Regional patterns of wintertime SLP change over the north pacific and their uncertainty in CMIP3 multi-model projections

Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan

Volumn 90, Issue A, 2012, Pages 385-396

  Oshima, Kazuhiro ^a,d   Tanimoto, Youichi ^a,b   Xie, Shang Ping ^c  

^a HOKKAIDO UNIVERSITY   (Japan)

^b JAPAN AGENCY FOR MARINE EARTH SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY   (Japan)

^c UNIVERSITY OF HAWAII   (United States)

^d RESEARCH INSTITUTE FOR HUMANITY AND NATURE   (Japan)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84864208380     PISSN: 00261165     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2012-A23     Document Type: Note

References (23)

1. Collins, M., and The CMIP modeling groups, 2005: El Nino or La Nin a-like climate change? Clim. Dyn., 24, 89-104.
2. Carton, J. A., G. Chepurin, and X. Cao, 2000: A Simple Ocean Data Assimilation analysis of the global upper ocean 1950-1995 Part 2: results. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 30, 311-326.
3. Deser, C., A. S. Phillips, V. Bourdette, and H. Teng, 2010: Uncertainty in climate change projections: The role of internal variability. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0977-x.
4. DiNezio, P. N., A. C. Clement, G. A. Vecchi, B. J. Soden, B. P. Kirtman, and S.-K. Lee, 2009: Climate response of the equatorial pacific to global warming. J. Climate, 22:18, 4873-4892.
5. Furtado, J., E. Di Lorenzo, N. Schneider, N. Bond, and J. Overland, 2011: North Pacific Decadal Variability and Climate Change in the IPCC AR4 Models. J. Climate, doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3584.1, in press.
6. Hori, M. E., and H. Ueda, 2006: Impact of global warming on the East Asian winter monsoon as revealed by nine coupled atmosphere-ocean GCMs, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L03713, doi:10.1029/ 2005GL024961.
7. Hawkins, E., and R. T. Sutton, 2009: The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90, 1095-1107.
8. Hawkins, E., and R. T. Sutton, 2011: The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0810-6, in press.
9. Liu, Z., S. Vavrus, F. Fe, N. Wen, and Y. Zhong, 2005: Rethinking tropical ocean response to global warming: The enhanced equatorial warming. J. Climate, 18, 4684-4700.
10. Meehl, G. A., C. Covey, T. Delworth, M. Latif, B. Mc-Avaney, J. F. B. Mitchell, R. J. Stouffer, and K. E. Taylor, 2007: The WCRP CMIP3 multimodel dataset: A new era in climate change research. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 88, 1383-1394, doi:10.1175/ BAMS-88-9-1383.
11. Onogi, K., J. Tsutsui, H. Koide, M. Sakamoto, S. Kobayashi, H. Hatsushika, T. Matsumoto, N. Yamazaki, H. Kamahori, K. Takahashi, S. Kadokura, K. Wada, K. Kato, R. Oyama, T. Ose, N. Mannoji, and R. Taira, 2007: The JRA-25 Reanalysis. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 85, 3, 369-432. doi:10.2151/ jmsj.85.369.
12. Oshima, K., and Y. Tanimoto, 2009: An evaluation of reproducibility of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation in the CMIP3 simulations. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 87, 4, 755-770. doi:10.2151/jmsj.87.775.
13. Overland, J. E., and M. Wang, 2007: Future climate of the North Pacific Ocean, Eos Trans. AGU, 88, 178, 182.
14. Rayner, N. A., D. E. Parker, E. B. Horton, C. K. Folland, L. V. Alexander, D. P. Rowell, E. C. Kent, and A. Kaplan, 2003: Global analyses of SST, sea ice and night marine air temperature since the late 19th Century. J. Geophys. Res., 108, 4407, doi:10.1029/2002JD002670.
15. Salathe, E. P., Jr. 2006: Influences of a shift in North Pacific storm tracks on western North American precipitation under global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L19820, doi:10.1029/2006GL026882.
16. Trenberth, K. E., and J. W. Hurrell, 1994: Decadal atmosphere-ocean variations in the Pacific. Climate Dyn., 9, 303-319.
17. Wang, M., J. E. Overland, and N. A. Bond, 2010: Climate projections for selected large marine ecosystems. J. Mar. Syst. 79, 258-266, doi:10.1016/ j.jmarsys.2008.11.028.
18. Xie, S.-P., C. Deser, G. A. Vecchi, J. Ma, H. Teng, and A. T. Wittenberg, 2010: Global warming pattern formation: sea surface temperature and rainfall. J. Climate, 23, 966-986.
19. Xie, S.-P., L.-X. Xu, Q. Liu, and F. Kobashi, 2011: Dynamical role of mode-water ventilation in decadal variability in the central subtropical gyre of the North Pacific. J. Climate, 24, 1212-1225.
20. Xu, L. X., S.-P. Xie, Q. Liu, and F. Kobashi, 2012: Response of the North Pacific Subtropical Countercurrent and its variability to global warming. J. Oceanogr., in press, doi:10.1007/s10872-011-0031-6.
21. Yamaguchi, K., and A. Noda, 2006: Global warming patterns over the North Pacific: ENSO versus AO. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 84, 221-241.
22. Yara, Y., K. Oshima, M. Fujii, H. Yamano, Y. Yamanaka, and N. Okada, 2012: Projection and uncertainty of the poleward range expansion of coral habitats in response to sea surface temperature warming: A multiple climate model study. Galaxea, in press.
23. Yukimoto, S., and K. Kodera, 2005: Interdecadal Arctic Oscillation in twentieth century climate simulations viewed as internal variability and response to external forcing. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32. L03707, doi: 10.1029/2004GL021870.