who can eat information? Examining the effectiveness of seasonal climate forecasts and regional climate-risk management strategies. Clim Res 33: 111-122.
43. Wahba G. (1990) Spline models for observational data. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, Philadelphia.
44. Wang J, Mendelsohn R, Dinar A, Huang J, Rozelle S, Zhang L (2008) Can China continue feeding itself?: the impact of climate change on agriculture. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 4470. Washington.
45. Wooldridge JM (2002) Econometric analysis of cross section and panel data. MIT Press, Cambridge.
46. World Bank: (2009) World development report 2010: development and climate change. The World Bank, Washington.
47. You GJ-Y, Ringler C (2010) Hydro-economic modeling of climate change impacts in Ethiopia. IFPRI Discussion Paper No. 960. IFPRI, Washington.